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Prague NATO summit: internal tensions near the breaking point
By Peter Schwarz
4 December 2002
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Transformation and conversion were
the key words to be heard at the NATO summit that met in the Czech
capital on November 21-22. According to the official interpretation,
the military and political alliance was being re-established on
a new basis.
The Prague Summit Declaration, begins:
We met today to enlarge our Alliance and further strengthen
NATO to meet the grave new threats and profound security challenges
of the twenty-first century.... we commit ourselves to transforming
NATO with new members, new capabilities and new relationships
with our partners.
If one examines the summit more closely, however, it becomes
clear that the terms decline and disintegration
are more appropriate. Despite the ceremonious statements of intent
and unanimous decisions in Prague, the Atlantic Alliance is drifting
apart. Behind the scenes there were fierce confrontations, in
particular between the US on the one side and Germany and France
on the other. The assembled government heads smiled for the cameras,
but closed meetings were characterised by bitter infighting. Negotiators
haggled over every word in the official statement, while lower
echelons of the delegations supplied the media with derogatory
comments about rival politicians.
War against Iraq
The deep divisions within NATO were most clear in relation
to the central issue confronting the summitthe preparations
for war with Iraq.
After torturous nightlong wrestling over the exact phrasing
of the text, the summit decided on a resolution that broadly reflected
the European standpoint. It supported the UN resolution that warned
Iraq of the serious consequences should it continue to violate
its responsibilities.
The US had attempted to obtain a pledge of NATO support for
military action against Iraq. Its resolution declared that NATO
was ready for a military assault. Germany and France
rejected this resolution and insisted that the UN remain involved
in the issue of Iraq.
The German-French victory was Pyrrhic. The wheeling and dealing
over formulations will do nothing to deter the preparations for
war with Iraq. The US government made unmistakably clear that
it is not prepared to be restricted by Alliance decisions. During
the Prague summit it submitted written requests to 50 governmentsmembers
and non-members of NATOasking whether they were willing
to take part in a US-led military action against Iraq.
In so doing, as one newspaper commented, the US government
confronted NATO with an alternative alliancean alliance
of the willing. In fact, the American initiative confirmed
the US vision for the future of NATOnot a partnership of
equals, but rather a toolbox at the disposal of the
US, to be utilised according to American military requirements.
Not surprisingly, such a prospect was greeted with little enthusiasm
in European capitals. Reactions ranged from attempts to curry
favour (London, Rome and Madrid) to throwing sand in the gears
(Paris and Berlin). But, in the final analysis, European governments
have little with which they can counter Washington.
Since the conclusion of the summit, both the French and German
governments have made clear that they will do nothing to impede
the US should it go to war with Iraq. German Chancellor Gerhard
Schröder publicly stated in Prague that, in the event of
war, the US would have full access to German airspace, airports,
ports and its own bases in Germany. We do not intend to
limit the room for manoeuvrability of our friends, he said.
Many commentaries have interpreted this statement as a retreat
from the position Schröder adopted in the recent election
campaign, i.e., a categorical no to a war with Iraq.
NATO Response Force and eastward expansion
The summit in Prague agreed on two additional measures that
were praised by NATO General Secretary George Robertson as important
contributions to the transformation of the alliance:
the construction of a new intervention force and the expansion
of NATO from its current 19 members to a total of 26. Profound
differences lie behind both of these decisions.
The NATO Response Force (NRF) was first proposed by US Secretary
of Defense Donald Rumsfeld. It is due to come into service in
October 2004 and have the capability to intervene anywhere in
the world within a few days. It is, however, highly questionable
whether this force will ever come into being.
Opinions over the exact nature of the NRF vary widely. There
is no agreement over the terms of intervention, nor the forces
composition, nor how it should be financed. As a result, the summit
established a military committee with the task of working out
a plan for the new force by next spring.
As a result of pressure from Germany and other European governments,
it was stipulated that the force could be activated only by consensus,
i.e., by unanimous agreement of all 26 NATO members. In addition,
the interventions of the NRF are to take into account the constitutions
of the individual member countries. In the case of Germany, this
means the parliament would have to agree to an NRF mission. Such
provisions are regarded as insurance against any unilateral actions
mounted at the instigation of the US.
Sharp differences also emerged on the relationship of the new
force to the plans of the European Union for its own intervention
army, which is due to come into service next year. On the insistence
of the German delegation, it was agreed in Prague that the two
forces should complement one another. In practice,
however, this will inevitably prove impossible, since both intervention
armies must compete for personnel as well as financial and technical
resources, all of which are in short supply.
