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Analysis : Middle
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White House pushes ahead with plans for Iraqi puppet state
By James Conachy
21 May 2004
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Tuesdays memorial ceremony for Izzedin Salim, the assassinated
president of the US-appointed Iraqi Governing Council (IGC), was
symbolic of the state of affairs in Iraq. The representatives
of the occupationwhether American, coalition, UN or Iraqiare
viewed with such hostility and are so fearful of the Iraqi people
that the ceremony could only take place before a carefully vetted
audience inside the heavily fortified Green Zone compound in the
centre of Baghdad.
There has been little public mourning for Salim. His willingness
to work with the US and serve on the IGC made him a traitor in
most Iraqi eyes.
Nevertheless, Salims death is a further blow to the Bush
administrations plans to install an unelected interim government
in Baghdad on June 30, and portray it, in Iraq, the US and internationally,
as the restoration of sovereignty to a legitimate Iraqi government.
The assassination at the front gate of the Green Zonejust
weeks before UN special envoy Lakhdar Brahimi is scheduled to
nominate the governments compositionhas reinforced
the sense that the US occupation is confronting disaster.
The White Houses propaganda effort last year sought to
ennoble its predatory seizure of an oil-rich and strategic country
by calling it Operation Iraqi Freedom. The predictable
reality has been determined opposition within Iraq to a colonial
invader, and increasingly murderous efforts by the US military
to crush the resistance. Tens of thousands of Iraqis have been
killed or maimed; cities and holy sites have been bombarded; and
young men have been seized off the streets and tortured.
The repression has both broadened and hardened the resistance,
leading to the eruption last month of a popular uprising behind
Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, and the defiant Iraqi defence of
the city of Fallujah. Any Iraqis who choose to provide political
support to the US do so in the knowledge that they are placing
themselves at odds with the mass of the population, over 80 percent
of whom report in opinion polls that they want the American and
allied troops out.
Former IGC human rights minister Adb al-Bassit Turki, who resigned
his post in protest over the Abu Ghraib torture revelations, articulated
the feelings that now exist toward the occupation, even among
those who were initially prepared to work with it. Speaking to
the German newspaper Der Speigel, Turki declared: I
also resigned because the Americans have indiscriminately attacked
Iraqi cities with helicopters and aircraft, because they have
behaved inhumanely during house searches, because they have stolen
and taken away the dignity of human beings. It became clear to
me that the Americans were not interested in resolving problems
peacefully. Instead, they were truly obsessed with using military
force to deal with all kinds of difficulties.
US troops, Turki warned, can only remain if asked to
by the Iraqi people. Otherwise they should definitely leave.
An expression of broader sentiment is to be found in the May
7 entry into the Baghdad Burning web blog (http://riverbendblog.blogspot.com/).
The author, a 24-year-old woman living in Baghdad, wrote: I
sometimes get emails asking me to propose solutions or make suggestions.
Fine. Todays lesson: dont rape, dont torture,
dont kill and get out while you canwhile it still
looks like you have a choice... Chaos? Civil war? Bloodshed? Well
take our chancesjust take your puppets, your tanks, your
smart weapons, your dumb politicians, your lies, your empty promises,
your rapists, your sadistic torturers and go.
In an article commenting on the perception the US is failing
in Iraq, the Washington Post reported on Tuesday: Iraqis
close to the negotiations by UN special envoy Lakhdar Brahimi
are now warning that credible politicians or technocrats may not
be willing to accept jobs in the interim Iraqi government. Anyone
in his right mind would say what youre giving me is an impossible
task and a no-win situation, said an Iraqi adviser to a
member of the Iraqi Governing Council.
Ignoring the mounting opposition, the Bush administration has
used Salims death to announce it is pushing ahead with its
agenda regardless. Bush told journalists on Wednesday: I
anticipate in the next couple of weeks, decisions will be made
toward who will be the president and the vice president, as well
as the prime minister and other ministers. According to
Bush, the US intends to put a resolution before the UN Security
Council that will embrace the interim governmenti.e.
give it a figleaf of international legitimacyand recognise
the need to provide securityi.e. sanction the
protracted presence of US troops in Iraq.
A powerless government
Thirteen months after an invasion carried out in the name of
bringing liberation and democracy, the
Bush administration has dropped the pretence of forming an Iraqi
government that reflects, in even the most limited way, the will
of the Iraqi people. US officials will hold direct authority over
all the key institutionsstate finances, the armed forces
and media and communications.
The interim governments character was spelt out in an
article in the May 13 Wall Street Journal. Headlined Behind
the scenes, US tightens grip on Iraqs future, the
piece outlined the steps taken to ensure that the Iraqi government
will have little control over its armed forces, lack the
ability to make or change laws and be unable to make major decisions
within specific ministries without tacit US approval.
