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Disaffection with major parties dominates French presidential
elections
By Marianne Arens and Francois Thull
17 April 2002
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On April 21, the first round of the presidential elections
takes place in France. Two weeks later, on May 5, the two best-placed
candidates face a run-off ballot. In all probability, this will
be between the Gaullist incumbent Jacques Chirac and the sitting
prime minister, Socialist Party leader Lionel Jospin.
The two are engaged in a head-to-head race, which is characterised
by the absence of any serious clashes of political opinion. Opinion
polls record that 75 percent of respondents regard the programmes
of Chirac and Jospin as almost identical and 60 percent
do not yet know who they will vote for in the second round. Even
the election slogans are interchangeable: While Chirac advocates
a united France, Jospin calls for France and
the French to be united.
Jospins carefully cultivated image of being a leftwing
socialist, with which he won the snap parliamentary election called
by Chirac five years ago, has largely been abandoned. After announcing
his candidacy, Jospin stressed that although he was inspired
by socialism, his programme, on the other hand, was not
a socialist one, but was modern and in the centre
ground. Three years ago, Jospin distanced himself from British
premier Tony Blair and German chancellor Gerhard Schroeder when
they adopted a common economic programme, saying his own political
credo could be summed up with the words, Yes to the free-market
economy, no to market society. Today Jospin has largely
adopted Blair and Schroeders vocabulary.
The central election campaign topic is domestic security. Jospin
now offers exactly the same response as Chirac to the social misery
in Frances many banlieues, or suburbs. Both candidates
plan to create a super-ministry for domestic security. Jospin
even endorses the imprisonment of 10-year-olds, if they come into
conflict with the law.
The 1945 regulation is not a taboo, he said, referring
to the law preventing the arrest of those under 13 years old and
which prescribes educational measures rather than punishment.
For some time, a law commission has been seeking to lower the
age of criminal responsibility to 10 years old; a measure proposed
by Jean Pierre Chevènement, Jospins former friend
and interior minister, but who today is his rival for the presidency.
Jospin has been very sparing with his social promises. He wants
to lower the number of unemployed from the present level of 2.4
million to 900,000 in five years. He also wants to improve education
possibilities for young people. And that is it. There is no more
talk of wide-ranging reform measures to resolve Frances
urgent social problems.
Other burning problems, like French participation in the war
in Afghanistan, the Middle East conflict and the attitude towards
European Union, are not being addressed at all in the election
campaign. Both camps are deeply divided over the question of Europe,
and a clear statement by either candidate could lead to a break-up.
In view of the absence of any serious political differences,
personal attacks are dominating the campaign. The rightwing point
the finger at Jospins Trotskyist past, while the left reproaches
Chirac for his involvement in the Paris corruption scandalbut
not too loudly, since the Socialist Party is also deeply implicated
in several corruption scandals.
There is a vast gulf between the election campaigns of the
two leading candidates and the problems affecting the mass of
the voters. The limited support for the leading candidates is
also expressed by the fact that there are more candidates for
the first ballot than ever before. Of four dozen original contenders,
16 have overcome the difficult hurdles that French electoral law
sets each prospective candidatethe need to gain the signature
of 500 elected representatives from 30 different départments
(administrative regions).
The high polling of Arlette Laguiller, the candidate of Lutte
Ouvrière (Workers Struggle) has drawn much media attention.
She has regularly received over 10 percent in opinion polls. Laguiller
calls herself a Trotskyist. Although the political programme she
advances shares little in common with the conceptions of the founder
the Fourth International, the relatively high level of support
for a candidate who is generally regarded as a follower of Leon
Trotsky is nevertheless a clear expression of the search for a
leftwing political alternative. Beside Laguiller there are two
additional candidates who call themselves TrotskyistsOlivier
Besancenot of the Ligue Communiste Révolutionnaire (LCR,
Revolutionary Communist League) and Daniel Gluckstein of the Parti
des Travailleurs (PT, Workers Party).
