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A split in the LTTE heightens danger of war in Sri Lanka
By K. Ratnayake
18 March 2004
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A major split has erupted between the northern and eastern
wings of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) that has
the potential to undermine the current ceasefire in Sri Lanka
and plunge the country back to civil war. While at this stage
no fighting has broken out, an extremely tense standoff continues
between the two LTTE camps that could be exacerbated by any intervention
by the Sri Lankan military.
On March 3, the LTTEs eastern province military commander,
V. Muralitharan, also known as Karuna, wrote two letters effectively
formalising the rift. The first to the LTTE leader V. Prabhakaran
requested that the LTTEs eastern wing be allowed to function
independently and called for a separate administration structure
in the eastern Batticaloa-Ampara districts. The second to the
Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission (SLMM), which oversees the current
ceasefire, called for a separate truce arrangement with the Colombo
government.
The central LTTE leadership, based in the northern Wanni area,
first attempted to downplay the crisis describing it as a temporary
episode. But on March 6, political wing leader, S. Thamilchelvan,
announced that Muralitharan had been removed and replacing by
his deputy, T. Ramesh, and that other Prabkakaran loyalists had
been appointed to eastern regional posts. He declared that Muralitharans
move had been instigated by some malicious elements
opposed to Tamil liberation struggle and that he had
acted traitorously to the Tamil people.
In an organisation that is well known for violence against
its political opponents, Thamilchelvans statement amounted
to a virtual death sentence. Muralitharan, however, has an estimated
5,000 to 6,000 guerrilla fightersabout one third of the
LTTEs total military forcesunder his control. Ramesh
and the other new appointees, who fled to the Wanni after the
split, have not been able to return to the east to take up their
posts.
Far from backing down, Muralitharan had publicly aired his
grievances and sought to consolidate political support in the
Batticaloa and Ampara districts. He told Associated Press: There
is no question of reconciliation, everything was beyond reconciliation.
In future we will have a full self-administration (in the east).
Speaking to Reuters on March 11, he repudiated the LTTEs
longstanding claim to be the sole representative of the Tamil
people and declared that Prabhakaran had no positive leadership
qualities.
In the last two weeks, both sides have sought to tighten their
grip. Hundreds of LTTE cadres suspected of harbouring loyalties
to the rival camp have reportedly been rounded up and detained
in the two areas. Last week Muralitharans supporters organised
demonstrations in several parts of the Batticaloa district at
which effigies of Prabhakaran and the LTTEs intelligence
chief Pottu Amman were burned. A number of university students
and businessmen from the north have either fled or been expelled
from Batticaloa and Ampara.
According to the Situation Report in last weekends
Sunday Times, Muralitharan has sealed off the entry points
into the areas under his control. The flashpoint for a possible
confrontation appears to be the border between the districts of
Trincomalee and Batticaloa. In Trincomalee south, more than 1,500
cadres loyal to Mr Prabhakaran are said to have amassed themselves.
The eastern commander had responded by sending another 300 fighters
to Batticaloa north to reinforce checkpoints and build new bunkers.
Until now Muralitharan has been one of Prabhakarans loyal
lieutenants. The longstanding eastern commander sat alongside
the LTTE leader during the organisations first public press
conference in the Wanni in April 2002. He was also part of the
LTTEs delegation to peace talks with the Colombo government.
Among his grievances, Muralitharan told the media that he had
been ordered to send 1,000 fighters to the Wanni and claimed that
this move represented the preparation for a renewed war. He also
accused Pottu Amman of being behind the murder of two United National
Front (UNF) candidates for the countrys April 2 election.
He has provided no evidence for either claim, both of which appear
to be aimed at gaining a sympathetic hearing from the UNF government.
The Prabhakaran leadership has denied both accusations.
The nub of the dispute centres on complaints by the LTTEs
eastern faction that it has been left out of the spoils of the
peace process. A pamphlet issued on March 4 by its
political wing declared: Thousands of LTTE cadres from the
Batticaloa-Ampara districts participated in the fighting in the
north...But their home district has continued to be neglected.
According to the pamphlet, none of the heads of the LTTEs
30 administrative bodies comes from the east. The cadres from
the eastern district provide security for top northern functionaries
who move about in their luxury vehicles. Referring
to the LTTEs proposed interim administration, it continued:
Our people doubt if they will get justice under the Interim
Self Governing Authority, which the LTTE is to set up in the north
and eastern province.
In an interview with the Sunday Times last weekend,
Muralitharan accused the Wanni leadership of an unequal
distribution of resources. Eastern soldiers are used
as cannon fodder. Already we find it difficult to maintain our
organisation in the east and to carry out development activities
for the benefit of the people. We cannot understand what is happening
to the money in the Wanni. They earn about 500 million rupees
a month through taxation alone, he said.
Growing hostility to the LTTE
These sentiments clearly reflect growing resentment among broader
layers of the population both in the east and the north towards
the LTTE. Two years after the ceasefire was signed between the
government and the LTTE, the majority of people in the countrys
war zonesTamil, Sinhala and Muslim alikeare still
living in poverty. Many homes and business have been destroyed.
Others have not be able to return to their land and houses that
have been commandeered by the Sri Lankan military as High Security
Zones.
