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The privatisation of the London Underground
Mayor Livingstone offers Labour government a lifeline
By Tony Robson
10 January 2001
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The Labour government's Public-Private Partnership (PPP) for
the London Underground or Tube is becoming a major
political liability. A decade of discontent over the privatised
British Rail (BR) network has fuelled widespread opposition to
opening up the last major publicly owned transport provider to
the private sector. Many correctly regard the recent spate of
rail crashes and derailments as the result of safety being compromised
for the sake of profit.
The Blair government's plans for the London Underground (LU)
mean the network will be broken up into three segments and awarded
to bidders from the private sector, who will be in charge of the
infrastructure under contracts lasting up to thirty years. LU
will pay an Infrastructure Service Charge to these consortia,
while the operation of trains and station staff will remain within
the public sector.
Nothing the government has been able to do has convinced public
opinion that this will not reproduce the worst aspects of the
BR privatisation. It still entails divorcing the running of the
trains from the maintenance of the track.
The majority of Londoners have rejected PPP the only time they
were given an opportunity to vote on the issue. This was in last
year's elections for new post of London Mayor and the establishment
of the Greater London Authority (GLA). Under the limited powers
devolved to this new tier of local government, the Mayor acquires
responsibility for LU later this year. In a highly publicised
spat, Ken Livingstone was first deselected as Labour's official
candidate for Mayor and then expelled from the partyat least
partly due to his opposition to the particular form of PPP envisaged
by the government. Livingstone won the election standing as an
independent in a protest vote that saw the official Labour candidate
trail in third behind the Tories.
Livingstone's alternative proposals, however, are aimed at
providing a new means of privatising public infrastructure that
is attractive to the financial institutionshis key constituency
in London. As a result, all the main commentators, including the
National Audit Office, the government's own public finance watchdog,
are against PPP and are backing Livingstone.
The future of London Underground and how it is to be run is
an issue of fundamental social importance. Reliable and affordable
public transport determines accessibility to both employment and
housing. It is also central to reducing the detrimental effect
of high car usage in the capital, which has led to unprecedented
numbers of children suffering from asthma.
Funding for the Tube
Today, London Underground, unlike other urban transport systems
in Europe and the US, is far less dependent on central government
subsidies and local taxationvery much a legacy of Thatcherism.
Until the abolition of the Greater London Council (GLC) in 1986,
a significant part of the LU grant was funded out of the local
rates (taxes) paid by all London households. The Tory government
removed this funding mechanism as part of its drive to rein in
public spending.
Ever since then the Underground has had only two sources of
revenuecentral government grants and passenger fares. Successive
governments, including the present Labour administration, have
reduced central contributions. Over an extended period, not only
must the day-to-day operating costs of the service be met from
passenger revenues, but also an increasing outlay for infrastructure
expenditure. Official statistics reveal that the central government
grant for infrastructure renewals declined from £398m in
1994/5 to£160m in 1998/9.
This has resulted in fare increases double the rate of inflation
over the last decade. The £1.50 fare for a single journey
within London's central zone compares unfavourably with a £1
charge in New York, or the 50 pence paid in Paris for journeys
of any length. It is the most expensive system to ride in the
whole of Europe.
A major burden has also fallen on the backs of the workforce.
Employment has been cut by a quarterfrom 21,598 in 1985
to 16,000 by 1999.
Neither Labour's plan for LU, nor Livingstone's alternative
proposal tackles the issue of expanding and improving the existing
network. This is vital if overcrowding is to be reduced. In summer
the temperature on board some trains exceeds the limit for the
transportation of live animals to the market. Livingstone has
even stated that fares cannot be reduced because LU could not
deal with increased passenger usage, which such a measure might
precipitate.
The government claims that PPP will ensure overall public accountability
whilst harnessing the benefits of the private sector to deliver
technological improvements. This is a lie. Following the electoral
setback it suffered in May's Mayoral election, Labour has sought
to avoid any form of accountability to Londoners for the future
of the Tube. The bidding process for running the infrastructure
is due to be completed before the Mayor assumes control of LU,
which will then be locked-in to thirty-year contracts with the
three consortia .
For an initial eight-year period the cost of the contract will
be set at a fixed rate, thereafter it can be renegotiated. To
ensure the consortia make a profit, the government has set performance
targets five percent below the current criteria. Over the life
span of the PPP scheme, serious questions arise over how London
Underground's costs will be met without further fare increases
or government subsidy to the private sector operators.
Government forecasts are based upon predictions for the future
operation of the Tube that are groundless. The government projects
that PPP will make possible £7.5bn to £15bn of new
investment, but there is no indication of where this investment
will come from, outside of a prediction that fare revenues will
rise due to increased passenger usage over the next 15 years by
40 percent. But how can such an increased number of passengers
be accommodated without an immediate investment programme? Overcrowding
is already causing major delays due to inadequate rolling stock.
It has also significantly contributed to the rise in reported
accidents, as standing passengers are particularly vulnerable
when trains break or accelerate quickly, leading to a doubling
of injuries in the last six years.
The government's main financial advisors estimate that private
operators can deliver major savings, despite lacking experience
in running an underground rail network. This raises concerns over
the vulnerability of the terms and conditions of 6.000 workers
who will be transferred from the public to private sector under
PPP.
Safety Issues
The break-up of a hitherto integrated transport network raises
serious safety concerns. With a system spanning 400 kilometres
of track, 275 stations and 12 different lines, there is also the
complex issue of who will be responsible for shared lines or interchange
stations. The system envisaged under PPP is so unwieldy that the
legal documents dealing with this are said to fill 14 filling
cabinets, giving an indication as to how problematic it would
be to decide who was responsible for poor maintenance or in cases
of criminal negligence. Last August the Guardian newspaper
received a leaked memorandum addressed to LU from the principal
Rail Safety Inspector, Steve Hart. Regarding safety standards
Hart commented, There is evidence that these criteria are
not being met consistently.
