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Analysis : Middle
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Refugees flood back to devastated southern Lebanon
By Rick Kelly
18 August 2006
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Hundreds of thousands of refugees have returned to what is
left of their homes in Lebanon in defiance of Israeli warnings
and threats to stay away. Openly expressing their support for
Hezbollah, residents have rushed to reclaim their land in a display
of mass opposition to US-Israeli aggression.
Developments since the UN-sponsored ceasefire took effect on
Monday have underscored the failure of the US and Israel to achieve
their war aims. The Bush administration and the Israeli government
of Prime Minister Ehud Olmert hoped to destroy the Hezbollah militia,
reduce Lebanon to the status of a semi-colonial protectorate,
and drive out the predominantly Shiite population from an Israeli-occupied
buffer zone in the south.
None of this has eventuated. Lebanese refugees have made their
way past destroyed roads and bridges, despite the dangers posed
by unexploded cluster munitions and other ordinance, to return
to their land. People fear becoming permanent refugees and losing
their homeland to Israeli annexation, and are determined not to
suffer what the Palestinians experienced. The Lebanese population
has first-hand knowledge of the Israeli dispossession of Palestinianshundreds
of thousands of refugees flooded into the country in 1948 and
again in 1967.
Returning refugees angrily denounced Israel and the US for
the destruction wreaked during the 34-day bombardment. In Beiruts
southern suburbs, almost every building was either destroyed or
seriously damaged. Over the ruins of one collapsed structure,
a resident hung a banner which read, Made in the USA.
Another banner in a southern Lebanese village had the words, Rice,
they will not see your new Middle East. This was a reference
to US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rices now infamous
statement on July 22 in Beirut that the war represented the birth
pangs of a new Middle East.
Almost one million peoplea quarter of Lebanons
populationwere forced to flee their homes during the conflict.
According to Lebanese estimates, Israeli warplanes carried out
more than 4,500 bombing raids. An estimated 35,000 homes and businesses
were destroyed by missiles and artillery shells, along with 400
miles of roads and highways, and about 150 bridges and interchanges,
one out of every four in the country.
Southern Lebanon is a travelogue of destruction: town
after town pummelled by bombs and mortars that left them in shambles,
the Los Angeles Times reported. Entire towns and villages
have been turned to rubble. In Siddiqine, local businessman Ali
Bakri described the scene. Its like a tsunami, or
a second Hiroshima, he told the Christian Science Monitor.
Almost 1,200 Lebanese were killed, though this figure will
probably rise, as corpses are still being pulled from the rubble
of destroyed buildings. In Srifa, scene of two Israeli massacres
of civilians, another 32 bodies have been recovered. Authorities
in Tyre yesterday buried more than 120 victims in a mass grave.
In Ainata, Red Cross workers found 18 bodies, including children.
The stench of decomposing bodies forced rescue workers to wear
multiple facemasks as they travelled between Ainata and Bint Jbeil,
scene of much of the heaviest fighting.
Hezbollah militants have openly re-emerged in the south and
their banners and flags are again visible to Israeli residents
living on the border. Refugees flew Hezbollah flags from their
vehicles and homes and expressed their determination to resist
Israeli aggression against their country. Numerous media reports
have acknowledged the mass support Hezbollah now enjoys. We
are not terrorists, Faras Jamil, a 39-year-old resident
of Aita Shaab, told the Los Angles Times. My wife
is Hezbollah. My children are Hezbollah. Hezbollah is all the
people from this town.
The demonstrations exposed the US-Israeli lie that Hezbollah
is nothing but a terrorist arm of Syria and Iran. As is evident
from news reports, the organisation has become the focal point
for the anti-imperialist and anti-Zionist sentiments of the Lebanese
and Arab masses. Hezbollah has a mass base among Lebanons
Shiites, for whom it provides education, health, and other social
services, and has won widespread support among Sunni, Christian,
and Druze Lebanese for its resistance to the Israeli offensive.
Hezbollah is also leading the reconstruction efforts. It has
promised to provide a years rent and new furniture for every
family whose home was destroyed. Hundreds of refugees in Beirut
have spent the past few days queuing to register for assistance.
