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Indias Hindu chauvinist-led coalition government calls
early election
By Sarath Kumara and Keith Jones
4 March 2004
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On the advice of Indias current governmentthe Bharatiya
Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA)Indian
President Abdul Kalam dissolved the countrys parliament
February 6, eight months ahead of schedule. The independent election
commission, which is responsible for determining the election
schedule, has now announced that Indias 670 million voters
will go to the polls in four voting-phases between April 20 and
May 10. Full results are to be tabulated by May 13.
The Hindu supremacist BJP, the dominant partner in the NDA,
calculates an early election will be advantageous because the
main opposition party, the Congress, was staggered by a string
of defeats in state elections last December and because Indias
economy is currently experiencing rapid growth, due to an influx
of foreign investment and the increased agricultural production
that resulted from last summers good monsoon.
The BJP is also hoping to cash in on widespread popular sentiment
in favor of better relations with Pakistan, by claiming credit
for the recent opening of comprehensive bilateral negotiations
with Indias traditional geo-political rival. No sooner did
Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee return from Islamabad in early
January than the BJPs election-planning switched into high
gear.
Neither the BJP nor the Congress can truly claim to be all-India
parties. Nor can either hope to obtain a parliamentary majority
without the support of a host of regional and caste-based political
formations. The Congress, which ruled India for all but three
of the first 40 years of independence, is no longer a
serious political force in large swathes of the country. The BJP,
which came to prominence in the late 1980s by exploiting the decay
of the Congress and fomenting Hindu chauvinism, derives the bulk
of its support from the mainly Hindi-speaking areas of north and
central India. Its NDA is comprised of a frequently-changing roster
of more than 20 parties.
The BJPs principal allies include: the Sikh communal
Akali Dal in Punjab; the fascistic, Maharashtra-based Shiv Sena
(literally, the army of the Maratha king Shivaji); the Andra Pradesh-based
Telugu Desam Party (TDP), a darling of the World Bank because
of its privatization polices; the Janata Dal (United), a remnant
of Indias social-democratic party; and a West Bengal breakaway
from the Congress, the Trinamool Congress. In recent weeks, the
BJP has struck an electoral alliance with the All-India Ana Dravida
Munnetra Kazagham (AIADMK), the ruling party in the southern Indian
state of Tamil Nadu, and forced from the ranks of the NDA several
rival Tamil Nadu parties, most importantly, the Dravida Munnetra
Kazagham or DMK. Led by a mercurial one-time movie star, Jayalalitha,
Tamil Nadus AIADMK-government won heady praise from Indias
business elite last summer for brutally crushing a massive strike
of state government workers.
Traditionally, the Congress has eschewed formal, pre-poll pacts.
But with its decline having reached the point where it can no
longer seriously claim to be Indias natural governing party,
it has been forced to try to cobble together a counter coalition
to the BJP-led NDA. The Maharashtra-based National Congress Party
(NCP), itself a breakaway group from the Congress, the Rashtriya
Janata Dal of Bihar, and the DMK and its allies in Tamil Nadu
have joined the Congress-led bloc. But thus far the Congress has
failed to secure the support of either of two rival parties seen
as pivotal to its electoral prospectsthe Samajwadi Party,
the governing party in Uttar Pradesh, Indias most populous
state, and the Bahujan Samaj Party or BSP, which claims to be
the political voice of Indias former untouchables, or Dalits.
The Stalinist Communist Party of India-Marxist (CPI-M) and
Communist Party of India (CPI) are unabashedly plumping for the
Congress. In the name of promoting secular forces,
the Stalinist parties have proclaimed that their principal goal
is to defeat the Hindu chauvinist BJP and its NDA coalition and
that if circumstances allow they will provide the parliamentary
votes needed to bring a Congress-led minority government to power.
The BJP prepares a new assault on the working
class
The BJP is counting on the support of the dominant wing of
Indian big business and to this end is projecting itself as the
party most determined to press forward with privatization, deregulation
and other anti-worker reforms, and the most committed to developing
a strategic partnership between India and the US. Indeed, there
is no shortage of evidence that Indias corporate elite is
rallying to the BJP. According to India Outlook, While
the Congress claims to be strapped for cash, there are no shortages
in the BJP. ... Says a BJP general secretary, Its
quite simple really. If a corporate house is giving Rs 10 crore
[100 million ($US2.2 million)] to us, it will also throw Rs 2
crore [20 million] at the Congress. Thats how its
done.
Re-elected in 1999 after a year and a half in office, the NDA
government has speeded up the dismantling of the nationally regulated
economy begun by the Congress in 1991. It has pressed forward
with privatization, opening up the insurance sector to the foreign
investments, set up various special economic zones where traditional
labor and other regulations do not apply and, most importantly,
initiated changes long demanded by big business to the countrys
labor laws. These changes remove legal impediments to companies
laying off workers and closing facilities and gut limits on the
use of contract labor.
