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Behind China-Japan tensions
Washington fuels Japanese militarism
Part Two
By Peter Symonds
26 April 2005
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The following is the concluding part of a two-part series.
Part One was published on April
25, 2005.
Two significant shifts in Japans defence posture have
been set out in recent documents. Last December the government
released a comprehensive security statementthe National
Defence Program Outline (NDPO)which for the first time named
China, along with North Korea, as a potential threat to Japan.
China... is attempting to expand it sphere of maritime activity
while driving the modernisation of its nuclear and missile forces
as well as naval and air forces. Japan needs to pay attention
to these trends, it declared.
The NDPO reflects similar US defence and intelligence reviews
that also paint an overblown picture of the present and future
Chinese defence capacities. It should be recalled that, while
paying lip service to the pacifist clause of the constitution,
Japan has, over the last five decades, built its self-defence
forces into one of the best-equipped and largest military
forces in the world. Japans official military spending is
more than double that of China.
In mid-February 2005, a top-level meeting of Japanese and US
defence and foreign ministers marked a second decisive change.
The joint statement specifically named Taiwan as a mutual security
concern for the first time. While the reference was very tamethe
need for a peaceful resolution of issues concerning the
Taiwan Straitthe meaning was undeniable. It represented
a shift from Tokyos previous scrupulous support for the
One China policy to Washingtons ambiguous stance,
which nominally recognises Taiwan as part of China, but is nevertheless
committed to defending it against Beijing.
The significance of the statement was not lost on Beijing,
which responded by angrily denouncing Japan for interferring in
Chinas internal affairs. Beijing is justifiably concerned
that the deepening collaboration between the US and Japan, the
worlds two largest economic powers, is the most dangerous
element of a US strategy of encirclement. This fear has only been
heightened since September 2001 by the establishment of US military
bases in Afghanistan and Central Asia; closer US security relations
with India and Nepal, as well as US efforts to reestablish its
military presence in South East Asia.
Behind the scenes, a major reorganisation of US-Japan military
relations is well underway as part of a broader global repositioning
of the American military. The Washington Times noted on
April 15 that over the coming months US and Japanese military
officers and defence officials will hold meetings in Washington,
Tokyo and the US Pacific Command headquarters in Hawaii to
determine ways to put muscle behind the swiftly maturing alliance
between the United States and Japan.
The object of this intense discussion is to prepare for a joint
declaration later this year that will effect the most fundamental
and far-reaching revision of the alliance since the US Japan
Security Treaty was rewritten in 1960. According to the Washington
Times, the new relationship will be a partnership of near
equals that will involve a more thorough cooperation on
training, intelligence, war planning and operations.
The Asahi Shimbun reported on April 13 that the Japanese
government has given approval in principle for one key element
of the plans: the transfer of the command headquarters of the
US armys 1st Corps from Washington state to Camp Zama near
Yokohama, south of Tokyo. The move is aimed at reinforcing US-Japan
military ties at the top-level, even as American forces in Japan
and South Korea are cut, in line with the Pentagons plans
for a more flexible, mobile US military, capable of striking anywhere
in the world.
Constitutional amendments
Growing military collaboration between the US and Japan has
generated new pressures for constitutional change in Japan. Article
9 has been stretched beyond recognition to allow Japanese troops
to be deployed in an active overseas war zone in support of the
US occupation of Iraq. Koizumi has used the subterfuge that Japanese
military forces are simply engaged in humanitarian effortsjust
like the pretext that was used to justify the dispatch of Japanese
troops as peace-keepers to Cambodia and East Timor
in the 1990s.
Article 9 nevertheless remains a legal obstacle to the dispatch
of military forces to an overseas war, either as part of an alliance
or directly by Japan. Even within the immediate North East Asian
region, the constitution creates problems for joint planning and
operations by US and Japanese forces. The Koizumi government has
passed legislation allowing for the Japanese military to collaborate
with the Pentagon, not only in the immediate defence of Japan,
but in support of broader US operations in the region. Nevertheless,
the difficulty of justifying Japanese involvement as self-defence
in, say, the US military backing for Taiwan, remains.
The issue is particularly acute when it comes to US-Japanese
collaboration on a ballistic missile defence shield. Koizumi has
justified support for the US project on the grounds that Japan
needs to be able to defend itself from a North Korean missile
attack. This political ruse barely disguises the fact that the
shields primary purpose is to neutralise Chinas missile
arsenal. But it does complicate the joint deployment of the anti-missile
system for purposes other than the defence of Japan.
An article entitled The revival of the US-Japanese Alliance
published in February/March by the influential right-wing US thinktank,
the American Enterprise Institute, enthusiastically endorsed closer
military ties between the two countries. However, author Dan Blumenthal
noted the problems that would emerge when the US called on Japan
to deploy naval assets to assist in missions not directly related
to self-defence. Given the short time frames
involved in a decision to intercept a missile, drawn out security
deliberations by policymakers will be impossible. Military personnel
will have to make on-the-spot decisions to activate the system
without necessarily deciphering whether the missile being intercepted
is targeted at Japan, another US ally, or at the US homeland,
he explained.