The so-called peace process has benefitted only a tiny layer
of the LTTE leadership that has not hesitated to use threats and
thuggery against any opposition. The killing of two UNF candidates
is just the latest in a long line of political violence and assassinations.
In 2002, local LTTE leaders on Kayts island off the northern Jaffna
peninsula issued death threats against Socialist Equality Party
members after they refused to hand over the funds of a fishermens
cooperative to the LTTE.
Far from representing any fundamental ideological break with
the LTTE, the Muralitharan split is based on the same logic that
underlies the LTTEs separatist program as a whole. In the
1970s, the LTTE diverted the legitimate anger of Tamil youth,
workers and farmers over the discriminatory measures and economic
hardships imposed by governments in Colombo into the communal
demand for a separate capitalist statelet of Tamil Eelam in the
north and east.
Now Muralitharan is using the present and past grievances of
eastern Tamils against northern Tamils
to demand a separate administration in Batticaloa and Ampara and
a seat of his own at any peace talks with the government. Neither
he nor Prabhakaran have any solution to the social crisis confronting
Tamil workers or the oppressed masses. Rather each represents
the interests of different sections of the Tamil bourgeoisie who
are seeking to maximise their own advantages in any peace deal
with Colombo.
The split underscores the reactionary character of the peace
process itself. Far from addressing any of the underlying
political and social issues that produced the 20-year civil war,
the peace talks are aimed at a powersharing arrangement between
the Sinhala, Tamil and Muslim elites for the mutual exploitation
of the working class. The various plans that have been tabled
all seek to entrench communal divisions, thus paving the way for
endless new tensions, divisions and conflict along ethnic, religious,
and now regional lines.
At this stage, the eastern faction of the LTTE has received
no official recognition either from Colombo or the Sri Lanka Monitoring
Mission (SLMM). The Norwegian-led truce monitors have suspended
their activities in areas under Muralitharans control. The
Sri Lankan defence ministry has rejected Muralitharans call
for a separate ceasefire agreement covering the Batticaloa and
Ampara districts. He in turn has warned that his forces no longer
regard themselves as bound by the previous truce.
The LTTE split has added another inflammatory factor to any
already highly volatile political situation. President Chandrika
Kumaratunga in alliance with the Sinhala chauvinist Janatha Vimukthi
Peramuna (JVP) ousted the elected UNF government last month, declaring
that the peace process was undermining national security. In this
political climate, the reaction in ruling circles in Colombo to
Muralitharans moves has been divided.
The LTTE rift clearly has the potential to disrupt the so-called
process, which the UNF government has promoted on behalf of big
business and the major powers to open up the island to global
investment. Any step to open up separate talks with Muralitharan
would provoke an angry response from the Wanni leadership, which
has warned Colombo not to meddle. Yet if Muralitharan consolidates
his control in the east, he cannot be simply ignored.
The LTTE infighting also throws another wild card into the
April elections. A grouping of Tamil parties known as the Tamil
National Alliance (TNA) is standing in the poll as a virtual proxy
for the LTTE. Previously, the TNA backed the UNF and its talks
with the LTTE. What may emerge now, however, is a TNA divided
along regional lines. The Muralitharan faction laid down the law
to eastern TNA candidates this week declaring that they had to
break with the Wanni leadership and pay more attention to problems
in the east.
One faction of the ruling elite is playing down the divisions
in the LTTE and hoping to salvage the peace process. The UNF has
declared the LTTE split to be an internal matter to the organisation.
For the time being, President Kumaratunga has also kept her distance
from the dispute. The Defence Ministry, which is under her control,
has put the armed forces on full alert in the eastern
province to prevent any clash between the two groups.
An editorial in the Sunday Times on March 14 urged caution.
The best option may be to leave the warring factions to
their own devices to sort [out] their differences. This need not
be viewed as seeming indifference on the part of Colombo. But
lending a helping hand to one against the other might needlessly
precipitate a situation that is detrimental to the painful process
towards peace in Sri Lanka.
Other sections of the Colombo elite insist that the LTTE split
has to be exploited to maximum advantage. An editorial in the
Island on March 5 entitled The beginning of the end?
declared: If there is a split in the LTTE, which has been
holding this country in the grip of terror for over two decades,
it will be in the interest of all communities to work towards
its total destruction. It urged Wickremesinghe and Kumaratunga
to work together to seize what could be an historic opportunity.
JVP leader Somawansa Amarasinghe has praised Muralitharan as
a reasonable voice and declared that he had to be
made into the voice of the entire Tamil community.
He denounced the UNF and local and international conspiratorial
forces for trying to reconcile the two factions, saying
that attempts to do so, are sending danger signals to the
people, the President in particular. His comments amount
to an appeal, particularly to Kumaratunga, to support Muralitharan,
including militarily, in an all-out effort to crush the Prabhakaran
faction in the Wanni.
These statements clearly reflect the thinking of sections of
the military and state apparatus. Any attempt to intervene in
the spliteither openly or covertlycarries the real
danger of fighting not simply between the two LTTE factions, but
a return to open civil war.
See Also:
Sri Lankan political
crisis heightens tensions in Jaffna
[24 December 2003]
LTTE offers reassurances
to major powers
[9 December 2003]
LTTE joins government
strikebreaking against Sri Lankan health workers
[30 September 2003]
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