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US budget and tax debate
Bush, Congress wrangle over how best to fatten the rich
By Patrick Martin
21 May 2003
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No satirist of the wealthy, no populist critic of corporate
greed could have devised a more absurd or disgusting scenario
than that being played out in Washington this month, as the Bush
administration, the House of Representatives and the US Senate
wrangle over the exact shape of a tax cut that will pour hundreds
of billions of dollars into the pockets of the richest Americans.
Eighteen million American workers, either unemployed or underemployed,
are presently without full-time work. Millions of these jobless
have exhausted their unemployment benefits. Severe poverty is
on the increase, especially for black and other minority families.
More than 41 million people lack health insurance. Schools and
other public services are crumbling, while nearly every state
government faces a huge deficit and is carrying out draconian
cuts in social spending.
Yet the domestic agenda of the Bush administration and the
congressional Republicans consists of a perpetual search for new
ways to transfer the resources of the federal treasury into the
hands of the super-rich. Currently the White House and Congress
are squabbling over whether to eliminate the taxation of corporate
dividends or cut the tax rate for capital gains. Either way, the
vast bulk of the tax cut will go to the richest one percent of
the American population.
Bush initiated the latest round of tax cuts for the wealthy
with his proposal in January for a cut of $726 billion over the
next decade, more than half of it from eliminating the tax on
corporate dividends. After resistance from a handful of Republican
senators to such a large tax cut on the eve of warand with
predictions of a federal budget deficit approaching $500 billionthe
Senate Republican leadership slashed the proposed cut to $350
billion.
The House Republican leadership countered by reducing the anticipated
cost of the tax cut to $550 billion. They revised the tax cut
extensively, dropping the proposed change in taxation of dividends
and promoting instead a sharp reduction, to only 15 percent, in
the tax rate for both dividend income and capital gains. This
would mean that wealthy stock speculators would have the same
tax rate on their multi-million-dollar trading profits as the
lowest-paid workers on their minimum wage paychecks.
Both bills were passed last week by their respective houses,
each by a narrow margin and each in near-unanimous party-line
votes. The House of Representatives voted May 19, approving the
tax cut legislation by 222 to 203, with only three Democrats supporting
the bill and only four Republicans opposing it. The Senate voted
by a 51-49 margin, with two Republicans opposing and two Democrats
supporting. The two bills will now go through a reconciliation
process, leading to a final version to be voted on by the two
houses of Congress and signed by Bush.
The House bill cuts the tax rate for dividend income from 38.6
percent to 15 percent for high-income Americans, and for capital
gains income from 20 percent to 15 percent. The Senate version
phases out the dividend income tax entirely, but then restores
it in 2007 in a bookkeeping maneuver to lower the total projected
cost.
Both bills accelerate the tax cuts already voted by Congress
in 2001. These were originally to be phased in over a ten-year
period, but under the bills passed by the House and Senate the
cuts scheduled for 2004 and 2006 would be instituted immediately,
retroactive to January 1, 2003.
The House tax cut is even more heavily skewed to the wealthy
than Bushs initial proposal, since capital gains are monopolized
by the richest one percent. A joint study by the Urban Institute
and the Brookings Institution found that a taxpayer with an income
of $1 million would receive a cut of $105,636 under the House
plan, compared to $89,509 under the Bush plan. Middle-income taxpayers,
with family incomes between $50,000 and $75,000, would get only
$712 under the House plan, or $734 under the Bush plan. The average
working-class taxpayer, with a family income between $40,000 and
$50,000, would receive only $456 under the House plan, or $482
under the Bush plan.
Senate Republican leaders pushed a version of the tax bill
through the Senate Finance Committee that included no cut in the
dividend tax, because of opposition from a Republican member of
the committee, Senator Olympia Snowe of Maine. Once the bill was
on the Senate floor, however, a new version was substituted that
included the dividend cut. The key vote to approve the substitution
came by 51-50, with Vice President Dick Cheney casting the tie-breaking
vote for legislation that will cut his own personal taxes by more
than $100,000 a year.
Enron-style accounting
There are two principal aspects of the latest round of Bush
tax cuts, whatever the details of the legislation that finally
emerges: irresponsibility and greed.
As a fiscal measure, the tax legislation brings to the federal
government the methods of Enron, Arthur Andersen and WorldCom.
Only the scale is different, as the Bush administration cooks
the books to the tune of trillions rather than billions or tens
of billions of dollars.
One estimate, by economists for Citigroup, projects a $500
billion budget deficit for the current fiscal year, nearly double
the previous largest federal deficit, with the prospect of a rapid
escalation in red ink in succeeding years. Already the Bush administration
is proposing the largest ever increase in the federal debt ceiling,
a whopping $984 billion, which would swell the total federal debt
to $6.4 trillion.