In March, Paul Bremer, the head of the Coalition Provisional
Authority (CPA), issued a law that placed operational control
of the Iraqi military under the US command in Iraq. Iraqi troops
are under the orders, not of an Iraqi government, but the Pentagon.
A media and telecommunications commission appointed by Bremer
will have immense powers over the media, including the power to
shut down news agencies. In a sign of the contempt
with which the Bush administration views the Iraqis who are working
for it, the IGC minister of communications, Haider al-Abadi, was
not informed that a body had been created to remove most of his
ministrys authority. No-one from the US even found
time to call, he told the Journal.
A Board of Supreme Auditalso appointed by Bremerwill
have representatives in every Iraqi ministry, with powers to monitor
all contracts and expenditure. The US-installed members of the
board will have a five-year term of office and cannot be removed
except by a two-thirds vote in an elected Iraqi parliamentwhen
one exists. US advisors will remain in every ministry,
reporting to a virtual parallel government operating out of the
American embassy in Baghdad, which, with over 3,000 staff, will
be the largest in the world.
In a transparent statement of who really rulessovereign
Iraqi government or notthe US had decided to locate its
embassy in the former palace of Saddam Hussein, the most prominent
official building in Baghdad and widely viewed among Iraqis as
the seat of state authority.
Six weeks before an interim government is to be formed, no-one
in Iraq even knows who is likely to sit in it. Its composition
is being decided in secretive negotiations between US officials
and the UNs Brahimi. This is the freedom that
tens of thousands lives have been lost or ruined fornaked
American imperialist domination over a long oppressed, but oil-rich,
country in the Middle East.
Self-delusion and reality
The evolution of the Bush administrations plans for an
Iraqi puppet state shows how the reality of mass opposition has
continually disrupted the self-delusion within the American establishment
that the Iraqi people would submit to colonial rule.
The initial calculation was that the Iraqi population, after
decades of dictatorship and more than 20 years of war and economic
deprivation, would accept whatever Washington dictated. The post
of Iraqi president was intended for one of the pro-US Iraqi exiles,
such as Ahmad Chalabi. Defence department officials confidently
predicted 60,000 troops would be sufficient to control Iraq within
a matter of months.
After the shock and awe invasion, the UN resolution
of May 22, 2003, gave indefinite control over every aspect of
Iraqi society, including its oil and energy revenues, to the US-controlled
CPAwith the only stipulation being a review in 12 months.
By the beginning of June 2003, the euphoria in Washington had
evaporated. It was apparent that a guerilla war was well-entrenched
against the occupation and that the Iraqi exiles, particularly
Chalabi, had little or no social base in the country. Instead
of the US military reducing its troop numbers, it was extending
demoralised soldiers tours-of-duty and carrying out major
raids on rebellious cities in the predominantly Sunni Muslim areas
of central Iraq.
The escalating fighting led directly to the unexpected formation
of the IGC in mid-July. The original proposal to give the occupation
an Iraqi face involved convening a national congress
of Iraqi dignitaries to elect its representatives. Under conditions
where the US could not be completely certain who would be chosen,
the congress plan was scrapped, and Bremer simply hand-picked
the IGCs 25 members. The IGC would act as a consultative
body to the CPA until mid-2004, when the possibility of
holding elections would be considered.
The formation of the IGC did nothing to bring any substantial
layer of the Iraqi population behind the occupation. The Council
was universally viewed as little more than a collection of American
puppets.
By November 2003, one year out from the US presidential elections,
the debacle in Iraq had plunged the Bush administration into a
major crisis. The guerilla resistance was killing or wounding
more and more American and allied soldiers. Fuelled by resentment
over unemployment, social conditions and the martial law conditions
of the US occupation, the first signs of a Shiite uprising were
evident in clashes between occupation forces and al-Sadrs
Mahdi Army militia in the working class suburbs of Baghdad. Within
the US, recriminations against the White House were increasing.
The head of the Iraq Survey Group, David Kay, had bluntly reported
to the US congress in October that no weapons of mass destruction
had been found.
Bremer was recalled for emergency talks in Washington and a
new plan was unveiled. The CPA would convene caucuses
in Iraqs 18 provinces, attended by representatives vetted
by the US military, and they would elect an interim government
to take office on June 30, 2004. The IGC would draft an interim
constitution. In the months leading up to the US elections, Bush
could portray the constitution and government as the realisation
of democracy in Iraq.
