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Africa
ANC wins South African elections in low voter turnout
By Chris Talbot
17 April 2004
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The African National Congress (ANC) gained a clear lead in
South Africas April 14 general elections, taking nearly
70 percent of the votes castmore than the 66.4 percent in
1999 and 64 percent in 1994.
The ANC appears to have been able to rely on its history as
the movement that 10 years ago negotiated the end of apartheid
rule. Moreover, no real political alternative was presented to
the predominantly black working class majority, despite the dramatic
growth of unemployment and social inequality in South Africa under
ANC rule. The trade union bureaucracy has remained loyal to the
ANC. Unions have organised their members to turn out for the party
at the polls.
Growing disaffection with the ANC was reflected in the turnout
of about 77 percent (on the latest figures) of registered voters,
compared to 89 percent in 1999. As well as the lower turnout,
only 75 percent of the 27 million eligible to vote have registered,
meaning that overall only 58 percent of those who could vote actually
did so, compared to 64 percent in 1999 and 85 percent in 1994.
Many commentators have pointed to the lack of interest in the
election amongst South Africas large youth population, who
have been especially hit by unemployment and lack of job opportunities.
Only 47 percent of those in the 18-25 age group registered to
vote, with two thirds of young people saying they are not interested
in official politics.
In second place, the Democratic Alliance (DA) led by Tony Leon
increased its vote to about 13 percent, compared to only 9.5 percent
in 1999. The DA appears to have taken most of the white vote,
as the vote for the New National Party (NNP), the successor to
the National Party that ruled under apartheid, collapsed. Leon
advocates free market economic policies that are essentially similar
to the ANCs, but has won support for his campaign for the
provision of AIDS drugs.
The Zulu nationalist Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP) won about
5 percent of the vote, and the NNP 2 percent.
The ANC has an outright majority in seven of South Africas
nine provinces. In KwaZulu-Natal, it is not yet clear whether
the ANC has lost to the IFP, whilst in the Western Cape, it will
probably be effectively in control by continuing its alliance
with its former enemy, the NNP.
No parties of the radical left have intervened effectively
in the elections. The Social Movement Indaba, an umbrella of 11
groups, split apart last month over whether or not to boycott
the elections. The Anti-Privatisation Forum called for a spoilt
ballot, the Landless Peoples Movement called for a complete
boycott, and other organisations left it up to their members whether
or not to vote.
The ANC has attempted to maintain its support by concentrating
on local issues and holding imbizos in the townshipscommunity
meetings addressed by the ANC tops. It has made vague promises
about creating 1 million jobs. Secretary-General Kgalema Motlanthe
claimed the ANC was learning lessons from Zimbabwe, where the
ruling Zanu-PF party rapidly lost support after cutting state
spending in the 1990s.
The ANCs active members and local organisation have drastically
declined, but it called on its supporters in big business to finance
a $10 million dollar election advertising campaignmore than
twice the funding of the DA. The multinational Anglo American,
for example, gave R6 million ($0.91 million) for the election,
half of which went to the ANC.
Although the ANC pledged to introduce a peoples
contract to create more employment, and boasted of the increases
in housing, water and electricity provision since 1994, it has
ruthlessly pursued economic policies on behalf of big business.
The rand has gained in value against world currencies as President
Thabo Mbeki has implemented fiscal austerity, drastically reducing
the national debt and the budget deficit. Millions of jobs have
been slashed as privatisation policies have been introduced in
the state sector.
Between 1995 and 2003, the official number of unemployed (strictly
defined as those actively seeking work) rose from
1.9 million to more than 4.2 million. Official unemployment stands
at 30.5 percent, but many experts say it is more than 40 percent.
This particularly affects youth, with 50 percent of South Africas
population below the age of 25, so that as many as 75 percent
of those out of work are young people.
Forty-eight percent of the population are now living below
the poverty line, earning less than R530 ($84) a month, a huge
increase from 28 percent of the population in 1995. Whilst the
ANC claims that between 1994 and 2001, it provided 8 million more
people with access to clean drinking water, there are still 7
million people without drinking water, a situation that has resulted
in outbreaks of cholera in recent years.
South Africa is the country worst affected by AIDS, with 5.3
million people infected and as many as 600 related deaths each
day. The ANCs record on AIDS is appalling (see South Africas health minister
says of AIDS sufferers: Let them eat garlic and Questions raised about the South
African AIDS initiative). Both Mbeki and his minister
of health, Manto Tshabalala-Msimang, have repeatedly played down
the AIDS crisis. Although the ANC government said last November
it was now committed to a national provision of antiretroviral
(ARV) drugspresumably as part of its election campaignthere
has been no indication that it is taking the drugs rollout seriously.
According to a South African Mail and Guardian report last
month, only three provincesGauteng, the Western Cape, and
possibly the Free Statewould be able to provide free ARV
treatment over the next year. In other provinces, health departments
have no information about when the rollout will begin.
The ANC negotiated the end of apartheid in 1994 by agreeing
to preserve capitalist social relations and suppressing the growing
revolutionary movement in the working class townships. After 10
years, 98 percent of executive directors on Johannesburgs
listed companies are still white. Only a tiny elite of black super-rich
has benefited, whilst the vast majority have sunk deeper into
poverty. The ANCs policy of black economic empowerment
makes it obligatory for companies to put a proportion of their
ownership over the next few years into black hands. Share ownership
and company directorships have been handed to influential ANC
figures such as Eric Molobi, recently made deputy chairman of
the Imperial Group; Patrice Motsepe, a rand billionaire said to
be close to Mbeki; Cyril Ramaphosa, former ANC secretary general
and now on the boards of many companies; and Tokyo Sexwale, previously
ANC chief in Gauteng, now with interests in diamonds, banking
and property. Some 10 percent of company directorships are now
filled by blacks, compared to virtually none in 1994.
The effect of this policy has been to enrich a tiny minority
of ANC supporters, while the majority of the population is left
in conditions of poverty as bad as those that existed under apartheid.
In the past, the ANC has always claimed that the constitution
prevented it from carrying out the sweeping economic changes necessary
to alleviate the poverty of the majority of its supporters. Although
its overwhelming majority would give it the right to make constitutional
changes, the ANC has promised big business in advance that it
will not do so.
See Also:
South Africa: Farmworkers
murdered by employers
[3 March 2004]
South Africas health
minister says of AIDS sufferers: Let them eat garlic
[16 February 2004]
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