Similar poll ratings as Laguiller are also being registered
for Jean Pierre Chevènement, of the Republican Pole. Chevènement,
who resigned in protest from the Jospin government because of
it having made concessions to Corsican autonomy, defends French
sovereignty as a bulwark against globalisation, the European Union
and the influence of the United States.
On the extreme right, Jean Marie Le Pen of the National Front
is also recording a rating of approximately 10 percent, even though
he lost control of the greater part of his organisation at the
end of 1998 and his rival at that time, Bruno Mégret, is
also seeking the extreme right vote.
Communist Party candidate Robert Hue, one of Jospins
coalition partners, has only received a five to six percent rating,
a historical low. The Green candidate Noel Mamère has recorded
about six to eight percent.
Jospins record
It already looks like the future president will receive only
about a fifth of the votes in the first ballot. The lack of popularity
of the two main rivals can largely be attributed to the fact that
they have co-operated closely for five years within the context
of the cohabitation (where the president and prime minister
come from opposing parties) and despite occasional friction, form
a sort of grand coalition.
Chiracs premature dissolution of parliament in 1997,
which helped bring the Socialist Party back into government, is
regarded as his greatest political mistake. But it was not. A
year beforehand, Gaullist Prime Minister Alain Juppé, despite
an overwhelming parliamentary majority, had proved unable to break
the resistance of millions of working people against the substantial
reduction of social rights. A general strike and a protest wave
had paralysed the country for weeks. Chirac needed a new mandate
for his government from the electorate, or a new left
government was needed that could count on the support of the trade
union bureaucracy and among the working class and so would encounter
less resistance.
Jospin fulfilled these expectations. For five years, he proved
to the French bourgeoisie that he knew how to protect their interests.
His government, the so-called Gauche Plurielle (plural
left), which beside the Socialist Party also contains the Communist
Party, the Greens, the Radical Socialists and the Citizens Block
of Chevènement, has pushed through policies which their
conservative predecessors proved incapable of doing.
It has transformed the army from one based on general conscription
into a professional body and has sent French soldiers into the
Balkans and to participate in the Afghanistan war.
According to a report in Le Monde, it privatised state-owned
enterprises with a value of 31 billion euros ($26.3 billion),
a figure far higher than Jospins Gaullist predecessors,
Edouard Balladur (17 billion euro) and Alain Juppé (9.4
billion euro), put together. The conservative Swiss daily Neue
Zürcher Zeitung commented appreciatively: France
is no longer a state holding enterprise with a highly regulated
and protected economy. Today, [French] industry is largely denationalised...
It was precisely this government of the socialists, which to a
greater extent than any government before it, advanced privatisation
energetically and opened France to the world market. In so doing,
it adhered more or less to the prescriptions of the preceding
rightwing governments.
The employers association Medef has already let it be
known that in its view, Jospin is by no means the worse choice
as president. Medef has posed a clear set of demands to all the
parties in these elections, arguing that the reform of the tri-partite
unemployed, sickness and pension insurance schemesthe so-called
refondation sociale should be accelerated and complemented
by a refondation juridique, a programme of legal reforms
to expand business freedom and flexibility. The employers want
to be able to decide freely, and without state interference, such
issues as working hours, conditions and wages.
Several times, Jospin has signalled his agreement. In a book
published at the beginning of the election campaign, under the
title Time to Answer, he regrets that his government had
the tendency, to want too much legal regulation and not
leave enough to concluding contracts. On March 18, when
publishing his programme, he said: I want our country, and
particularly the left, to leave more space for what is called
social democracy, i.e. for negotiation and agreeing contracts.
Social conditions in France
Jospin has succeeded in winning a considerable number of intellectuals,
actors, writers and sports personalities to his campaign. A thousand
prominent public figures have expressed their support for him
in an open letter, including Jeanne Moreau, Chiara Mastroianni,
Michel Piccoli, Jorge Semprun and Mazarine Pingeot, the daughter
of former president Mitterrand. As far as the working class and
poorer social layers are concerned, however, Jospin has lost a
large part of his support.
