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Russian elections: Putin consolidates regime of managed
democracy
By Vladimir Volkov
18 December 2003
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The December 7 elections to Russias State Duma gave a
sharply distorted expression to the dissatisfaction felt by tens
of millions of citizens with the conditions created by more than
a decade of market reforms. The popular vote showed
that the population is increasingly hostile to the ongoing destruction
of social welfare, collapsing living standards and growing social
inequality. At the same time, it is left without any real political
alternative in a system that is crudely manipulated by ex-Stalinists
and the rising class of criminal businessmen.
The main victor in the elections was the pro-Kremlin party
United Russia, which united unprincipled government
officials and representatives of big capitalists, who have staked
their fortunes on Russian president Vladimir Putin.
The party won nearly 37 percent of the vote, guaranteeing it
more than 200 deputies in the 450-member State Duma lower chamber.
It will effectively dominate the parliament and have the power
to legally change the Russian constitution if it sees fit.
The other striking result of the vote was the collapse of the
two leading parties of the liberals, the Union of Right Forces
and Yabloko. Having collected less than 5 percent of the vote
each, they have been ejected from the Duma, despite the massive
cash infusions by the various oligarchic clans and their active
campaign in mass media. The crushing rejection of these parties
at the polls can be explained primarily by their identification
with the social catastrophe of Yegor Gaidars shock
therapy and the predatory privatisation under Anatoly Chubais.
The success of the nationalists on December 7 was expressed
first of all in the strengthening of the chauvinist Liberal Democratic
Party under the ultra-right demagogue V. Zhirinovsky. Liberal
Democrats campaigned under the slogan For Russians, for
the poor and gained about 12 percent of the vote. Zhirinovskys
increase in votes may be explained by the active support by the
authorities and the major TV outlets, which featured his antics
practically daily for the past few weeks.
The voting bloc Motherland also received a significant
9 percent of the vote. This blocled by the economist and
former minister in the cabinet of Gaidar, S. Glaziev; and by the
nationalist-populist and partner of General A. Lebed in the 1996
presidential elections, D. Rogozinwas formed only a few
weeks before the election on a programme that included nationalising
the natural wealth of the country.
The Kremlin lent support to the Motherland bloc,
seeing it as a means to weaken the Communist party, as well as
to give itself a political cover for the Putin administrations
attacks on some of the oligarchs.
Finally, the elections showed a significant fall in the influence
of G. Zyuganovs Communist Party of the Russian Federation
(CPRF), which collected fewer votes than ever (13 percent). Throughout
the 1990s, the CPRF served as a political instrument for diverting
social dissatisfaction into harmless channels.
This party had invariably sided with the government on all
decisive political questions: the decision to dissolve the Soviet
Union, the privatisation programme, the Chechen wars, Kremlin
zigzags with respect to US aggression in Iraq. It repeatedly demonstrated
its statesmanlike responsibility and unbreakable ties
to the new ruling elite. The true nature of CPRFs politics
has now been conclusively expressed in the form of direct alliances
with some of the major oligarchic clans. In this latest election,
it included a number of big business representatives on its federal
delegates list.
No public debates
The electoral campaign was notable for its exclusion of virtually
any serious discussion. The victorious United Russia
bloc even provocatively refused to participate in televised debates.
One observer from the newspaper Nezavisimaia Gazeta wrote
on December 5: The pre-election declarations this season
represent a political consensus. This is the first time when the
leading parties agree with one another on practically every topic,
starting with their evaluation of the present situation and ending
with their lists of urgent measures.
The writer continued: ...Russian voters face a terribly
difficult choice. Regrettably, it is not a choice among programmes,
ideologies or political strategies, but a choice of whether to
go and vote or to stay at home. Or, perhaps, to go and to vote
against everyone. This is because copying of programmes
by the parties from one another is a sign of disrespect for the
voters. They calculate that the voter will accept anything at
all. After all, how can you understand that the various parties
promise the same thing, but march separately, and still posture
as irreconcilable enemies.
As a result, the percentage of ballots cast was lower than
in the elections in 1996 and 1999. It was only due to various
accounting tricks that the Central Election Commission was able
to report that 60 percent of the eligible voters had gone to the
polls. Even if we accept this report, it means that the victorious
pro-Putin party won just over 20 percent of the possible vote.
Absent from the elections was any expression of the interests
of the broad masses of Russian working people. All the listed
parties and organisations represent big business and the state
bureaucracy. They are distinguished solely by the degree of their
devotion to either the market or state
values, as well as by the extent of their social demagogy. Even
those most loyal to the regime were forced to admit this: the
former chief editor of Nezavisimaia Gazeta, Vladimir Tretiakov,
who is today a columnist for the pro-government Rossiiskaia
Gazeta, wrote on November 20, There isnt a single
party that would in the very least respond to the interests or
the moral and esthetic standards of a normal human being.
