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Analysis : Middle
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British newspaper alleges Israel is planning a military strike
on Iran
By Peter Symonds
15 December 2005
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An article in the British-based Sunday Times last weekend
provided details of Israeli military plans for a strike on Iranian
uranium enrichment plants that would dramatically inflame tensions
throughout the Middle East. According to the report, based on
unnamed Israeli intelligence and military sources, Prime Minister
Ariel Sharon recently ordered the countrys armed forces
to be ready for an attack by the end of March.
The article entitled Israel readies for strike on nuclear
Iran has of course been officially denied by Israeli government
spokesmen. However, even while disclaiming specific plans, senior
Israeli defence ministry official Amos Gilad told the media: One
cannot say that any option for the future is being ruled out.
The report comes in the context of repeated public threats
against Iran by senior Israeli officials, and alarmist allegations
that Iran is on the brink of producing nuclear weapons. As the
Sunday Times noted, Sharon himself recently warned: Israeland
not only Israelcannot accept a nuclear Iran. We have the
ability to deal with this and were making all the necessary
preparations to be ready for such a situation.
The Sunday Times not only gave a timetable but indicated
the extent of preparations. The order to prepare for a possible
attack went through the Israeli defence ministry to the chief
of staff. Sources inside special forces command confirmed that
G readinessthe highest stagefor an operation
was announced last week, the article stated.
A massive Israeli intelligence operation
has been underway since Iran was designated the top priority
for 2005, according to security sources. The newspaper
claimed that Israeli intelligence had identified new Iranian nuclear
facilities through cross border operations and signal intelligence
from a base in northern Iraq.
The Sunday Times also pointed to the type of operation
being prepareda combined air and ground assault using special
forces units and long-range F-15I fighters that have been especially
equipped with large fuel tanks to reach targets in Iran and return
without refuelling. The Israeli bombing of the Iraqi nuclear reactor
at Osirak in 1981 involved just one undefended target. An attack
on Iranian nuclear facilities would be more difficult as there
are a number of targets and some of the most significant are underground.
There may well be an element of political maneouvre in the
leaks to the Sunday Times. Sharon has recently broken from
the Likud Party, created his own Kadima Party and is preparing
for elections next March. A tough stance on Iran is one way of
countering accusations of betrayal by the ultra-right extremists
of Likud over the withdrawal from the Gaza.
The Sunday Times article appeared after Benjamin Netanyahu,
who is vying for the Likud leadership, earlier in the month hailed
the 1981 attack on Iraqs reactor as a daring and courageous
act. If it is not done by the present government,
I intend to lead the next government and to stop this threat.
I will take every step required to avoid a situation in which
Iran can threaten us with nuclear weapons, he said.
While Netanyahu is seeking to make political mileage out of
the issue, there is no opposition within the Israeli political
establishment to a military strike against Iran and its nuclear
facilities. Israel has long had its own nuclear arsenal, estimated
at between 100 to 200 weapons, and is intent on maintaining its
monopoly of nuclear terror in the Middle East.
To justify their aggressive threats, Israeli leaders have seized
on the demagogic remarks of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
in October calling for Israel to be wiped off the map.
This week he declared that the Nazi slaughter of six million European
Jews was a myth used by the European powers to create
a Jewish state in the heart of the Islamic world. These appeals
to anti-Semitism are reactionary to the core and play directly
into the hands not only of the Israeli extreme right, but also
US imperialism.
Whatever the exact status of Israeli military plans, any strike
against Iran would require the tacit approval of Washington. While
maintaining a hypocritical silence on Israels nuclear arms,
the Bush administration has, without any proof, repeatedly accused
Tehran of building nuclear weapons. While pressing for Iran to
be referred to the UN Security Council for breaching the Nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty, the White House has refused to rule
out the military option against Iran.
There is no doubt that the US has the closest links with the
Israeli military and intelligence agencies, as well as with the
Sharon government. The Sunday Times report is not the first
to allege that the Israeli intelligence service has a substantial
presence in the Kurdish north of US-occupied Iraq. In June 2004,
Seymour Hersh published an extensive article in the New Yorker
entitled Plan B based on American and Israeli sources
revealing the extent of the operations.
Israeli intelligence and military operatives are now
quietly at work in Kurdistan, providing training for Kurdish commando
units and, most importantly in Israels view, running covert
operations inside Kurdish areas of Iran and Syria. Israel feels
particularly threatened by Iran, whose position in the region
has been strengthened by the [Iraq] war. The Israeli operatives
including members of the Mossad, Israels clandestine foreign-intelligence
service, who work undercover in Kurdistan as businessmen and,
in some cases, do not carry Israeli passports.
According to a former Israeli intelligence officer, some Israeli
operatives crossed into Iran, accompanied by Kurdish commandos,
to install sensors and other devices targetted at Iranian nuclear
facilities. Look, Israel has always supported the Kurds
in a Machiavellian wayas a balance against Saddam. Its
Realpolitik, he said. By aligning with the Kurds,
Israel gains eyes and ears in Iraq, Iran and Syria. A senior
CIA official confirmed to Hersh that the Israeli presence
was widely known in the American intelligence community.
A second article by Hersh in January entitled The Coming
Wars pointed out that the US military was conducting its
own secret operations inside Iran. He wrote: Much of the
focus is one the accumulation of intelligence and targeting information
on Iranian nuclear, chemical, and missile sites, both declared
and suspected. The goal is to identify and isolate three dozen,
and perhaps more, such targets that could be destroyed by precision
strikes and short-term commando raids. The civilians in
the Pentagon want to go into Iran and destroy as much of the military
infrastructure as possible, the government consultant with
close ties to the Pentagon told me.
Just how advanced are US and Israeli plans for an attack on
Iran is impossible to tell. However, the Sunday Times article
is one more indication that the public threats of military action
are more than just empty posturing. The deepening quagmire confronting
the US military in Iraq will not restrain the Bush administration.
In fact, to divert public attention from the Iraqi debacle and
to further its economic and strategic ambitions in the Middle
East, the White House is quite capable of launching another reckless
military adventureeither directly, or using Israel as proxyregardless
of the consequences.
See Also:
US and EU-3 make another provocative
move against Iran
[29 September 2005]
Bush menaces Iran with threat
of military attack
[17 August 2005]
US and European allies provoke
confrontation with Iran
[11 August 2005]
US-EU deal on Iran: a step
towards confrontation, not a negotiated settlement
[25 March 2005]
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