Since 1997, both the unemployed and undocumented immigrants,
the Sans-papiers, have protested against his broken election
promises. There have been occupations and actions against closures
and dismissals, which have increasingly been directed against
the government. Today, hardly a day passes without strikes and
protests taking place, which have taken quite desperate forms
in come cases. At Moulinex, workers set their own factory ablaze;
at Cellatex staff poured sulphuric acid into the local river,
and at Heineken in Schiltigheim, brewery workers threatened to
blow up their factory. These are all signs of a spreading feeling
of deep frustration and hopelessness.
In the public serviceon the railways and Paris metro,
at the post office, in schools and hospitalsthere have been
repeated strikes against the government and its attacks on social
gains.
Jospins showcase project, the 35-hour-week, has for a
large section of those affected, led to more stress (in the absence
of additional jobs being created, as was promised) and smaller
pay packets (through the loss of overtime and other bonuses).
Furious hospital workers blocked the access to Jospins election
meeting on April 8 in Riom near Clermont-Ferrand, calling for
more jobs to be created as the 35-hour-week is implemented.
The social position of a large section of the French population
has worsened in the past five years under Jospin. Although unemployment
has fallen from 12 to nine percent between 1997 and 2001, the
number of those in precarious employment, i.e. with short-term
contracts and low paid jobs, has increased sharply. In March 2001,
2.2 million, i.e. nine percent of the working population, were
employed in such precarious posts. The numbers of the working
poor has risen to 850,000.
Since the beginning of 2001, unemployment has risen again.
Seventeen percent of young people between 20 and 25 years of age
are unemployed. In some suburbs, youth unemployment has reached
50 percent. Over four million people live in poverty, including
25 percent of all Maghreb immigrants in France.
According to a study of the National Association for the Prevention
of Suicide, since 2000, suicide is the number one cause of death
among young people aged between 25 and 34. Every 40 minutes a
person kills himself in France. The suicide rate is 14 times higher
among the unemployed than among those with jobs.
Jacques Chirac
Jospins chances of an election victory mainly rest upon
the fact that the incumbent, Jacques Chirac, is even more unpopular
than he is. The many exposures of his involvement in corruption
affairs are creating great difficulties for Chirac. Accusations
against him cover illegal party financing, corruption, nepotism
and election fraud. Shortly before the beginning of the election
campaign, Chiracs earlier confidante, Didier Schuller, the
former boss of the Paris housing administration, came before the
French courts and seriously implicated the Gaullists. Chirac has
only escaped a trial so far due to his immunity as French president.
The satirical weekly Le Canard enchaîné recently
published details from an investigation conducted by the present
Paris mayor, Bertrand Delanoee (Socialist Party), covering 1986-95,
when Chirac held this office. According to Delanoee, the city
treasury paid out some 2.14 million euros ($1.9 million) for food,
wine, tobacco and gifts for the personal consumption of the Chiracs.
According to the accounts, they ordered fruit and vegetables worth
150 euro ($132) every day.
Chiracs party, the Gaullist RPR (Rassemblement pour la
République, Assembly for the Republic) has been deeply
divided for years. Only at the last minute did the Gaullist camp
come together behind his candidacy in the newly created Union
en movement (Union in movement), in order to increase his election
chances.
Even in ruling circles, Chiracs numerous affairs are
regarded as a serious burden. The German newspaper Die Welt
expressed an opinion that is common inside the French elite, when,
in a comment headed Monsieur Nepotism against Monsieur Trotsky
it came down in favour of Jospin. In the long term, the
ethical risk in leaving Jacques Chirac in office is greater than
the political one of electing Lionel Jospin... The rampant cynicism
regarding French politicsthe view that all politicians are
by definition corrupt and will remain socauses far more
damage to French democracy than the temptation to carry out a
nostalgic socio-economic policy. The negative effect of this would,
in any case, be limited by the European Union.
Whoever enters the Elysée palace after May 5 will be
confronted with turbulent developments. Under the surface of an
apparently boring campaign, characterised by insignificant programmes
and empty slogans, explosive social tensions are building up.
See Also:
France: the politics of presidential
candidate Jean-Pierre Chevènement
[15 February 2002]
Lionel Jospin and
Trotskyism: the debate over the French prime ministers past
[27 June 2001]
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