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Ivory Coast: Talks to pave way for West African troops
By Trevor Johnson
1 November 2002
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The Ivory Coast (Cote dIvoire) remains poised on the
brink of a vicious civil war as talks get under way in nearby
Togo with the two sides no closer to agreement.
France and the United States are both very nervous about the
potential of the conflict in the Ivory Coast to destabilise the
vital oil-producing West African region. France is maintaining
its force of about 1,000 men until it can hand over the task of
maintaining stability to a contingent from ECOWAS, the regional
group of West African states. The West African force is expected
to consist of three battalions, incorporating more than 2,000
troops.
Rebel leaders of the Patriotic Movement of Ivory Coast (MPCI)
arrived in Togo for talks with the government. Togolese President
Gnassingbe Eyadema is to mediate the first round of talks. Rebel
demands are expected to include the resignation of President Laurent
Gbagbo, new elections, an end to discrimination against Muslims,
and for those dismissed from the army to be reinstated.
Many thousands of homes in the capital, Abidjan, have been
razed, as the government incited attacks on so-called foreigners.
On October 6, the state-controlled television station blamed the
rebellion on Burkinabe immigrants, and said that the key to victory
was to expel all 2.3 million Burkinabe immigrants from the country.
Government spokesmen later distanced themselves from these
broadcasts, but this is likely to be for external consumption
only. France and several West African countries have urged the
government to stop its attacks on foreigners.
The emergence of ethnic conflicts in a country that was until
recently thought of as one of the most stable in the region is
a political symptom of economic decline of the Ivory Coast. Since
1993 the gross domestic product has declined by more than 20 percent.
Following the death of Felix Houphouet-Boigny, the autocratic
president who took power after independence from France in 1960,
rival factions have come into ever sharper conflict over the control
of the country and the division of its declining wealth.
The dominant southern group around Gbagbo have promoted the
conception of Ivoirité (true Ivory Coast nationality),
and labelled as allogènes the many immigrants
from neighbouring states or other parts of the country. Such racist
terms were used in the elections of 2000 to exclude candidates
from the Muslim north of the country, such as the former prime
minister and main opposition leader, Alassane Dramane Outtara.
The talks follow the governments failure to defeat the
rebels militarily. Government troops made an assault on rebel-held
Bouaké on October 6-7, but were repulsed. On October 15,
government troops dislodged the rebels in Daloa, the capital of
the cocoa-growing area of the country. There were reports that
Angolan troops and armoured vehicles were involved in the attack,
although Angola has denied any involvement.
France has so far refused to increase its military backing
for the Gbagbo government. It has agreed to Gbagbos request
to establish a buffer zone between the rebels who control much
of the north and the government troops in the rest of the country.
But French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin warned Gbagbo
that even these troops could be withdrawn if the attacks on foreigners
continue.
Even as the cease-fire was signed on October 17, a group of
men wearing army uniforms ransacked a radio station owned by Hamed
Bakayoko, who is close to opposition leader Alassane Ouattara.
Bakayoko also owns Le Patriote newspaper, whose offices
were attacked and wrecked the previous day.
Ouattara has sought refuge in the French embassy. On October
22 French soldiers fired teargas and water cannon at thousands
of government supporters who attacked the French compound in an
attempt to kill him.
Although the French nominally support Gbagbos government,
relations are clearly strained. The BBC report that the
French ambassador continued to read his newspaper and refused
to stand as President Laurent Gbagbo entered the room during Wednesdays
summit.
In determining Frances course of action in the present
crisis, maximising French trade and profits from the Ivory Coast
will be the first consideration. French companies such as TotalFinaElf
have been amongst the main beneficiaries of the privatisations
carried out by French-backed governments. Three quarters of the
public sector businesses have already been privatised.
The current conflicts have caused severe dislocations in trade,
not only for the Ivory Coast itself, but also for the landlocked
countries of Burkina Faso and Mali, whose main route for imports
and exports has been closed since the military insurrection on
September 19. The Financial Times reported on October 11
that the fighting has jolted investors, and that the
Côte dIvoires Brady bonds now trade at
just 18 percent of face value.
While government troops are currently in control of the south
of the countryin which most of the big Western-backed businesses
and the important cocoa sector are locatedthe proximity
of rebel forces to the cocoa town of Daloa is seen as a major
threat to stability.
Following the recent French elections in which Chirac and his
party were returned to power, Ivory Coast is being seen as a test
of whether France will return to its previous policies in Africacombining
the use of bribery with military force. The intention to use military
force was signalled by the announcement that France is to increase
its spending on military hardware to $14 billion a year for the
next six years, partly in order to catch up with Britain, which
has already established itself in West Africa.
French options in the Ivory Coast are complicated by the increasing
domination of West Africa by the US. An ECOMOG force, should one
be sent in, will be dominated by troops from Nigeria, trained
and partly financed by Washington.
So far the US has allowed France to take a lead in the Ivory
Coast because it does not have any direct strategic interests
in the country, which has no oil reserves. As the Ivory Coast
disintegrates further into factional conflict and its economy
declines, it will become ever more difficult to establish and
maintain a stable regime. One of the USs main rivals in
Africa may thus become bogged down in an unwinnable war in its
former colony. It is also possible, however, that if a civil war
in Côte dIvoire begins to threaten the oil-producing
areas of the west coast, the two imperialist powers will come
into conflict at least indirectly.
See Also:
US and French troops help
force Côte DIvoire cease-fire
[5 October 2002]
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