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Analysis : Middle
East : Iraq
EU summit agrees on war against Iraq as a last resort
By Peter Schwarz
19 February 2003
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Two days after millions took to the streets in worldwide protests
against an Iraq war, the government leaders of the European Union
(EU), meeting in Brussels, agreed a resolution that expressly
approves of war as a last resort.
The resolution, accepted by all of the participating governments,
is a patchwork melange, with phrases inserted to meet the political
requirements of governments sharply divided over Washingtons
demand for a quick end to United Nations weapons inspections and
the initiation, within weeks, of a US-led invasion.
While containing language that implicitly criticizes the US
position, the resolution underscores that the stance of France
and Germany is by no means based on a principled opposition to
what will be a war of colonial conquest. The resolution echoes
uncritically the basicand fraudulentpremises of the
US war drive, concealing Washingtons imperialistic aims
and promoting the lie that it is motivated by a desire to protect
the world from Iraqi weapons of mass destruction.
The Greek president of the European Union had called the special
meeting for Monday to overcome the gulf opened up by the widely
differing stances inside Europe on the issue of Iraq. The meeting
was regarded as an opportunity to salvage whatever remains of
a joint European foreign policy. The result was a compromise formulation
that covers over existing differences, but in no way resolves
them.
In voting for the common resolution, the German government,
in particular, shifted significantly from its former position.
Previously it had rejected any sort of military intervention,
but with the new resolution it has backed an ultimatum to Iraq,
demanding unconditional cooperation and leaving the
door open for the use of military force.
The summit resolution begins with an acknowledgment of the
central authority of the United Nations Security Council in dealing
with Iraq, an implicit criticism of the Bush administrations
repeated assertions of its readiness to attack Iraq, with or without
the sanction of the UN Security Councila threat that has
been echoed by the Blair government in Britain.
The resolution goes on to call for the full and effective
disarmament of Iraq. According to the European heads of
state, this should take place peacefully, and the
resolution declares that war is not inevitable. At
the same time, the possibility of a military intervention is expressly
recognised, although the resolution states, Force should
be used only as a last resort.
In the following passage, Iraqalong the lines dictated
by Washingtonis threatened with serious consequencesthe
diplomatic code word for military attackshould it refuse
to cooperate unconditionally with the demands of the great powers:
Baghdad should have no illusions: it must disarm and cooperate
immediately and fully. Iraq has a final opportunity to resolve
the crisis peacefully. The Iraqi regime alone will be responsible
for the consequences if it continues to flout the will of the
international community and does not take this last chance.
The most determined European supporters of warGreat Britain,
Spain and Italymade concessions of their own in Brussels
by dropping the demand for a time limit for completion of weapons
inspections, and agreeing a formulation that states: UN
inspectors must be given the time and resources that the UN Security
Council believes they need. This is distinctly different
in emphasis from the line emanating from Washington, where administration
officials are declaring that inspections will be allowed to continue
only for weeks, not months, and Bush himself is quipping,
in his inimitable fashion, that Saddam Husseins time
is up and the game is over.
This diplomatic nod to the position of France and Germany is
immediately followed in the resolution by a gesture toward the
US-led war faction: However, inspections cannot continue
indefinitely in the absence of full Iraqi cooperation.
Overall, the summit resolution approximated most closely the
position taken by the French government, which is calling for
an extension of the UN weapons inspections, while refusing to
exclude the possibility of a military strike. Only recently French
President Chirac made a point of emphasising that France
is not a pacifist country.
The Wall Street Journal on Tuesday provided a sense
of the thinking of the French government, quoting a senior
member of Mr. Chiracs ruling right-of-centre coalition
who said over the weekend, All we need is a few extra weeks
from the Americans, so we can say the [UN weapons inspectors]
got a chance to do their job. Its a question of saving face.
The agreement to the resolution by Germany is in line with
the stance favoured by German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer
and differs from the standpoint of the German chancellor, Gerhard
Schröder (Social Democratic PartySPD), who has declared
he would under no conditions vote in favour of a resolution for
wara line enthusiastically supported within his own party.
Fischer (Green Party) has sought to avoid taking a categorical
position on the war, regarding such a position as a limitation
on his room for diplomatic manoeuvre. These differences have led
the Green Party leader to come into conflict with the German chancellor
in internal government discussions.
On the Sunday evening prior to the EU Summit, France, Germany
and Belgium gave way on the issue of NATO assistance to Turkey,
and agreed military measures for the defence of the country in
the event of an Iraq war. This means Turkey will be able to immediately
order up Awacs reconnaissance flights, Patriot missile systems
and Fuchs-type trace tanks that will be manned mainly by German
soldiers.
Prior to last weekend France, Germany and Belgium had blocked
such a move, arguing that it sent the wrong signal and was detrimental
to a peaceful resolution of the Iraq conflict. As a result, all
three nations were subjected to furious criticism from the American
side.
The agreement resolved the open split within NATO statesin
the face of initial American oppositionthat the moves to
assist Turkey should be regarded as neither a decision in favour
of war nor sanction for the participation of NATO in military
action against Iraq. According to the official wording, NATO assistance
should be limited to purely defensive purposesalthough it
is obvious that in the event of war it is virtually impossible
to draw a distinction between what are defensive and offensive
military measures.