Growing social inequality
These elections were conducted within the context of worsening
relations with Washington over events in Georgia and Moldova,
and also in an atmosphere of instability produced by the continuing
war in Chechnya. On December 5, just before the vote, there was
an explosion on a local train in Yessentuki in the south that
killed 41 people and inured another 150. Two days after the December
9 vote, another explosion occurred, this time in the heart of
Moscow near the Hotel National. Six people died and 14 were hurt.
Above all, what feeds Russias instability is the huge
chasm of social inequality separating the thin layer of new
Russian entrepreneurs from the vast majority of society.
The following figures illustrate this essential fact of social
life:
* According to the results of the 2002 census, in Russia there
are about 1 million employers, about 2 million entrepreneurs and
another 600,000 landlords who live by renting out property or
their apartments. Taken together, this amounts to 3.6 million
people who have something to lose. At the other extreme,
140 million people exist on wages and pensions, which even the
official statistics evaluate as averaging under $150 per month.
* Government sources state that in 1991, within the Russian
Federation, the income of the wealthiest 10 percent of the population
was 4.5 times higher than the income of the poorest 10 percent.
By the year 2000, this ratio grew to 14.3. According to some studies,
the wealthiest 2 percent get 33.5 percent of the total national
income; the poorest 10 percent only receive 2.4 percent of this
income.
* At the end of 2001, the Russian Goskomstat (state statistical
agency) estimated the subsistence minimum at 1,600 rubles (about
$55) per month. About one-third of the population, around 50 million
people, lived below that minimum.
* Eighty-five percent of the capital of the largest Russian
private firms is controlled by only eight groups of stockholders,
according to a 2002 report prepared by analysts for the Moscow
office of the investment bank UBS Brunswick Warburg.
* In February 2003, the American magazine Forbes published
its latest list of the planets wealthiest, which included
17 Russian citizens, all of them with a net worth of more than
$1 billion.
This unprecedented social polarisation and the political consequences
of this huge concentration of property in the hands of an insignificant
minority make democratic rule in Russia unviable.
Even the mass media is forced to admit the acuteness of this
problem. Rossiiskaia Gazeta on December 2 published a typical
article entitled Two Russias. Its author, the political
scientist Leonid Radzikhovsky, wrote:
Enormous numbers of impoverished voters, and millionaire
candidates (over 50 percent of the candidates are dollar millionaires,
even according to their well-tailored official declarations)...
It is obvious that there cannot be any common interests; the candidates
try to connect themselves to the voters with thin threads of demagogy,
which break and tear on the day of the vote. These antagonistic
elections do not pose a threat of a social collapse or a
revolution because of the absence of any naïve trust and
hope, which are necessary for revolution. But such elections do
threaten to alienate from politics the voting lower depths
and to imbue the elected higher ups with extremes
of political cynicism.
Problems solved by authoritarian means
The ruling elite reacts to the extreme alienation of the wide
masses by executing ever-harsher antidemocratic measures. This
tendency has under Putin exceeded the levels of the Yeltsin period,
and has now received among the political experts and mass media
the label managed democracy.
The meaning of this euphemism is clarified for us in an interview
with one of the leading supporters of this course, S. Markov,
which the German Sueddeutche Zeitung published December
2. Here is the most colourful excerpt from this interview:
Q. How does this managed democracy function?
A. The idea is simple. Managed democracy
is a system, under which those problems that it is possible to
solve democratically are solved by democratic means. And those
problems, not susceptible to democratic solutions are solved by
other means.
Q. Which other means?
A. Authoritarian.
Q. And who decides, when to apply democratic means, and
when authoritarian?
A. The President and his administration decide that.
The strengthening of authoritarian tendencies is accompanied
by reinforcement of the apparatus of repression. This includes
promoting the role of special services, a general attack on democratic
and civil rights, and ever-more aggressive policy in favour of
the wealthy. Three years of Putins rule have achieved much
in this direction: the 13 percent income tax was introduced; the
aggregate social benefits tax was reduced by 5 percent; the pension
reform was started (this reform aims to turn all pensions over
to privately held investment funds); the diminution of the already
threadbare social programmes and benefits continues; the long-planned
reform of energy systems and of the provision of communal services
and utilities is beginning to be put into action.
Political decisions are made behind the scenes, while the role
of the parliament is becoming purely decorative.
