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Analysis : Middle
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Iraqi colonel says he is source of 45-minute claim on Iraqi
WMDs
By Chris Marsden
10 December 2003
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The December 7 edition of Britains Sunday Telegraph
featured an interview with a Lieutenant Colonel al-Dabbagh, who
claims to have passed information to British intelligence warning
that Saddam Hussein had deployed weapons of mass destruction
that could be used against coalition troops in less than 45 minutes.
Far from helping the Blair Labour government in Britain by
verifying its claims that Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction,
however, al-Dabbagh has only added to its difficulties arising
from the inquiry by Lord Hutton into the death of Dr David Kelly.
Kelly, a top weapons inspector, killed himself last July after
he was exposed as the source of a report on BBCs Today
programme claiming that the Labour Government had included
the 45-minute claim against the wishes of MI6 in order to sex
up the September 2002 intelligence dossier on Iraq in order
to justify going to war.
During the Hutton inquiry, MI6 head Sir Richard Dearlove said
that the information contained in the dossier relating to the
45-minute claim had come from a single established and reliable
source serving in the Iraqi armed forces. According to the Telegraph,
Privately British intelligence officers have claimed that
they believe the original source was killed during the war.
They clearly did not want any examination of the source because
it was already apparent that even were his information accurate,
it was used wrongly. The information was supposed to relate only
to battlefield weapons, but Prime Minister Tony Blair in his foreword
to the dossier cited the 45-minute claim next to details of Iraqs
alleged possession of al-Hussaid missileswhich it was said
could strike British bases in Cyprus.
The possibility of weapons of mass destruction being used to
threaten British interests became the excuse for Britain joining
the US-led attack on Iraq, as numerous newspapers focused on the
alleged threat.
The claim made by Blair has already been exposed as a lie.
John Scarlett, chairman of the Joint Intelligence Committee, admitted
to the Hutton inquiry that the 45-minute claim did not relate
to chemical and biological weapons at all, but to battlefield
mortar shells or small calibre weaponry.
Former Foreign Secretary Robin Cook, who quit the cabinet over
Iraq, also cited a private conversation on March 5, 2003 during
which Blair had accepted his conclusion that Saddam could not
attack foreign cities, let alone in the 45-minute timeframe implied
by the September dossier. Cook had come to this conclusion, he
says, based on a presentation on February 20 by Scarlett.
When he was questioned during the Hutton Inquiry, Defence Secretary
Geoff Hoon said he knew the claim in the dossier referred to battlefield
weapons only. He was asked by Andrew Caldecott QC, for the BBC,
why, after newspapers had led with suggestions that the 45-minute
claim related to strategic missiles, was no corrective statement
issued for the benefit of the public? Hoon had replied:
I dont know.
Despite expressing his desire to help the Blair government,
Lt. Col. al-Dabbagh compounds its difficulties with his claims.
The Lieutenant Colonel is said to have commanded an Iraqi air
defence unit in the western desert during the build-up to the
war in Iraq. He believes that his reports were the source of the
dossiers claim that Iraq could launch WMD within 45 minutes
and after reading the relevant passage declared, I am the
one responsible for providing this information.... It is 100 percent
accurate.
He states that cases containing WMD warheads were delivered
to front-line units, including his own, towards the end of 2002
that were to be used by Saddam Husseins Fedayeen paramilitaries
and units of the Special Republican Guard if the war with the
US and Britain reached a critical stage. But he then
goes on to describe weapons that could only be for battlefield
use. The devices were, he says, designed to be launched by hand-held
rocket-propelled grenades.
The Telegraph report continues, Although he gave
details of Iraqs battlefield WMD capability, he said that
he had no knowledge of any plans by Saddam to use missiles to
attack British bases in Cyprus and other NATO targets.
Col al-Dabbagh said that he doubted that Iraq under Saddam
had this capability. I know nothing about this. My information
was only about what we could do on the battlefield.
Lt. Col. al-Dabbagh has offered to give evidence to the Hutton
Inquiry if it were reconvened. He told the Telegraph, I
admire Mr Blair because he made Iraq secure from Saddam. If Saddams
people kill me for saying this, I do not mind. I have done my
duty to my country and we have got rid of Saddam.
