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US job growth virtually zero in December
By David Walsh
10 January 2004
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The US unemployment rate fell in December to 5.7 percent from
5.9 percent in November, but the decrease was almost entirely
accounted for by workers dropping out of the labor force. According
to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), only 1,000 new jobs were
created last month, while some 309,000 people stopped looking
for work. The labor force participation rate of 66 percent was
the lowest since December 1991.
Analysts variously described the BLS report as disappointing,
unexpectedly poor, anemic and shockingly
weaker. The US dollar fell to record low levels Friday against
the euro as a consequence. Brian Williamson, vice president of
equity trading at Boston Company Asset Management, told the press,
The numbers are very disappointing. They essentially show
a standstill in company hiring, and that doesnt give us
much confidence in the state of the economy.
Economists had predicted far larger gains in employment. Agence
France Presse reported on Thursday that Wall Street
is holding its breath ahead of Fridays release of
the employment figures, with experts estimating that nonfarm
payrolls likely swelled by between 137,000 and 150,000 in December.
Far less hiring than usual took place in stores and malls over
the holidays, reflected in a 38,000 job drop in the retail sector.
Manufacturing experienced its extraordinary 41st consecutive month
of job cuts, losing 26,000 jobs in December. Again, pundits had
confidently forecast that factories would take on more workers
last month. Factory employment is down 1.3 million since the recession
officially ended in November 2001.
Jobs in the financial activities sector dropped for the third
month in a row and information services employment grew by a meager
5,000. Business service employment added the most jobs last month,
45,000, but this growth was largely produced by an increase of
30,000 temporary hires, the eighth consecutive month in which
that sector expanded.
The Economic Policy Institutes (EPI) Jobs Picture
points out that the unemployment rate for 2003 was 6 percent,
the highest annual rate since 1994. Payrolls fell last year
by 331,000 (-0.3 percent) and by 1.5 million (-1.1 percent) in
2002, continues the EPI. The last time payrolls declined
for two consecutive years was in 1944-45. Its report further
notes, Over the long term, the past two years have been
among the worst on record for payroll employment growth, and the
lack of job creation is leading many to exit the labor market
and cutting into the hours of work of those who remain employed.
The EPI notes that since the recession began in March 2001 the
US economy has seen the greatest sustained job loss since
the Great Depression, including 2.9 million jobs in the
private sector.
Reflecting the general economic stagnation, weekly hours declined
last month and wages grew at an annual rate of only 1 percent,
leading to an actual drop of $2 in weekly earnings.
In a January 4 column, Ross Eisenbrey of the EPI provides figures
confirming that the present so-called recovery has overwhelmingly
benefited the wealthy. During the average recovery over
the past 50 years, Eisenbrey notes, 61 percent of
corporate-income growth found its way into employees hands
as increased wages and benefits, while 26 percent increased corporate
profits. Today, the figures are reversed: Employees have seen
only 29 percent of the increased corporate income go to their
paychecks, while investors have taken the lions share.
Campaigning last year for his tax cuts, George W. Bush promised
that his measure would generate 510,000 jobs by the end of 2003,
above and beyond the number normally created in a recovery. All
in all, the Bush administration projected a growth of 5.5 million
jobs by the end of 2004 if the massive tax cuts were adopted,
or an average of 306,000 jobs a month from July 2003 to December
2004. In reality, jobs have increased by 221,000 since the tax
bill went into effect, approximately one ninth the promised amount.
Challenger, Gray and Christmas, which monitors layoffs, reported
last week that hiring opportunities would remain slim in 2004,
due to structural changes in the job market, particularly
new technology, productivity growth and the outsourcing of jobs
overseas.
Researchers are forecasting increased US employment losses
due to the outsourcing of white-collar jobs. Stamford, Connecticut-based
Gartner Inc. predicts that 40 percent of companies with more than
$100 million in revenue will be trying out or using offshore services
by the end of this year. As many as 40,000 of IBMs 160,000
US jobs will be transferred overseas by 2005, according to Linda
Guyer, president of a union attempting to organize IBM workers.
