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WSWS : News
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: The
Balkan Crisis
German interests in the war against Yugoslavia
By Ulrich Rippert
24 June 1999
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Churchill once said that in war the truth is so precious it
has to be surrounded with a bodyguard of lies. In Germany over
the last two months one clearly saw the fabrication of such a
bodyguard.
Even as air attacks proceeded against civilian targetsdestroying
factories, electricity works, refineries, bridges, streets, railway
lines and apartment blocksGerman government representatives
spoke of a humanitarian action. Despite the fact that
the NATO attacks unleashed the massive wave of refugees and reduced
towns and villages in Kosovo to ruins, it has been maintained
to the very end that the aim of the war was the defence of the
refugees and their repatriation.
When, however, one explores the real interests and aims pursued
by German business and politicians, it becomes evident that the
propaganda about humanitarian aims serves to bury the truth. Behind
closed doors an entirely different discussion is taking place.
It is focused on the changed world situation arising from the
collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. The dissolution of the USSR
left a power vacuum which all of the great powers are seeking
to fill. A race has begun amongst the transnational corporations
to secure control over raw materials, labour and markets. These
conflicts are assuming increasingly aggressive forms.
Part of the conflict revolves around the huge energy resources
in the Caspian region. It is believed that the world's largest
reservoir of untapped oil and gas is to be found in the southern
republics (Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan) of the former
Soviet Union. Even though the reports over possible and confirmed
reserves of mineral deposits differ wildly, the interest in the
region is enormous.
The energy question is of great significance for Germany. Because
of the concentration of industry in Germany, the demand for such
minerals is enormous and must be met almost totally from imports.
Already during the Wilhelminian empire there was enormous interest
in the raw materials of the Caucasus. However German hopes of
being able to cash in on the holdings of the declining Ottoman
empire were shattered on the battlefields of the First World War.
Hitler's own attempt to secure the oil wells in Baku collapsed
in the face of the resistance of the Red Army.
The urgency on the part of Germany and Europe to acquire access
to these energy resources is made clear in a study which was put
before the Social Democratic Party (SPD) parliamentary fraction
last June. It bears the title The Region of the Future:
The Caspian SeaGerman Interests and European Politics in
the Trans-Caucasian and Central Asian Republics. [http//www.gernot-erler.de/html/ot/ot1e.htlm]
The paper emphasises that if energy demands remain constant, supplies
of North Sea oil will hold out for between 10 (Great Britain)
and 14 years (Norway).Using current rates, in 2010 10 percent
of Europe's total demand for natural gas will remain unmet. In
2020 that rate is expected to reach 30 percent.
The bombing of Serbia and the military occupation of Kosovo
by NATO must be seen in this light. For the first time since the
end of the Cold War, American interests as the leading NATO power
are colliding with the interests of Russia and China. The first
intervention of the alliance out of areain Bosnia
Herzegovinawas carried out with Russian agreement. Moscow
was included in NATO activities and participated in the planning
and carrying out of the operation. It was quite different in Kosovo.
In order to head off an anticipated veto on the part of Russia
and China, NATO simply ignored the United Nations.
As a result, German politics is now in a state of high tension.
On the one hand, since the foundation of NATO, Germany has been
closely tied to the Alliance and its economic and political development
have been heavily dependent on the United States for the past
50 years. Based on this tradition Chancellor Schroeder stated
on a number of occasions in the course of the war: For reasons
of state it is necessary to be loyal to the Alliance.
On the other hand, Germany's traditional orientation towards
the East has increased in significance. Even under the conditions
of the Cold War, Germany's economic and political collaboration
with Moscow was never completely severed. Since the end of the
60s the same Deutsche Bank which financed Hitler's campaign for
Lebensraum in the East has been pushing ahead with
the new Eastern policy introduced by the government of Willy Brandt.
In his book Paths to Russia, Wilhelm Cristians, chairman
of the executive committee of Deutsche Bank until 1988, describes
how as a young Wehrmacht lieutenant he was wounded on the Eastern
front. Two decades later he was personally responsible for setting
up an office in Moscow for Germany's biggest bank and initiated
large-scale economic projects such as the delivery of pipes from
the Mannesmann concern for Soviet pipelines.
Immediately after German reunification in 1990 the government
made unmistakably clear that it looked upon Eastern Europe as
its own backyard for economic and political influence. The recognition
of Slovenia and Croatia in 1991 in the face of many warnings made
clear Germany's claim to leadership in this region. Since then
the German government has followed the intensified interventions
of the American government in this area with mixed feelings. Above
all, the German government is seeking to prevent or limit a confrontation
with Russia.
In the course of the war Defence Minister Rudolf Scharping
(SPD) resorted to theatrics to describe the unimaginable
cruelty of the Serbs, so as to boost the war propaganda.
Meanwhile in the Defence Ministry itself, intense discussions
took place over a period of months on how to rebuff the aggressiveness
of the Americans and prevent an escalation of the confrontation
with Russia.
