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In the midst of budget meltdown
Republican right tries to overthrow California Governor
By Andrea Cappannari
3 July 2003
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In the midst of the worst budget crisis in the states
history, a layer of the far-right political establishment in California
has undertaken a full-scale effort to remove the states
Democratic Governor Gray Davis from office through a recall.
Begun in January of this year, the campaign claims that Daviss
out of control spending and failure to publicize the
looming budget crunch during his reelection campaign make him
personally responsible for the more than $38 billion state deficit.
With a total annual budget of $76 billion, Californias treasury
is short of over half of the money needed to fund state services.
Spearheaded by a layer of right-wing ideologues unwilling to
tolerate even the center-right politics of Davis and Californias
Democratic Party, the recall campaign bears a striking similarity
to the Clinton impeachment, which sought to overturn the results
of a democratically held election despite the absence of any mass
support for such a move.
Signature gatherers employed by the Rescue California
and Recall Davis organizations and paid $1 per signature
have jointly collected about half of the approximately 900,000
signatures needed to place the recall question on a ballot. If
the petition drive is successful, an election will be held to
decide the issue in either November 2003 or March 2004. The date
of the recall ballot depends on how soon the requisite signatures
are submitted to the Secretary of States office.
California law mandates a peculiar procedure for the recall
of a state officeran election to recall the governor will
be held in tandem with an election to choose his successor, should
that recall be successful.
In a recall election, voters will be asked to vote on two questions.
The first of these is whether or not Governor Davis should be
removed from office. A straight majority of votes will decide
the matter. The second question will be a list of candidates that
the voters can choose from in order to replace Davis should the
recall be successful.
With the exception of Davis himself, who is ineligible, anyone
who can submit 100,000 signatures or 65 signatures and $3,500
can run as a replacement candidate. Primaries will not be held
by the two major parties in order to decide who will represent
them. Instead, numerous candidates from the same party canand
it is expected willcompete for the governorship.
It is possible to vote no on the recall and still
choose a replacement for Davis in the event that the recall is
successful. However, only a plurality of the vote is needed for
the successor to win the governorship. In the event that the governor
is recalled, it is likely that whoever replaces him would have
the support of only a small percentage of the population.
The procedural structure of the recall also means that the
election of a replacement candidate is something of a crapshoot,
with little certainty as to who Daviss successor would be.
Prior to a $1 million donation from multimillionaire Republican
Congressman Darrell Issa of Vista, California last month, the
recall campaign was weak and expected to peter out. However, since
the infusion of funds from Issa, the campaign, which is spearheaded
by a layer of conservative anti-tax advocates and central figures
from Californias Republican Party, has come to pose a serious
threat to Daviss governorship.
Issas political background exposes the nature of the
political interests behind the recall drive. Owing his personal
wealth to the profits amassed from a car alarm business, he comes
from one of the most right-wing counties in California. He has
a political record typical of the most conservative sections of
the Republican Party, having voted along White House lines on
the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the amendment to ban flag burning,
the restriction of so-called partial-birth abortions, and the
multibillion-dollar tax cuts.
In a display of crass opportunism, he is the only person thus
far who has announced he will run as a replacement candidate in
a recall election. He is currently under investigation for violating
the McCain-Feingold Act on campaign finance by soliciting soft
money contributions for the recall effort.
While at a certain level Issas personal political calculations
play a role in the recall campaign, the effort to remove Davis
from office has a wider base of support within the California
Republican Party.
The recall is unfolding in the context of a legislative impasse
in the State Assembly over the passage of a budget designed to
meet Californias $38 billion deficit for the fiscal year
that began July 1. The Republicans are refusing to sign on to
a proposal put forward by Davis that includes a combination of
massive spending cuts, borrowing, a half-cent sales tax increase
and a hike in vehicle registration fees. Instead, they are insisting
that the state cut its way out of this massive financial holea
proposal that would mean the elimination of half of Californias
state budget.
The budget fight is a study in brinkmanship. Despite the fact
that they are a minority in the State Assembly, the Republican
minority has arrogantly rejected any compromise. Because the budget
deadline has already passed, state funding is only able to continue
at the moment because of $5 billion left over from an $11 billion
loan taken out last month. These monies will run out in August,
at which point all but the most essential state services will
essentially shut down and state employees will see their salaries
revert to the minimum wage of $6.75 an hour. The state is already
withholding funds for community colleges, nursing homes and schools.
The support of a section of Californias Republican Party
for the recall has escalated the pressure on Davis in the budget
standoff. In tandem with other leading Republican members of the
state legislature, the vice-chair of the Budget Committee, John
Campbell, has come out in support of the recall effort. Jim Brulte,
leader of the Republicans in the State Senate, has not made a
public statement of support for the recall. However, his recent
statement that he will work to ruin the political career of any
Republican who breaks ranks and signs onto Daviss budget
proposal expresses a determination to cripple Daviss leadership
and is regarded by many analysts as indicating implicit support
for the recall effort.
In addition to Issa and the Republican state legislators, key
Republican politicians and party activists in California, including
Bill Simon Jr. (who lost to Davis in November 2002) and Hollywood
actor Arnold Schwarzenegger, are supporting the recall drive and
reportedly considering running as replacement candidates. The
far-right Libertarian and American Independence parties, as well
as a section of the Green Party, are also backing the measure.
Those spearheading the recall base themselves on that narrow
layer of the population and business interests that view even
the minimal tax increases proposed by Davis as intolerable and
the massive social spending cuts as far too limited. On July 1,
the Republican Party unveiled its own budget proposal, which would
solve the crisis in part by imposing more than $1 billion in additional
cuts in public education. This would be carried out by raising
the kindergarten enrollment age, thereby denying entry to over
100,000 children in the coming school year, and by slashing money
for the states public university system by the equivalent
of one years funding for an entire university campus.
