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Telstra salea political minefield for the Australian
government
By Terry Cook
6 September 2005
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The mooted sale of the governments stake in Australian
telecommunications giant Telstra has exposed sharp divisions within
Prime Minister John Howards Liberal-National coalition.
Since the first public floats of Telstra shares in 1997 and
1999 (T1 and T2), attempts by the Howard government to sell off
its remaining 51.8 percent Telstra holding (T3) have been blocked
by Labor and minor parties in the upper house (Senate).
The government has been lashed in corporate circles over its
failure to complete the Telstra sale and its stalling
on other market reforms. With control of the Senate
officially passing to the ruling Liberal-National Party Coalition
on July 1, the Telstra sale should have been plain sailing. The
process, however, has proven a political minefield.
Over recent weeks, longstanding tensions have erupted within
the Coalition, with newly-elected Queensland Senator Barnaby Joyce
threatening to cross the floor on the Telstra vote. Joyces
decision reflected broader opposition within the National Party,
and in particular its Queensland branch, which voted overwhelmingly
against the Telstra sale at its conference last year.
The Telstra sale has always been deeply unpopular in the National
Partys rural and regional-based electorates where communications
services are patchy and unreliable. People in these areas know
that a privatised Telstraconcerned only with the bottom
linewould not invest in the less profitable rural districts.
While the Telstra legislation was blocked by the Senate, National
Party MPs could avoid taking a definitive stance on the issue.
With its passage now directly dependent on their supportand
fearing an electoral backlashsome threatened to derail the
governments plans unless it offered concessions to make
the sale more palatable to rural voters.
Howard finally contained the opposition through a mixture of
browbeating and bribery. He lectured a tense joint meeting of
Liberal and National Party MPs last month to think about
value and commitment to the Coalition party room and not to other
affiliations. While mainly directed at the Nationals, the
rebuke was also a warning to several Liberal MPs who sought provisions
to mollify voters in their outer metropolitan electorates.
Opposition to the Telstra sale is by no means confined to rural
areas. A recent Newspoll found 70 percent of respondents were
firmly opposed to the sale, reflecting fears that Telstras
destruction of thousands of jobs, price gouging of household customers
and running down of basic telephone services will accelerate.
The reputation of Telstras newly-appointed CEO, Solomon
Trujillo, has only fuelled concerns. As head of the phone company
US West for five years to 2000, he divided its customers into
three categories gold, silver and bronzewith less
profitable rural and low-income users falling last. According
to a report in the Australian Financial Review rural
and regional services were so poor that the market regulator had
to intervene to restore them.
To secure the Nationals support, the Howard government
had to promise $3.1 billion, including $1.1 billion for the immediate
upgrade of telecommunications services in rural and regional areas.
A further $2 billion is earmarked for a communications trust
that will supposedly fund future technical improvements in country
regions.
Joyce accepted the outcome as a pretty good deal
that he was prepared to put to supporters. He was
joined by Queensland Nationals president Bruce Scott who declared:
I believe we have delivered in spades on behalf of the Queensland
party. Deep discontent and mistrust continues in rural areas,
however. The National Farmers Federation slammed Joyce as backdown
Barnaby and said the deal offered no long-term guarantees
for equitable telecommunications services in rural Australia.
Joyce earlier warned that the Nationals would follow the Australian
Democrats into political oblivion if the party supported the Telstra
sale. Support for the Democrats collapsed after the party backed
the Howard governments introduction of the Goods and Services
Tax in 1999. The Nationals could now suffer the same fate.
Corporate frustrations
Despite securing the National Partys support, Howard
government has been sharply criticised by sections of big business
and investors, impatient with the continuing delays and the payoffs
to the National Party.
An editorial in the Australian Financial Review on August
18 branded the Telstra deal as a shabby process and
warned: The horsetrading set a new benchmark$3 billionin
political blackmail of a government by special interests, in this
case the expert highwaymen of the Nationals and Queensland Senator
Barnaby Joyce.
In a further editorial on August 26 entitled After Telstra,
sell the rest, the newspaper made clear that the underlying
program of privatisation had to be greatly accelerated. Complaining
that federal and state governments still have $174 billion
invested in trading business, the editorial demanded they
come to the privatisation party and sell off a range
of enterprises, including Australia Post, transport, energy and
water supply.