The decision by the summit to adopt Rumania, Bulgaria, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania as NATO members in 2004
is largely of symbolic significance. It means that a large number
of countries that were formerly members of the Warsaw Pact alliance,
as well as three former Soviet republics, have become part of
a Western alliance. In a military sense, the new members have
little to offer in the way of strengthening NATO. Estonia has
an army of just 5,600 soldiers; Latvia, 6,500; and Slovenia, 7,600.
Impoverished Romania is the only new NATO member to have a population
of over 20 million, more than the other six new members put together.
Many of the government heads from the new member countries
spent decades in the Stalinist apparatus. The Romanian Ion Iliescu
joined the Communist Party in 1953 and for a period was regarded
as a favourite of the Romanian dictator Ceausescu. Milan Kucan
was the leader of Slovenias Communist Party, and the Slovakian
Rudolf Schuster was head of government prior to the collapse of
the Stalinist block. The leading Estonian delegate, Arnold Rüütel,
is a former chairman of the Supreme Soviet.
In Europe, the admission of the new members is increasingly
regarded as nothing more than an American spoiling tactic. An
article in the German magazine Der Spiegel by a reporter
with close links to the German delegation provides a sense of
the bitter state of relations within NATO. The magazine quotes
one European NATO delegate as saying the new members are compliant
candidates who are already acting more American than
the Americans.
It further reports that the German delegation made caustic
comments about the inner and outer ring of satrap states
which, during the evening meal, gathered round Bush as if he were
a monarchfirst and foremost, the Italian prime minister,
Silvio Berlusconi.
The roots of the crisis
Critical observers have taken note of the growing crisis within
NATO. The Swiss Neue Zürcher Zeitung commented on
the summit: The transatlantic alliance has clearly changed
over the last few years. In a number of respects the US and its
West European partners have become estranged: their dialogue,
to the extent it takes place, is characterised by impatience and
lack of understanding. The security political consensus has become
brittle to an unprecedented extent.
The centrifugal forces within NATO have their roots in the
changed character of the alliance itself. During the Cold War,
a common enemy and the unchallenged dominance of the US helped
secure a large degree of stability. The tasks of NATO were strictly
limited to the defence of its own territory.
Since the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact and the Soviet Union,
NATO has changed from a regional defensive body into a globally
operating offensive alliance. Participation in the American-launched
operation Enduring Freedom, together with agreement
on the NATO Response Force, means that European governments have
basically accepted this change.
In the name of the struggle against terrorism and the threat
from weapons of mass destruction the great powers have adopted
a policy of re-dividing the world among themselves. At stake are
raw materials, markets, trade routes and strategic influence.
In the long run it will prove impossible to arrive at any sort
of consensus. From an alliance of nations with common interests,
NATO has been transformed into a battlefield where conflicting
powers bitterly contest for influence. Prague represents a milestone
in this process.
For the time being, European governments are reluctant to engage
the US in an open conflict. They are deterred by the economic
and military dominance of the US as well as the divisions in their
own ranks. Foreign policy conflicts with Europes most important
trading partner would have significant consequences for European
economies already plagued by economic problems.
An open breach in the Atlantic Alliance would have far-reaching
implications for the stability in Europe. In recent months, pressure
from Washington has brought Paris and Berlin closer together.
In the long term, however, a withdrawal by the US would inevitably
raise the old issue of which country should dominate the European
continent.
But sooner or later an open conflict between Europe and the
US is unavoidable. European governments are preparing for such
a contingency with moves to accelerate rearmament. The summit
had only just concluded when the German and French foreign ministers,
Joschka Fischer and Dominique de Villepin, spoke out in favour
of a joint paper calling for the extension of the European Union
into a European Security and Defence Union. The paper
is directed towards the EU constitutional convention as the basis
for the elaboration of a European constitution.
In unison, the German Green Party minister and his Gaullist
colleague called for the strengthening of the European pillars
of NATO and the creation of a European security culture.
Fischer and de Villepin are in favour of close collaboration in
the development of new weapons systems for a joint armaments
market, to be supported by a European armaments agency.
See Also:
Iraq war dominates NATO summit
in Prague
[21 November 2002]
US pressure provokes fissures
in European Union
[19 November 2002]
Tensions flare between Washington
and Berlin
[30 September 2002]
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