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: News &
Analysis : Middle
East : Iraq
Washingtons warnings to Iran and Syria part of a broader
agenda
By Peter Symonds
2 April 2003
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Within two weeks of launching its invasion of Iraq, the Bush
administration has issued bellicose warnings to Iran and Syria,
effectively putting them on notice that they could be the next
targets.
US Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld lashed out at Syria last
Friday, accusing it of supplying sensitive military technology
to the Iraqi army, night-vision goggles in particular. Such equipment
poses a direct threat to coalition forces, he said.
We consider such trafficking as hostile acts and will hold
the Syrian government responsible.
He provided no evidence of any shipments nor could he point
to any involvement by the Syrian government. They control
the border, he declared, and to the extent that military
supplies or equipment or people are moving across the borders
between Iraq and Syria, it vastly complicates our situation.
In other words, shut the border or face the consequences.
Asked if he was threatening Damascus with military action,
Rumsfeld did not rule out the option. Im saying exactly
what Im saying, he said. It was carefully phrased.
Turning his attention to Iran, Rumsfeld demanded that Tehran
rein in the Badr Corps, the armed militia of the Shiite-based
Supreme Council of the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI). He
alleged that the fighters, who are Iraqi exiles, were not only
armed and trained by Iran but under its control. To the extent
that they interfere with the US military, he said, they
would have to be considered [hostile] combatants.
Rumsfelds remarks about the Badr Corps were somewhat
unexpected, given that SCIRI is one of six Iraqi opposition groups
officially recognised by Washington. Its leaders have held talks
with senior White House officials and it has been strongly represented
at US-sponsored meetings of Iraqi exiles over the past year. Rumsfelds
objection seems to be that SCIRI, unlike the two pro-US Kurdish
groups in northern Iraq, has refused to directly subordinate its
fighters to the US military.
Both Syria and Iran reacted angrily to Rumsfelds remarks.
Iranian government spokesman Abdollah Ramezanzadeh said the comments
are baseless. He reiterated Irans policy of formal
neutrality in the conflict, declaring: Tehran does not allow
any military activities on its border [with Iraq] in favour or
against any of the belligerent parties.
Syrian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Bouthaine Shaban said Rumsfeld
had made an absolutely unfounded, irresponsible statement.
Information Minister Adnan Omran went further, warning: It
takes only a madman to widen the circle of war. The Pentagon is
in real difficulties. He [Rumsfeld] has to throw the blame here
and there.
No one believes that Rumsfelds comments were simply about
night-goggles from Syria or Irans connections to the Badr
Corps. They were meant as a warning to governments throughout
the Middle East against providing any assistance to Iraq and as
a means to step up pressure on Damascus and Tehran in particular.
His remarks underscore the fact that the war in Iraq is part of
broader US plans to politically reorganise the Middle East and
subordinate the region to US interests.
In January 2002, President Bush branded Iran as part of an
axis of evil along with Iraq and North Korea. Last
May, US Undersecretary of State John Bolton accused Syria of pursuing
chemical and biological weapons programs, declaring it was one
step away from joining the axis of evil. In recent
weeks, Washington has reiterated warnings over Irans nuclear
program and its alleged weapons of mass destruction.
US Secretary of State Colin Powell reinforced the message last
Sunday in a speech to a prominent pro-Israel lobby groupthe
American Israel Public Affairs Committee. Speaking alongside Israeli
Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom, Powell accused Syria and Iran
of providing support for terrorist groups in the Middle East and
bluntly warned that there would be consequences.
Syria now faces a critical choice, Powell declared.
Syria can continue to support terrorist groups and the dying
regime of Saddam Hussein, or it can embark on a different and
more hopeful course... Syria bears the responsibility for its
choices, and for the consequences. He demanded that Iran
end its support for terrorists, including groups violently
opposed to Israel and to the Middle East peace process and
stop pursuing weapons of mass destruction.
Like other countries in the region, Iran and Syria are involved
in delicate balancing acts. Confronted with growing antiwar protests
at home, both governments have been publicly critical of the US-led
assault on Iraq. At the same time, however, they are anxious to
reach an accommodation with Washington to head off a direct confrontation
and to defend their own interests in the region.
