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Analysis : Middle
East : Iraq
Britain: Blair under pressure over failure to find weapons
of mass destruction in Iraq
By Chris Marsden
25 April 2003
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Every day that has passed since United States and British forces
seized control of Iraq has left the claims that war was waged
in order to eliminate the threat from weapons of mass destruction
looking more threadbare.
According to the latest reports from Washington, American military
forces are changing their search strategy after admitting unsuccessful
searches of more than 80 of the top 100 likely hiding places for
chemical and biological weapons as well as being unable to find
evidence of an Iraqi nuclear programmeas identified by prewar
US intelligence.
After more than a month of enjoying unrestricted access and
searching mosques, homes, factories and government ministries
all that is on offer from the Bush administration and the military
are a series of evasions. Lt. Gen. David McKiernan, the commander
of land forces in Iraq, merely said, This regime over the
last decade has been pretty good at hiding material and moving
it around, so it was no surprise to any of us that many of these
sites that weve already exploited have not necessarily turned
up the material.
Washington has refused point blank to allow a resumption of
weapons inspections by the United Nations, prompting Hans Blix,
the UNs chief weapons inspector, to comment, It is
conspicuous that so far they have not stumbled upon anything.
This is embarrassing for the Bush administration, but even
more so for British Prime Minister Tony Blair. The Labour government
faced widespread opposition to Blairs support for a US-led
war against Iraq, including from within his own party in the form
of two separate parliamentary revolts insisting that war could
only be declared with UN backing.
So great is the extent of public mistrust of the official rationale
for the war that sections of the media and the political establishment
have said that even if US forces claim in future to have found
evidence of weapons programs, no one will believe it was not forged
or otherwise manufactured by the CIA, the FBI or the Pentagon.
The planned 1,000-strong Anglo-American inspection team has been
dubbed Usmovic a reference to the UNs Unmovicby
those cynical of its independence.
UN Security Council members France, Russia and Germany are
all pushing for the US to allow UN inspectors to Iraq.
In response, a desperate Geoff Hoon, Britains Defence
Secretary, has held out the prospect of the search for banned
weapons being conducted by a country that is not a member of the
US-led coalition as opposed to an Anglo-American teamthe
sole purpose of which was to back up his insistence that the UN
is not the only body capable of providing independent verification
of Iraqs alleged weapons of mass destruction program.
This will not help Blairs position. When the final vote
in parliament on whether to support war was held on March 18,
he insisted that he possessed intelligence that proved Iraq had
been concealing weapons from the UN. It could not be revealed,
he said, as it would endanger Britains sources. Several
wavering MPs claimed to have been swayed by the assurances of
MI6 and other intelligence agencies that this was the case.
To make matters worse for Blair, Britain had issued two intelligence
dossiers claiming to expose Iraqs secret weapons programmes
which had both been the subject of severe criticism.
On September 24, 2002, Blair issued a dossier that was widely
disregarded at home and internationally as propaganda. Its 50
pages were full of assertions, half-truths and outright lies provided
by Washington but sold as the work of the British governmentclaiming
for example that Iraq could deploy nuclear weapons within
45 minutes and that Saddam Husseins presidential palaces
were in fact large compounds which are an integral part
of Iraqi counter-measures designed to hide weapons material.
This looks pretty sick after the events of the past months,
where all the palaces have been bombed, then searched.
Blairs second dossier was issued on February 3, 2003
and billed as a product of up-to-the-minute British intelligence
gathering. It was famously praised by US Secretary of State Colin
Powell during his February 5 address to the UN Security Council,
before being exposed as having been extensively plagiarised from
three articles, one written by an American graduate student, all
of which were months and even years old.
Blair is therefore highly vulnerable to criticism should no
weapons be found and cannot simply state that his aim was really
regime change all along and hope to bask in the reflected glow
of military victory.
Many former dissident Labour MPs are more than ready to make
their peace with Blair, but criticism within parliament persists.
And this is only a pale reflection of the extent of public disquiet
and the belief that the prime minister was lying.
