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Western intervention increases instability in Somalia
By David Rowan
15 June 2002
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The United Nations High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR) has
issued a number of reports highlighting the plight of between
3,500 and 5,000 Somali refugees who are encamped around the town
of Mandera in the northeast of Kenya. They have fled from Bulo
Hawa in the Gedo region of southwest Somalia to avoid fighting
between rival Somali factions.
Whilst Somalia has been without a central government and has
been wracked by conflict between rival warlords since 1991, the
escalation in fighting is the result of increased activity of
the Western powers in the region, especially the United States,
following the terrorist attacks of September 11.
Fighting in the Gedo region of southwestern Somalia in April
and May was between forces loyal to local warlord, Abdurisak Issak
Bihi, and a faction allied to the Somali Reconciliation and Restoration
Council (SRRC). The SRRC is a loose coalition of southern Somali
clan factions set up with the backing of Ethiopia in March 2001
and describes itself as an alternative government to the Transitional
National Government (TNG), based in the Somali capital Mogadishu.
Bihi is a supporter of the TNG.
BBC eyewitness reports from refugees speak of the direct involvement
of Ethiopian troops in the southern region. Another report from
a group of Somali soldiers who described the training they received
from the Ethiopian army to fight the TNG.
The Gedo region fighting follows months of heightened tensions
between Ethiopia and the TNG. The Ethiopian government claims
that the Islamic fundamentalist group Al-Itihaad Al-Islamiya was
still active within Somalia and had infiltrated the TNG. The Bush
administration has long sought to link Al-Itihaad with Al Qaeda
and Osama bin Laden. Stratfor.com reported on January 10
that the US had encouraged Ethiopia to act as its proxy
in southern Somalia to combat terrorist groups associated with
Al Qaeda.
Whilst Ethiopia has denied reports that it is operating within
Somalia, the growing number of refugees fleeing to Kenya confirms
that it has stepped up its intervention. The UNHCR reports that
it has made urgent appeals to the Kenyan government to allow the
refugees to be moved from the Mandera refugee campalso known
as Border Point 1to a safer area within Kenya. The camp
is located only 500 metres from the border where the countries
of Somalia, Kenya and Ethiopia converge and has been the main
area of fighting.
On May 15, at least four refugees in the camp were killed and
seven injured by stray bullets from the armed clashes. Since June
2, up to 17 people, most of them children, have died in the camp
from starvation and disease. A UNHCR press release states, All
the refugees camping near the border were manifesting visible
signs of starvation and malnutrition. Local health workers
report that contaminated water and lack of proper food has led
to numerous cases of diarrhoea and conjunctivitis.
The Kenyan government has repeatedly blamed Somali immigrants
for the deteriorating economic conditions and sought to whip up
hostility against them. Refugees that entered the Mandera camp
last month were forced to flee back into Somalia. According to
a BBC report on May 21, up to 6,000 refugees from the camp returned
to Somalia after being threatened and intimidated by the Kenyan
police and told to leave.
Previous Western efforts to establish some stability within
Somalia and the Horn of Africa have centred on peace conferences
organised by the Inter Governmental Authority and Development
(IGAD). Held in Kenya, these have attempted to establish a broad-based
government in Somalia. One such conference was due in April, but
Ethiopia and Djibouti refused to put forward representatives and
the conference was postponed.
The TNG was set up after months of talks organised by the United
Nations (UN) in Arta, Djibouti in August 2000 and followed 12
previous failed initiatives. It has little power outside Mogadishu
and does not even control all of the capital. Ethiopia refused
to recognise it as the legitimate government of Somalia and resented
intervention from the former French colony of Djibouti as a block
on its own regional ambitions. According to a report by the International
Crisis Group, Ethiopia has long viewed Somalia as a stalking
horse for Arab and Islamic domination of the Horn of Africa.
The Somali Ambassador to the UN representing the TNG has appealed
for sanctions on Ethiopia and accused its government of seeking
to create a balkanised Somalia with small fiefdoms it can
rule over.
Ethiopia is also intervening in the semi-autonomous region
of Puntland in the north of Somalia. It is backing Colonel Abdullahi
Yusuf Ahmed in his dispute with Colonel Jama Ali Jama over the
presidency of Puntland. There is an ongoing military conflict
between these warlords, with Jama backed by Djibouti and Libya.
Another part of northern Somalia is the Republic of Somaliland,
which broke away in 1991 but has never received international
recognition as a separate state. It is closely allied to Ethiopia
and is opposed to the TNG. When the region was divided up between
colonial powers, it formed British Somaliland.
According to Stratfor.com, the US has negotiated a deal
with its rulers to use the port and airfield at its main city,
Berbera. The deepwater port is said to be one of the best in the
Indian Ocean and the airfield has one of the longest runways in
North Africa.
In April, the Ethiopian-backed Rahanweyn Resistance Army (RRA)
declared that it had created a new autonomous regionthe
South West State of Somaliaand announced that its leader,
Colonel Hasan Muhammad Nur Shatigadud, was president. The RRA
is part of the SRRC, although there are conflicts between it and
other factions over its control of the Bay and Bakool regions
of south central Somalia. In December, American security forces
held meetings with the RRA in the city of Baidoa, supposedly assisting
them in the fight against terrorism.
Djibouti has become the site for the biggest mobilisation of
German military forces since World War II and the coast of Somalia
is patrolled by large numbers of naval vessels based at Djibouti
and Berbera. Not to be outdone, the TNG invited a top-level US
delegation to Mogadishu in April and has also pledged to assist
against the terrorist threat.
A number of reports have dismissed the role of Al-Itihaad within
Somalia and described its political influence on Somali politics
as negligible. Specialists in Somalia have pointed out that Ethiopian
forces routed the group militarily in 1997. Despite this, the
US and other Western governments have continued to insist on the
possibility of an Al Qaeda presence.
See Also:
US proposes limited
operations in Somalia
[18 December 2001]
Is the US preparing
an invasion of Somalia?
[6 December 2001]
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