It is by no means certain, however, that the present Telstra
privatisation will proceed. In recent weeks, Trujillo and his
executive team have been waging open warfare over the conditions
of the sale.
Trujillo certainly wants Telstra fully privatised. Its present
statushalf-government, half-private ownershiphas hamstrung
its ability to raise capital and take new commercial initiatives.
But the Telstra CEO wants to both maintain the corporations
monopoly over the countrys communications system and abolish
the government regulations that impede corporate profits.
Trujillo has publicly criticised the governments proposal
to split Telstras wholesale division, which provides competitors
with access to Telstras physical infrastructure, from its
retail arm. He branded as toxic the current telco-specific
provisions in the Trade Practices Act which specify the prices
that Telstra can charge competitors for access to its network.
Any concessions by Howard on the present regulatory regimedesigned
to open-up Australias telecommunications industry to competitionwould
see the government branded as anti-competitive by
powerful sections of business anxious to get a bigger slice of
the communications market. A group of nine leading communication
providers have already combined to serve a list of demands on
the government calling for a strengthening of competition
prior to T3.
Trujillo is also keen to dispense with Telstra subsidies, including
the Universal Service Obligation (USO). The USOeffectively
a tax on all phone companies (including Telstra) to underwrite
Telstras delivery of basic phone servicesis one of
three mechanisms for equalising communication services between
the city and the country.
Aggressive public statements by Telstra management have sent
the corporations shares plummetting. Last week Trujillos
deputy, Phil Burgess, declared that the company was so tied down
by government regulations that he would not recommend its shares
to his mother. Yesterday, Trujillo claimed that the regulatory
measures would cost Telstra $850 million in lost revenue this
year. The comments sent Telstra shares plummetting by 5.2 percent
to $4.34well below the governments required minimum
price of $5.25 for the sale to proceed.
While legislation authorising the T3 sale is due to be introduced
shortly, Finance Minister Nick Minchin has acknowledged that a
large portion of, or even all, Telstra shares may have to be transferred
to the governments Future Fund for sale at a later date,
if and when the share price improves. The Future Fund has been
established to pay for a range of government liabilities, including
substantial projected superannuation payouts.
Trujillos rather crude efforts to blackmail the government
into abandoning its regulatory framework simply demonstrates that
the logic of the market stands diametrically opposed to the interests
of ordinary working people. Having opened up telecommunications
to investors, the market dictates that the government remove all
impediments to profitincluding regulations designed to provide
even limited guarantees of elementary communications services
in all areas.
Labora plus for the government
While it nominally opposes the Telstra sale, the Labor Party
has made clear that it has no intention of waging a public campaign
against the plan. Labor leader Kim Beazley told Macquarie Radio
recently that he still hoped that Senator Joyce would change
his mind and again oppose the sale.
In reality, Beazley is calculating that government control
of the Senate will result in the Telstra sale, along with other
economic restructuring reforms, being pushed through
and thus removed from the agenda. This would allow Labor to drop
its opposition and appease big business, which has
accused it of obstructionism.
Labor has drawn the conclusion from last years election
loss that it has to accommodate even more closely to the demands
of big business. Beazley has deliberately refrained from pledging
to reverse the Telstra privatisation if Labor gains office. He
has been at pains to remind corporate circles that it was a Labor
government that pioneered the free market agendaincluding
the privatisation of major enterprises, such as Qantas and the
Commonwealth Bank. Labor laid the basis for the current sell-off
of Telstra by initiating its transformation into a profit-making
company.
Similarly, the CEPUthe main communications unionhas
accommodated itself to the sale of Telstra and abandoned even
the pretence of an industrial and political campaign to oppose
it. The union now restricts itself to little more than sending
impotent protest letters to the media. Even Telstras recent
threat to axe 1,000 jobs once privatised, failed to move it to
threaten industrial action.
The Telstra sale is just one of many market reforms
that were held up in the Senate. Now that the government has control
of both houses of parliament, big business is insisting that it
get on with the job of pushing through everything, from changes
to industrial relations laws to amendments to media ownership
regulations. As the dispute over the sale of Telstra demonstrates,
Howards very success at the last election could
rapidly turn into its opposite as the festering divisions between
and within the Coalition partners come to the surface of political
life.
See Also:
Australia: some plain truths
about the fight against Howard's IR laws
[6 August 2005]
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