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Analysis : Middle
East : Iraq
New bombing raids on Iraq as US seeks pretext for war
By Bill Vann
16 July 2002
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US warplanes over the weekend carried out an intensive bombardment
of both military and civilian targets in Iraqs Dhi Qar province,
about 200 miles south of Baghdad, as Washington continued casting
about for a pretext for another war against the Arab country.
An Iraqi spokesman said that at least seven civilians were
injured in the July 13 bombings, which occurred as US and British
warplanes carried out scores of sorties from bases in Kuwait and
Saudi Arabia.
The air patrols are conducted ostensibly to enforce no-fly
zones decreed by Washington over southern and northern Iraq in
the wake of the 1991 Persian Gulf War, but US warplanes routinely
violate other areas of Iraqi air space in an attempt to provoke
a response from anti-aircraft defense units which are then targeted.
The no-fly zones were created by American fiat,
without any supporting resolution by the United Nations, and have
been utilized as an instrument for continuous military operations
against Iraq, more than a decade after the supposed end of the
Persian Gulf War. Hundreds of Iraqis have been killed and many
more wounded in the estimated 40,000 sorties flown by US and British
warplanes since 1998.
These continuing military provocations take on ever greater
significance as the Bush administration prepares for a full-scale
invasion of Iraq aimed at toppling the regime of Saddam Hussein,
turning the territory into a semi-colonial protectorate, and establishing
US control over its huge oil reserves.
Last Friday, the US and Britain organized a meeting of Iraqi
military and political defectors in London, which was also attended
by American intelligence and Pentagon officials. The aim of the
conference was to begin consolidating a quisling regime to install
after a US invasion.
Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz, one of the most vociferous
advocates of war on Iraq, is traveling to Turkey with senior military
officers for talks on an Iraqi invasion. Turkeys collaboration
is seen as key, and the administration is reportedly assuring
Ankara that it will have a free hand in repressing any move toward
Kurdish independence that might arise if the Hussein regime falls.
Both Turkey and Iraq have substantial Kurdish minorities spanning
their mutual border. Turkey waged a bloody counterinsurgency campaign
against Kurdish nationalists in the 1980s and 1990s.
It was also reported in London that Prime Minister Tony Blair
has been asked to move up a visit to Camp David originally scheduled
for early autumn. The British media is describing the meeting
as a war summit.
While Bush and other administration officials have publicly
insisted that Iraqs alleged development of weapons
of mass destruction poses a sufficient threat to justify
a preemptive war by the American military, there are substantial
divisions within US ruling circles about the advisability and
timing of such an action.
Within the Pentagons uniformed command there are concerns
that the Bush administration has failed to spell out an exit
strategy for a war in Iraq, potentially bogging the US military
down in an open-ended occupation of the country.
After Pentagon officials leaked classified documents outlining
plans for a full-scale invasion involving a quarter of a million
US troops and thousands of warplanes, Senior Congressional Democrats
as well as Republicans have expressed reservations about any imminent
war. Some have warned that toppling Hussein could destabilize
the entire region, while others express concern over spreading
US military forces too thin under conditions in which military
operations are continuing in Afghanistan.
Senator Joseph Biden, Democratic chair of the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee, has called for hearings on the administrations
war plans. Biden recounted a recent discussion with Bush, in which
he warned him: Mr. President, theres a reason why
your father stopped and didnt go to Baghdad. He didnt
want to stay five years.
No leading politician in either party has expressed any reservations
about waging a war of unprovoked aggression against a largely
defenseless country. Dissent rises merely to the level of tactical
reservations.
No Democratic or Republican elected official, nor the media
for that matter, bothers to recall estimates provided by Pentagon
planners to the Clinton administration that a US war to oust Hussein
would claim at the very least 10,000 civilian dead. Similarly,
none of them question the punishing economic sanctions that have
created unprecedented poverty, disease and hunger, leading to
an estimated 1.5 million additional deaths, mostly among infants
and young children, the elderly, the sick and the poor.
Attempts to justify military action by linking Saddam Hussein
to the September 11 attacks, or by claiming his regime is on the
verge of deploying either nuclear or biological weapons, have
thus far fallen flat in the face of overwhelming evidence to the
contrary.
The only thing that the Bush administration can point to is
the breakdown of talks between the United Nations and Baghdad
over the readmission of weapons inspectors to Iraq. This failure
was stage-managed from Washington, which gave UN General Secretary
Kofi Annan orders to stand pat on the demand for Iraqs unconditional
submission to the inspection regime. Baghdads attempts to
raise issues ranging from the illegal US bombing of its territory
to the punishing sanctions and the very real threat that the Pentagon
and the CIA would use the inspection teams to infiltrate agents
working to prepare an invasion or assassinate Saddam Hussein were
all rebuffed.
Citing senior Pentagon and State Department officials, USA
Today reported last week that President Bushs
national security team has agreed that the most dramatic option
for toppling Saddama large-scale invasionwould be
politically difficult at home and abroad without justification
beyond Iraqs current friction with Washington over the suspected
development of weapons of mass destruction.
The key problem right now is the lack of a spark, an
offense by Iraq, the paper quoted a senior intelligence
official as saying. The administration has decided, the official
said, that there has to be a defining moment of some
form, a defining event.
There is a growing danger that the Bush administration, enveloped
in crisis, will provoke or stage such a defining event.
The Bush White House increasingly sees war as a political necessity
for its own survivalthe best means of diverting public attention
from the meltdown of the financial markets and the mounting corruption
scandals that are engulfing Bush, Cheney and much of the cabinet
in charges of criminal corporate activity.
See Also:
After bullying fails, US blinks on global
court
[13 July 2002]
Wall Street crisis staggers Bush
[12 July 2002]
US preparing full-scale invasion of Iraq
[10 July 2002]
Washingtons phony pretext
for Iraqi invasion
[29 June 2002]
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