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Georgia: Tensions increase between Abkhazia and Tbilisi
By Simon Whelan
22 May 2004
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For the time being at least, a war of words rather than bullets
has ensued between the breakaway Georgian republic of Abkhazia
and the Saakashvili regime in Tbilisi. As soon as the Tbilisi
central government wrested back control of Adjaria, they began
to alternately threaten or cajole the Abkhazian authorities. Regardless
of repeated claims from the proclaimed capital of Sukhumi that
Abkhazia is no Adjaria, the new government in Tbilisi is undoubtedly
pursuing a similar scenario.
On May 19 it was the turn of conciliation. President Mikhail
Saakashvili declared that he will make a special statement concerning
resolving the Abkhazian and South Ossetian issue on Georgian Independence
Day, May 26. Saakashvili also said that Georgian reunification
would be accomplished by peaceful means.
Only the day before Abkhazian Prime Minister Raul Khajimba
reiterated his regimes line that no compromise can be found
on their autonomous status. He added that Aabkhazias status
as an independent state is documented in the republics constitution
and is not subject to discussion.
The Georgian parliamentary chairperson played the role of good
cop, telling RIA Novosti news agency that Saakashvili would
do his utmost to peacefully settle the Abkhaz conflict.
But everyone should understand that we cannot wait forever,
added bad cop Nino Burjanadze. In addition, she called
upon Russia to do everything it could to resolve the Abkhazian
question.
On a visit to the Romanian capital Bucharest on May 15 and
16, inveterate bully Saakashvili promised another rose revolution.
He stated that if another revolutionmore correctly
a coup bringing himself to powerwas to be accomplished it
would be in the Black Sea republic. Revolution was
looming in Abkhazia, he declared.
Racking up the tension a little more, Saakashvili has ordered
his ministers to join the armyapparently to learn what military
service is all about. The Georgian president said building up
the army is one of his priorities and the process should begin
in the upper echelons. Ministers who dodged the draft last time
round are instructed to hand over department duties to their deputies
and train with reservists for three months.
The Georgian government has started to float the idea of a
two-member federation state. In its latest April report on the
conflict, United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan complained
of slow progress, calling on the Abkhazian side to
drop its intransigence.
What Chloe Arnold, writing in the Moscow Times, calls
Saakashvilis reconquista agenda is one designed,
funded and incited in Washington. It directly threatens Russian
influence within the South Caucasus. Abkhazia, South Ossetia and
to a lesser degree Adjaria remain the geographical points of Moscows
influence within Georgia. In a visit occurring almost immediately
after the deposing of Alsan Abashidze from Batumi in Adjaria,
an Abkhazian representative arrived in Moscow requesting in vain
that Russian troops be stationed on the upper Kodori gorge in
Abkhaziawhere Georgian troops have a foothold in the region.
Some commentators are speculating that the Kremlins recent
acquiescence on Georgian issues is the result of acquiring a promise
from Saakashvili that American troops will not be stationed on
Georgian soil. This may be correct, but the same commentators
are still unsure of the Kremlins plan of action concerning
Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Early this week Russian Security Council Secretary Igor Ivanov
held talks with Georgian officials about Georgian and Russian
relations and, by virtue, about Abkhazia.
Georgian and Russian troops are currently conducting joint
patrols on their border to prevent the incursion of Chechen rebels
from Russia into Georgia. Chechen refugees in the Pankisi gorge
area are reporting increased police harassment by Georgian forces
and a growing sense of insecurity. Russias President Putin
and Saakashvili are due to meet in the autumn.
Last week Givi Argba Abkhazian, Russias head of state
security, accused Georgian authorities of planning moves into
the ethnically Georgian Abkhazian enclave of Gali. Abkhazian sources
suggested Georgian forces might make an incursion on Georgian
Independence Day.
The Abkhazian authorities also requested UN Chief Military
Observer Major General Kazi Ashfaq Ahmed closely monitor the situation
in the Kodori gorge, the sole Abkhazian territory occupied by
Georgian forces. Military experts believe that occupation of the
gorge would provide a location from which to punch forward to
the Abkhazian capital Sukhumi.
Abkhazian authorities have introduced more troops in the Gali
district after claiming that Georgian forces are destabilising
the region. About 60,000 ethnic Georgians live in the Gali district.
Sukhumi accused Tbilisi of attempting to foment unrest amongst
residents as a means to intervene in the region and ultimately
overthrow the government in Sukhumi.
In addition, South Ossetian troops are on high alert. Authorities
are also suggesting that Georgian Independence Day might be used
as an occasion to invade the region. Like Sukhumi, South Ossetian
authorities deny an Adjarian-type solution is viable in their
territory.
Abkhazia is situated in the northwestern corner of Georgia.
The Black Sea coast resorts of Abkhazia were popular during Soviet
times. Today the economy is in ruins, much like that of Georgia,
and the population is only 100,000 and falling. Its pretensions
to statehood notwithstanding, it is little more than a plaything
and bargaining chip of the larger surrounding states and, above
all, the subject of imperialist intrigues. Whilst the population
have been issued Russian passports, any early thoughts of being
incorporated into the Russian state have been diminished and support
for reintegration into Georgia is gaining support.
Georgian forces were driven out in 1993 during fierce fighting
that killed thousands of ethnic Abkhaz and Georgians. A quarter
of a million ethnic Georgian refugees were driven out of the republic.
Abkhazia declared independence in 1994, but that status has never
been recognised by a single country. Georgia maintains an economic
embargo, but Russia has reopened a railway link from the mainland
to Sukhumi.
The standoff is presided over by UN military observers and
Russian peacekeepers. The UN patrols the buffer zones between
the two protagonists. Sporadic fighting and kidnappings characterise
an uneasy stalemate. This tenuous situation is likely to deteriorate
further in the light of current events.
See Also:
Georgian authorities wrest back control
of Adjaria
[11 May 2004]
Georgia: Rose
revolution destabilises southern Caucasus
[29 December 2003]
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