Even the bidding process for PPP is compromised. One of the
members of the panel determining to whom the contracts will be
awarded has links with two of the bidders: Malcolm Bates was formerly
a non-executive member of BICC, a holding company for consortium
member Balfour Beatty. Bates was also a deputy managing director
at GEC, the former parent company of Alstom, another contender.
During an earlier period of outsourcing on LU, the company was
responsible for the provision of rolling stock on the Northern
Line and later for the Jubilee Line Extension. The former involved
the delivery of 100 trains valued at £3 million each that
were found to be prone to breakdown, while the latter had technical
faults with their onboard computers.
With the government's Tube privatisation plans in shambles,
even its most loyal supporters in the media have urged it to drop
them. Writing in the Guardian, columnist Polly Toynbee
argued, When London voted against PPP, rightly or wrongly
Labour lost the argument. After Hatfield and the Railtrack meltdown,
it was in ruins as a recent Mori poll shows. Even if PPP is the
best technical solution, politically it is a dead duck. Carrying
on as if nothing has changed is unthinkable madness.
Livingstone has made it crystal clear that he has no intention
of opposing Labour's core agenda. His proposal to introduce a
bond scheme for financing the London Underground is merely a variant
of the government's PPP initiative. His main preoccupation has
been to win the endorsement of the big business.
In order to drum up support from this quarter he appointed
Robert Kiley as his Commissioner for Transport. Kiley, a former
CIA operative, oversaw the implementation of a bond scheme on
the New York subway between 1983 and 1990. For accepting the post
under Livingstone, he receives a £500,000 per annum salary
over a period of four yearsmaking him the highest paid public
servant in the UK. He has also been offered luxurious accommodation
in a £2 million Georgian house in Belgravia, courtesy of
the Greater London Authority.
Kiley has been universally acclaimed in the media as one of
the world's leading transport experts, a tough-guy
who almost single-handedly rescued New York's run down subway
system. A brief résumé of his time at the Metropolitan
Transport Authority (MTA) gives some idea of why he has won admirers
amongst the financial establishment. In the mid-eighties he introduced
a contract for new employees that only paid 70 percent of union
rates (instead of 75 percent previously) during their probation
period, which was also extended from 30 to 36 months. Other accomplishments
included reducing workers' payments for unsocial hours, a more
punitive disciplinary procedure, with the right to appeal curtailed,
and the removal of restraints on productivity increases. Under
his management accidents rose and so did fatalities.
After preliminary discussions with his financial advisers,
the new Commissioner for Transport has unveiled his proposals
to finance the London Underground. While it would remain as a
unified structure, large amounts of workan estimated 90-95
percent of the capital programmewould be outsourced to the
private sector.
Kiley's plan aims to raise finance through a system known as
securitisation.
This involves issuing bonds secured against the future revenues
of LU. Whilst this is relatively unknown in the UK, it is widely
practised in the US. It means that financiers have first claim
on future income, without actual ownership of the assets of the
company. Should income fall below the level needed to service
the bond (e.g. passenger numbers decline hitting fares, or government
withdraws or reduces its grant), then the GLA's executive arm,
Transport for London will have to make good the shortfall and
money would have to be diverted from other parts of the GLA budget
which could be to the detriment of social services. Thus the bondholders,
without having the burden of managing the business, will reap
all the benefits and will be in a position to dictate public policy.
Future revenues generated by passenger usage, even on the basis
of the most optimistic forecast, are not enough to offer the necessary
returns. Therefore Kiley has promised to use the continued government
subsidy, estimated to be £250 million per annum, and any
revenue raised through the future implementation of a congestion
tax on motorists to meet these requirements.
With disingenuous candour, Livingstone summed up these proposals
as son of PPP. Since this is a new form of finance
that is not widely used in the UK, Livingstone is setting a precedent
for a form of private ownership of public assets and paving the
way for it to be used elsewherein housing, social security,
health and education. The proposals are particularly aimed at
the City of London and its institutions, where one in ten Londoners
work and who constitute a major constituency for Livingstone.
His plan would not only shore up London's financial institutions,
but also help develop expertise regarding securitisation that
can later be used across Europe.
The proposals have therefore met with widespread approval from
the representatives of big business. Stephen O'Brien, chief executive
of the business lobby group London First, stated, We welcome
his emphasis on contracting out much of the work to the private
sector. Andrew Hawkins, campaigns director of the London
Chamber of Commerce, said It would be extraordinary if
the government did not take his point of view seriously in the
light of this report. The ball has been hit quite adeptly into
the government's court. The Financial Times commented,
Mr Kiley's plans offer the Prime Minister a reasonably
graceful exit. He should take it.
A shift in the government's stance has taken place in recent
weeks. Deputy Prime Minister John Prescott, who is also in charge
of the Transport Ministry, had refused to make the documents relating
to the PPP bidding process available to Livingstone and his new
transport chief. The Mayor countered by threatening court action.
In December 2000, Prescott met with Kiley for the first time and
the threat of legal action was quietly dropped. Labour could yet
backtrack and adopt Livingstone and Kiley's proposals, though
there is not much time as the contracts for PPP are due to be
finalised by April. Whatever happens, Livingstone's proposals
clearly offer no progressive alternative to the Blair government's
pro-market policies.
See Also:
Paddington train disaster
inquiry hears how rail companies "put profit before safety"
[20 May 2000]
Britain
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