Despite its position of neutrality on the war,
Tehran has been tacitly assisting US military forces. According
to a report in the Australian Financial Review, US special
envoy Zalmay Khalilizad met Iranian officials in Geneva on March
16 to reach an arrangement for the handing back of any US pilots
shot down over Iran. The newspaper explained: Iran also
agreed not to send any military forces across the border,
including those of the Badr Corps.
Last week, as US special forces and Kurdish militias in northern
Iraq were pounding the positions of Ansar al-Islam, a group alleged
to have ties with Al Qaeda, Iran sealed the border. Even wounded
Ansar fighters were denied access to medical treatment. As a result,
Washington has been able to claim a success, killing some 200
out of an estimated 700 Ansar members.
In the case of Syria, President Bashar Assad has described
the US-led invasion as a clear occupation and a flagrant
aggression against a United Nations member state. But for
all its proclamations of support for its Arab brothers in Iraq,
the Baath regime in Damascus has been a long-time rival
of its counterpart in Bagdhad and lined up to support the original
UN Security Council resolution allowing UN inspectors back into
Iraq.
While it subsequently joined France, Germany, Russia and other
members in blocking a second resolution authorising a US war on
Iraq, Syrias main preoccupation is with the impact of the
war on its economy. Damascus made a healthy profit out of circumventing
the UN embargo by selling goods to Iraq in return for heavily
discounted oil. According to a report by the Royal Institute of
International Affairs in Britain, the lucrative trade was worth
around $2 billion a year.
It is not only Tehran and Damascus that have reacted sharply
to the comments of Rumsfeld and Powell. Washingtons threats
against Syria and Iran cut directly across the plans of European
powers in the Middle East, including Americas closest ally
Britain.
Commenting in the London-based Times, the newspapers
foreign editor Bronwen Maddox noted the dismay among British officials,
particularly over the remarks of Powell, who has been viewed in
European ruling circles as something of a counterweight to the
hardliners in the Bush administration.
From Donald Rumsfeld, it was not surprising; from Colin
Powell, it was astounding, she declared. The location of
Powells speechbefore Israels most powerful
lobby group in the United Stateswill be inflammatory
to Arab countries already contemptuous of the Bush administrations
claim to be fighting this war for their advancement, she
warned.
But the real significance [of the speech] is the breach
it heralds with Downing Street, Maddox wrote, pointing out
that it cut across Washingtons commitment to a Israeli-Palestinian
road map that the Prime Minister [Blair] wantsand
needs. Moreover the twin bombardment undermined
British attempts to keep lines open to at least part of
the deeply divided leadership in Tehran. British diplomats argue
that Iran could be extremely useful in winning the Iraq waradding
that, as a matter of fact, it already has been, albeit in covert
ways.
There is not the slightest indication, however, that Washington
will alter its course, even if that means a break with the Blair
government in Britain. The Bush administration is now putting
into practice in Iraq and the Middle East plans that were drawn
up and pushed by rightwing ideologues and conservative thinktanks
from the beginning of the 1990s.
The reasoning behind the current threats against Syria and
Iran is outlined in a policy document written by the Institute
for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies in 1996 for the incoming
Netanyahu government in Israel. Among the authors were Richard
Perle and Douglas Feith, both of whom have been prominent neo-conservatives
in the Bush administration. The document argued for a clean
break with the land for peace strategy of the
previous Labour government and a far more aggressive policy toward
Israels Arab neighbours.
Israel can shape its strategic environment, in cooperation
with Turkey and Jordan, by weakening, containing, and even rolling
back Syria. This effect can focus on removing Saddam Hussein from
power in Iraqan important strategic objective in its own
rightas a means of foiling Syrias regional ambitions...
Damascus fears that the natural axis with Israel on
one side, central Iraq and Turkey on the other, and Jordan in
the centre would squeeze and detach Syria from the Saudi Peninsula.
For Syria, this could be the prelude to a redrawing of the map
of the Middle East which would threaten Syrias territorial
integrity.
These sweeping plans for redrawing the Middle East map were
conceived, of course, to be in the interests of Washington as
well as Israel. Seven years later, these same figures wield extensive
influence in the White House and are pressing ahead with their
reckless strategywith breakneck speed and scant regard for
the consequences.
See Also:
Washington's dirty military
intrigues in northern Iraq
[28 March 2003]
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