A study by a German military political advisor is revealing
in this respect. Nearly a year before the NATO attack on Serbia,
August Pradetto, professor at the German Military Academy in Hamburg,
published a lengthy contribution on the theme Management
of Conflict through Military Intervention? The Dilemma of Western
Policy.
In the paper he criticises the Kosovo policy of NATO and warns
against a military intervention. Under the title Aspects
of the Political Power Struggle in the Kosovo Conflict between
Russia and the USA he emphasises that the intervention by
NATO in the Balkans has not simply humanitarian, political,
international legal and military aspects, but is based above
all on strategic, power-political considerations.
The issue at stake is the conflict over the competence
and extent of political decision-making, as well as the military
sway, of the Western Alliance. Following the collapse of the Warsaw
Pact and the Soviet Union diverse power resources in Europe and
beyond have been newly re-divided.
The various conflicts bound up with this turn of events are
patently visible. Together with the issue of the extension of
NATO towards the East, Pradetto expressly identifies influence
over the oil reserves in the region around the Caspian Sea, which
is at the moment under the immediate control of Moscow.
He shows that Russia's own fears are fully justified. NATO
has established intensive collaboration with Albania and Macedonia
and set up communication offices in both countries.
The Alliance also uses their military installations and carries
out joint manoeuvres in both countries. At the same time Russian
anxieties have grown that NATO, under the guise of restraining
the conflict in Kosovo, is increasing its influence in South East
Europe and thereby establishing new options and strategic positions
against Russia.
The intervention of NATO military forces in Kosovo, without
the sanction of the UN Security Council and founded on a mandate
which NATO awarded itself on the basis of its own definition of
an insecure situation requiring military measures, is regarded
as a precedent for possible future interventions in the immediate
vicinity of Russia, such as the Caucasus, using ethnic conflicts
and disputes between countries. This under conditions where a
vigorous struggle has emerged between Western and Russian oil
concerns and between the strategic interests of Washington and
Moscow over the exploitation of oil resources in the Caspian region.
As already noted, Pradetto wrote this article nearly a year
before the NATO air attacks began, providing an exposure, prior
to the fact, of the official war propaganda. Since then substantial
conflicts have taken place behind the scenes. While the US government
drove ahead with preparations for the war, a number of European
governments, including the Germans, were keen to find a diplomatic
solution.
Following the American success in forcing through its position,
the German government participated in the bombing of Serbia and
is now taking part in the occupation of Kosovo with its own troops.
Alongside loyalty to the alliance the conviction is
growing that the economic interests of a unified Germany can only
be advanced through the vigorous creation of its own military
force.
A new phase of German militarism has begun. Up until German
unification 10 years ago the task of the German army was exclusively
limited to the defence of its own territory. All political parties
agreed that the constitution excluded any intervention for aggressive
purposes and interventions outside NATO territory. With the end
of the Cold War a new strategic orientation has begun.
At the beginning of 1992 leading military officers and Defence
Ministry officials presented a strategy paper which completely
redefined the tasks of the German army. In future its task was
to consist of the following: The prevention, limitation,
and ending of any conflict which could hamper the unity and stability
of Germany, the promotion and securing of worldwide
political, economic, military and ecological stability and
the retention of free international trade and access to
strategic raw materials.
The significance of this change is made clear by another paper
from the German army. In September last year an information brochure
for officers was circulated with the title Oil Poker in
the CaucasusSecurity and Political Aspects of Oil and Gas
Reserves in the Caspian Sea.
Lieutenant Colonel Helmut Udo Napiontek, who served previously
in Georgia as a member of the Organisation for Security and Co-operation
in Europe (OSCE), reviews over 15 pages the conflicts bound up
with the exploitation of oil and gas in the region, as well as
problems arising from transport routes. He writes: For potential
oil and gas producers the geographical situation is problematic
enough: the Great Power China shares an eastern border with the
producer Kazakhstan. To the north of the Caspian basin is neighbouring
Russia, which controls all of the export routes at the moment.
To the south lies war-torn Afghanistan and the Islamic fundamentalist
Republic of Iran. To the west of the Caspian basin lie the Transcaucasusrent
by ethnic divisionsand Turkey, which is striving for hegemony
in the region. The situation is further complicated by the most
varied economic, religious and political situations.
There then follows a long list of existing and potential points
of conflict. In the meantime it is a fight of one against
all with regard to the question of the pipeline. Although
the author takes a generally benevolent position towards the US,
and on a number of occasions emphasises that the US is seeking
to prevent Russian domination of the area, critical tones are
also to be found: The timing' of Washington, as it
seeks to intensify its links in the region, indicates on the whole
that democratic and market economy reforms are little more than
a pretext. More important are the enormous oil and gas reserves.
With the exception of Georgia, the states in the region have predominantly
authoritarian governments and Washington is doing little to change
the situation, as long as the interests of the American oil concerns,
which have invested half of the capital in the region, are not
affected.
