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Sharp conflicts precede European Union summit
By Chris Marsden and Julie Hyland
16 June 2005
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After British Prime Minister Tony Blair met with French President
Jacques Chirac on Tuesday in Paris, he declared that there was
sharp disagreement over the European Union budget
for 2007 to 2013, adding that it is very difficult to see
how these differences are going to be bridged. For once,
Blair was telling the unvarnished truth.
The Chirac-Blair meeting was the last of a series in which
the prime minister was arguing for Britains position in
advance of the EU heads of state meeting in Brussels on June 16/17
and in Scotland at Julys G8 summit. Such was the acrimony
between the two that the customary joint press conference following
the talks was abandoned.
The run-up to the EU summit was dominated by demands from France
and Germany that Britain give up its £3 billion rebate,
negotiated by Margaret Thatcher in 1984, and the counter-demand
by Blair for reform of farming subsidies under the Common Agricultural
Policy (CAP).
Domestic considerations only partially explain the ferocity
of the dispute over the EU budget. France and Germany see attacks
on Britain as a means of restoring popular support for their beleaguered
governments. Britain is identified as the home of the Anglo-Saxon
economic model of unrestricted free markets that was decisively
repudiated in the referendums on the EU constitution in France
and the Netherlands.
For his part, Blair is seeking to play to the anti-EU gallery
and to thwart French and German demands that ratification of the
EU constitution proceed after he has already declared that a British
referendum is now off the agenda.
But more fundamental issues are at stake in a conflict where,
at least on the issue of the rebate, Britain appears completely
isolated. What is being fought out is the entire future course
of the European Union.
The no votes on the EU constitution expressed widespread
social hostility to the plans of the European bourgeoisie to restructure
economic life in the interests of the major corporations. Underlying
this is a profound shift in class relations throughout Europe
as a result of the ongoing destruction of welfare provisions,
privatisations, the restructuring of industry and the erosion
of democratic rights.
The results of the referendums have thrown Europes ruling
elite into crisis.
Blair sees Franco-German insistence that ratification proceed
in the remaining EU countries as self-defeating. He proposes instead
that the constitution be put on hold while the European governments
carry out the economic restructuring advocated by the document
and launch a political struggle against the working class in order
to destroy what remains of the welfare state. Britain also sees
the opportunity to press its long-standing demand for a looser
federal Europe that will enable it to build alliances designed
to undermine the traditional Franco-German domination of the EU.
Following his meeting with Chirac, Blair told the press, I
think that the French-German relationship is extremely important
but it cannot comprise all of what now drives the European Union.
The response of France and Germany is not animated by political
hostility to economic reform. Both are anxious these continue
if Europe is to develop as a viable trade bloc against its major
international competitors. The issue is, how to do so in the face
of popular opposition and under conditions where it has not proved
possible to incorporate all the European states into the project.
There is a powerful and growing sentiment within ruling circles
in Paris and Berlin that the way forward for Europe, and the best
means of implementing economic reform, is to create a core group
of states under their leadership. Coupled with this, talk of further
EU expansion, through the inclusion of Turkey, Croatia, Romania
and Bulgaria, will not be discussed at the summit.
Previous efforts to consolidate a core group, most notably
in 2003, failed to win support and there is little evidence of
renewed enthusiasm outside of France, Germany and the Benelux
countries. That is why the attack on Britains rebate has
been framed in terms of concern that the poorer EU entrants should
not be asked to pay money to one of the richest European nations.
London argues that there is no reason for them to do so and that
agricultural subsidies pose a far bigger problem and mainly benefit
France.
In line with his call for a looser federation, Blair has stated
that agricultural policy should be returned to the authority of
national governments, which can decide whether to carry on with
subsidies or not. He told the press, I totally understand
why countries may want to give their money to support farmers.
What I have an objection to is the European Union deciding collectively
it is going to give 40 percent of its budget into an area that
has got 4 percent of its people. It makes no sense. His
alternative was for money to be spent on right-wing populist measures
such as law and order and controlling immigration.
The Gaullists in France rely to no small extent on a rural
constituency for political support and can hardly contemplate
the scale of reform being demanded by Blair. Moreover, France
and Germany hope that defending agricultural subsidies will win
them support in eastern Europe and offset US influence in the
region.
Blair has insisted that he will not retreat on Britains
rebate unless concessions are made on CAP, which would prevent
the setting of a EU budget.
Analysts expect some kind of compromise to be patched together
at the summit. None of the participants, including Britain, are
ready to contemplate the shipwreck of the European Union. It has
been suggested that the timeline for ratifying the constitution
will be extended beyond November 2006, when much of it was due
to take effect. An EU official told the Financial Times,
We will have language that puts the constitution in the
fridge, but not in the morgue.
Nevertheless, maybe now we are in a situation where everybody
fights their own battles, another EU diplomat told the newspaper.
Blair believes he is fighting from a position of strength in
the aftermath of the no votes. On the face of things,
his confidence appears entirely misplaced. After all, opposition
to the constitution was directed against the agenda championed
by the British government.
There is clearly an element of schadenfreude at the
difficulties being experienced by Paris and Berlin, but the main
reason for Blairs confrontational stance is that it enjoys
the backing of big business internationally and Washington in
particular.
The financial press is insisting that Europe not bow to popular
opinion and that it step up the pace of economic reform. And on
a visit to Brussels earlier this week, US Treasury Secretary John
Snow called on EU governments to proceed with restructuring. In
a pointed reference to French attacks on Anglo-Saxon
capitalism and denunciations of private equity investors as locusts
by Germanys Social Democratic Party chairman Franz Munterfering,
Snow warned, American business people are going to put capital
where they feel they are welcome, where capital is honoured and
where they can get good returns.
It is not so much the language that is used, it is the
policies that get embraced. And if polices get embraced that make
capital feel unwelcome, capital wont come.
The US opposes the project of European integration it once
championed. The Bush administration operates as a European power,
seeking to build alliances that will ensure its domination of
the continent and the wider Eurasian landmass, while keeping its
opponents divided and isolated.
Whether or not it is possible to cobble together an agreement
in Brussels, continued instability in Europe is assured. Antagonisms
between Europe and America and between the European powers will
escalate, while social relations within the continent will worsen
as its governments seek to impose unpopular economic measures
on a hostile and increasingly combative working class.
See Also:
The political consequences of the French
no vote
[1 June 2005]
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