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North Korea seeks rapprochement with South and the US
By James Conachy
28 September 2001
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Amid the war preparations of the United States, South and North
Korea held their first ministerial level meetings for six months
from September 16 to 18. The talks were marked by the eagerness
of North Korea to cement closer ties. After the chill in relations
between the two Koreas for most of the year, South Korean Assistant
Minister for Unification Rhee Bong Jo noted: There was a
complete change in the overall atmosphere. Agreements were
reached to resume work on a number of stalled economic projects
and to hold further meetings in October.
With obvious relief at the success of the meetings, South Korean
President Kim Dae-jung told a press conference: We have
upheld peace and showed cooperation and exchanges on the Korean
peninsula... at a time when the world is being drawn into war.
While the talks had been arranged before the September 11 terrorist
attacks in the US, there is no question that North Koreas
response at the talks was spurred on by the US threats of war
against any state declared to be supporting terrorism. North Korea
is currently listed by the US as a terrorist-supporting
nation, due to its alleged involvement in the 1987 explosion
aboard a Korea Air jet. In the 1990s, it was declared a rogue-state
and the US has repeatedly sought to pressure Pyongyang over its
nuclear and missile programs.
According to South Korean sources, the Norths Foreign
Ministry sent a private communication to the US within hours of
the attacks to emphasise that Pyongyang was not involved. North
Koreas notoriously slow-to-respond bureaucracy officially
condemned the attacks on the World Trade Centre and Pentagon within
a day. This week, North Korea indicated that it might even support
US military actions against alleged terrorist targets.
North Koreas motives are not simply to forestall any
potential US strike against it. The regime in Pyongyang sees a
window of opportunity to alter its relations with the US and South
Korea, which, since the installation of the Bush administration,
have grown increasingly strained.
In the 1990s, the North Korean economy all but collapsed due
to the loss of subsidies previously provided by the former Soviet
Union, combined with a series of devastating natural disasters.
The country of 23 million is now dependent on international food
aid to feed its population. As its political and economic isolation
has intensified, North Korea has indicated its readiness to open
up to capitalist investment, as China did over 20 years ago. The
regimes main condition has been that its hold on power is
not challenged.
Twelve months ago, it appeared that South Korea had accepted
these terms. The Kim Dae-jung government, representing sections
of Korean and global big business and encouraged by China in particular,
has pursued a sunshine policy of reconciliation with
the North. At last years inter-Korea summit, when Kim met
with the Norths leader Kim Jong-Il, the two sides agreed
to preserve the political division of Korea indefinitely while
opening up the North economically. The Koreas agreed to reconnect
rail and road links that have been severed since the 1950-53 Korean
War and to construct a free trade zone industrial park in the
city of Kaesong, near the border with the South.
If fully implemented, these projects would facilitate the exploitation
of cheap labour and resources in both North Korea and Chinas
north-eastern provinces and establish a new trade route between
East Asia and Europe. The opening of the North would also enable
the construction of gas and oil pipelines to South Korea from
Russias energy-rich Siberia. Over subsequent months there
was a rush by South Korean and European business and diplomatic
delegations to North Korea.
The Clinton administration also appeared to have broadly agreed
with the outcome. One of the most significant features of the
inter-Korea summit was the Norths downplaying of its traditional
demand for the US to remove its military bases from South Koreaa
key concern in Washington. In response to the Norths hint
that it was prepared to accept the long-term presence of US military
forces, Clintons Secretary of State Madeline Albright traveled
to Pyongyang in December to initiate closer talks.
The installation of the Bush administration ended these moves,
however. The Republican right, which forms a key constituency
of Bush, has consistently advocated maintaining the Cold War military
pressure and economic blockade against North Korea in order to
bring about its unqualified submission or total collapse. Figures
such as Bushs Assistant Secretary of State Richard Armitage
publicly denounced the Clinton administrations Korea policy
as one of appeasement.
As soon as it was installed in office, the Bush administration
called off any talks with Pyongyang in order to conduct a protracted
policy review. In retaliation, North Korea suspended the implementation
of the inter-Korea summit agreements. In June, after ending its
review, the US indicated it was willing to begin talks with North
Korea but only if a gamut of new issues were put on the table,
including the reduction of North Koreas conventional military
forces. Pyongyang rejected the offer, and to the consternation
of the governments in both North and South Korea, no further proposal
has been forthcoming from Washington.
At the beginning of this month, the North Korean regime faced
an uncertain future. As well as a belligerent policy from Washington,
opponents of the sunshine policy have been strengthened
within South Korea. The Norths blunt rejection of talks,
under conditions where South Korea has extended considerable financial
and food aid to Pyongyang, was exploited by the opposition Grand
National Party (GNP) to attack Kim Dae-jungs overtures as
a failure and a threat to the countrys security.
Throughout August, the rightwing GNP conducted a sustained
campaign against Kim Dae-jungs Unification Minister Lim
Dong Won. Lim, a key government policy maker, authorised a South
Korean delegation to take part in North Korean celebrations of
Korean Independence Day. Scenes of South Koreans singing pro-North
Korean songs were used to justify a vote of no-confidence in Lim
in the National Assembly and demand his resignation.
North Koreas unexpected call on September 2 for ministerial-level
meetings between the two Koreas was largely a belated effort,
conducted under pressure from China, to try and shore up Lim and
the Kim Dae-jung government. On September 3, however, the United
Liberal Democrats (ULP), the small party in coalition with Kim
Dae-jungs Millennium Democratic Party (MDP), crossed the
floor and supported the GNP against Lim.
The ULP subsequently abandoned the government and has formed
an anti-government alliance with the GNP. The collapse of the
coalition means Kim Dae-jungs cabinet can no longer rely
on the passage of legislation through the National Assembly. The
opposition alliance has already declared that any further assistance
by South Korea to the North will require parliamentary approval.
The North Korean regime is no doubt hoping that in the current
international situation the Bush administration will soften its
hard-line stance on Pyongyang, as it has shifted its policy toward
other countries such as Iran and Pakistan.
There are hints this may be the case. Following the latest
Korean talks, US Secretary of State Colin Powell said the US was
ready to meet with Pyongyang at any time and any place.
US Korean embassy spokesman Evans Revere told a forum in Seoul:
The terrorist attacks provide an opportunity for the DPRK
(North Korea) to cooperate with the international community against
terrorism.
It is just as possible, however, that the war against
terrorism could become the rationale for a bellicose US
intervention into East Asia, with the Bush administration seizing
upon any North Korean refusal to follow the type of US political
diktat being levelled against the Taliban in Afghanistan.
See Also:
Where is the Bush administration taking
the American people?
[22 September 2001]
Why the Bush administration wants war
[14 September 2001]
The political roots of the terror attack
on New York and Washington
[13 September 2001]
A dismal anniversary of the
Korean summit
[21 June 2001]
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