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Analysis : Middle
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US faces ongoing Shiite uprising in southern Iraq
By James Conachy
6 May 2004
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Even as marines pull back from a confrontation with resistance
fighters in the city of Fallujah, the American military is continuing
operations to suppress the Shiite uprising that erupted on April
4 under the leadership of 31-year-old cleric Moqtada al-Sadr.
Until this week, southern Iraq has been relatively subdued,
since the heavy fighting in the first 10 days of April. A tense
standoff has prevailed in a number of cities, with some districts
under the control of fighters loyal to al-Sadr and others under
the control of the US-led occupation forces. Sadr and thousands
of his supporters have fortified themselves in the holy Shiite
city of Najaf, close to the Iman Ali Shrine, the holiest site
of Shia Islam. The US military, heeding warnings by Shiite leaders
that any damage to the shrine by a US attack could trigger an
even broader insurrection, has not attempted to enter the city
centre thus far.
Fighting between US troops and the militiamen of Sadrs
Madhi Army is now steadily escalating.
On Tuesday night, after coming under heavy Iraqi mortar fire
the day before, 450 American, Polish and Bulgarian troops with
tanks, Bradley fighting vehicles and helicopter gunship support
launched a midnight assault on militia positions in the southwestern
suburbs of Karbala. For the first time, US troops used heavy machine-guns
and tank fire in the streets of the citythe location of
other important Shiite shrines.
A government office that had been taken over by the militiamen
and used to store ammunition was strafed by a helicopter gunship
and then reduced to rubble by tank fire. The US military estimated
at least 10 Iraqi fighters were killed. One American soldier died
when Iraqis used a dump truck to break through a US roadblock.
An attack was also launched Tuesday night on Sadrs supporters
in Diwaniyah, a city to the east of Najaf. In heavy fighting to
take several buildings held by militiamen, three American soldiers
and at least nine Iraqis were killed. A spokesman from the local
hospital said five civilians had also died.
The raids followed intense bursts of fighting on Monday around
the former Spanish compound in Najaf, which has been taken over
by 200 American troops. Shiite militiamen have regularly fired
mortar barrages on the base in an attempt to force the US forces
to withdraw completely from the city. Fighting has also flared
in al-Sadrs hometown of Kufa, which is only some five miles
from Najaf. British and American forces in Amara and Basra have
come under attack over the past week.
The most intense military activity appears to be taking place
in Baghdad, though it is receiving little coverage in the western
media. Parts of the eastern, northern and western suburbs of the
capital are effectively battlegrounds between US troops and Sadrs
Shiite militiamen or Sunni Muslim guerilla groups. The most oppressed
area of the city, the working class Shiite suburb of Sadr Citynamed
after al-Sadrs fatheris a virtual no-go area for the
US military except in heavily armoured convoys.
American troops are suffering continuous losses from resistance
attacks in Baghdad. On Sunday, two US troops were killed by a
roadside bomb in the north-west of the capital. One soldier was
shot dead and two wounded on Monday as they stood guard outside
a weapons depot. Ground artillery was called in against resistance
fighters firing on aircraft landing at Baghdad airport. According
to the most recent briefing by the US-controlled Coalition Provisional
Authority, some 430 patrols were carried out in Baghdad on Tuesday
alone in efforts to suppress guerilla activity.
The fact that a popular armed struggle is underway against
the US occupation of Iraq was underscored by the announcement
this week that US troop numbers in the country will be kept at
138,000 until at least the end of 2005. Less than four months
ago, the American military had begun a rotation plan to reduce
the force in Iraq to just 105,000, with further reductions intended
in 2005. The entire plan has now been scrapped. The British government
is reportedly under pressure from Washington to deploy as many
as 4,000 extra troops.
In contemplating whether or not to launch an assault on Sadrs
forces in Najaf, the Bush administration and American military
face an even greater dilemma than they confronted when deciding
how to end the month-long siege of Fallujah. An attack on the
holiest city of the Shiite faith could unleash massive outpourings
of anger in Iraq and other parts of the Middle East, with unpredictable
consequences.
There appear to be behind-the-scenes efforts by the US to convince
sections of the Shiite establishment to function as proxies for
the US military in suppressing the uprising around Sadr.
In particular, the Bush administration is seeking the collaboration
of the main Shiite cleric Ali al-Sistani and the 10,000-strong
Badr Brigade militia maintained by the Iranian-backed Supreme
Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI), which has
members in the puppet Iraqi Governing Council.
Sistani, SCIRI and another Shiite religious party, al-Dawa,
have not supported the calls for armed struggle to free Iraq from
US rule. Instead they have sought to use their authority to isolate
Sadrs supporters. Over the past several weeks, they have
stepped up demands on Sadr that he end the uprising and disband
his militia. In exchange they have offered Sadr a worthless undertaking
that he will not be tried over US allegations he ordered the murder
of a rival Shia cleric until a sovereign Iraqi government is formed.
On Tuesday, some 100 representatives of SCIRI, al-Dawa and
local Najaf business and tribal groups, while again insisting
the US not send troops near the holy Shiite shrines, issued a
demand that Sadr withdraw his militiamen from around the mosques
and shrines in Najaf and Kufa; allow the Iraqi police to resume
patrolling; and withdraw all the weapons of his militia from the
two cities.
Under conditions where the city is surrounded by 2,500 American
troops with tanks and air support, this is effectively a demand
that Sadr surrender his forces to the US.
Behind the demands of Sistani, SCIRI and al-Dawa is their ambition
to strike a deal with US imperialism that will give them the dominant
position in the Iraqi state being established under the auspices
of the occupation. To achieve a deal, some elements of the Shiite
establishment appear prepared to betray Sadr and the Shiite youth
who have taken up arms.
According to the New York Times, a Najaf tribal leader
declared at Tuesdays meeting: The Americans dont
want to go into the shrines. They want to get rid of criminals
and thieves. So what if they if enter the city? The Times
reported that dozens of men called out Yes, yes.
To the extent the Bush administration has a strategy for ending
the Shiite uprising, it appears to be attacking Sadrs militia
outside of Najaf and convincing other Shiite factions to agree
to a Fallujah-style arrangement in which they accept responsibility
for disarming the Mahdi Army in the holy city. To facilitate a
settlement, the Bush administration has stopped declaring it intends
to kill Sadr and indicated it is prepared to allow
the Shia hierarchy to work out a compromise.
Bush told Arab station Al Arabiya yesterday: I think
he [Sadr] ought to be dealt with by the Iraqi citizens who are
getting tired of him occupying the holiest of holy sites. The
Iraqis will deal with Mr. Sadr.
At this point, Sadr has not responded to the calls that he
order his supporters to lay down their arms. In an indication
of the bitterness that is felt among Sadrs supporters for
the Shia leaders who have not supported the uprising, a guard
for Sistani told Agence France Presse: I hear many Mahdi
militiamen grumbling that Sistani is just sitting inside his air-conditioned
home saying nothing to support their fight against the Americans.
Washingtons calculations ignore the main driving force
of the struggle against the occupation: the opposition of the
vast majority of the Iraqi people to the invasion and plunder
of their country. This anti-colonial sentiment is not going be
dissipated by whatever temporary deals the Bush administration
makes, whether in Fallujah or in Najaf.
See Also:
Marines pull back from Fallujah: a debacle
for American imperialism
[4 May 2004]
US military prepares assault
on Najaf and Fallujah
[15 April 2004]
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