There is no central government presence here, Hamed
Harab, a local government official, admitted. Hezbollah
is doing everything.
The situation is similar in the south. There is no government
here, Abdul Muhsen Husseini, a government official in Tyre,
said. At least [Hezbollah] are on the ground helping. If
you call them at midnight, they come out to help. They are the
government.
There is little prospect of Hezbollah disarming and withdrawing
from south of the Litani River, as the Bush administration and
the Olmert government demand. The Israeli military was unable
to eliminate Hezbollah fighters during the month-long war, and
no one expects that either the Lebanese army or the 15,000-strong
multinational force being readied will be in a position to enforce
US and Israeli dictates.
The Lebanese government has indicated that it will not order
the army to disarm Hezbollah. Such a move would risk provoking
a civil war throughout the country and a mutiny within the military.
The Shiite population in Lebanon is almost 50 percent,
Yiftach Shapir, of the Jaffee Centre for Strategic Studies, told
Israeli Arutz Sheva Radio. In the army the proportion is
even greater, particularly among the officers. Those numbers reach
about 60 percent. While not all of them are extremists, the question
is whether or not they would have any desire to violently confront
Hezbollah.
European countries preparing to contribute troops to the UN
force have insisted that they will not be responsible for taking
on guerrilla fighters. It is wrong to say that our soldiers
are going to disarm Hezbollah, Italian foreign minister
Massimo DAlema said yesterday. Italy has promised to deploy
3,000 soldiers. France was expected to send about 5,000 troops
to Lebanon and lead the UN operation, but President Jacques Chirac
has refused to commit more than 200 French forces until clear
rules of engagement with Hezbollah militants are established.
Condoleezza Rice was forced to acknowledge the European powers
concerns. I dont think there is an expectation that
this [UN] force is going to physically disarm Hezbollah,
she told USA Today. I think its a little bit
of a misreading about how you disarm a militia. You have to have
a plan, first of all, for the disarmament of the militia, and
then the hope is that some people lay down their arms voluntarily.
The setback suffered in southern Lebanon has heightened the
political crisis in Washington and Tel Aviv but it is already
clear that the Bush administration intends to pursue its broader
strategic plans to subjugate the Middle East. Washington was closely
involved in Israels plans for invading Lebanon, and for
weeks blocked demands for a ceasefire. As journalist Seymour Hersh
recently revealed in the New Yorker, the Bush administration
welcomed the war as a preliminary step towards an attack on Iran.
In comments in the USA Today, Secretary of State Rice
ominously pointed out that the UN resolution on Lebanon imposed
an international arms embargo and thus a ban on foreign states
supplying arms to Hezbollah. The provision gives the Bush administration
ample pretexts for new diplomatic and military provocations against
Iran and Syria.
In Israel, Haaretz published an op-ed piece today by
Avraham Tal, titled Preparing for the next war now.
A war that has ended in a tie and without an agreement between
the sides being signed is destined to flare up again, sooner or
later, Tal wrote. In the conflict between Israel and
Iran, by means of its proxy, Hezbollah, neither side achieved
its strategic aim... One must start from the working assumption
that the next confrontation will erupt relatively soon; for purposes
of the discussion, let us assume two years from the eruption of
the previous confrontation and to act in all areas as though this
will happen with absolute certainty. Possibly there will be another
round in the format of the second Lebanon war, but we must prepare
for the possibility of something larger and more dangerous: an
all-out war with regular armies, including the army of a regional
power.
The current ceasefire remains uncertain and fighting could
quickly erupt again. Israel still has thousands of soldiers occupying
southern Lebanon and is maintaining its illegal naval blockade
of the country. In these conditions, it would not be difficult
for the Olmert government to resume the war by staging a provocation
and declaring that Hezbollah had breached the ceasefire terms.
See Also:
The president gives a press conference
[16 August 2006]
Recriminations erupt in Israel in aftermath
of Lebanon ceasefire
[16 August 2006]
On eve of Lebanon ceasefire deadline:
US, Israel face political debacle
[14 August 2006]
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