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WSWS : News
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& South Pacific : Papua
New Guinea
PNG Prime Minister resigns after Australian intervention
By Sue Phillips and Frank Gaglioti
12 July 1999
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Papua New Guinea Prime Minister Bill Skate resigned on July
7, amid economic and political turmoil. In doing so, Skate accused
Australia of political interference. He denounced Canberra for
opposing his government's diplomatic recognition of Taiwan, revealed
in the media just 48 hours earlier, and for supporting a key opponent
to replace him as prime minister.
The resignation came less than a week before Skate faced a
vote of no-confidence in parliament. In the run up to the vote,
senior government ministers defected to the opposition, including
the ministers for Public Enterprise, Defence, Health, Education
and Employment. Sir Mekere Morauta, leader of the Peoples Democratic
Movement, the major partner in the coalition government, also
walked out with the support of 40 MPs, making Skate's government
untenable. Earlier, the country's Supreme Court ruled unconstitutional
the government's seven-month adjournment of parliament last December
to avoid a no-confidence vote.
By quitting, Skate has again avoided the no-confidence vote.
Instead, MPs will vote on Tuesday for a new Prime Minister. Mekere
is seen as the most likely victor, but Skate may renominate for
the position, or seek to instal the current parliamentary Speaker,
John Pundari. The political instability worsened on Friday when
Mekere's supporters detained one of Skate's advisers, accusing
him of carrying a briefcase full of money and of trying to offer
bribes of up to $A5.5 million to lure MPs back into his camp.
Skate's resignation and his recent visit to Taiwan appear to
be last-ditch efforts to maintain his hold on government. After
declaring his intention to take a holiday, Skate secretly flew
to Taipei at the beginning of July to finalise a deal with the
Taiwanese government for political recognition in return for loans
and grants that, according to the Port Moresby Post-Courier,
total $4 billion.
Skate and the PNG Foreign Affairs Minister Roy Yaki signed
a joint communiqué with the Taiwanese government in return
for a financial package that the two sides had been negotiating
since September last year. It includes an initial grant of $US500
million, followed by a further $US1 billion over the next five
years, with an additional $US1 billion in loans. A Taiwanese delegation,
including representatives of the fishing industry, arrived in
PNG last week to discuss future aid and business interests.
Taiwan's Foreign Affairs Minister Jason Hu said "not a
single penny was involved" in payment for political recognition,
but the deal provoked a ferocious response from China and Australia.
Beijing threatened to cut diplomatic links, declaring that PNG's
recognition of Taiwan constituted a serious infringement on China's
sovereignty and territorial integrity.
Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Alexander Downer warned
that PNG was undermining its own export markets, as well as regional
stability. In a more explicit statement of government policy,
Australian Defence Minister John Moore said the situation in PNG
would improve with a successful no-confidence vote against the
Skate government.
Australian intervention was blatant. Its intelligence sources
provided the initial press leaks on the Taiwanese deal, and these
reports were given great prominence in the Australian media. The
same outlets promoted Mekere as a "friend of Australia,"
while depicting Skate as, among other things, a petty thief
from the Port Moresby slums who grew up to steal his country
(the Australian July 6).
Mekere, a wealthy businessman, is the former governor of the
PNG Central Bank, the previous Fisheries Minister under Skate
and an open exponent of the restructuring program demanded by
the International Monetary Fund. This week, Mekere stated that
he would review the Skate government's decision to recognise Taiwan
because: "It's not just between Papua New Guinea and Taiwan,
there are regional and international implications. He indicated
his close relations with the Australian political establishment
by saying: Australia is an important government in the region
and it is entitled to express its opinion on issues like that.
Last year the Australian Financial Review endorsed Mekere
as a replacement for Skate, predicting that he would have the
support of the business community as well as Australian political
interests. It quoted Mekere as advocating more severe cuts in
public spending: "No amount of money, printed or taxed, will
get us right. The answer lies in reducing the size of the public
sector and reallocating the resulting savings from consumption
to capital".
Considerable political and economic interests are at stake
for Australian big business. Often in partnership with other transnationals,
Australian companies own half the assets in the former Australian
colony. They include highly profitable mining and oil ventures,
such as the BHP-controlled OK Tedi mine, the huge Lihir gold project
and the Panguna copper mine in Bougainville. Ok Tedi alone generates
about 20 percent of PNG's exports and about 10 percent of Gross
Domestic Product.