Accompanying the new political plan was another massive escalation
in the military violence against the Iraqi people, aimed at breaking
the back of the resistance in the Sunni regions of the country.
Cities such as Fallujah, Samarra, Baqubah, Thuluya and Balad were
raided repeatedly, with thousands of men dragged off to detention
camps.
Once again, however, the US attempts to present as democratic
a government formed through brutal repression without any participation
by the Iraqi people only provoked greater opposition. In January,
hundreds of thousands of Iraqi Shiites took part in demonstrations
called by the leading Shia cleric Ali al-Sistani to demand elections.
Sadr threatened that the Mahdi Army would join the armed resistance
if the US plans were not changed.
Confronted with the prospect of a Shiite rebellion, the decision
was made, as the New York Times put it in November 2003,
to throw the hot potato of forming an Iraqi government
into the UNs lap. The caucus plan was quietly abandoned
and the Bush administration requested that Brahimi investigate
other means of selecting an interim regime.
During February, Brahimi toured Iraq to try to convince Sistani
and other sections of the Shiite elite that elections were not
possible and that a sovereign government would have
to be subordinate to the US military. The UN proposed that, instead
of caucuses, the IGCregarded by most Iraqis as nothing more
than a US frontbe enlarged from 25 members to 200.
The cynical and anti-democratic political maneuvers with the
UN began to collapse immediately. Most Iraqis rejected as illegitimate
the interim constitution adopted by the Governing Council on March
8, which was largely drawn up by Bremer, and enshrined US control
over Iraq. The Shia religious establishment, adapting to the popular
sentiment, began preparing mass demonstrations to demand its revision.
The US again answered the growing opposition with an escalation
in repression. Plans were drawn up for a crackdown on al-Sadr
and a murderous assault on Fallujah, to make it an example of
what would happen to any other centre of resistance. These were
put into motion at the end of March, with the banning of Sadrs
newspaper and incursions by marines into Fallujah.
The recklessness of the American calculations is demonstrated
by the outcome of the latest US military offensive. More than
150 Americans were killed and 1,100 were wounded in April alone,
as Baghdad and the Shiite south of Iraq erupted to defend al-Sadr,
and the people of Fallujah fought marines to a standstill in the
citys outer suburbs. The bulk of the US-recruited Iraqi
army, civil defense troops and police either deserted to join
the uprising or refused to fight.
Two leading figures in the IGC, including the leader of the
Marsh Arabs, resigned in protest over the mass US killing of civilians.
Sistani and other moderate Shiites have been compelled
to distance themselves from the US and UN plans for an interim
government. The US actions produced recriminations even from Ahmad
Chalabi and his Iraqi National Congress (INC), the closest stooges
of the US occupationno doubt the underlying reason for the
raid on his home and the INC headquarters yesterday.
Ultimately, the mass dimensions of the resistance forced the
US marines to make a humiliating backdown in Fallujah, leaving
the city under the control of the resistance fighters. Sadr is
now the most popular figure among Iraqi Shiites and continues
to defy the occupation from the holy Shia shrines in the city
of Najaf.
Amid the debacle, Bush has announced he will outline the details
of an interim government during a speech in Pennsylvania on Monday.
Brahimi has been in Iraq since May 13 to line up the individuals
who will serve in it. Exactly to whom he is talking is unclear.
Every justification for the American colonial project in Iraq
has been utterly discredited and every Iraqi political figure
with a meaningful base of support is opposed to a regime handpicked
by the US and UN. Only the most venal and corrupt elements of
the Iraqi elite would agree to take part.
No government of this kind, predicated on an ongoing American
military presence in Iraq and US control over Iraqs economy,
will ever be accepted by the Iraqi people. Far from undermining
support for the armed resistance sweeping Iraq, the US military
now expects the installation of the US puppet state to fuel it.
The commanding US general in the country, John Abizaid, told a
congressional hearing on Wednesday that the situation will
become more violent after the June 30 handover because
it will remain unclear whats going to happen. Its
possible that we might need more forces, he said.
The invasion of Iraq is a shameful chapter in American history.
It can be ended only by a movement of the American and international
working class fighting for the immediate and unconditional withdrawal
of US and allied forces, reparations to the Iraqi people and the
prosecution of the Bush administration for its war crimes.
See Also:
US occupation regime staggered by bomb
blasts, uprisings
[19 May 2004]
Fighting intensifies around Shiite holy
cities in Iraq
[17 May 2004]
US forces attack in Baghdad, tensions
build around Najaf
[11 May 2004]
US faces ongoing Shiite uprising in southern
Iraq
[6 May 2004]
Marines pull back from Fallujah, a debacle
for American imperialism
[4 May 2004]
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