Despite the fact that the recall effort, if successful, will
take the form of a popular referendum, the effort to remove Davis
is an attempt at a political coup by a section of the far right.
Davis had only just been reelected and returned to office in January
of this year when the recall drive was unleashed.
Hostile to democratic rights and divorced from the needs of
ordinary Californians, this layer has no mass base of support
among the working and middle class people in the state who will
be suffering the fallout of the budget deficit.
The vast bulk of the signatures in support of the recall have
thus far come from some of the wealthiest and most right-wing
counties in California. To whatever degree the recall receives
any wider support among the population, it does so by tapping
into and attempting to confuse the deep-seated and widespread
anxieties and anger felt by millions of people about the looming
impact of the budget crisis on the states social infrastructure.
While Daviss record is no better than that of other big
business politicians and the financial disaster confronting California
is very real, the reasons for this crisis cannot be attributed
to him personally. Ultimately, the $38 billion hole in the state
budget is the product of the reactionary economic and political
policies that have been pursued by both Republican and Democratic
politicians over the past several decades, amounting to a frontal
attack on the living standards of Californias poor as well
as the states working population.
The real origins of the massive state deficit lie in the energy
crisis of 2001-2002 that saw the plundering of Californias
treasury by the major energy corporations, as well as in plummeting
tax revenues due to the collapse of the information technology
industry and the implosion of the stock market bubble. Also contributing
to this crisis is the cumulative impact of a tax policy that,
beginning with the freezing of property tax rates in 1978 under
Proposition 13, combines cuts in income and property taxes for
the wealthy with higher regressive sales taxes on the poor and
working class.
Thus far, the White House has not made any public statement
about the Davis recall campaign. Its reticence is symptomatic
of the uncertain short-term political implications of the effort.
Some reports indicate that Karl Rove, President Bushs chief
political advisor, is critical of the recall because he feels
it is detracting from Bushs fundraising for the 2004 election.
This concern is coupled with the belief that Bushs 2004
reelection campaign in California will be aided by running in
a state in which a Democrat is at the helm of a government mired
in the worst financial crisis in its history.
However, other reports claim that the White House is quietly
encouraging the recall behind the scenes. A columnist for the
LA Weekly reported that Rove had been in touch with state
Republican Assembly Chair Jim Brulte to express his support for
an aggressive posture towards Davis in relation to both the budget
and the recall. Brulte, who has not come out publicly in support
of the recall, denies that any such exchange occurred.
It is possible that one of the aims of those spearheading the
recall is to seriously destabilize the Democratic Party in California,
which President Bush lost in 2000, and which is expected to be
a hotly contested state in the 2004 contest. As the recall effort
has emerged as a serious challenge to Davis, the Democratic Party
has struggled to orient itself in the midst of an attack on a
standard bearer whose approval ratings stand at somewhere below
25 percent.
At the national level, the Republican Party is reportedly split
over its attitude towards the recall, with similar concerns to
those supposedly held by the White House about the benefits and
dangers for the 2004 election campaign. A similar attitude is
held by elements within the state Republican Party, who in agreement
with the Democrats see the recall effort as a danger to the states
tenuous economic position.
A recall would throw this state into chaosguaranteeing
that Californias deep economic malaise would continue,
read a recent Open Letter in the Los Angeles Times
asking Bush to intervene against the recall.
It is unlikely, however, that the California Republicans would
be mounting such an offensive against Davis without the tacit
support of important sections of the national party. Indeed, the
continued public silence of the White House on the matter is a
signal, at the very least, of Bushs willingness to see what
benefits might arise from the Davis recall.
Indeed, the use of a right-wing cabal of political and business
leaders to overturn the results of a democratic election are not
methods foreign to either the Republican Party or the Bush White
House. The tactics being used by Issa and the California Republicans
echo those employed at the national level in the impeachment trial
of Clinton and in the 2000 election Florida recount. Issa has
hired Ben Ginsberg, the lead counsel for the Bush team in the
2000 Florida recount, as his senior legal advisor in the recall
campaign.
After a period of publicly ignoring the right-wing challenge,
the states leading Democrats have come out in opposition
to the recall. However, they have not mounted a strong defense
of the governors political record and his handling of the
budget crisis. It is not clear what the Democratic Party will
do if the recall effort makes it onto the ballot, as they will
be confronted with the possibilities of either potentially allowing
a Republican candidate to win a replacement candidate vote or
running candidates against a sitting Democratic governor.
Currently, three potential Democratic contenders for the replacement
governorshipCruz Bustamante, Phillip Angelides and Bill
Lockyerhave said that even if the recall makes it to the
ballot, they will not stand as replacement candidates. However,
US Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein, the leading California
politician within the party, has not ruled out a possible candidacy.
The campaign to defend Davis against the recall is not being
spearheaded by the California Democratic Party itself. Instead,
a group of labor unions, religious organizations, civil rights
groups and business interests opposed to the Republicans
efforts have created the Taxpayers Against the Recall
coalition and the Stand for California Coalition.
The trade unions are playing a leading role in these efforts.
They are using the recall as justification for their subordination
to the Democratic Party and their support for the Davis budget
proposal. While more moderate relative to the cuts demanded by
the Republicans, the Democrats proposal spells disaster
for the working class in California. Even with the minimal tax
increases included in the Davis budget, the state will seek to
resolve the budget crisis through dismantling social services
and cutting state funding for all manner of education, health
care, the environment and public safety.
Davis is currently demanding that 180,000 state employees relinquish
the 7 percent wage hike they received only last year.
See Also:
Budget deadline looms for
California
[10 June 2003]
California budget crisis deepens
[14 March 2003]
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