Plans for an overhaul of the Japanese constitution are already
well advanced. A panel of the Diets lower house submitted
its final report summing up five years of discussion on April
15. The report dealt with a number of different aspects of the
constitution, but among the most controversial were proposed changes
to Article 9. As the panel comprises representatives of all parliamentary
parties, no clear-cut recommendation was made. However, the thrust
of the proposals was to explicitly allow for self-defence
and collective defencea phrase that would clear
the way for far more active defence alliances with the US, in
particular. A similar upper house report is being prepared.
Koizumi is actively pushing for the constitutional amendments.
An LDP committee is due to release draft constitutional amendments
as early as next month. But the government faces major obstacles
to constitutional change, which requires a two-thirds majority
in both houses of parliament and the support of a majority of
voters at a referendum. While the LDP, coalition partner New Komeito
Party and the opposition Democratic Party of Japan have backed
the report, the Social Democratic Party and the Japanese Communist
Party have opposed it. On the crucial issue of collective
defence, the panel was split three ways between opponents,
supporters and those who supported a more limited amendment.
The parliamentary opposition and reservations about changing
Article 9 reflect several concerns. For postwar governments, the
pacifist clause has proven to be a convenient diplomatic device
to deflect criticism from China and other countries over Japanese
rearmament. More fundamentally, however, Japans brutal militarist
regime of the 1930s and 1940s generated deeply felt antagonisms
among working people to imperialist war. These sentiments remain,
despite Koizumis efforts to whip up nationalist sentiment.
They are reflected in the hostility to the deployment of Japanese
troops to Iraq and changes to Article 9. A Mainichi Shimbun
poll last May found that, while 78 percent of Japanese favoured
constitutional change, 70 percent opposed changes to Article 9.
US backing for Japanese militarism
Some of the most strident support for amending Article 9 and
rearming Japan is to be found in Washington, rather than Tokyo.
In an interview last August, US Secretary of State Colin Powell
warned that Tokyo must consider changing the clause if it wants
a permanent seat on the UN Security Council. If Japan is
going to play a full role on the world stage and become a full
active participating member of the Security Council, and have
the kind of obligations that it would pick up as a member of the
Security Council, Article Nine would have to be examined in that
light, he stated. His comments reflect the Bush administrations
alignment not simply with Japan, but with the most right wing,
militarist sections of its political establishment.
During her trip to Asia last month, Powells successor
Condoleezza Rice enthused: Japan has earned its honorable
place among the nations of the world by its own effort and by
its own character. That is why the United States unambiguously
supports a permanent seat for Japan on the United Nations Security
Council. Speaking at Sophia University in Tokyo, Rice lauded
Japan as a model for political and economic progress in
all of East Asia and a partner in the global war on
terrorism. She declared that US alliances with Japan and
other countries were not against China but then added,
we want to push, prod and persuade China on a positive course.
In South Korea, she brushed off comments from reporters questioning
US support for Japanese rearmament and a UN Security seat by reiterating
her praise for the US-Japan alliance.
In his recent American Enterprise Institute (AEI) article,
Dan Blumenthal was not so reticent about the target of Washingtons
strategy. After declaring that US policy makers should welcome
and support Japans emergence as a strong American ally,
he stated: While the upgrading of the alliance serves a
number of Tokyos strategic purposes, there is no mistaking
the fact that Japan has decided to join the United States in its
grand strategy of checking Chinas great-power ambitions.
Under the leadership of Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, Tokyo
has taken advantage of the US-led war on terrorism, Washingtons
encouragement of Japanese efforts to bolster its defence capabilities,
and the North Korean nuclear standoff to assert a defence posture
commensurate to its stature in the international community.
Blumenthals praise for Koizumis adroitness points
to another feature of the US alignment with Tokyo: an increasingly
open defence of the governments efforts to stir up Japanese
nationalism. Just as Bush is relying on extreme right-wing Christian
fundamentalists in the US, so Koizumi is basing himself on militarist
layers who regard Japans colonial adventures in Asia as
a war of liberation from Western imperialism and,
in the manner of the pro-Nazi holocaust deniers, flatly declare
that atrocities like the Rape of Nanking are a Western fabrication.
It is not surprising therefore that supporters of the Bush administration
have no difficulty in joining the apologists for Japanese militarismas
long as it advances US interests.
Blumenthal pays tribute to Koizumis cleverness in playing
what he terms the history cardthat is, visiting
the notorious Yasakuni Shrine and defending the publication of
history texts that whitewash Japans war record. In
fashioning his China strategy, Koizumi had to both build public
support and overcome Chinese pressure. Koizumi has accomplished
these dual goals by skillfully turning the Achilles heel of Japans
China policythe history cardinto a political
advantage.
