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Between the IMF and Russian nationalism
Chernomyrdin, Gazprom and Moscow's role in the Kosovo war
By Ute Reissner
18 May 1999
NATO's war against Yugoslavia has intensified the political
crisis inside Russia, unleashing a wave of nationalism. Inside
ruling circles the understanding is dawning that it could be their
scalps that are taken next.
The NATO bombardment erupted in the midst of the deadlocked
credit negotiations between a Russian government delegation and
the International Monetary Fund. In the wake of the Russian finance
crisis of last August, which led to a dramatic collapse of the
rouble and the temporary unilateral suspension of interest repayments
to Western creditors, the IMF delegation pulled in the reins.
As a precondition for the issue of a new instalment of credit,
they demanded massive cuts in Russia's 1999 budget, the maintenance
of a high Value Added Tax as well as a series of measures to weaken
the position of the Russian banks.
It was not ominous feelings of Slavic fraternity for Serbia
that were awakened by the war, but the real fear that Russia could
be the next candidate to experience NATO military intervention.
Could the unqualified servitude of the Russian government towards
the international banks and corporations not mean that they are
digging their own grave? If they so weaken their own country,
does it not become easy prey for Western troops?
In fact, the reintroduction of capitalism into Russia took
the form of an unlimited plundering of the country by a handful
of upstarts, who, for the most part, emerged from the old Stalinist
apparatus and dispensed the country's resources abroad. On a state
level, the governments under President Yeltsin, together with
the IMF, committed the same sort of robbery. The result is the
almost unimaginable impoverishment of the population, with the
corresponding enrichment of a tiny minority. The entire state
apparatus and the economy is permeated with crime and corruption.
This is what lies behind the permanent crisis of the Russian
government. The central power has become increasingly weaker.
It is hardly able to collect taxes, pay its civil servants, ensure
the functioning of the army and the courts, or maintain a minimum
of economic rules. The situation in healthcare, education, scientific
research and culture is even worse. Yeltsin's own physical condition
embodies this decay. Under such conditions, how is a new capitalist
class to defend its interests abroad?
In February, Sergei Alekshanko, formerly the first deputy chairman
of the Central Bank, drew up a report concerning the political
situation. This expressed the fears of broad sections of the ruling
elite: Russia is degenerating, this is why Yeltsin must resign
and give way to a stronger man. Alekshanko compared Russia's situation
with that of China following the (failed) bourgeois revolution
of 1911. The land decayed into independent areas, which ground
each other down in fratricidal wars. The insignificance of the
rouble in the Russian economy is also seen as a danger. The dominance
of the dollar means there is virtually no unified internal market
to speak of.
The war is strengthening the fears of broad sections of the
apparatchiks, especially at the regional and local level, that
the loot will be shared out without them. Some ask whether it
would not be better to follow the model of contemporary China:
could the market economy not be organised in their interest more
effectively by means of a strong centralised state? This view,
which is fairly widespread among all the ruling circles, is expressed
most energetically by the Communist Party and the extreme right.
They loudly proclaim the need for law, order and nationalism.
The viewpoints held inside the Communist Party fall under this
general pattern. The leader of the Russian delegation at the recent
negotiations with the IMF was Deputy Prime Minister Yuri Maslyukov,
who is a member of the Presidium of the Communist Party. In the
former Soviet Union he was once the head of the supreme planning
authority. At the conclusion of the talks in Washington on April
30, Maslyukov explained his agreement with the conditions demanded
by the World Bank and IMF in the following way: We will
have to undertake another five amendments [to our finance policy].
We will shortly present them to the Duma.... What we are doing
here, we do only for Russia. All the talk about economic and political
concessions is nonsense. The vote in the Duma is to be taken
by July at the latest.
The new bourgeois class emerging in the form of a permanent
political crisis is being formed by the interplay of two opposing
tendenciessubservience towards the IMF and the striving
to establish itself as a strong national force. Viktor Chernomyrdin,
currently the de facto foreign minister and envoy in the Yugoslavian
conflict, plays the role of midwife in this historical miscarriage
born out of greed and chauvinism.
The gas industry tsar
Chernomyrdin is the representative of the biggest captains
of industry. His experience abroad and reputation as an influential
man in the oil and gas business, a field which is particularly
important to Western governments, favoured him for the role of
Russia's envoy in the present Balkan war.
Between 1992 and 1998 Chernomyrdin was prime minister of Russia.
He is preparing to stand as a candidate in next year's presidential
elections. Before this, in 1989, he became chairman of the newly
reorganised state gas concern Gazprom, having led the Ministry
for the Gas Industry since 1985. He worked his way up inside the
apparatus of the USSR. Born in 1938, he has held leading positions
inside the Soviet Communist Party since 1967, entirely within
the gas sector, with which he is supposedly genetically
bound.
Gazprom is the largest gas concern in the world. It produces
94 percent of Russian natural gas. Its vast resources and distribution
network play an important role in gas supply not just in the East,
but now also in the West. Gazprom finances up to a quarter of
the entire state budget and is the most important source of foreign
currency for Russia. Whoever has their hand on these reserves
possesses powerful means to be used against Western economic and
financial interests, if they know how to use it.
