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The dead end of Chavez's "revolution"
Coup warnings grow in Venezuela
By Bill Vann
10 September 1999
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The protracted constitutional crisis unleashed by the election
of former military officer and coup leader Hugo Chavez in Venezuela
has increased the danger that the Venezuelan military may be preparing
to seize power in an attempt to squelch potential social unrest.
The threat of military intervention looms nearer following the
eruption of street battles outside the Venezuelan Congress August
27 between supporters of Chavez and the newly elected Constituent
Assembly and backers of Venezuela's traditional ruling parties
which still control the legislative body.
Militarized units of the National Guard joined with police
in breaking up the warring mobs outside the parliament, while
the country's Catholic Church hierarchy worked to broker a compromise
between the Chavez regime and Venezuela's old ruling parties.
Chavez, a former paratrooper who rose to the rank of lieutenant
colonel, staged an abortive coup attempt in 1992 against the government
of Carlos Andres Perez and was jailed for his efforts. Six years
later, he was elected president as head of the Patriotic Pole,
an electoral front comprised of his own Fifth Republic Movement
and various parties of the petty-bourgeois nationalist left.
The meteoric rise of "Comandante" Chavez is a measure
of the putrefaction of the bourgeois forms of rule in Venezuela.
The two parties that have monopolized political power for more
than 40 years, regularly taking their turns in the presidential
palaceDemocratic Action (affiliated with the Social Democratic
international) and COPEI (Christian Democratic)are completely
discredited political instruments of Venezuela's corrupt ruling
elite.
One of the richest countries in Latin America by virtue of
its immense petroleum reserves, Venezuela nonetheless has 80 percent
of its population in poverty. Thirty percent are unemployed and
50 percent of those classified as economically active make their
living off the so-called informal sector, working as street vendors,
collecting scrap or doing odd jobs. The middle class has seen
70 percent of its buying power wiped out over the last 20 years,
while the national debt, the fourth largest in Latin America,
consumes fully 40 percent of the national budget. The entire political
and economic life of a country of 23 million people has been subordinated
for decades to the maintenance of the living standards of a tiny
elite and meeting the interest payments on foreign debt controlled
by Wall Street banks.
The repudiation of the parties identified with this oppressive
setup found expression in Chavez's 56 percent majority in the
February presidential race and even more overwhelmingly in the
election of the Constituent Assembly, in which parties backing
the new government took 92 percent of the vote, gaining 120 of
its 131 seats. In the Congress, whose members were elected before
Chavez's rise to power, parties supporting the new president hold
only 33 percent of the seats.
While Chavez's populist demagogy and denunciations of the ruling
elite have won him popular support, his policies are well within
the guidelines set by the International Monetary Fund and Wall
Street. Despite predictions of massive spending, salary increases
and exchange controls, the new government has reduced public spending
by 20 percent compared to last year. Public sector wages have
been frozen, while a new natural gas investment law provides some
of the most favorable conditions for foreign capital enacted anywhere
in the hemisphere. The government has also floated proposals for
the privatization of the aluminum and power sectors.
Chavez has used the Constituent Assembly to declare a "state
of emergency" and to begin a project of uprooting the old
political institutions of the Venezuelan state. The ostensible
mission of the assembly was to draft a new constitution to replace
the one adopted in 1961, in the wake of the 10-year US-backed
military dictatorship of General Marcos Perez Jimenez. Soon after
its formation, however, the assembly began to constitute itself
as a battering ram against the existing legislative and judicial
branches of the government as well as Venezuela's national trade
union federation, the CTV, or Confederation of Venezuelan Workers.
The street brawl between Chavez supporters and backers of the
traditional ruling party was provoked by a move on the part of
the Constituent Assembly to close down the legislature and assume
all of its powers. While the action prompted the president of
the Chamber of Deputies, Henrique Capriles, to warn that Venezuela
is "on the path to civil war," the confrontation was
notable for its lack of any mass mobilization. Groups of a few
hundred leftist backers of Chavez traded insults and punches with
a similar number of political hacks from COPEI and Accion Democratica,
prompting about 200 guardsmen to break up the confrontation with
tear gas.
A political compromise negotiated by the Catholic Church and
announced on September 9 provides for a brief period of political
"cohabitation" between the Congress and the Constituent
Assembly. The truce provides for Congress to continue its functions
until mid-December, when the new constitution would be put to
a national referendum and new elections would be called for the
legislative body.
While emergency decrees remain in effect, the Chavez regime
appears to have taken a more cautious approach to its intervention
into the legislative and judicial branches of the government,
to a large degree because of fears of opposition within the military
command.