Agreement on the lowest common denominator
There are a number of reasons why the European governments
felt obliged to arrive at a joint declaration on the issue of
Iraq. The massive turnout at the February 15 antiwar demonstrations,
which far exceeded the expectations of march organisers, came
as a shock to all of the European regimes. In light of the intervention
by millions of people into the war crisis, all of the bourgeois
government heads felt obliged to close ranks, despite the differences
dividing them.
In the aftermath of the protestswhich saw millions demonstrating
in RomeItalian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has sought
to distance himself from his former stance as an avid supporter
of war on Iraq, and is now attempting to act as an intermediary
between France and Germany on the one side, and Great Britain
and Spain on the other.
Even British Foreign Minister Jack Straw conceded that it is
very difficult for a country to go to war in defiance of public
opinion. Of all the European government heads, British Prime Minister
Blairs position is, in the near term, the most precarious.
His political future would be in doubt should he support a unilateral
war by the US. Facing massive resistance from the people, plunging
approval ratings and growing opposition from the parliamentary
Labour Party, he might well lose his job. Blair, therefore, has
the most urgent need to cobble together support for a second Security
Council resolution authorizing military action against Iraq.
Germany and France hope to exploit Blairs dilemma to
drive a wedge between London and Washington, and thereby weaken
the position of the Bush administration, which relies heavily
on Blair to give it a cover of international support.
For its part, the German government fears political isolation
and believes the time is opportune to shift from its former position.
Under massive pressure from Washington, the German government
is concerned not only about the existence of NATO, but also the
European Union itself, upon which Germany has based its own schemes
to extend its influence throughout Europe and beyond.
The ruthlessness with which the US has disrupted the activities
of the European Union has provoked profound alarm in both Berlin
and Brussels. In its latest edition, the German news magazine
Der Spiegel reports on a secret paper from the office of
the foreign policy head of the EU commission, Javier Solana, which
accuses the US of using eastern European countries to hinder the
expansion of the European Union in the areas of foreign and security
policy. According to the paper, the Americans are determined
to play off one European player against the other.
On the Iraq issue, Washington has openly sought to enlist its
East European clients as a counterweight to France and Germany.
In a clear snub, leaders of East European states that are due
to be admitted as EU members were not invited to Mondays
summit. In Brussels, French President Chirac remarked acidly,
They have missed a terrific opportunity to keep quiet.
He went on to threaten them with obstacles on their path to joining
the EU. If they wanted to lessen their chances of entry, he said,
they could have hardly found a better way of doing it.
Despite the efforts to arrive at a common European position,
the resolution arrived at in Brussels can only mask, but not overcome
the divisions in the European Union. The agreement is based on
the lowest common denominator. Above all, two decisive issues
were excluded: first, the timing and criteria for withdrawal of
the weapons inspectors and transition to the last resort,
i.e., war; second, the response of the EU should the US, in the
end, take military action without the benefit UN sanction.
Great Britain and Spain have said they are prepared to support
the US government even if it undertakes unilateral action, but
Germany and France are insisting that only the United Nations
can sanction war. At the moment, they are attempting to delay
a second UN Security Council resolution on the Iraq issue for
as long as possible. The next conflict could arise precisely on
this issue.
British and American diplomats are working on the draft of
a new UN resolution that could possibly be presented to the Security
Council this week. The draft will reportedly state that Iraq remains
in material breech of UN resolutions and present the
country with a short-term ultimatum. The resolution would provide
the basis for the US undertaking military action at any time it
chooses.
France and Germany have opposed a second resolution. They want
to continue inspections on the basis of Resolution 1441, which
was passed by the Security Council last November. Intensifying
the pressure on Blair (and underscoring the flimsy substance of
the resolution passed at the EU summit), Chirac reiterated Frances
opposition to a new Security Council resolution, declaring, There
is no need for a second resolution today, which France would have
no choice but to oppose.
But as the concessions made by France and Germany in Brussels
and on the issue of NATO assistance for Turkey demonstrate, these
governments could shift their position on Iraq at any time. The
stakes are particularly high for the German government.
With growing unemployment and a mounting social crisis at home,
the SPD-Green coalition is currently at the nadir of its popularity.
It is under considerable pressure from the conservative opposition,
which is broadly lined up behind the Bush government. Should France
change its position and leave the German government standing alone
in its foreign policy, the continued existence of the Schröder
regime would be in doubt.
The resolution of the European heads of government is a further
manoeuvre in a complex web of policy and intrigue, in which the
real driving interests and aims are concealed from the people,
and each government attempts to uphold its interests in the face
of domestic and foreign pressure. It is impossible to base any
serious opposition to the Iraq war on the diplomatic thrusts and
feints of bourgeois governments. Instead, it is necessary to arm
the broad movement against war that emerged so dramatically last
weekend with an international socialist perspective. Only this
will enable the working class to intervene as an independent political
force.
See Also:
Iraq war splits NATO
[13 February 2003]
How to deal with America?
The European dilemma
[25 January 2003]
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