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Analysis : Middle
East : Iraq
US military escalates confrontation with Shiite militia in
Iraq
By Peter Symonds
31 August 2006
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Two days of fierce fighting in the Iraqi city of Diwaniyah
is one more sign that the US military is preparing for a bloody
showdown with the militia forces of Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr.
The target of any new offensive will be not just Sadrs Mahdi
Army, but the Shiite urban poor who are overwhelmingly hostile
to the US occupation and who demonstrated in their tens of thousands
on August 4 against the US-Israeli war on Lebanon.
The clashes in Diwaniyah, 180 kilometres south of Baghdad,
erupted on Sunday after government troops arrested a member of
the Sadrist movement for allegedly planning a bomb attack. According
to the army, 23 soldiers and 30 militiamen, as well as a number
of civilians, died in the fighting. Major General Othman al-Ghanimi
accused the militants of publicly executing a number of soldiers,
a claim that the Sadrists denied.
Nasir al-Saadi, a spokesman for Sadrs parliamentary bloc,
told the New York Times that the army had attacked Mahdi-dominated
neighbourhoods late on Sunday night, damaging homes and killing
civilians. Iraqi soldiers were backed by Polish troops and US
warplanes, which bombed at least one alleged militia position.
According to the army, the Mahdi fighters were joined by other
militia groups in continuous fighting that lasted into Monday
afternoon.
The US-led military command in Baghdad issued a statement declaring
that the Iraqi army and police had successfully fended off
an attack by a large number of terrorists in three
districts of Diwaniyah. In comments to Associated Press, however,
army captain Fatik Aied said the gun battles had broken out when
Iraqi soldiers launched raids in the citys southern suburbs
to flush out militants and seize weapons. Asked about the clashes
with Iraqi soldiers, one Mahdi militiaman involved in the fighting
told the New York Times: We know they are our brothers,
but the Americans are pushing them against us.
While the US military claimed a victory in Diwaniyah, the fighting
was inconclusive, even after the army brought in reinforcements,
and only ended after a truce was negotiated. Sadr, who was personally
involved in the negotiations with provincial officials, tried
to distance himself from the clashes. Saheb al-Ameri, a spokesman
in Najaf, blamed the fighting on the personal behaviour
of some Mahdi Army members. However, the efforts of the Sadrist
movement to downplay the battle in Diwaniyah will not prevent
a broader confrontation with the US military.
A series of articles have appeared in the US press vilifying
Sadr, blaming his Mahdi Army for the escalating sectarian conflict
in Iraq and urging the government of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki
to take a tougher stance. In early August, in the aftermath of
the mass protest in Baghdad against war on Lebanon, outgoing British
ambassador William Patey declared in a leaked memo: Preventing
the Jaish al Mahdi from developing into a state within a state,
as Hezbollah has done in Lebanon, will be a priority.
Pateys remarks echoed General John Abizaid, US commander
in the Middle East, who told National Public Radio in late July
that a confrontation with the Mahdi Army was inevitable. If
you dont do this, you will end up with a situation like
you have in Lebanon, where the militia becomes a state within
a state. In comments to the US Senate Armed Services Committee,
Abizaid declared: In my opinion, there are groups within
the Mahdi Army that are under the pay of the Iranian government
[and] are terrorist organisations.
Paradoxically, of all the Shiite organisations in Iraq, the
Sadrists, who espouse Arab and Iraqi nationalism, are the least
likely to rely on Iranian assistance. The party with the closest
links is the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq
(SCIRI), which, with Tehrans tacit support, backed the US
occupation from the outset and is a linchpin for the Maliki government.
A Washington Post article entitled Sadrs
militia and the slaughter in the streets accused the Mahdi
Army of the arbitrary murder of Sunnis. US Lieutenant Colonel
Mark Meadows told the newspaper: I have no doubt... they
hold trial courts and execute people. He described the Mahdi
Army as probably the largest, most aggressive militia in
the country... They are a terrorist organisation. They terrorise
people.
In the wake of the Diwaniyah clashes, Time published
an article yesterday entitled Failing the test against Iraqi
militias. Pushing for a sustained offensive, it commented:
For weeks the US and Iraqi militaries have been striking
piecemeal at an enemy they are not even allowed to name: Moqtada
al-Sahrs Mahdi Army. And after fierce clashes Monday, it
appears that Iraqs government and military is only willing
to go so far in their efforts to rein in the powerful Shiite militia.
The US-backed attacks in Diwaniyah are clearly a dress rehearsal
for further attacks on the Sadrist movementparticularly
on the huge slums of Baghdads Sadr City. These Shiite suburbs
have virtually been a no-go area since the Mahdi Army fought pitched
battles with US forces in 2004 in the capital and the southern
cities of Najaf and Karbala. During the current US operations
aimed at winning back control of Baghdad, the American military
has so far avoided Sadr City.
Any offensive against the Mahdi Army will rapidly provoke a
crisis in the Maliki government, which rests on a coalition of
Shiite fundamentalist parties. The Sadrist movement has 30 parliamentarians
and five cabinet ministers, including key portfolios controlling
government services. More importantly for Maliki, the support
of the Sadrists has enabled his government to deflect growing
anger among the Shiite poor over its failure to end the US occupation
and improve living standards.
A military assault on Sadrist strongholds would also rupture
the countrys highly factionalised security forces. Shiite
soldiers, many of whom are ex-militiamen, may simply refuse to
fight against the Mahdi Army. The Los Angeles Times noted
on Tuesday that 100 Iraqi soldiers from a battalion of 550 stationed
in the southeastern province of Maysan refused last weekend to
deploy to Baghdad. The refusal of the Shiite troops to move was
particularly embarrassing as the unit and its commander were regarded
by the US military as among the best in the Iraqi army.
Since the 2004 clashes with the US military, Sadr himself has
attempted to maintain an increasingly difficult balancing actbetween
his social base among impoverished Shiites, on the one hand, and
support for the US puppet government, on the other. While he felt
compelled to condemn the US-Israeli war on Lebanon and to warn
the US against any attack on Iran, Sadr has tried to rein in his
Mahdi Army and dissociate himself from more radical elements in
the ranks of his movement.
Sadrs maneouvrings will not prevent an all-out offensive
by the US military. As the US occupation sinks further into the
quagmire, the Bush administration will be driven to more desperate
measures. The denunciations of Sadrs state within
a state reflect the fear that Shiite working class enclaves
such as Sadr City can become the focus for the eruption of a radical
movement directed at the US occupation of Iraq and its militarist
policies throughout the region. The danger for Washington is all
the greater as it escalates its confrontation with Iran.
It is these considerations that are propelling the US military
into reckless and bloody operations against the Mahdi Army, regardless
of the consequences.
See Also:
Bush press conference on Iraq: "We're
not leaving so long as I'm the president."
[23 August 2006]
Is the US planning a coup in Iraq?
[22 August 2006]
Huge protest in Baghdad against US-Israeli
war in Lebanon
[8 August 2006]
"Bush administration
deploys thousands more troops in Baghdad
[31 July 2006]
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