And if the British Government wants me to come to London
to tell the truth about Saddams secret weapons programme,
I am ready to help in any way I can.
But, as one would expect from people with a great deal to hide,
the governments reaction to an offer to open up an old political
wound has been decidedly cool. Prime Minister Tony Blair said
of the Telegraph report, Were not prepared
to comment but we urge all those involved to provide the Iraq
Survey Group [the coalition body searching for Iraqs alleged
WMDs] with whatever information they believe they have.
No comment was forthcoming from either Whitehall or the Foreign
Office.
There are other awkward questions raised by al-Dabbaghs
assertions, which do not ring true. Despite the mass of detail
he cites, including descriptions of the boxes containing the weapons
and the location of the factories at which they were produced,
on other specifics he is less forthcoming. He claims he does not
know whether they were either chemical or biological weapons
or where they are now. They have been simply hidden by pro-Saddam
loyalists.
And when he is more specific, the dubious character of his
claims becomes apparent.
The Telegraph reports, Saddams officials
also gave elaborate instructions on how to use the weapons. Because
of their limited range, those responsible for firing them were
to dress in civilian clothes and drive in civilian vehicles with
yellow number plates.
Each military unit was given two four-wheel drive
Isuzu cars, said Lt. Col. al-Dabbagh. We were not
allowed to use them and they had to be kept in good condition.
If the war reached a critical stage and Iraqs forces were
in danger of being overrun, then designated officers would be
given the task of driving the vehicles towards coalition positions
and firing the weapons.
The Telegraph states that al-Dabbagh saw a group
of Fedayeen attempt to use one of the warheads against an American
position on the outskirts of Baghdad on April 6. They were
going to use this weapon, but then they realised that they would
kill lots of Iraqis who did not have masks, so they put them in
their cars and drove off.
This raises the question of what use small arms weaponry that
had to be fired from a nearby car would have been in a battle
with the US? Major Charles Heyman, editor of Janes World
Armies, commented: This is a very strange report, frankly.
Biological weapons cant really be used effectively
at short range, and are no use to a frontline commander.
In al-Dabbaghs case the presumption should be that his
evidence is not to be believed, given that he is a man with a
definite political agenda. His aim is not only to support Blairs
claims that Saddam Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction,
but also to insist that they are a continued threat that can be
employed by remnants of the old regime. In this way he hopes to
justify further repression by the occupation forces and their
puppet government, for which he functions as an advisor.
As was so often the case, if al-Dabbagh claim of origin is
to be believed then the intelligence cited in the September dossier
came from forces anxious to bolster the case for war against Iraq
and with a vested interest in the Bush administrations plans
for regime change.
Lt. Col. al-Dabbagh was spying on the Iraqi government on behalf
of the Iraqi National Accord (INA) or Wafik, a London-based exile
group that was set up by MI6 after the first Gulf War and later
backed by the CIA.
Dr Ayad Allawi, the head of the INA, and General A.J.M. Muhie,
both prominent member of Iraqs Governing Council, have confirmed
that they passed al-Dabbaghs reports to both British and
American intelligence officers sometime in the spring and
summer of 2002.
In the 1990s the INA was involved in a failed CIA attempt to
overthrow Saddam Hussein. It was made up of military and security
officers who had defected from Iraq and who were believed to have
continued influence within the countrys military and security
elites. From 1995 the INA was allowed to operate openly from Amman,
Jordan. Its leaders assured the CIA that they were in close contact
with top officials still in Baghdad and these insiders could oust
Saddam. But Iraqs intelligence services were able to penetrate
the INA and in June 1996 a hundred military officers linked to
the INA were arrested and 30 were executed. Successive US governments
had given the organisation upwards of $16 million dollars and
they would have expected favourable intelligence reports at the
very least in return for their investment, once the planned coup
had failed and all-out war had been decided on.
See Also:
Britain: Lessons of the Hutton
Inquiry
[24 September 2003]
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