Liberal-bourgeois parliamentarianism in Russia has a notoriously
unhappy record. In the early 20th century, the czar called the
Duma together and dissolved it at will. When, for a short while,
between February and October of 1917, the parliament did gain
a measure of independence, it fell under the domination of the
Soviet of Workers and Soldiers Deputies, and had an
appearance of authority only due to the conciliatory policies
of the SR and Menshevik leadership of the Soviets.
When the head of the provisional government, Alexander Kerensky,
attempted to consolidate power, he could find no other base of
support than the extreme right wing and the aspiring dictator
General Kornilov. Kerensky totally discredited the very idea of
a bourgeois parliament in the eyes of the worker and peasant masses.
In January 1918, basing themselves on the will of the people
as shown by the conquest of power by the revolutionary party,
and on a more advancedcompared to bourgeois parliamentarianism
form of democracy embodied in the Soviets, the Bolsheviks
dissolved the Constituent Assembly, which found defenders only
among a tiny group of people.
Seven decades later, when Stalinism collapsed, many people
in Russia thought that parliamentarianism would finally seize
the historical opportunity. These hopes proved fleeting. After
Yeltsins tanks shot up the parliament in October 1993, the
country was subjected to a constitution that accorded the Duma
a role analogous to that granted by the last of the Romanovs.
History made a full circle. Parliamentarianism ended up with the
same results it had started with 100 years earlier.
The results of these latest elections only confirm the total
collapse of parliamentarianism . Russia now has what is referred
to as a one-and-a-half-party system (the party
of power, plus other factions, which in aggregate amount
to half of its power). The parliament has no authority among the
people, and the chief executive (president) views it as a machine
to rubber-stamp laws designed by his administration, so as to
give them a democratic veneer.
The apparent omnipotence of the Putin regime has, however,
quite definite limits. It can dispose of one particular oligarch
or get a governor elected, but it cannot establish a reliable
and working state apparatus, enforce the laws, fight corruption,
regional separatism, etc.
In reality, the apparent might of the president is only the
reverse side of the general impotence of the regime. The obedient
parliament can in no way play the role of safeguarding stability
and democracy. It only multiplies the general vulnerability
of the authorities to any shock, foreign or domestic. This is
the logic of a bonapartist regime: the more it attempts to dress
up its standing above classes, the less able it is
to react to socially produced impulses, the weaker it is vis-à-vis
any real social problem.
No future for Russian parliament
Events since 1991 have amply demonstrated that bourgeois-liberal
parliamentarianism cannot play any independent or progressive
role in Russia. This fact is but one expression of the technical
and economic backwardness of the country under a capitalist regime.
Since the authority of the parliament has been consistently
diminished, there are no grounds to expect a reversal of this
trend. Yet, the authorities and their Western benefactors are
interpreting the election results in this way. At the end of the
voting, Putin proclaimed that the results signaled a movement
in the direction of democracy. At the same time, he naturally
reaffirmed the continuity of the reforms in favour
of the new property holders and the transnational corporations.
In the West, the results of the elections were subjected to
definite, although measured, criticism, yet their results were
largely seconded. One typical response is seen in the headline
of an editorial in the December 8 New York Times: Russia
moved a tiny bit closer to democracy.
Despite the axioms of modern liberal mythology, the capitalist
West is not at all a guarantor of democratic development in Russia.
What transnational capital absolutely requires is the continuing
prosecution of capitalist reforms. This goal temporarily
overrides Western devotion to the sacred foundations
of democracy. In the view of the European and American governments,
Putins authoritarianism is a lesser evil, which
must be accepted and even utilised.
These elections give nothing to the Russian working class.
The policies aimed at destroying the social and economic heritage
of the Soviet Union will be continued. Even if some measures nationalising
natural resources are implemented, this will only be done in the
interests of world capital, under the tight control of the bureaucracy,
and with a goal to smother the growing social tensions.
Construction of the pro-presidential majority in
the Duma will better define the limits of the new social division:
the organised ruling elite stands opposite the greater mass of
the people. It will likewise expose all the more clearly that
the countrys problems have no solution on the basis of capitalist
reforms. The way out of this social and political impasse lies
with the creation of a new party of the working class, standing
on the best socialist and internationalist traditions of Bolshevism
and the Russian Revolution of October 1917.
See Also:
Khodorkovskys arrest
and the defenders of billionaires democracy
[4 November 2003]
Bushs Moscow
summit: Putin submits to Washingtons partnership
[5 June 2002]
Russian President Putin
moves toward authoritarian rule
[3 June 2000]
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