While pursuing an unprecedented military build-up, the BJP-led
government has aggressively courted better relations with Washington,
endorsing the Bush administrations war on terrorismfrom
the US conquest of Afghanistan to its missile defence initiativeand
even flirted with sending troops to assist the US-occupation of
Iraq.
Deepak Lal, a prominent Indian political commentator who has
connections with US think tanks, wrote in the January 28 Business
Standard, that a BJP victory would represent a national
political consensus to move swiftly and directly to implement
the badly needed second stage of economic reforms. He then
praised the BJP regimes wooing of Washington, claiming that
it has unlocked the gates for the entry of advanced technology
into India (particularly in the areas of space and armaments,
where the US has an incontestable lead) ...
The emphasis the BJPs election campaign is placing on
economic growth stands in sharp contrast with the 1999 all-India
elections and the December 2002 elections in the state of Gujarat.
In 1999, the BJP placed anti-Pakistani chauvinism at the heart
of its campaign, claiming its decision to formally proclaim India
a nuclear power had raised India to the status of a great power
and touting the Pakistan militarys failed incursion into
the Kargil region of Kashmir as a colossal Indian triumph. In
Gujarat, the BJP won re-election with a campaign that blamed Pakistan
and Indias minority Muslim community for the communal riots
that had rocked the state in February 2002riots whipped
up by the BJP state government and in which Muslims were the principal
victims.
So striking is the change in BJP rhetoric, some commentators
have claimed that BJP is moderating. This is nonsense.
Insofar as the BJP is de-emphasizing its Hindu chauvinist agenda,
it is to convince big business that if re-elected it will make
implementing capitals socio-economic program its top priority.
Also, the strategic shift that the Indian elite is trying to make
in its relations with Pakistana shift born of its inability
to cow Pakistan through the threat of all-out war in 2002 and
its calculation that it can secure its domination over South Asia
through an Indian-led sub-continental free trade bloccuts
across the BJP making anti-Pakistani chauvinism the focus of its
campaign.
The BJP, nevertheless, continues to trumpet its noxious Hindu
chauvinist propaganda, if at a somewhat lower volume. Such appeals
are essential in mobilizing the party rank and file, which is
largely drawn from the ranks of the Hindu nationalist RSS (Rashtriya
Swayamsevak Sangh) and its affiliates. For example, BJP General
Secretary Pramod Mahajan insists that the party will continue
to raise the issue of building a Hindu temple on the site of the
Babri Masjid mosque, which was demolished by Hindu fanatics in
1992, sparking the worst communal riots since the 1947 partition.
Till a grand temple is constructed at Ayodhya, Mahajan
told a February 11 press conference, the issue of Ram Temple
will continue to be an issue during elections directly or indirectly.
The BJP has also repeatedly raked up the question of Congress
leader Sonia Gandhis foreign birth and indirectly her Catholic
faith, claiming that Gandhis non-Indian parentage make her
unfit to be prime minister.
Should the BJP election campaign begin to falter, there is
no doubt it will ratchet up its Hindu chauvinist and anti-Pakistani
appeals, no matter the consequences for the current peace negotiations
with Islamabad.
Decomposition of the Congress
The Congress Party, the other main contestant in the coming
elections, is in an advanced state of putrefaction. Over the course
of the past half-century, the fate of the Congress Party has become
increasingly inseparable from the fortunes of the Nehru-Gandhi
family. Sonia Gandhis only credentials for the Congress
leadership are that she is the widow of former Prime Minister
Rajiv Gandhi, who was himself the son of Prime Minister Indira
Gandhi and the grandson of Jawaharlal Nehru.
Ultimately the decomposition of the Congress is rooted in the
collapse of the Indian bourgeoisies national development
project, whereby Indias elite attempted to resist economic
and political domination by imperialism through high tariff walls,
import substitution, state ownership of key industries and close
ties to the Soviet Union. In 1991, with India facing a balance
of payments crisis, the then-Congress government of Narasimha
Rao instituted a fundamental shift, abandoning the historic national
development strategy in favor of Indias full integration
in the world capitalist market and an export-led growth strategy,
under which Indian capital allies with foreign investors in exploiting
Indias vast reserves of cheap labor.
Stung by its defeat in last Decembers state elections,
the Congress has been groping for an election strategy. To boost
the sagging morale of its cadres, it announced, with much fanfare,
that Priyanaka and Rahul Gandhi, the daughter and son of Sonia
Gandhi, have become full members of the Congress. The Gandhi
children, commented the Times of India, can
provide a touch of glamour to their ageing party; they cant
revive its fortunes.
