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US and European leaders court North Africa
By Brian Smith
15 December 2003
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Last week European and North African leaders met in Tunisia
at the latest 5+5 Conference. This was immediately preceded
by US Secretary of State Colin Powells whistle-stop tour
of Tunisia, Morocco and Algeria.
The 5+5 Conference refers to five European and five
North African countries. This was the first such conference at
which all the heads of state of the 10 countries metthe
presidents of Tunisia, Algeria and France, the prime ministers
of Mauritania, Malta, Italy, Spain and Portugal, the king of Morocco,
Colonel Gadhaffi of Libya, as well as the president of the European
Commission and the secretary general of the Maghreb Arab Union
which represents all five of the African States.
The 5+5 Conference was set up in 1990, but has hardly
met since largely due to Libya being out in the cold. The ongoing
dispute between France and Libya, concerning the downing of an
airliner over Niger in 1989, was put on the back burner for this
conference. Gadhaffi chose not to address the conference, however,
saying somewhat cryptically that Words are Silver, but Silence
is Gold.
The 5+5 Conference is a part of European efforts to
bring North Africa entirely within its sphere of influence. President
Jacques Chirac of France reaffirmed the Euro-Maghreb area as a
strategic priority and promised that whilst the European Union
(EU) expands eastwards it will not turn away from its southern
bank.
The post-9/11 situation has seen increasing encroachment by
the US into a region that the major European powers have long
considered their sphere of influence. The EU is pushing for a
Mediterranean Basin Initiative (MBI) by 2010, which will bind
all of the Mediterranean countries to the EU in a trade bloc and
as a source of cheap imports and cheap labour. Europe already
has free trade agreements with several North African countries.
The main items on the agenda in Tunis were immigration and
the perceived threat from terrorism. The EUs position was
that it welcomes immigrants, but not in conditions of anarchy
and indignity. It pushed the African countries, particularly
Morocco, to maintain stricter controls. The Africans pointed to
the need for financial assistance from Europe to tackle the issue.
Algerian President Bouteflika observed that it was also poverty
and hopelessness that was driving young men in their countries
into extremist groups. We should not forget the need to
control the underlying causes of terrorism, he said.
Colin Powell visited the region immediately prior to the 5+5
Conference, and at short notice, in what would appear to be an
attempt to say his piece before the conference began. He was ostensibly
bolstering support for the US war on terrorism. A journalist asked
him if this visit was a form of competition with Europe over the
Maghreb. No competition whatsoever, he replied. This
was pure chance that my schedule permitted me to visit the Maghreb
during this period... I am not in competition with the 5+5
group or the French.
Powell arrived in Tunisia as the highest ranking US official
to visit in a decade. He invited the Tunisian president to visit
Washington during February 2004, and announced that the recent
Trade and Investment Framework Agreement between the two countries
will ultimately result in a Free Trade Agreement. He also announced
plans for the US to open a regional office of the Middle East
Partnership Initiative (MEPI) in Tunis next year. The MEPI is
an attempt to create a region-wide trade agreement to rival the
European MBI.
The Stratfor policy thinktank identifies the MEPI as making
a direct challenge to the Europeans. Whilst it would have little
impact in percentage terms to US trade, it would have a huge impact
in each Middle East and African country. Better credit rating
would allow them to draw in foreign investment and would also
strengthen their hand in negotiations with the Europeans. Any
free trade agreement would wrest small but significant amounts
of trade from Europe, thereby reducing European economic and political
influence in the region. The US is also able to offer more favourable
terms as agriculture and labour are not as big a problem for the
US as they are for the EU. The US can also negotiate deals faster
than the unwieldy EU.
As well as any trade rivalry, the Mediterranean represents
an important waterway for the US for the passage of both warships
and oil tankers. It therefore requires friendly nations and ports
of call on its southern shore.
Tensions over Morocco
After Tunisia Powell went to Morocco, a staunch US ally. He
announced a massive increase in US aid, ostensibly as thanks to
Morocco for its help in the war on terror. Military aid is to
be doubled and economic aid is to be increased fourfold. He noted
that free trade negotiations were progressing and hoped that they
would be concluded by the end of the year. For this purpose a
Moroccan delegation left immediately for Washington.
France has made its objections to these negotiations plain.
Last January French Foreign Trade Minister Francois Loos chastised
Morocco for seeking a free trade agreement with the US saying,
You cannot say you want a closer partnership with the EU,
and at the same time sign a free-trade agreement with the US...
You have to decide which one to choose.
