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Analysis : Middle
East : Iraq
British troops lay siege to Basra
By Peter Symonds
27 March 2003
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Amid a welter of media reports, rumour and speculation about
a possible anti-Hussein uprising in the southern Iraq
city of Basra, simple facts have been conveniently buried. A large
force of mainly British troops has surrounded and laid siege to
the city of 1.3 million people, most of whom now have no electricity
and clean water, and is responsible for creating a humanitarian
crisis, potentially of huge proportions.
The Wafa al-Qaed water treatment plant, which supplies over
60 percent of the citys water, was put out of action last
Friday during the attacks by British and US warplanes. Bombing
knocked out high-tension cables, cutting the citys power
supplies and shutting down pumping and treatment facilities at
the plant.
On Tuesday, engineers from the International Committee of the
Red Cross (ICRC) and local city technicians managed to start up
three of the plants six back-up generators but clean water
is only available to about half the population. Moreover, the
generators are a stopgap measure.
ICRC spokeswoman Antonella Notari stated: There are reports
of people drinking river water that has sewage flowing in it.
That is an alarming sign. For the children, the elderly and the
more vulnerable, it could be serious. She pointed out that
the water available from the citys other treatment plants
was of poor quality.
The World Health Organisation warned that the lack of clean
water could rapidly lead to outbreak of respiratory infections,
diarrheal diseases and measles, which are already major killers
of young children in Iraq. The UN Childrens Fund (UNICEF)
estimated that up to 100,000 children under the age of five were
at immediate risk of severe disease from unsafe water.
As the military blockade continues, other essential supplies,
including food, will begin to run out. Like the rest of the Iraqi
population, Basra residents were heavily dependent on supplies
provided under the UNs limited oil-for-food program, which
was suspended on March 18. US and British officials, of course,
deny any intention of starving Basra into submission but the logic
of the siege is obvious: allied propaganda blared out through
loudspeakers and dropped in leaflets promising abundant food and
assistanceonce the city falls.
Within that context, reports of an uprising in Basra on Tuesday
have to be treated with considerable scepticism. The efforts of
US and British officials to portray the city as being on the brink
of revolt, held in check only by fear and terror inspired by pro-Hussein
militia, are a cynical attempt to justify their own actions. Lurid
stories about pro-Hussein militia using mortars and artillery
against the rebels are being used as the pretext for artillery
barrages on civilian areas and the bombing of buildings, including
the Baath Party headquarters, in the crowded city centre.
That is not to say that widespread opposition among the predominantly
Shiite population of Basra does not exist. But as many media pundits
have now been compelled to admit, hostility to Hussein does not
necessarily translate into support for a US occupation of Iraq.
Among the Shiites there are bitter memories of Washingtons
duplicity in 1991, when the US encouraged a rebellion against
the Hussein regime with promises of support and then abandoned
the rebels to their fate. Thousands were killed in reprisal as
the Iraqi army regained controlled.
Moreover, there is no reason why the citizens of Basra should
welcome as liberators those who have imposed a debilitating
economic embargo for over a decade and, under the guise of enforcing
the southern no-fly zone, have repeatedly bombed targets
in or near the city. Even the Shiite organisation with the closest
links to Washingtonthe Supreme Council of the Islamic Revolution
in Iraq (SCIRI)has warned that US forces will be welcome
in Iraq only to get rid of Hussein. Iraqis will resist if
they seek to occupy or colonise our country, SCIRI leader
Mohammed Baqir al-Halim told the press.
After nearly a week, the population of Basra has not welcomed
the British troops with cheering and flowers. The US and British
have now declared the city a military objective indicating
that they no longer believe it will fall of its own accord.
Claims that the population is simply being suppressed by pro-Hussein
militia appear to be highly exaggerated. The exact number of defenders
varies from report to report, but a figure of around 1,000 Fedayeen
militia backed by other regular soldiers and irregular fighters
is commonly referred to. It is implausible that a force of this
size could maintain control of the city and hold British troops
at bay without considerable local support.
A fleeting uprising
The British military have been actively encouraging a rebellion.
According to several media reports, US and British intelligence
agents have been inside the city for several weeks working to
provoke a revolt. Propaganda to the same effect has reached residents
via radio, loudspeakers and leaflets. Attempts have been made
to decapitate Husseins apparatus in Basra: British
troops seized a senior Baath official and killed 20 bodyguards
in a snatch operation in the Basra suburb of Az-Zubayr
on Tuesday.
So it is not surprising that British spokesmen latched onto
any news of anti-Hussein resistance in the city. The reports,
however, have all been sketchy, conditional and heavily laced
with propaganda. Major General Peter Wall told reporters the apparent
uprising could be the beginning of something important
but provided no details. Other accounts claimed that the uprising
was provoked by an announcement that a prominent Shiite leader
was to be executed.
No British troops were sent into the city. Underscoring the
uncertainty, a senior officer told the Telegraph newspaper:
Its no way a situation we can control and anything
can happen. Its highly dangerous in there. We would have
to be damn sure things were safe before sending the British military
into what could be a nightmare scenario. The lack of information
did not stop Blair, senior US officials and the share markets
from seizing on the news as a positive sign in an otherwise bleak
picture.
But the uprising, if it ever occurred, appears to have rapidly
evaporated. Senior Iraqi officials denied any revolt had taken
place. A SCIRI spokesman in Tehran, Abu Islam, told the media
on Wednesday: No, there is no uprising. Some disturbances
took place last night in different parts of Basra, but it is not
widespread and it was not an intifada. The people chanted slogans
against Saddam.
The Qatar-based Al-Jazeera television station showed pictures
of Basra residents quietly queuing up for gas bottles. According
to the stations reporter, one of the few journalists inside
Basra: There are no indications in the city that people
rose up against the regime, and a state of calm prevails in the
city.
Reports of the uprising were greeted with ambivalence in the
White House. US Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld declared: I
am very careful about encouraging people to rise up. We know there
are people in those cities ready to shoot them. Rumsfelds
concern, however, is not for the wellbeing of Iraqis but with
the political implications of such a revolt.
It may be expedient for the US military in the short-term to
encourage a rebellion in Basra and other cities so as to avoid
the high risks of street-to-street fighting. But an insurgent
population, and moreover one that is potentially extremely hostile
to the US military presence, would threaten the Bush administrations
aims in Iraqthe establishment of a neo-colonial regime in
Baghdad.
See Also:
Faced with popular resistance
US prepares for slaughter in Iraq
[26 March 2003]
Iraqi resistance shatters US propaganda
of "liberation" war
[25 March 2003]
A shameful day in American history
US blitzkrieg turns Baghdad into an inferno
[22 March 2003]
The crisis of American capitalism and
the war against Iraq
[21 March 2003]
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