The Congress is in full agreement with the BJP that what remains
of Indias nationally-regulated economy and minimal social
safety net must be dismantled so as to benefit indigenous and
foreign capital. It has thus been at something of a loss as to
how to distinguish itself from the BJP. Congress spokesman S.
Jaipal Reddy told Frontline, We will eventually find
a slogan to match the BJPs. ...You cannot coin an effective
slogan overnight.
Indications are that the Congress will try to revive its fortunes
by making a limited appeal to mass popular discontent over the
impact of the economic reforms. While the BJP and Indian capital
are hailing Indias economic progresswith the government
mounting a lavish India Shining publicity campaign
to coincide with the electionsthe reality is that the economic
reforms have led to a wave of layoffs and plant closures, the
further privatization of education and health care, and growing
social polarization.
According to the Hindu, Congress pollsters found a vast
undercurrent of popular dissatisfaction, with the inability
of the Vajpayee government to tackle burgeoning unemployment and
address itself to economic development in the rural areas
emerging as key issues across India.
At the same time, the Congress is anxious not to alienate big
business, so it is working hard to calibrate any criticisms of
the BJPs economic reforms. Earlier it toyed with the slogan,
Reformsbut with a human face. In this regard
it is important to note that the Congress-aligned trade union
federation, the INTUC, refused to join last months one-day
general strike against a Supreme Court judgment that public sector
workers have no right to strike. In justifying its boycott, the
INTUC used rhetoric similar to that of the court, claiming that
strikes have severely damaged Indias economy.
The Congress will also seek to portray itself as the champion
of secularism. The Congress decline, however, is bound up
with its repeated attempts to exploit ethnic and religious divisions
and increasing adaptation to Hindu chauvinism. In the Gujarat
election, the Congress ran a campaign that was derided in much
of Indias press as soft Hindutva (Hindu supremicism.)
Not surprisingly, the party has wavered in the face of the BJPs
communal attack on its leader. Congress has refrained from formally
naming Sonia Gandhi as its prime ministerial candidate. According
to Congress Working Committee member, Pranab Mukherjee, The
coalition leader will be decided only after the poll results.
We are not going to have a leader for the united opposition.
Both major partiesthe Congress, which once did enjoy
mass support, and the BJP, a Hindu supremacist party formation
that has always been identified with extreme hostility to the
working class and socialismare increasingly alienated from
Indias working people. Behind this alienation lies their
inability to address any of the pressing social needs of the vast
majority of the population. One third of the Indian population
lives on less than a dollar per day. Per capita availability of
food grain has dropped to 380 grams per day, though the governments
minimum requirement rate is 500 grams. As the Asia Times web
site noted, half of Indias children are malnourished
and 350 million go to bed hungry. One third of Indias one
billion people are illiterate and the country spends only 1.9
percent of its Gross Domestic product on education, about half
of what most East Asian countries spend.
Under these conditions, the Stalinist Communist Party of India
(Marxist) (CPI-M) and Communist Party of India (CPI) have aligned
with the secular Congress. They claim that it is the
lesser evil and are appealing to Congress to temper its support
for the further privatizations, deregulation and the dismantling
of agricultural price supports and public services. Thus Jyoti
Basu, who as the CPI (M) chief minister of West Bengal himself
implemented the pro-market reforms and has in recent in months
joined with the rest of the CPI (M) leadership in calling for
the trade unions in West Bengal to forsake strikes and accept
responsibility for ensuring production, urged this week that the
Congress adopt a common minimum programme based on protecting
the interests of the people.
Officially, the CPI and CPI (M) will not join the Congress-led
bloc, so as to maintain the pretence of independence, and because
in the states in which they have the bulk of their electoral supportWest
Bengal, Tripura and Keralathe Congress is their principal
competitor. But the Stalinists are closely coordinating their
electoral strategy with the Congress, with the aim, explains CPI
(M) spokesman Sitaram Yechuri, of minimi[zing] the division
of secular votes which has been helping communal forces.
Unquestionably the BJP is a mortal enemy of the working class
and toiling masses. But its rise over the past two decades points
to the urgency of the working class breaking from the pro-capitalist
politics of the Indian CPI and CPI (M). These parties have married
socialist phrases with Indian nationalism and collaboration with
the parties of the Indian bourgeoisiefirst in pursuing a
program of national capitalist development and now in implementing
an even more unabashedly anti-worker export-led growth strategy.
See Also:
Millions of Indian government
employees to go on strike today
[24 February 2004]
India and Pakistan to pursue
composite dialogue
[29 January 2004]
Behind the India-Pakistan
ceasefire
[29 December 2003]
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