France is clearly concerned that it is losing influence in
its former colony, and indeed throughout Africa, due to the intrusion
of US economic might. Rabat must consider the French threat carefully,
as the EU commands two thirds of Moroccan foreign trade. France
alone has 40 percent of Moroccan exports and 30 percent of its
imports, compared to just nine percent and six percent respectively
for the US.
The latest round of US-Moroccan free trade negotiations had
to be held in Geneva, rather than Rabat as planned, due to anti-US
sentiment in the Moroccan capital. They focused on demands by
US corporate lobbies for thoroughgoing legal reform in Morocco,
particularly regarding investment laws and enforcement of intellectual
property rights. US corporations are also demanding the removal
of laws dictating the maximum level of foreign ownership of companies
in certain sectors such as insurance, and the protection of confidential
business information particularly in the pharmaceutical industry.
The US also sees obstacles in the web of personal relations and
influence peddling necessary to get business done. The key problem
area, however, is in agriculture.
The Moroccan government made a plea for an incremental approach
to liberalising the agricultural sector, such as exists in their
Partnership Agreement with the EU. Morocco is a predominantly
rural economy, with 47 percent of its population living in rural
areas. Cereal crops account for 66 percent of its arable territory.
The country is already facing a rural exodus, with an estimated
230,000 migrating to the cities. It is wary of the long-term effects
of liberalising this sector as several years of low rainfall (1999-2002)
have caused an economic and social malaise well beyond the countryside.
They are looking for a phase in period of up to 10 years to soften
the impact of agricultural liberalisation.
After Morocco Powell stopped briefly in oil-rich Algeria, long
enough to praise its exceptional cooperation in the war
on terrorism. Powell felt it necessary to touch down here
as Algeria will become a temporary member of the UN Security Council
in January and the US is always looking for allies on this body.
Powell also sought to encourage Algeria to negotiate directly
with Morocco in respect of the thorny issue of Western Saharaa
phosphate rich territory which has recently sold exploration rights
to search for oil off its coast. We believe this is the
time for Morocco and Algeria to enter into serious discussions
as to how to move forward, he said.
Algerias position has been that Morocco should negotiate
directly with the Polisario independence movement, which is backed
by Algeria. Western Sahara also borders Algeria and effectively
gives the latter direct access to the Atlantic Ocean.
The US is promoting the Baker Plan to resolve the Western Sahara
issue. Put forward by the UN Secretary Generals Special
Envoy James Baker, who is also a key member of President Bushs
administration, it calls for a period of four or five years of
semiautonomy for Western Sahara, to be followed by a referendum
in which residents would choose to stay semiautonomous, to become
independent, or to be integrated fully into Morocco. Polisario
has cautiously welcomed these proposals, but Morocco has completely
rejected them.
In October, 14 Moroccan political parties rejected the plan
as a dangerous escalation in an artificial conflict.
They insisted that any plan that threatens the reality
that Western Sahara is Moroccan territory is unacceptable. Morocco
wants direct talks with Algeria and Powells suggesting this
to Algeria appears to be a compromise in favour of Morocco.
Chirac recently came out in full active support
of Moroccos position, though Europe is far from united on
this question. Spain has historically opposed Morocco and supported
the independence of its former colony. The Baker Plan is
not dead, declared Spanish Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar
recently. The dead are dead, except in politics where they
often return to life.
Aznar is coming under growing domestic pressure to consolidate
Spains position within the expanding EU by putting the immigration
issue and external policy to the fore. At its closest point Spain
is only 7.5 miles from Morocco and it is this stretch of water
that most illegal immigrants risk their lives to cross.
Spains relationship with Morocco has not been good. Apart
from the Western Sahara question, there are issues surrounding
Spains enclaves of Ceuta and Melilla, the recent standoff
over the islet of Perejil/Leila and also over fishing rights.
Following the 5+5 Conference, Spain met with Morocco
in bilateral talks seeking a rapprochement with its southern neighbour.
The thorny issues were kept off the agenda, with the talks focusing
primarily on immigration. The two countries announced that they
will be undertaking joint immigration controls as from January,
and pledged to tackle the people-smuggling mafias.
The key outcome of the talks, however, was a package of soft
loans and debt swaps amounting to 390 million euros, which Spain
has granted to Morocco. This is the largest financial package
ever granted by Spain to any nation. It aims to create jobs and
housing and to stem the flow of illegal immigrants to Europe.
See Also:
Bushs tour and US imperialisms
designs on Africa
[15 July 2003]
Franco-African summit: the
scramble for Africa intensifies
[3 March 2003]
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