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Britain: National Health Service faces mounting cash crisis
By Jean Shaoul
29 September 2003
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A document prepared by accountants Grant Thornton for Manchester
Strategic Health Authority, which holds the budget for healthcare
services in Greater Manchester, paints a devastating picture of
the state of the citys healthcare finances. It predicts
a deficit of £12 million for Manchesters 14 Primary
Care Trusts (PCTs), soon to be responsible for spending 75 percent
of the budget on purchasing healthcare on behalf of their patients,
by the end of this financial year. Even more importantly, without
drastic action, the deficit is set to rise exponentially to £430
million in 2007/8.
The report warns, actions and decisions are required
now. Despite revenue growth, the citys capital investment
plans are unaffordable. Choices would have to be made. But Neil
Goodwin, chief executive of Greater Manchester Strategic Health
Authority, denied there was a financial crisis. As far as he was
concerned, the report was our starting point for prioritising
these developments so that we get the balance right between the
different parts of the conurbation and between primary care and
hospitals.
It means shelving or pruning several new schemes, including
the new specialist childrens hospital in central Manchester
that was promised as a replacement for facilities that have already
closed. New facilities and refurbishment at Salford Royal and
Tameside General Hospitals, together with numerous smaller projects
for primary care, mental health, cardiac treatment, cancer care
and intermediate care, face the axe.
The consequences of such cuts will be devastating. Manchester
has some of the worst healthcare indices in the country. Its heavy
burden of disease and health inequalities is rooted in its history
as the first industrial city in the world, the catastrophic decline
of its once famous textile and engineering industries, and the
appalling levels of deprivation and urban squalor.
Average life expectancy is now one of the lowest in the country.
A boy born to a mother in Manchester between 1999 and 2001 has
a life expectancy 10 years shorter than that of a boy born in
Dorset. The city has higher mortality rates than the national
average on all the major diseases, particularly heart disease
and cancer. Even this figure underestimates the size of the problem
since these average mortality rates mask the huge social inequalities
within the city.
There is no reason to believe that the financial crisis in
Manchesters healthcare is materially different in any other
city in Britain. This cash crisis exposes the governments
much vaunted increase in funding for the National Health Service
(NHS) as a fraud. It testifies to the governments determination
to create a private healthcare sector at the expense of and in
opposition to the public.
It had claimed that the funding would increase by six percent
above the rate of inflation for five years until 2008 and five
percent thereafter, allowing the NHS to meet its costs and deliver
on the governments performance targets. But such increases
are a drop in the ocean, coming after years of underfunding estimated
in the Wanless report to be £267 billion between 1972 and
1998 when compared to the European average which includes the
poorer Mediterranean countries. Even the increased funding made
available came with a sting in its tail: truly heroic performance
targets, particularly a reduction in waiting lists.
Many of the Health Authorities produced budgets that showed
that they could either meet their increased costs and sort out
their deficits, or satisfy the governments new health initiatives
to cut the time patients wait for hospital treatment and operations.
But there was simply not enough money to do both, let alone finance
the additional costs of creeping privatisation.
Most of the NHS budget goes on hospitals, which have struggled
with deficits for years and had an accumulated deficit of £39
billion for the year ending March 2002. Starved of cash to maintain
their infrastructure, they now face a £3.2 billion backlog
of repairs and refurbishment.
Staff costs have risen, in part because of the European Union
Working Time Directive limiting the hours that junior hospital
doctors can work and in part because of a miserly 3.6 percent
increase in nurses pay. But the chief reason is because
nursing staff, fed up with their ever-increasing workload and
low wages, have left the NHS in droves. As a result, the NHS has
been forced to recruit staff from private nursing agencies at
a cost of nearly £1 billion, thereby lining the pockets
of the healthcare corporations.
Another major cost has been the exorbitant cost of drugs, now
rising at 15 percent a year as the pharmaceutical companies profiteer
at public expense.
The latest and least publicised cost pressure is the governments
backdoor privatisation of the NHS: the Private Finance Initiative
(PFI) whereby the NHS leases new hospitals and commissions the
non-clinical services from the private sector. These hugely expensive
hospitals, which are typically 30 percent smaller than the ones
they replace, have driven a coach and horses through the NHS budget.
The new specialist childrens hospital to be built for Central
Manchester has more than doubled in cost and threatens to financially
destabilise not only Central Manchester Healthcare Trust but also
the local healthcare economy.
Research has shown that the NHS trusts are paying up to 30
percent more than they had budgeted for these new hospitals as
the corporations have taken advantage of every loophole in the
contracts to extract more money while failing to deliver the required
levels of cleanliness and service. Standard and Poors, the credit
rating agency, noted gleefully in a report to investors that despite
penalty clauses in the contracts for poor service, of three major
service failures at Carlisle hospital only one had incurred a
penalty and this was less than £100. In other words, there
was little risk in investing in the bonds used to finance these
PFI hospitals.
In addition to the PFI, Secretary of State for Health John
Reid has just launched a £2 billion scheme to expand the
private hospital sector, with his announcement that the government
was awarding the first contracts for the new diagnostic and treatment
centres (DTCs) to overseas healthcare operators. The corporations
will run specialist centres carrying out routine surgery such
as cataracts, hip replacements and hernia operations for which
there are long waiting lists.
These corporations are to be paid at a much higher rate than
the standard tariff at which the NHS hospitals are reimbursed
for such treatments because, as the Health Secretary admits, they
cannot make a profit unless they are paid a market forces
supplement. Utterly impervious to the obvious contradiction between
the governments claim that the NHS is inefficient and his
admission that the private sector was more costly than the NHS,
Reid went on to repeat the mantra that the private sector was
more efficient than the NHS.
While the government had originally claimed that the corporations
would bring in their own staff from overseas, now they will be
allowed to recruit up to 70 percent of their staff from the NHS.
Not only will the DTCs line the corporations pockets at
the taxpayers expense and eat into the healthcare budget,
they will also rob the NHS of its key staff, reduce its already
inadequate capacity and further destabilise its financial position.
Despite the political sensitivity of such changes to the NHS,
the issue was evidently not discussed in Cabinet as even ministers
did not know that the government had gone back on its promise
not to let the DTCs poach NHS staff.
The government is determined to press ahead with a free market
in healthcare irrespective of the cost, its effectiveness or public
opinion. Julian Le Grand, professor of social policy at the London
School of Economics, is to spend three days a week on secondment
to Downing Street. Le Grand is a keen advocate of market mechanisms
in health, rationalised with the governments new mantra
of patient choice. Eight task groups are to examine
how choicefor which read private contractorscan
be extended beyond waiting list surgery to mental health, maternity
and other areas.
The Grant Thornton report is predicting a deficit for this
financial year, even before many of the governments costly
privatisation schemes have been fully implemented and truly astronomic
deficits in the next few years. This comes with a warning that
other factors could further exacerbate the financial crisis. Excluded
from its analysis are the implications of the new market mechanisms
for reimbursing the hospitals, the inevitable rise in the estimates
of capital expenditure as the private sector holds the NHS to
ransom and the revenue consequences of such increases.
The Labour government is deliberately destroying a comprehensive
and universal system of publicly provided healthcare, one of the
most important social institutions of post-war Britain. It poses
the very real threat that millions will be left with little or
no access to affordable quality healthcare, with disastrous results.
See Also:
Britain: Foundation hospitals
mean health inequality is official government policy
[19 May 2003]
Britain: Parliament backs plans
to privatise health care
[10 May 2003]
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