Labours Alice Mahon is one of several MPs who are pressing
for a parliamentary inquiry into whether the public was misled
over Iraqs alleged weapons of mass destruction. Others include
Lindsay Hoyle, who says he voted in favour of war because he was
told there was hard evidence of an Iraqi weapons programme,
Doug Henderson and former Defence Minister David Hinchliffe.
Mahon has insisted that UN inspectors be allowed to continue
the search for nuclear, chemical and biological weapons in Iraq.
She told the Independent On Sunday, There is cynicism
about the US and a number of people have said to me, they
will find them (WMDs) because they will take their own in there
with them. That was the reason we went to war so lets get
it verified.
In the House of Commons, Lindsay Hoyle said, We were
led to believe that the Iraqis could fire them within 45 minutes.
If that was the case where have they vanished to? We were told
there was hard evidence.
Doug Henderson warned, If by the turn of the year there
is no WMD then the basis on which this was executed was illegal.
David Hinchliffe, now chairman of the Commons health committee,
said, For many of us who talked to ministers there was an
implication that more was known. Therefore a lot of people are
anxious to establish the truth.
Robin Cook, who resigned from Blairs Cabinet in protest
at the war, has also called for UN inspectors to be brought in
to verify any find. The former foreign secretarys resignation
speech had noted, Iraq probably has no weapons of mass destruction
in the commonly understood sense of the term.
Former cabinet minister Gavin Strang has also said the coalition
must allow UN inspectors back into Iraq.
The call for an inquiry by the cross-party Commons Intelligence
and Security Committee is said to enjoy the support of a number
of backbench Labour MPs. One unnamed but apparently well-placed
former minister told the Guardian newspaper, The
intelligence committee is raring to challenge the veracity of
what the security services told them about Saddam Husseins
chemical weapons. They were told what he had and where it was.
There may be a perfectly innocent explanation for all this, but
they dont seem to be able to find the stuff.
On April 20, the Conservative opposition opposed the demand
for a Commons inquiry, in line with its policy of supporting Blair
on Iraq. But it did say, There should be proof, and as soon
as possible, that weapons of mass destruction do exist. A call
for an inquiry is premature, but the international community will
not trust Americaand potentially usin future opinions
if the reason given for the war does not turn out to be valid.
Keeping their options open, they added that in the long term
an inquiry might prove necessary and even raised the possibility
of a return of UN inspectors. We would certainly support
the general principle that there has to be an appropriate inquiry
into the extent to which Saddam had weapons of mass destruction
but we are still confident they will find the kind of materials
they were talking about, said a spokesman.
Former Conservative Prime Minister John Major told the BBC
that it is very important for the perception of the rest
of the world that the coalition finds Iraqs WMD because
they were a fundamental reason that persuaded many people
to support the war.
If the weapons of mass destruction were not found, he explained,
one then has to ask a few questions about the intelligence
provided to the British or American governments.
Leading Tory and now European Union Commissioner, Chris Patten,
has also said the return of UN weapons inspectors to Iraq was
vital.
The Liberal Democrat foreign affairs spokesman, Menzies Campbell,
said calls for a parliamentary inquiry did not go far enough and
insisted that the government push for UN weapons inspectors to
be allowed back into Iraq.
He told the Independent on Sunday, Any inquiry
held in the UK or the US will inevitably be accused of bias. The
only credible approach is to allow Dr Blix and Unmovic to complete
the mandate the UN Security Council gave them under Resolution
1441. Only the United Nations will be trusted.
Defence Minister Lewis Moonie has rejected the calls for an
inquiry, with the somewhat pathetic appeal, Do not forget
we have only been in Iraq for four weeks.
Asked if Blair himself would assist such an inquiry, a Downing
Street spokesman said: We dont believe any inquiry
is needed, as we stand by our assessment that Saddam harboured
an active WMD programme. We have had a conflict to fight as well
as getting humanitarian aid to the people, but we are confident
of finding weapons of mass destruction in the longer term.
See Also:
Manufacturing the news: New York Times
report on Iraqi weapons of mass destruction
[23 April 2003]
What happened to Iraqs weapons
of mass destruction?
[22 April 2003]
New Iraq sanctions debate bares US-European
tensions
[21 April 2003]
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