According to the Spanish newspaper El Pais, Chavez appealed
directly to the general staff last March to support his reorganization
of the state structure and his dissolution of the Congress. He
failed to win the support of the commanders. The military appears
as divided today as it was when the ex-lieutenant colonel attempted
his coup seven years ago. A group of younger officers, mostly
captains and majors, who backed the coup, continue to support
the new president. But other commanders, who opposed Chavez in
1992, suppressing his uprising, remain cool toward the new government.
Many of those who stood with then President Andres Perez in 1992
naturally won promotions and rose to the top positions within
the military command. The concern among this senior layer is not
only over Chavez's populist rhetoric, but more concretely that
he will begin interfering with the military's system of promotions
and rewards, elevating his own supporters at the expense of those
who previously stood against him.
Even among Chavez's comrades-in-arms from the 1992 coup there
are serious fissures. Many view with distaste the new president's
alliance with Venezuela's petty-bourgeois left, including ex-guerrillas-turned-politicians,
such as the leaders of the MAS, or Movement toward Socialism,
whose secretary general, Leopoldo Puchi, served as Minister of
Labor in the first months of the Chavez government.
Not unconscious of the disquiet within the officer corps, the
leaders of the traditional parties made a direct call upon the
armed forces to "defend the constitution" against the
Chavez government. Cesar Perez Rivas, chief of the COPEI parliamentary
faction, issued the statement in conjunction with Accion Democratica
and the conservative Venezuelan Project party, protesting the
intervention into the Congress by the Constituent Assembly.
Together with the opposition of the military, there are the
statements from Washington expressing "growing concern"
about the constitutional crisis in a country which is a leading
supplier of petroleum to the United States. International capital
has also expressed its reservations with a 40 percent decline
in direct investments over the past year.
Meanwhile, the Chavez regime has also backed down somewhat
from its initial vows to abolish the CTV, which comprises some
4,000 unions and more than 2 million members. Instead, the new
government has halted the subsidies that the government has granted
the union bureaucracy for the past four decades and is initiating
an audit of the CTV's $24 million annual budget. As the CTV is
known for its corruption, the inflated salaries of its leaders
and its suppression of strikes, there is little danger that these
actions will provoke resistance from the Venezuelan workers. Meanwhile,
leaders of some of the left-nationalist parties have identified
themselves with the government's "labor reform," seeing
it as a vehicle for supplanting the old bureaucracy linked to
Accion Democratica.
Many left-wing nationalists in Venezuela, and in Latin America
generally, have hailed the ascendancy of Chavez as a revolutionary
development. Eager leftist journalists from Buenos Aires, Mexico
City and elsewhere have breathlessly reported their pilgrimages
to Miraflores, the presidential palace in Caracas, for personal
interviews with the paratrooper president.
These people represent a sociopolitical layer which is incapable
of either forgetting or learning anything. The same tendencies
hailed the "anti-imperialist" credentials of the likes
of Gen. J.J. Torres in Bolivia, the "humanist revolution"
of Velasco Alvarado in Peru, Panamanian General Omar Torrijos's
"revolution for the dispossessed" and the "revolutionary
nationalist" orientation of General Rodriguez Lara in Ecuador.
Like Chavez, many of these military rulers adopted radical reformist
rhetoric and evinced a friendly attitude toward Cuba.
In each case, however, these figures merely paved the way for
more reactionary regimes, often military dictatorships, which
quickly took away whatever meager reforms had been implemented
and waged a merciless assault on the political rights and social
conditions of the working masses of these countries. The support
of petty-bourgeois leftists for the "revolutionary"
officers served only to disorient the working class and leave
it politically disarmed as the general staffs in these countries
dispensed with nationalist-reformist pretenses and turned sharply
to the right.
Indeed, Venezuela's own history provides the clearest example
of this often-repeated political trajectory. In 1945 a group of
young officers tied to Accion Democratica seized power, forming
a civilian-military junta which sought to revise the constitution
and initiated various reforms. Seeing their interests threatened,
other sections of the military, backed by Washington, the petroleum
companies and the right-wing opposition parties, launched their
own coup, installing the police state regime of Perez Jimenez,
which ruled the country for 10 years.
Chavez has attempted to draw a sharp distinction between his
actions and those carried out by the Venezuelan officers in the
mid-1940s. But the developments over the past few weeks reveal
a growing threat of just such an outcome so long as the fighting
capacity of the Venezuelan working class remains subordinated
to the political maneuvers of the Chavez regime.
See Also:
Hugo Chavez's
election
Venezuelan and foreign capital size up former coup leader
[17 December 1998]
South
America
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