Although, as far as corruption and selfishness are concerned,
he matches his colleagues step for step, one must grant that Viktor
Stepanovitch Chernomyrdin does possess a certain understanding
of these economic and political facts. This can be attributed
to the longstanding relations between the Russian gas industry
and the West, which go back to the legendary gas pipeline deal
with Mannesmann and the German social democratic government in
the 1970s.
As newly elected prime minister in 1992, Chernomyrdin ensured
that the Russian oil and gas industry was excluded from the privatisation
programme. In the autumn of 1993 he played a leading role in the
formation of the so-called Gore-Chernomyrdin Commission,
a joint committee on energy policy between the US and Russian
energy ministries. The Gore-Chernomyrdin Commission has drawn
up numerous joint declarations, agreements and memoranda on the
collaboration of the Russian government and large corporations
with American business. These concerned both the exploitation
of Russian gas and oil reserves, and Russian nuclear policy.
Russo-German relations
From the start, Chernomyrdin enjoyed close relations with the
German government. Just hours after taking office as prime minister
he received a visit from then Chancellor Helmut Kohl. The rapid
withdrawal of CIS troops from the former East Germany, and German
assistance in the building of new accommodation for the soldiers
in Russia; increased gas supply to the West; and the provision
of additional credits, were all agreed between the two.
Chernomyrdin combined the business-minded marketing of Russian
energy reserves with a political line that always stressed Russian
national interests. This formed the core of the programme of Our
Home is Russia, the party which he founded in 1995.
He pursued a hard line against Japan in the dispute over ownership
of the Kuril Islands. The brutal suppression of Chechnya occurred
during Chernomyrdin's period in office. In December 1994 the Chechen
capital Grozny was subjected to attack by tanks, artillery and
from the air, reducing it to rubble at great loss of civilian
life.
Like every good businessman, Chernomyrdin always has his own
interests firmly in view whenever he speaks about the good of
the country. This can be illustrated by a brief look at the development
of Gazprom.
The German Ruhrgas AG company recently increased its share
in Gazprom to 4 percent, taking up an option to join the supervisory
board if it then further increases its shareholding. This alliance
was regarded as making strategic provisions for the supply of
gas to Germany, where one-third of all gas consumed originates
in Russia. Ruhrgas also gets a foot in the door in the gigantic
east Asian market being opened up by Gazprom.
Close economic collaboration exists also with Wintershall,
a BASF affiliate. At the beginning of April, a further co-operation
agreement was signed between BASF and Gazprom, which forms the
single biggest business contract between the two countries. Several
billion deutsche marks will flow into opening up the oil fields
of Western Siberia.
Old pipelines into East Germany are being extended into the
West, and will be of considerable significance for German energy
provisions. In the near future, they will be extended as far as
the Benelux countries, France, and even Portugal. Supply contracts
have been continued to 2020, and their scope has been increased.
Concrete joint plans exist with Ruhrgas and BASF to exploit the
Asian market and for collaboration with Iran. Persistent rumours
abound that the Italian state energy undertaking ENI is also participating
in Gazprom. It is known for certain that ENI and Gazprom plan
to lay a gas pipeline costing $2 billion from Russia to Turkey,
across the bed of the Black Sea.
Chernomyrdin's old friend, the present chairman of Gazprom,
Rem Vyachirev, relies on these good relations with German companies
to counter the constant calls from the IMF for Gazprom to be broken
up. According to press reports, the issue of Gazprom is found
on almost every agenda at IMF negotiations with Russia. The IMF
is demanding that the massive state enterprise be broken up along
regional lines, and that the 140,000-kilometre network of its
pipelines be split off from the oil production side of the business.
The IMF justifies this course by pointing to the outstanding
tax debts that Gazprom owes to the Russian state, currently running
in the billions of dollars. They claim this is undermining state
finances and endangering Russia's own debt repayments. Gazprom
management, on the other hand, say that the state is not paying
its gas bills and thus cannot demand any taxes from them. These
debts to Gazprom are even higher than what the company owes in
taxes.
Vyachirev has received staunch support from BASF and Ruhrgas
in this dispute, which have no interest in the dismemberment of
their influential business partner. The chairman of Wintershall,
Herbert Detharding, spoke about this last July in an interview
with Die Welt newspaper. Asked what consequences the break-up
of Gazprom would have for German energy supplies, Detharding replied:
Such a break-up is unthinkable, simply on technical grounds.
Production that is bound to a pipeline cannot be dismembered....
Naturally, there are forces who talk of such a course, because
they would like to get their own sticky fingers into the wealth
of this large concern.
This short excursion into the world of the gas business may
help to throw some light onto Chernomyrdin's role as the Russian
representative in the present tug-of-war over Kosovo. It concerns
the role of the rising Russian bourgeoisie within the future world
order. Their state power lies on the ground, their economy is
largely in tatters, but they refuse to let their final trump cards
be torn from their hands. Chernomyrdin does not want to be a victim
of the new imperialist division of the world; he wants to be a
junior partner in it.
See Also:
The state attorney general and the fate
of the Russian president
[5 May 1999]
Russia
and Eastern Europe
[WSWS Full Coverage]
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