In order to make clear the extent of the conflicts of interest,
it is informative to look once more at the above-mentioned strategy
paper of the SPD parliamentary fraction: The Region of the
Futurethe Caspian Sea. An initial comment warns that
the paper is not designed for a broad public or for purposes of
propaganda: This publication by the SPD parliamentary fraction
is purely for informational use. It should not be employed in
election campaigns.
The introduction was written by the chairman of the SPD fraction
and current Defence Minister Rudolph Scharping. He emphasises:
The SPD parliamentary fraction pays a great deal of attention
to the developments in Central Asia and the Caspian Sea. In this
region of the future' a number of conflicts and problems
exist which can intensify because of the worldwide interest in
oil and gas reserves.
Then he draws attention to the fact that the SPD fraction had
raised these themes previously in the German parliament. In addition,
the SPD Frederich Ebert Institute has held international conferences
on the issue in Berlin and Washington.
The paper complains about the aggressive intervention of American
companies which have between 40 percent and 50 percent shares
of the most important concerns in Kazakstan and Azerbaijan.
The Federal Republic of Germany has no representation among the
100 most important oil companies, the paper notes regrettably.
It concentrates therefore on being oriented heavily towards
infrastructure contracts, especially in road creation, the building
of transportation systems and communal infrastructure, telecommunications,
radio and television, and the production and distribution of electricity,
but still the situation with regard to treaties has been
modest.
For example, German investors have gathered that transnational
corporations of the mineral oil sector often use their investments
for the creation of favourable conditions for other bidders coming
from their own home countries. The business done with raw energy
materials paves the way for further contracts in infrastructure.
German policy must in this case make great efforts to demand fair
trade conditions, and a balancing out of the present competitive
distortions.
As has often been the case in the history of colonialism, those
who come onto the scene late raise a warning finger and caution
about the social and ecological consequences arising from the
ruthless exploitation of raw materials. The SPD study emphasises
that the hasty deals made over the past few years has favoured
a completely one-sided appropriation of this wealth to families,
clans or oligarchies. As a result, the crisis in the region
has intensified. Such presently comfortable and profitable
agreements will prove in the future extremely costly, when the
price is the abetting through silence of those regional rulers
who would delay or even refuse to institute reforms.
The study warns of the danger of emerging power blocks, whereby
an American-led alliance confronts a Russian bloc. The current
development is proceeding in a disastrous direction.
Under the influence of powers from outside the region,
there are two camps emerging. These opposing groups, the line
of division of which runs straight through the middle of the Caspian
Sea, refer to themselves as strategic alliances'. The one
group aligns Azerbaijan and Georgia with foreign powers Turkey
and the United States. The other includes Iran, Armenia, the Russian
Federation, and (with reservations) Turkmenistan. The antagonism
between these alliances' reminds one of the ill-fated geopolitical
developments of the last century, which ended in a high death
toll for Europe.
A joint European policy must counteract this development and
support regional co-operation. In this respect two
things are important from the European standpoint: first, a strengthening
of the Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE).
Although the Russian federation maintains garrisons in the
entire region apart from Azerbaijan, a vacuum of power has
emerged since the end of the Soviet Union which has to be filled
by the OSCE. The OSCE has won trust and recognition in the region
with its missions in Tadzhikistan, Georgia, Chechnia and
Nagorno-Karabach.
Secondly, the Energy Charter Treaty (ECT), which came into
effect on April 16, 1998 and has been ratified by 32 statesincluding
all eight of the republics to the south of Russiamust become
the general basis for business. The ECT creates dependable
and equal conditions for investments in exploration, upstream
projects and pipeline network projects. It includes instruments
to guarantee the fulfilment of contracts, secures the free flow
of oil and gas, and offers an effective arbitration procedure
for disagreements. It can act as a bulwark against the threatened
politicisation of the exploitation and promotion of raw materials
and transport of energy sources in the region. In addition, it
can prepare the way for an economical and rational decision about
the variants in question.
There are a few hitches: up until now the US government has
refused to participate in ECT and regards the whole thing first
and foremost as an attempt to create obstacles for American concerns.
The war in Kosovo has reshuffled the cards in this new Great
Game. The role of the UN and OSCE has been minimised. The
aggressive approach of the United States against a sovereign state,
with the participation of the rest of the NATO countries, has
not only made clear the brutality with which the Great Powers
are prepared to secure their economic and political interests,
it also heralds new, even greater conflicts. The dishonest propaganda
of Foreign Minister Fischer and Defence Minister Scharping, who
are both thoroughly informed of the discussions taking place in
their respective ministries, is the incidental music to the re-emergence
of the German war machine, which carried out the greatest crimes
of the twentieth century.
See Also:
Europe's plan to control the Balkans
[22 June 1999]
After the Slaughter: Political Lessons
of the Balkan War
[14 June 1999]
Europe moves towards independent military
role
[5 June 1999]
Why is NATO at war with Yugoslavia?
World power, oil and gold
[24 May 1999]
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