Both the White House and congressional Republicans deliberately
understated the full cost of the tax breaks for the wealthy. Bushs
original plan for $726 billion in cuts over 10 years could end
up costing twice as much, given its optimistic economic assumptions.
The House and Senate versions are even more fictitious, making
use of a device called sunsetting, in which various
tax breaks are instituted and then scheduled for elimination four
or five years hence. This makes the ten-year projection for the
budget look more practicable, although none of those involved
actually believes that the tax cuts, once adopted, will ever be
rescinded.
Sunsetting was first instituted in the 2001 tax cut, where
the White House based its financial projections on the assumptionaccepted
by Congressthat the entire cut would be repealed in 2010.
The purpose of this convenient fiction was to keep the projected
ten-year cost of the tax cut within limits set by a congressional
budget resolution.
The House tax bill sunsets many of its provisions, including
the accelerated child tax credit, small business tax relief, and
the elimination of the so-called marriage penalty. All these measures
will be phased in from 2003 to 2005, then rescinded, to lower
the total projected cost. The Senate bill does the same thing
with the dividend tax, which is to be reduced by 50 percent in
2004, eliminated entirely in 2005 and 2006, then restored in full
for 2007. These contortions are required to keep the total cost
of the bill below $350 billion. Without sunsetting,
the cost could approach $1 trillion.
So bizarre are the financial provisions of the Senate bill
that billionaire Warren Buffett, the second wealthiest man in
the United States, wrote an op-ed column for the Washington
Post, published May 20, opposing the plan as Enron-style
accounting. Buffett pointed out that the tax legislation
would drastically slash his own taxes, while leaving the taxes
of ordinary workers at his investment company, Berkshire-Hathaway,
essentially unchanged. He calculated that he could end up paying
taxes at a rate only one-tenth that levied on his own receptionist.
The Bush White House and congressional Republicans regularly
deride such comparisons as class warfare, as though
it was illegitimate to calculate how much the tax cut will benefit
various socio-economic groups. The fact remains, however, that
under the House Reupblican plan, a millionaire will receive a
tax cut 219 times that provided to an average working-class family.
The role of the Democratic Party
The progress of the tax cut bills through the House and Senate
has demonstrated once again the combination of complicity and
impotence that characterizes the Democratic Party, which is unable
and unwilling to conduct any serious struggle against the policies
of the Bush administration. As in 2001, when Democratic defectors
in the Senate pushed through Bushs $1.35 trillion tax cut
for the wealthy, just enough Democrats have backed the White House
in 2003 to ensure passage of the legislation.
House and Senate Democratic leaders have criticized the tax
cut legislation largely from the standpoint of its fiscal recklessness.
But the Democrats do not challenge the fundamental basis of the
Bush administrations economic policy, which is the glorification
of untrammeled free market capitalism, and the claim
that cutting taxes for the wealthy will result in more jobs for
working people. They essentially accept the plutocratic mantras
proclaimed by such Republican leaders as Charles Grassley of Iowa,
the chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, who recently declared:
Youve got to remember that it takes people with money
to create jobs.
Three or four decades ago liberal Democrats, with the support
of a section of Republicans, would have contested such claims,
and proposed the creation of jobs by the federal, state and local
governments as an alternative, both to put the unemployed to work
and to meet social needs in areas such as education, health care
and social infrastructure. But the official political spectrum
in the United States has shifted so far to the right that not
a single prominent Democrat would dare to propose the creation
of public works jobsor any other measure remotely smacking
of wealth redistribution in favor of working peopleas an
answer to recession.
Instead the Democrats, offering a targeted tax
cut of barely $100 billiona drop in the bucket in an $11
trillion economyleave the field open to Bush to argue that
his much larger plan is a more serious measure for stimulating
the slumping US economy.
As for the claim by the Democrats that they oppose the unfairness
of the Bush tax cuts, this is belied by their own role in passing
the 2001 cuts, which went overwhelmingly to the upper income group,
and their own dependence on corporate interests and the wealthy.
Under Reagan, Clinton and now Bush, the Democratic Party joined
forces with the Republicans to slash social spending, abolish
welfare and undermine virtually every federal program targeted
at the poor, the unemployed and the low-paid.
It is becoming increasingly difficult to disguise the fact
that this right-wing big business party has no principled differences
with the Republicans when it comes to the attacks on the working
class that have become a permanent feature of American politics
over the last quarter century.
The essence of the differences that do exist reflect the fear
of a section of the American ruling elite, generally represented
by the Democrats, that the irresponsibility of the Republican
administration could produce a financial crisis in the United
States with dangerous social and political consequences.
The defense of the interests of working people requires a political
break with the Democratic Party and the building of a new political
party, representing the interests of the working class and fighting
for a socialist program committed to achieving social equality
and the reorganization of economic life to serve the needs of
the vast majority, not private profit.
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