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WSWS : News
& Analysis : North
America
Hot nights in the city: New York City's environmental future
By Alan Whyte
17 August 1999
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this version to print
The month of July established a record-breaking heat wave in
New York City, as part of hot and humid weather patterns throughout
the US, particularly in the Northeast. In New York, there were
11 days that reached a high of 95 degrees or more, the highest
number since temperatures were first recorded in 1869. It was
also the driest, with only 0.44 inches of rain for the entire
month, also the lowest number since 1869, threatening the city
with a serious drought. Thirty-three people have died due to unbearable
heat and no available air conditioning.
The city experienced a number of power outages, the most serious
being the one that took place on July 6 and 7 when 200,000 people
in upper Manhattan were without any electricity. Con Edison, the
utility supplier, has now been forced to admit that the feeder
cables that failed to deliver power to that area had old and antiquated
paper-insulated cables with an extraordinarily high history of
breakdowns. There were a number of days when power usage approached
the maximum amount of power that Con Ed has available, bringing
the entire New York metropolitan area perilously close to being
without electricity.
The failure of the utility companies to provide proper maintenance
and the necessary power is only one side of the equation. The
other issue is global warming. Clearly the experience of one month
cannot establish a trend. However, a recent report written by
the Environmental Defense Fund, an advocacy group, indicates that
what happened last month is just a taste of things to come.
The report, entitled "Hot Nights in the City," is
based on computer projections of what New York City will look
like environmentally in a hundred years, and the results are frightening.
The burning of fossil fuels combined with deforestation are the
major human activities responsible for global warming, as well
as other climatic changes. The burning of substances such as coal
and oil produce gases like carbon dioxide (CO2) that trap heat,
which would otherwise escape into space. It is, of course, necessary
for human survival that some heat remain on earth, but industrial
processes have tipped the ecological balance towards producing
extreme heat conditions. One result is the melting of mountain
glaciers and the polar ice caps. Sea level, along with the temperature,
has been rising globally in the last century.
In New York, the temperature has already increased about 4
degrees Fahrenheit since 1880. This is the result not only of
global warming in general, but also what is called the "urban
heat-island" effect, in which temperatures rise with urbanization.
As a result, it is projected that the temperature in New York
will rise 5 to 10 degrees by the year 2100. Summers are predicted
to be very hot with nighttime bringing little relief. There will
be about 80 days when temperatures will rise over 90 degrees,
as compared to the current average of 13. It is projected that
the number of days that the temperature at night will be over
75 degrees will be from 28 to 70 days per year, as compared to
the current average of less than 5 days per year.
It is anticipated that there will be an increase in heat-related
and ozone-related health risks. The elderly and children with
respiratory problems are at the greatest risk. People without
air conditioning in dense buildings and other places will suffer
from heat exhaustion. The report refers the reader to the heat
wave in the summer of 1995 in Chicago that caused the deaths of
about 500 people.
Ground -level ozone (O3), the primary constituent of urban
smog, reduces lung capacity and increases the chances of mortality
from respiratory diseases such as asthma. The Center for Disease
Control and Prevention in Atlanta has stated that asthma attacks
have doubled for American children in the last decade. Furthermore,
a report just issued by the Mount Sinai School of Medicine has
concluded that the poor and minorities in New York City are 21
times more likely to be hospitalized for asthma than the affluent.
Malaria and other infectious diseases carried by mosquitoes
may begin to attack New Yorkers. This is because the ability of
the mosquito to infect humans increases dramatically in warmer
temperatures, which is why this disease has been traditionally
been a problem in the tropics.
It is anticipated that the regional sea level will rise anywhere
from three-quarters to three and a half feet. The flooding of
the city's subways, highways, airports and homes, which now happens
about every 13 years, would occur about once a year. This would
not only disrupt the transportation infrastructure, but also wreak
havoc on the city's sewer system. Coastal areas are expected to
experience severe storm floods, eroding the beaches and causing
serious property damage. For the same reason, barriers and dikes
will have to be built to protect the financial district in lower
Manhattan. There will also be an increase of periods of severe
drought conditions, and alternate periods of heavy downpours resulting
in massive floods.
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