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Canadas prime minister to quit in 18 months
Big business urges quicker exit
By Keith Jones
29 August 2002
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Jean Chrétien announced last week that he will step
down as Canadas prime minister in February 2004. By declaring
he will not contest a fourth general election as Liberal Party
leader, Chrétien hoped to put a quick end to the leadership
crisis that has rocked his government since he fired his chief
rival, long-time Finance Minister Paul Martin.
But the corporate media has tartly dismissed Chrétiens
claim that he needs a further 18 months in office to fulfill the
mandate voters gave him in the November 2000 election. Virtually
all of the countrys major dailies have published editorials
urging him to quit the prime ministership, if not immediately,
at least by early next year. These calls have been coupled with
complaints about the policy agenda Chrétien has outlined
for his remaining months in office.
Mr. Chrétien, declared the Globe and
Mail, now shows scant interest in pursuing the northern
tiger status suggested by Finance Minister John Manleyone
that likely would lean on additional tax cuts to make Canada a
magnet for foreign investment.
Martin has said he is ready to abide by the prime ministers
timetable. However, many of his supporters have gone on record
saying 18 months is much too long to wait for a leadership change.
This sentiment has been fanned by numerous editorials and op-ed
comments alleging that Chrétiens principal motivation
in clinging to office for a further 18 months is to assist Martins
cabinet rivals in mounting their own leadership bids. According
to Jeffrey Simpson, the doyen of Canadian political columnists,
a vengeful Chrétien is out to politically castrate
Paul Martin.
Several members of the Liberal Party National Executive, which
is controlled by Martin supporters, have suggested they will use
their prerogative to fix the date of the Liberal leadership convention
to force Chrétiens departure in 2003. Even if they
dont, a rapidly deteriorating economic situation or the
eruption of a second US-Iraq war could throw both Chrétiens
and Martins plans into disarray.
An unprecedented forced exit
In announcing his retirement date, Chrétien said he
had decided two years ago that this, his third term as prime minister,
would be his last. Yet, prior to last week, he had adamantly refused
to rule out standing for re-election, repeatedly telling both
the public and his cabinet that any decision on his political
future was premature. Martins departure from cabinet in
early June was precipitated by Chrétiens order that
he and several other ministers close down the campaign organizations
they had set up, with his sanction, to prepare for a future Liberal
leadership race. The prime minister and his supporters then spent
the summer in an increasingly desperate campaign to belie claims
that both the Liberal parliamentary caucus and party rank-and-file
favor a change of leader. This culminated in the release just
before last weeks Liberal caucus retreat of a list of MPs
supporting Chrétiens continued leadership. The maneuver
backfired. The list contained the names of only 94 of the 170
Liberal MPs and many of the signatories were cabinet ministers
or parliamentary secretaries who serve at the prime ministers
discretion. Subsequently, half a dozen MPs came forward to say
they had never given permission for their names to be included
on the list.
Although the prime minister cannot admit as much, it is apparent
to all that he has been forced from office. Chrétien and
his advisors had concluded he was in grave danger of losing a
leadership review vote at the partys convention
next Februarya vote that hitherto has been essentially a
pro forma exercise for a sitting prime minister.
Chrétiens forced exit is without precedent in
Canadian federal politics. In the early 1960s, the Tory government
of John Diefenbaker imploded, but Diefenbaker did not head a majority
government and even then his cabinet rivals failed to dethrone
him as party leader till the Tories had spent several years in
opposition. Last but not least, the Diefenbaker cabinet was split
over a pivotal policy issuewhether to accept the stationing
of US nuclear weapons on Canadian soil.
By contrast, there are no substantive differences between Chrétien
and Martin over current government policyat least none that
have been clearly and publicly articulated.
The Chrétien-Martin partnership and
rivalry
For a nine-and-a-half year period, ending only this past June,
Chrétien and Martin worked in tandem as the principal ministers
in Canadas most right-wing federal government since the
Great Depression. Brought to power in the fall of 1993 on a wave
of popular antipathy to the Mulroney Tory government, the Liberals
quickly shelved promises to rescind the Goods and Services Tax
(GST), stop the dismantling of public services and make job creation
their first priority.
As Chrétiens Finance Minister, Martin was responsible
for imposing drastic cuts in public spending, especially to the
transfers that fund health care, higher education and social assistance.
Meanwhile, the proceeds of the payroll tax for unemployment insurance
were siphoned off to help reduce the annual federal budget deficit,
even as the government slashed jobless benefits and greatly restricted
benefit eligibility. Then, when the deficit gave way to large
surpluses, the Chrétien-Martin Liberal government announced
a five-year, $100 billion program of corporate and personal income
tax cuts. Not only do these cuts disproportionately benefit the
rich and upper middle class, the only social layers whose incomes
have increased significantly over the past decade, they ensure
that the federal government lacks the fiscal means to make significant
reinvestments in public and social services.