According to Blumenthal, Koizumis great skill, along
with sharply polarising public opinion in Japan, has been to inflame
regional tensions by promoting the symbols of wartime Japanese
imperialism as a cover for his more fundamental objective of Japanese
rearmament. Because the Chinese leadership continues to
emphasise this symbolic issue, Koizumis substantive reforms
of Japans defence posture have received far less criticism
than they otherwise would. Indeed, China has overplayed its hand
by allowing Japan-bashing to boil over within the Chinese populace.
In a comment in the Wall Street Journal on April 13,
James Lilley, one of Blumenthals colleagues at the American
Heritage Institute, makes a similar point about the latest anti-Japanese
protests in China. Lilley notes that regional reactions to Japans
territorial claims and controversial textbooks reflect deep
historic animosities and distrust but then openly defends
Koizumis actions, stating: Japan has been bludgeoned
unmercifully by China and Korea for its brutality during its invasions
and occupations of the 20th century. Some of this represents genuine
emotion, but it also reflects an attempt to put Japan on the defensive
while at the same time gobbling up its goods and superior technology.
China and South Korea clearly exploit nationalist sentiment
for their own political purposes. The Beijing bureaucracy, which
has presided over two decades of free market restructuring and
is integrating itself into the emerging capitalist class, has
all but given up its past socialist pretences. The Chinese leaders,
like their counterparts in Japan, are deliberating whipping up
nationalism to divert widespread and deepening hostility over
poverty and unemployment as well as to push for a greater role
for China in the region and internationally.
At the same time, however, there is an understandable fear
among broad layers of the population in Asia, that the justifications
being advanced for the past crimes of Japanese imperialism are
aimed at preparing for new ones. As in the 1930s, Japan is heavily
dependent on the import of raw materials, particularly oil, to
feed its huge manufacturing base. After a decade and a half of
economic slump and crisis, sections of Tokyos ruling elite
support a more aggressive and expansionist strategy to secure
access to cheap commodities, labour and markets. It is no accident
that its territorial conflicts with China, Russia and South Korea
all involve areas in the surrounding seas that are potential sources
of oil and gas. To back its ambitions, Japan needs to be able
to exert its military muscle.
Not all sections of the US ruling elite welcome the reemergence
of Japanese militarism. Some can still recall a time when US imperialism
was compelled to fight a devastating war in the Pacific to defend
its economic and strategic interests in Asia. They regard the
present foreign policy of the Bush administration as shortsighted
and reckless. At present, Tokyo may be prepared to play second
fiddle to Washington as the means for rearming and asserting its
status as a normal nation. But alignments can change.
Japanese interests not only conflict with those of China, but,
more fundamentally, with Washingtons long-term plans to
establish US control over the resource-rich regions of the Middle
East and Central Asia. These were the seeds of the Pacific war
that erupted in December 1941. They could also become the trigger
for another bloody conflagration.
In a scathing recent attack on current US policy towards Japan
entitled The real China threat, academic
Chalmers Johnson made the following observations:
I recall 40 years ago, when I was a new professor working
in the field of Chinese and Japanese international relations that
Edwin O Reischauer once commented, The great payoff from
our victory of 1945 was a permanently disarmed Japan. Born
in Japan and a Japanese historian at Harvard, Reischauer served
as US ambassador to Tokyo in the administrations of presidents
John Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson. Strange to say, since the end
of the Cold War in 1991 and particularly under the administration
of George W Bush, the United States has been doing everything
in its power to encourage and even accelerate Japanese rearmament.
Such a development promotes hostility between China and
Japan, the two superpowers of East Asia, sabotages possible peaceful
solutions in those two problem areas, Taiwan and North Korea,
left over from the Chinese and Korean civil wars, and lays the
foundation for a possible future Sino-Japanese conflict that the
United States would almost surely lose. It is unclear whether
the ideologues and war lovers of Washington understand what they
are unleashinga possible confrontation between the worlds
fastest industrial economy, China, and the worlds second-most-productive,
albeit declining, economy, Japan; a confrontation that the United
States would have caused and in which it might well be consumed.
Washingtons reaction to the latest tensions between Japan
and China, along with the record of the last five years not only
in North East Asia but internationally, makes clear that, whether
they understand what they are unleashing or not, the warmongers
of the Bush administration are intent on pursuing a military alliance
with Japan, regardless of its potentially catastrophic consequences.
Concluded
See Also:
Japan stokes tensions with China
[16 April 2005]
US-Japan security statement
heightens tensions with China
[1 March 2005]
Japan outbids China for Siberian
pipeline
[14 February 2005]
Japan uses submarine
incident to whip up anti-Chinese nationalism
[29 November 2004]
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