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Georgian authorities wrest back control of Adjaria
By Simon Whelan
11 May 2004
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On May 6, Aslan Abashidze fled his fiefdom of Adjaria to a
comfortable exile in Russia, thereby averting clashes between
his local militia and the Georgian army.
In the long term, the deposing of the local warlord does not
lessen the chances of military conflict in Georgia. Georgian President
Mikhail Saakashvili has been emboldened by the relative ease with
which Adjaria was taken back under the wing of Tbilisi and is
now threatening both Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
After a relentless campaign lasting six months, beginning almost
immediately after Saakashvili was brought to power, Abashidze
finally departed without so much as a whimper. After recently
blowing up all but one of the bridges connecting Adjaria with
the rest of Georgia, the local dictator opted for exile in Moscow.
The refusal to offer troops or arms to Abashidze by Igor Ivanov,
the Russian secretary of the National Security Council, during
a late night meeting on May 5, sealed Abashidzes fate. The
Adjarian despot, his family and close associates hitched a ride
with Ivanov back to Russia.
While Tbilisi has promised not to pursue Abashidze or seek
his extradition, they are heaping humiliation upon the departed
autocrat. Georgian authorities announced that Abashidzes
pedigree dogs, imported cars and assorted consumer luxuries are
to be sold off at auction. MZE television reported that Abashidzes
favourite dog is called Basmach, after rebels who fought the Bolsheviks
in Central Asia during the 1920s.
In the days preceding Abashidzes climbdown, the Adjarian
public had displayed their contempt for the despot with mass street
demonstrations. After his rival fled, Saakashvili immediately
made for Batumi to declare this as his second Rose Revolution.
The Georgian president celebrated the conquest of the Black Sea
region by splashing seawater on his face. He has good reason to
celebrate: the port of Batumi is the largest commercial enterprise
in the whole of Georgia. The Black Sea port handles 60 percent
of all the oil presently passing through Georgia from the Caspian
Sea to international markets. These revenues will give the ailing
Georgian economy a respite.
Speaking to the crowds in Batumi, Saakashvili promised that
he would reunite Georgia. With Abashidze dispatched to obscurity,
Saakashvili is now free to turn his attention to two regions thatunlike
Adjariahave actually declared themselves autonomous from
Tbilisi: Abkhazia and South Ossetia. At the behest of Washington,
which wants to see the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (B-T-C) oil pipeline
transit nations ruled with an iron fist, the American-trained
lawyer will now seriously up the ante against the breakaway republics.
This is one job for which Saakashvili is well qualified: he
relishes the rattling of sabres. However, even someone as belligerent
as he understands that the breakaway regions, especially Abkhazia,
represent a more serious challenge than did Adjaria. Both regions
have beaten back previous Georgian attempts to end their regional
autonomy. The leader of South Ossetia has declared that he will
not even speak to Saakashvili until Tbilisi admits genocide concerning
his predecessor Eduard Shevardnadzes failed attempt to keep
the region within Georgia.
The Abkhazian Prime Minister Raul Khajimba has landed in Moscow
on the heels of Abashidze. Spelling out the gravity of the situation,
the de-facto Abkhazian foreign minister, Sergei Shamba, ruled
out an Adjarian scenario. He told the Russian news
agency RIA Nostovi, Abkhazia is not Georgia; the Abkhazians
have quite different mentality. The Georgian politicians do not
take this into account.
Shamba warned that any attempt to reintegrate Abkhazia into
Georgia is doomed to failure.
The Abkhazian authorities have stepped up security cooperation
with their South Ossetian counterparts, declaring that its security
forces are prepared to defend its sovereignty. And Tbilisis
peaceful options for tempting back the breakaway regions are limited.
Even with the revenues from Batumi, the economy is still viewed
by international markets as in dire straits, and the transit fees
to be paid when the B-T-C pipeline begins operating next year
will not be enough to satisfy all the competing demands. This
leaves nothing to tempt the two regions back into the fold with
other than the threat of military action.
Washington welcomed what it called the peaceful restoration
of Tbilisis authority, calling it a historic
day for Georgia. The US press has continually portrayed
Saakashvili as a democracy-loving free-marketeer and registered
its approval. In contrast, the Russian media was clearly angry
at a diminution of Russias influence in the South Caucasus.
The victory of Saakashvili over Shevardnadze and Abashidze in
Georgia and the setting up of the pro-Washington Aliyev dynasty
in Azerbaijan, together with the continuing bloodbath in Chechnya
which just claimed pro-Moscow premier Kadyrov, have led many commentators
to speak openly of foreign policy disarray in the Kremlin.
Igor Ivanovs name is held in contempt in some quarters.
For the second time in six months, he has been involved in the
removal of nominally pro-Moscow figuresfirst Shevardnadze
and then Abashidze. Viktor Ozerov, the chairman of the Security
and Defence Committee of Russias Federation Council, was
not alone in lamenting the loss of a counterweight to Saakashvilis
pro-US orientation. State deputy and director of the CIS institute
Konstantin Zatulin believed that Abashidzes hasty demise
would leave the way open for Tbilisi to exert pressure on Moscow
to remove its military base from Batumi.
The Moskovskiy Komsomolets drew bitter comparisons with
events in the Persian Gulf: While Washington is getting
itself mired more and more deeply in Iraq, in the Caucasus it
has managed to pull off its latest geopolitical triumph.
Another daily newspaper, Moskovskaya Pravda, was equally
bitter: The events were not a victory for Saakashvili over
Abashidze, but for America over Russia. The USA is effectively
continuing a carve-up of the Caucasus using its puppets in the
region.
The scene is set for Saakashvili to exert possible military
pressure on the two breakaway regions at the behest of Washington.
On the same day that Abashidze fled to Russia, Georgian Prime
Minister Zurab Zhvania declared that his country had been included
in the USs Millennium Challenge Account. These
monies are only doled out to Washingtons most obedient puppets.
By beginning the task of Georgian reunification, Saakashvili has
proved himself worthy of the Bush administrations favour.
See Also:
Threat of civil war hangs
over Georgia
[15 April 2004]
Georgia: Rose
revolution destabilises southern Caucasus
[29 December 2003]
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