Australia has stepped in to halt the PNG deal with Taiwan because
it fears the emergence of a new competitor in the region. Already
three other Pacific Nationsthe Solomon Islands, the Marshall
Islands and Nauruhave recognised Taiwan. On Friday the Taiwanese
Foreign Ministry threatened the Australian government with trade
sanctions, suggesting that Taiwan would switch its iron ore imports
from Australia to PNG.
Instability and economic pressure
The background to PNG's political turmoil is one of economic
and social crisis, exacerbated by direct pressure from the international
financial markets and institutions.
Fearful of social unrest, the PNG police force on Friday launched
"Operation Vote of No Confidence," setting up roadblocks
and mobilising many police onto the streets. Curfews already exist
in Port Moresby, as well as the death penalty and the tattooing
of the foreheads of convicted criminals.
With a growing lack of land and few jobs in the rural areas
many thousands of young people have flooded into the urban centres
over the past two decades, looking for work. In the urban areas
85 percent of the population is under the age of 24, with many
unemployed or underemployed. In 1995, over 32,000 people in urban
centers or 15 percent of the urban workforce, depended on crime
as their main source of income. The country's largest village
is now Hanuabada, where 10,000 people live in shanties above the
mudflats of Port Moresby harbour.
One of the most destabilizing factors over the last year was
the IMF's March report criticising the 1999 Budget for not going
further in slashing government expenditure. "Continuation
on this course would, before long, lead to a full fledged fiscal
crisis with very damaging affects for the economy, it concluded.
The Skate government delivered the Budget under conditions
of virtual economic breakdown, as a result of declining commodity
prices, growing debt and the Asian financial crisis. It provided
for the destruction of 7,000 public sector jobs; abolition of
15 statutory authorities, agencies and committees; privatisation
of public bodies, including the Department of Works and Supply,
Telikom and the PNG Banking Corporation; and the sale of the government's
shares in mining operations and plantations. It also introduced
a Value Added Tax to try to overcome the collapse of the tax base.
The government had only been collecting income tax from 150,000
people out of a population of 4.4 million.
The IMF demanded a revised Budget and the creation of a "business
friendly environment". It outlined a number of measures to
further open the economy up to foreign investors. These included
more job cuts in the public service in close consultation with
the unions, the reduction of inflation (currently running at 22
percent), a higher excise on petroleum, and a higher VAT.
Another IMF concern was the expanded Budget allocation of district
support grants and the new rural development fund. MPs' discretionary
funds rose from 1.5 million to 2 million Kina per electoratethe
only increase in the Budget. These are basically vote-buying slush
funds.
The IMF drew attention to recent outflows of capital. Foreign
direct investment fell from K470 million or 7 percent of GDP in
1997 to K145 million or 2 percent of GDP in 1998. In addition,
private capital outflow grew, reflecting a general lack of confidence
by investors in the government's fiscal capacities.
PNG's economy has been in recession since mid-1997. A drop
in world commodity prices has drastically affected it. Exports
of logs declined by 8.9 percent over 1998. At the same time a
severe drought in 1997 further damaged agricultural production.
Copra exports dropped 9 percent, cocoa 10.5 percent and coffee
5.6 percent. As rivers dried up, two of the largest mining projects
were forced to close temporarily.
Since the IMF report the economic situation has further deteriorated,
with a continued collapse of the currency. The Kina, once worth
more than the US dollar, has fallen to below US 40 cents, even
though the Central Bank has spent K60 million trying to prop it
up. The flight of capital has continued, with the PNG Chamber
of Commerce estimating that K400 million was sent out of the country
over a period of two months.
International financial institutions have begun to cut off
credit to PNG. The World Bank cut off loans in a dispute over
Skate's appointment of a former bank official as an adviser. A
large loan from a European syndicate led by Belgium's Kredietbank
fell through because the banks demanded security over PNG's commodity
export income.
The Budget was predicated on the government borrowing 220 million
Kina from overseas funds, but a proposed Eurobond issue fell so
far short that it appears to have been postponed. Taiwan became
a last resort.
See Also:
Papua New Guinea government
likely to fall
[29 June 1999]
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