Forrester Research of Cambridge, Massachusetts, is projecting
that 3.3 million US white-collar jobs will be lost to offshore
outsourcing over the next decade, a half million of them in information
technology (IT). Forrester predicts that the Indian IT services
market will grow at least 30 percent in 2004. Certain financial
consulting firms suggest that 10 percent of jobs at US IT vendors
will move offshore this year.
Reflecting this general process, Internet service provider
EarthLink announced January 6 that it would lay
off 1,300 employees nationwide, half of them in California. EarthLink
will close down four US customer call centers, three of them in
California (in San Jose, Pasadena and Roseville), and shift many
of the jobs to India, the Philippines and Jamaica. The fourth
call center to be shut is in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. The job
cuts represent some 40 percent of the ISPs workforce.
EarthLink spokeswoman Carla Shaw explained, Outsourcing
is a necessary step to compete more profitably in a rapidly changing
marketplace. We see this as a way to increase our efficiency.
The job cutting represents the second major round of layoffs in
a year; by the completion of the latest round, EarthLink will
have eliminated nearly 60 percent of its US workers.
Other companies announcing job cuts:
* Farmer Jack supermarkets, a unit of A&P,
announced in late December that it planned to close down an undisclosed
number of stores as part of a continued effort to cut costs at
the grocery chain. Farmer Jack operates 106 stores in Michigan
and Ohio. In June 2003 the company closed all stores for 37 hours
to relaunch itself with lower prices.
* Delphi Corp., a spin-off of General Motors
and the worlds largest auto parts maker, laid off 165 hourly
workers at its Kettering, Ohio, suspension parts plant January
5, half of them permanently. According to a union official the
Kettering plant has lost jobs because GM continues to withdraw
work from the plant and because Delphi has accelerated the transfer
of work to its facilities in India. Delphi employs about 9,000
people at its Dayton, Ohio-area facilities.
* Archibald Candy Corp. reported plans January
6 to sell its Fannie May and Fannie Farmer stores and shut down
its factory in Chicagos West Loop, putting 625 workers out
of a job. Brachs Confections completed
the shutdown of its West Side Chicago plant a week earlier, laying
off the last of what were once more than 3,500 employees.
* The Chrysler Group reported January 7 that
it had cut 5,000 positions in 2003, beyond the 30,000 it had slashed
in the previous two years, and suggested that unless sales of
the companys new Chrysler, Dodge and Jeep vehicles improved,
the cutbacks would probably continue.
The Detroit Free Press noted: The announcement
makes it all the more clear that higher-paying jobs and other
fruits of economic recovery are not likely to come from Michigans
biggest companies. Ford Motor Co. plans to close
plants. General Motors Corp. is continuing to
replace only a fraction of the white-collar workers who leave.
* Paper giant Boise Cascade announced January
7 that it would close 40 to 45 retail stores in 2004.
* Bankrupt Weirton Steel Corp. announced January
9 that it would cut back some finishing and rolling processes
within two weeks. The cutbacks will result in an undetermined
number of layoffs. The company employs 3,300 workers.
* The countrys largest packaging company, Smurfit-Stone,
also announced plans January 9 to close four plants in Indiana,
California, Texas and Kentucky, affecting 315 workers, or about
1 percent of its workforce. The largest of the plants is in Andersonville,
Indiana, where 143 job cuts will occur.
* Another bankrupt firm, WestPoint Stevens Inc.,
one of the largest makers of sheets, pillow cases and towels in
the US, will close two plants in the central Georgia town of LaGrange.
The closure, resulting in the loss of 550 jobs, is expected to
devastate the area.
See Also:
Twenty-five percent increase in poverty
in Michigan
[5 January 2004]
Behind the economic
recovery
Hunger and homelessness in US continue to rise in 2003
[27 December 2003]
US: Hundreds of job
cuts hit Oregons manufacturing sector
[13 December 2003]
A holiday gift
for the jobless
US Congress blocks extension of federal unemployment benefits
[11 December 2003]
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