Martin, a multi-millionaire businessman, has long-enjoyed strong
backing from the Bay Street banks and financial houses. But after
close to four decades as a Liberal insider, Chrétien has
developed no less intimate ties to Canadas corporate elite.
His daughter is married to a scion of one of Canadas wealthiest
and most politically-connected families, the Desmarais. On a host
of critical issues such as tax cuts and Canadian participation
in the US war against Afghanistan, Chrétien has stunned
his big business and right-wing critics by adopting their policy
prescriptions lock-stock-and-barrel.
Undoubtedly personal ambitions and rivalryMartin finished
second to Chrétien in the 1990 race to succeed John Turner
as Liberal Party leaderhave played a significant role in
the Liberal leadership struggle.
But if Martin, a politician hitherto noted more for his caution
than his verve or daring, felt sufficiently emboldened to launch
an overt and unprecedented challenge to Chrétiens
leadership, it was because he has been egged on to do so by Canadas
corporate media for months, if not years. Once Martin was dismissed
from cabinet the media went into overdrive, depicting the finance
minister as a veritable political titan, while deriding Chrétien
as an aged politician bereft of ideas and interests other than
the raw pursuit of power and likely corrupt to boot.
That the Liberal Party not only forms the government party,
but also is the only political formation that can seriously claim
to be a national party having support in all regions, makes it
all the more significant that the political and corporate elite
would risk plunging it into a fratricidal power struggle.
A strategic crisis of the Canadian bourgeoisie
Behind the drive to unseat Chrétien is the increasing
anxiety and anger of the most powerful sections of Canadian big
business. Despite the wrenching changes of the past 15 yearsthe
abandonment of the traditional national economic policy in favor
of free trade with the US, the dismantling of the welfare state
and other mechanisms that served to mitigate class conflict, and
the successive waves of corporate restructuringCanadian
capital continues to lose ground to its foreign rivals. Adding
to the elites frustration is their failure to create a viable
alternative to the Liberals, a political phenomenon that is rooted
in the profound regional divisions within the Canadian bourgeoisiedivisions
that are only exacerbated by Canadas increasing integration
with the US economyand a confused, but none the less deep-current
of popular opposition to the free market and social conservative
agenda espoused by the opposition Canadian Alliance.
Big business intends to use the change of Liberal Party leader
and prime minister to press for an intensification of the assault
on the working class through further tax and public spending cuts,
the subordination of social policy ever-more directly to the exigencies
of the capitalist market, and the gutting of all regulatory restraints
on capital.
Martin is aware of the anxiety in business circles for a change
of course. He also recognizes that the policies demanded by Bay
Street are, in so far as the public understands them, widely opposed.
Thus in his leadership challenge, he has sought to rally big business
support by presenting himself as an agent of change, while refraining
from making any substantive policy statements.
In campaigning for the Liberal leadership and governing, should
he become prime minister, Martin clearly intends to continue to
use the Reform Party/Canadian Alliance as a right-wing foil, just
as he and Chrétien have done for the past decade. During
the 2000 election campaign, Martin attacked the Alliance, saying
its tax cutting program would result in a socially polarized Canadano
matter that he had just introduced a budget that made the greatest
tax cuts in Canadian history, a budget the right-wing and pro-Alliance
National Post hailed as an Alliance budget.
That said, the fixation in ruling circles over forcing Chrétien
out is symptomatic of the political disorientation in the ruling
class produced by the breakdown of the old political and economic
certainties. The prime minister has oft been criticized for muddling
on, but the truth is the bourgeoisie itself is profoundly divided
over its class strategy.
For example, there is a ruling class consensus that radical
changes must be made to Medicare, the universal public health
insurance scheme. But there are serious disagreements over how
to overcome popular opposition to shifting a greater proportion
of health care costs onto the sick and aged and over whether a
pared-down state-financed system would better boost Canadian corporate
competitiveness than outright privatization.
Over Canadas relationship with the US and the struggle
for political advantage among the various regionally-based factions
of Canadian capital, the differences are at least as large. No
significant bourgeois faction believes Canada has any alternative
but to accept the role of junior partner in a US-led Fortress
North America, but there are profound differences over how best
to retain the maximum ability for Canadian capital to pursue its
own predatory aims and interests. Some sections of the Canadian
elite are calling for a new political relationship with the US,
including closer foreign policy and military cooperation. Others
fear that a US push for Canadian participation in a war on Iraq
and other imperialist adventures would have an explosive impact
on class relations.
The ouster of Chrétien is rooted in an intensification
of the crisis of Canadian capitalism and is a harbinger of increasing
class conflict. The working class will be able to exploit this
crisis only in so far as its reconstitutes itself as an independent
political force advancing a socialist internationalist program
to reorganize economic life and society in the interests of working
people.
See Also:
Crisis of Parti Québécois
regime heralds coming political upheavals
[15 August 2002]
Sacking of Finance Minister
splits government
Will Canadas Prime Minister survive?
[6 June 2002]
Canadas Liberals
retain power by exploiting popular opposition to right
Major class conflicts loom
[29 November 2000]
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