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Tokyo aid conference fails to restart Sri Lankan peace process
By Wije Dias
17 June 2003
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An aid conference held in Tokyo on June 9-10, with the participation
of 51 countries and 20 international finance agencies, granted
$US4.5 billion to Sri Lanka spread out over four years. More than
expected, the money pledged was, however, conditional on the success
of peace negotiations between the Colombo government and the Liberation
Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) which have recently stalled.
The LTTE boycotted the conference after the government rejected
its demand for the establishment of an Interim Council to oversee
reconstruction and development in the war-ravaged northeast of
the island. Colombo proposed a number of alternatives within the
existing constitution in the two weeks leading up to the conference,
but none were acceptable to the LTTE.
Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe attended the Tokyo conference
and delivered the opening report, which promised a provisional
administrative structure with wider powers to the LTTE.
He was clearly jubilant that his proposals to restart the peace
talks and for economic restructuring were endorsed by the major
powers. Todays Tokyo declaration sets out a new framework
which I strongly believe will re-energise Sri Lankan peace and
development, he declared.
But the optimism soon dissolved after the LTTE indicated it
was not about to restart the talks. Citing grievances over the
truce agreement and lack of assistance for Tamils, the LTTE broke
off negotiations after Washington blocked its attendance at a
preliminary aid conference in the US in April.
An LTTE statement on June 11 accused Wickremesinghe of not
offering anything new at the Tokyo conference and condemned
his proposed administrative structure for the northeast. The
Prime Minister is taking cover behind the laws and constitution
of Sri Lanka, which have effectively institutionalised racism
against which the Tamil people have been struggling for decades,
it declared.
The statement betrayed a distinct nervousness over the growing
involvement of the major powers, particularly the US, in the so-called
peace process and the mounting demands on the LTTE. It accused
the government of shifting the peace process from third
party facilitation to the realm of international arbitration by
formidable external forces. Declaring it would not be bound
by the Tokyo declaration, the LTTE stated: The Colombo government
with the active assistance of the facilitator and its international
tactical allies has formulated the strategic paper
to superimpose its own agenda on the LTTE.
The comments represented a marked shift from the LTTEs
initial attitude towards the major powers and Norwegian facilitators.
As recently as February, chief negotiator Anton Balasingham told
an LTTE gathering in Germany: The international community
which called us terrorists, extremists, militants is inviting
us monthly and talking to us with due respect. This time we have
been invited by Germany. The reason for this is our diplomatic
move.
But the elation evaporated in April when Washington barred
LTTE representatives on the grounds that the US lists the LTTE
as a terrorist organisation. US Deputy Secretary of State Richard
Armitage outlined a series of demands for the ban to be liftedessentially
that the LTTE renounce the armed struggle and disarm. Ignoring
the increasingly aggressive actions of the Sri Lankan armed forces,
he insisted: The Tigers need to honor the restrictions and
conditions that the ceasefireand future negotiationsset
on their arms supply... Logically, down the road, this is going
to include disarmament issues themselves.
After announcing its temporary withdrawal from the peace talks,
the LTTE sent a letter to the Norwegian facilitators on May 21
indicating it would only attend the Tokyo aid conference if an
efficient, radically new administrative mechanism with wide
powers was instituted immediately. But the major donor countries,
particularly the US, EU and Japan, declared that the conference
should go ahead irrespective of the LTTEs participation,
encouraging Colombo to reject the LTTEs demand.
A political dilemma
The LTTE is caught in a dilemma. Its top leaders have already
discarded their battle outfits for business suits and made a series
of substantial concessions in a bid to win international respectability.
The organisation has given up its demand for a separate Tamil
statelet in return for the prospect of a power-sharing arrangement
with the Colombo government and has signalled its support for
free market policies. But it has received nothing in return that
could be presented to the Tamil masses as an achievement. Instead,
the LTTE faces demands for disarmament before any political resolution
has been agreed.
As the peace talks have dragged on, the LTTE leadership has
been losing its local and foreign support base. In its May 21
letter, the LTTE referred to the failure of the talks to address
any of the pressing social problems in the areas devastated by
the 19-year civil war. The lack of performance and the failure
to produce tangible results on urgent humanitarian issues has
eroded all confidence of the Tamil people in SIRHN [Sub-committee
on Immediate Rehabilitation and Humanitarian Needs], the only
single institution that was created through lengthy sessions of
dialogue.
