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WSWS : News
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The coup in Ecuador: a grim warning
By Gerardo Nebbia and Bill Vann
2 February 2000
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The brief seizure of power by a group of army officers in Ecuador
on January 21 marked the first time since 1976 that the South
American continent has seen a civilian government overthrown by
a military junta. Not since General Jorge Videla carried out a
coup that led to the death and disappearance of tens of thousands
of Argentine workers, students and intellectuals has the South
American military entered so directly onto the political stage.
While the military government held sway only long enough to
topple Ecuador's unpopular president, Jamil Mahuad, and install
his vice-president, Gustavo Noboa, the event has shaken the entire
continent. Nearly two decades after Latin America's so-called
democratic transition, the specter of military dictatorship is
once again stalking the region.
With Ecuador, the chain of civilianized Latin American regimes
has broken at its weakest link. The country is plagued by the
continent's most intense economic crisis.
Last year the Ecuadorian inflation rate soured to 60 percent;
production fell by nearly one-third and unemployment broke the
17 percent mark. In a country where per capita annual income is
a mere $1,600, workers' buying power has been dramatically slashed,
while the government has frozen bank accounts in an attempt to
stem a wave of banking collapses. Out of a population of 12.4
million, 8 million Ecuadorians are classified as poor.
Mahuad's proposal to dollarize the economy, scrapping the sucre,
the national currency, in favor of US greenbacks, sparked widespread
opposition and mass protests that ended in the military overthrow.
Nonetheless, the events in Ecuador can hardly be ascribed to the
peculiar characteristics of that nationality. Venezuela has seen
the election of Hugo Chavez, the former paratrooper who led an
abortive coup attempt in 1992 and has brought a layer of military
officers into key positions in his own government. Some of those
involved in the coup in Ecuador cited the Chavez regime as their
inspiration.
In Peru, President Alberto Fujimori has presided over the effective
militarization of the country, while amending the constitution
to concentrate power in a Bonapartist presidency. And in Colombia,
civil war intensifies, with growing US military involvement.
While relative calm has reigned in the streets of the capital,
Quito, since Noboa's installation in the presidency, recriminations
have continued over the motives and machinations that led to Mahuad's
overthrow. The coup took place in the context of a nationwide
protest that saw 10,000 Indians, organized by the National Federation
of Ecuadorian Indians (CONAIE), enter Quito from the surrounding
highlands. At the same time oil workers and the United Workers
Front, FUT, Ecuador's main labor federation, called for a national
strike for January 24, demanding that Mahuad, Congress and the
Supreme Court resign.
On the morning of January 21, thousands of Indians surrounded
the Congress building. To the sounds of the national anthem, they
were escorted in by the military. Fifteen minutes later, an Indian
flag had replaced the Ecuadorian flag and the takeover was complete.
A three-man junta of "national salvation" was formed,
consisting of Antonio Vargas, the head of CONAIE, Army Colonel
Lucio Gutierrez and Carlos Solorzano, a retired leader of the
Ecuadorian Supreme Court. Heavily armed troops also occupied the
presidential palace and the Supreme Court building.
By late that evening, armed forces chief General Carlos Mendoza
had taken Gutierrez' place in the junta, stating at one point
that the joint command was in complete control of every section
of the armed forces. Within hours Mendoza dissolved the junta
and declared that Noboa would take the reins of government. CONAIE
quickly called off the protests and the Indians began streaming
out of Quito.
In an interview last week, Mahuad charged that the Indian protests,
which led elements of the so-called left in Ecuador and throughout
Latin America to speak of the coup in terms of a popular uprising,
had been manipulated by the military from the start. Elements
of the military command, meanwhile, claimed that it was Mahuad
who had been plotting an "auto-golpe" or self-coup,
with the aim of assuming dictatorial powers. Reports surfacing
over the past week indicate that both charges may be true.
El Comercio, one of Quito's dailies, reported that a
month before the coup 60 army captains and 120 lieutenants, upset
by cuts in the military budget, met at the Army Polytechnic School
in Quito to discuss the political crisis confronting the Mahuad
government. Within two weeks, they met again and obtained the
support of several colonels. One of them, Lucio Gutierrez, drafted
a letter from the group to the joint chiefs of staff, proposing
Mahuad's removal. Gutierrez had already been in touch with CONAIE,
and gave the army's tacit support for the Indian march on Quito.
Around that time, US Undersecretary of State for Latin American
Affairs Peter Romero met in Quito with President Mahuad. Some
observers think that Romero came to warn Mahuad against the coup,
and to suggest that armed forces chief Jose Gallardo be removed.
In the wake of the visit, Mahuad replaced Gallardo with General
Mendoza and introduced the dollarization plan.
Both decisions sounded the alarm to the colonels, who, together
with the CONAIE leadership, began preparing the overthrow in Quito.
From the military's perspective, CONAIE's protest march on Quito
was needed as a cover for the coup, allowing the officers to present
their junta as an outgrowth of a mass popular struggle.
Mahuad insists that the coup was rooted in the military's resentments
over cuts in arms spending, a refusal to provide officers with
a larger salary hike than civilian state employees, and a 1998
peace treaty signed with Peru. The military itself was divided
over the coup attempt. Sections of officers feared that if the
colonels and lower-ranking officers succeeded in taking powers
into their own hands it would disrupt the existing chain of command
and threaten the system of rewards and privileges within the Ecuadorian
armed forces.
Considerable interests were at stake. Army-dominated industries,
ranging from TAME airlines to oil and agricultural enterprises,
play a significant role in the Ecuadorian economy. The military's
Industrial Directorate holding company is a part owner in a new
Marriott Hotel that opened recently in Quito. It is an open secret
that the military skims up to 15 percent of the revenues from
the country's oil exports.
Another consideration in the swift handover of power to Noboa
were threats from Washington that the consolidation of a military
regime would be met with political isolation and an economic embargo.
Romero reportedly phoned General Mendoza and told him that Quito
would be given the same treatment as Havana if the junta stayed
in power.
General Mendoza, who resigned after the abortive coup, charged
that Mahuad had worked out plans with some of his ministers to
suspend constitutional rights and assume dictatorial powers, along
the lines of Peru's Fujimori. The plan was reportedly presented
to the armed forces chiefs as well as the senior commanders of
the Ecuadorian police. For his part, the ex-president has acknowledged
that such proposals were made but claims that he was too much
of a "democrat" to go along with them.
Since assuming the presidency, Noboa has vowed to press ahead
with the unpopular economic policies of Mahuad, while vowing to
maintain order. While claiming the support of the armed forces,
he denies that his government is controlled by the military.
Yet the officer who replaced General Mendoza as armed forces
chief, General Telmo Sandoval, has been widely identified as one
of the chief coup plotters. Further, several hundred officers
who participated in the overthrow will face no trial and have
been restored to their military posts.
All the conditions that gave rise to the events of January
21 remain unchanged. The international banks and financial institutions
continue to demand even sharper austerity measures from the Ecuadorian
government, while existing conditions of joblessness and poverty
will inevitably give rise to continued mass protests.
What both the abortive coup attempt and the reports of dictatorial
plans within the Mahuad government reveal is that the traditional
structures of civilian, parliamentary rule have become so weakened
and corrupted that they are incapable of containing the immense
social conflicts generated by the economic crisis.
In addition to workers' strikes and Indian protests, there
is a threat that the country could split apart along regional
lines. On the weekend of the coup attempt, the coastal province
of Guayas, the economic and commercial center of Ecuador, held
a referendum in which 85 percent of the voters approved a proposal
for "economic autonomy," meaning that the provincial
government should withhold tax payments from the central government
in Quito.
The courts are going ahead with the prosecution of some of
the left-nationalist elements who threw their support behind the
coup. Two leaders of the MPD (Democratic Popular Movement), a
Maoist party which is represented in the parliament, are facing
trial on charges of leading the Indian demonstrators into the
Congress. A leader of the court workers' union, meanwhile, will
be prosecuted for taking control of the Supreme Court building.