When the LTTE withdrew from the peace process and SIRHN meetings,
the Wickremesinghe government proposed new administrative arrangementsthree
layers of committees, including local government institutions
for development and reconstruction. In rejecting the proposal
and calling for an Interim Council, Balasingham revealingly declared:
We will be ridiculed by the Tamil masses for having fought
a liberation war for political independence and statehood and
finally end up with village committees devoid of any authority.
Colombo and the LTTE exchanged another four letters prior to
the Tokyo conference. Wickremesinghe insisted that any administrative
arrangement for the northeast had to comply with the existing
constitution. His government continues to face opposition from
President Chandrika Kumaratunga, her opposition Peoples Alliance
(PA) and various Sinhala extremist groups that are opposed to
any concessions to the LTTE and the Tamil minority.
The LTTE wrote to Wickremesinghe on May 30: We can certainly
understand the fragile position of your government caught up with
an enraged president seeking revenge and an entrenched constitution
that allows no space for manoeuvre. But, as Balasingham
bitterly noted, the LTTE faced major problems of its own. He complained
that, the main international and regional players... continued
to treat the LTTE shabbily as a proscribed entity with a terrorist
label to be excluded from international forums. The LTTE
had done its best, he explained, to advance the negotiating
process even at the risk of losing grass-root support.
Faced with the prospect of further demands at the Tokyo conference,
the LTTE wanted an interim administration established quickly,
without any international involvement, in order to salvage its
standing. The pro-LTTE newspaper Suderoli (Burning Light)
revealed the leaderships concerns about growing US and Indian
pressure in a comment on June 1. Movements, which are fighting
for liberation, have to face an international problem and Eelam
Tamils are no exception. In this respect the Japan conference
is a trap to bring the Tigers to the international conference
and pressurise the LTTE, it warned.
Wickremesinghe, however, ignored the LTTEs concerns and
sent a further letter to the LTTE on June 1 offering only cosmetic
changes. He conceded that the LTTE could participate in what he
called the Apex Body and would have a majority
voice but provided no concrete detail and simply proposed
a comprehensive and substantial dialogue to clarify and
expand the new structure.
Balasingham replied within 48 hours, rejecting the governments
proposal. Desperate for an Interim Council prior to the Tokyo
conference, Balasingham asked frustratedly: How many rounds
and negotiations do the parties have to undergo to arrive at a
final formulation of this new bureaucratic institution?
He also openly expressed concerns that Wickremesinghes proposal
would be subject to international endorsement. This endorsement
will not be forthcoming since some of the powerful international
and regional players are prejudiced against us and continue to
deny our hard earned status as the true representatives of our
people, he said.
Like the LTTE, the Wickremesinghe government is desperate for
a resumption of peace talks. The United National Front (UNF) won
the 2001 elections and defeated Kumaratungas PA by promising
to end the war. Wickremesinghe has the backing of major sections
of Sri Lankan business that have come to regard the conflict as
a barrier to foreign investment and economic growth. If the peace
process fails, the government could rapidly lose their support.
Kumaratunga, the PA and the Sinhala extremist Janatha Vimukthi
Peramuna (JVP) have actively sought to undermine the peace talks
by appealing to chauvinist sentiment. In the lead-up to the Tokyo
conference, they jointly campaigned against any interim council,
claiming it would be a first step towards a separate Tamil state.
In order to fend off the opposition challenge, the UNF has clearly
decided it cannot afford to make any major concessions to the
LTTE.
Wickremesinghe is also acutely aware that he cannot cross Washington.
US Deputy Secretary of State Armitage, who co-chaired the Tokyo
conference, made it crystal clear that any solution to the Sri
Lankan conflict will be on US terms. Referring to the LTTE boycott,
he praised Japan for not succumbing to the temptation to
be blackmailed by a group who would not participate.
Armitage no doubt calculates that the LTTE will eventually
be compelled to drop its protest and return to the negotiations.
The implied threat all along has been that the Bush administration
could make the LTTE the next target in its war on terrorism
and provide Colombo with significant military backing. Despite
growing tensions in its own ranks, there is little doubt that
the LTTE, whose strategy all along has been to win major power
backing, will fall into line with US demands.
All of these manoeuvres underscore the fact that the so-called
peace process has nothing to do with the interests of ordinary
working peopleTamil or Sinhalese. They are the means for
advancing the interests of the major powers in Sri Lanka and the
broader region and for imposing drastic new economic restructuring
that will further erode the social position of the broad masses
of people throughout the Indian subcontinent.
See Also:
LTTE protests over exclusion
from US aid conference
[1 May 2003]
Provocative naval attack threatens
future of Sri Lankan peace talks
[9 April 2003]
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