These trials point to the politically criminal role played
by the so-called left leaderships that dominate the workers' movement
in Ecuador. The Maoists hailed the mass demonstrations of Indians,
suggesting that their greatest achievement was "sensitizing"
the armed forces to the plight of the people. They reserved their
main fire for the "Yankee embassy" for plotting to bring
down the "civic-military junta."
The Patriotic Front (PF), a parliamentary bloc that includes
members of the former Ecuadorian Communist Party, made similar
appeals for "progressive" sections of the military to
join in the formation of a new government of national unity.
Political tendencies which in an earlier period extolled the
virtues of guerrilla warfare today promote as instruments of liberation
the very institutions that liquidated guerrilla movements like
Alfaro Vive in Ecuador. These Stalinist and petty-bourgeois nationalist
layers are incapable of learning anything from the previous political
disasters in which their own policies played a critical role.
In the 1960s the Ecuadorian Communist Party hailed the military
junta that came to power with the backing of the CIA. After their
own leaders fell to the repression unleashed by this regime, they
secured their release in exchange for an appeal to the working
class to drop their resistance to the dictatorship.
Again in the 1970s, when General Rodriguez Lara took power,
also with CIA support, the Stalinist party proclaimed it a progressive
regime and secured a role as unofficial adviser with an office
in the presidential palace. The Rodriguez Lara regime paved the
way to a military triumvirate, which unleashed intense political
repression and carried out massacres of striking workers.
And, in the 1980s, when General Frank Vargas, the former armed
forces chief, launched a military uprising, the Stalinists, together
with the leaders of the former guerrilla movement that he repressed,
backed his action, portraying it as a vehicle for national liberation.
Given the nature of these leaderships, and the unbroken chain
of betrayals that they have carried out, it is hardly surprising
that there is widespread confusion within the Ecuadorian working
class over the military's role. Hatred of the existing order,
combined with the profound crisis of perspective within the working
class itself, produced substantial sympathy for the January 21
coup attempt.
The events of January 21 constitute a grave warning to the
workers and oppressed of Ecuador and throughout Latin America.
While the media speaks of the Ecuadorian army having gone back
to its barracks, the coup attempt has served as a strategic probe
from which the military and the ruling class are drawing their
conclusions. As in Chile in 1973, the abortive coup may well prove
only a rehearsal for the real thing.
Washington officially opposed the seizure of power by the military.
It fears that a return to the era of dictatorship will destabilize
the entire continent and risk the igniting of revolutionary struggles
by the Latin American working class. Nonetheless, the imposition
of relentless "structural adjustment" programs and austerity
plans are creating intolerable social conditions throughout the
region.
The policies promoted by Wall Street, the International Monetary
Fund and the US government render inviable the hollow democratic
forms that Washington insists must be maintained. In the end,
the US-trained military in Ecuador and elsewhere on the continent
remains the principal instrument for defending the interests of
American capitalism in the hemisphere.
These interests are considerable, indeed decisive for the interests
of the US-based banks and multinationals. The region absorbs 18
percent of US exports and accounts for about 21 percent of US
companies' overseas investments. An economic collapse or revolutionary
upheaval in the region would quickly rebound on the US economy.
Given such a threat, Washington's distaste for military regimes
could quickly evaporate, with the CIA and the Pentagon once again
sponsoring coups and dictatorships.
The workers of Ecuador will soon be disabused of whatever illusions
they retain in the democratic sentiments of that country's military.
The January 21 events, with their manipulation of the Indian protests
as a cover for a reorganization of the capitalist regime, has
already begun this process. The repression which is now being
prepared will further it.
Workers must learn the bitter lessons of the defeats of the
1970s, when reformist, Stalinist and nationalist leaderships tied
the working class to the corrupt parties and governments of the
national bourgeoisie, while the military and its US "advisors"
prepared bloody coups and mass repression.
A successful struggle against a renewed threat of dictatorship
in Ecuador and across the continent requires the mobilization
of the working class based on its own, independent political program
for the socialist transformation of society and the liberation
of the Indian and peasant masses from the conditions of misery
imposed by imperialism and the national bourgeoisie.
See Also:
Economic crisis forces Ecuador to
abandon its own currency
[13 January 2000]
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