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: India
Indian government opens retail sector to foreign corporations
By Jake Skeers
22 February 2006
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In a decision that will have devastating consequences for some
of the poorest sections of Indian society, the Indian cabinet
last month approved the opening up of the countrys retail
and other sectors of the economy to foreign investment.
There are approximately 40 million people and 11 million outlets
in Indias retail sector. Many of these are marginal businessessmall
shops and stalls, street vendors and hawkerswhich will be
destroyed by competition from large retail outlets and chains.
Many people, who have no alternate source of income or work, will
be left completely destitute.
The government decision on January 24 allows up to 51 percent
foreign direct investment (FDI) in single brand retail
stores. Nike, Nokia or Levi can establish stores, but multi-brand
retailers such as Wal-Mart and Carrefour are excluded, for now.
The Congress-led government also opened up diamond mining,
the development of new airports, the laying of natural gas pipelines,
cash-and-carry wholesale trading and export trading to foreign
investors. Companies investing in these industries no longer need
to seek approval from the Foreign Investment Promotion Board and
all FDI limits have been removed. The government has also approved
the removal of restrictions in aspects of the petroleum, power
trading, coal, rubber and coffee sectors.
The latest measures are part of a program of privatisation,
deregulation and restructuring that began in 1991. Over the last
decade and a half, successive governments have opened up transportation,
telecommunication, food processing, electrical equipment, software,
hotel and tourism, financial services, non-financial services,
metals and other industries to foreign investment.
Commerce and Industry Minister Kamal Nath announced the changes
before flying to the World Economic Forum conference in Davos
in late January where Indian business and government officials
touted for increased foreign investment. Nath told the leaders
of the worlds richest corporations that India was seeking
to increase its FDI to $US10 billion by 2006-2007, up from the
$6.5 billion invested in 2005.
Indias team at Davos, which featured Nath as well as
the Finance Minister, the Chief Ministers of Delhi, Kerala and
Rajasthan and representatives of Indian business, ran a high-profile
campaign to promote the benefits of investing in India. The Confederation
of Indian Industry spent $4 million on an India Everywhere
campaign at Davos.
Delegates arriving at Zurich airport were greeted with a billboard
announcing India as the worlds fastest growing free-market
democracy. The slogan 15 years, six governments, five
prime ministers, one direction underscored the commitment
of all parliamentary parties in India to the free market agenda.
Although the Indian government hails foreign investment as
an economic boon, the growth has largely benefitted the wealthy
to the detriment of large sections of workers, small business
and farmers. The opening up of the Indian economy and deregulation
has resulted in substantial public sector job cuts, the destruction
of industries, land seizures and cuts to food and fuel subsidies.
Nath tried to play down the effects of the latest changes on
the poor, claiming that the opening of the retail sector was limited
and would leave existing small retailers unaffected. But any change
is going to have a devastating impact on an economic sector that
employs 7 percent of the workforce or about 40 million people
and supports as many as 200 million people.
Partly due to poor infrastructure, Indias retail economy
is backward by world standards. Approximately 98 percent of those
employed in retail are in what is categorised as the unorganised
sectorbusinesses that are small, unlicensed and do not pay
tax. The sector is far less developed than in most major countries
in Asia. Chinas organised retail sector is 20 percent of
the total, while the proportion is 50 percent in Malaysia and
40 percent in Thailand.
Retail activities such as door-to-door selling, street carts
and market stalls, act as a last resort for the unemployed, given
the lack of jobs in manufacturing and agriculture. Many in the
retail trade are living below the poverty line. A report published
in December 2004 by the Centre for Policy Alternatives (CPAS)
entitled FDI in Indias Retail Sector: More Bad than
Good stated that retailing is probably the primary
form of disguised unemployment/underemployment in the country.
The report continued: Given the already over-crowded
agricultural sector, and the stagnating manufacturing sector,
and the hard nature and relatively low wages of jobs in both,
many million Indians are virtually forced into the services sector.
Here, given the lack of opportunities, it is almost a natural
decision for an individual to set up a small shop or store, depending
on his or her means or capital. And thus a retailer is born, seemingly
out of circumstance rather than choice.
Commenting on the likely impact of foreign competition, the
CPAS report stated: India has 35 towns each with a population
over 1 million. If Wal-Mart were to open an average Wal-Mart store
in each of these cities and they reached the average Wal-Mart
performance per storewe are looking at a turnover of over
80,330 million rupees [$1.82 billion] with only 10,195 employees.
Extrapolating this with the average trend in India, it would mean
displacing about 432,000 persons.
The report added that if large retailers were to obtain 20
percent of the retail trade this would mean a turnover of
800 billion rupees [$18 billion] on todays basis. This would
mean an employment of just 43,540 persons displacing nearly eight
million persons employed in the unorganised retail sector.
Unlike export-orientated investors, foreign retailers such
as Wal-Mart, Carrefour SA of France and Metro AG of Germany, which
have been lobbying the government to open up the sector, will
seek to dominate the domestic Indian market. Their success as
well as those of Indian retail chains will be at the expense of
small traders.
Large retailers also threaten the livelihoods of small farmers
and manufacturers. Through their buying power they can force down
prices. In addition, retail chains will often want to deal with
bigger and more efficient suppliers rather than small producers.
A 2004 paper by Andrew Shepard, an economist with the UN Food
and Agriculture Organisation, confirmed that large supermarkets
often push small farmers out of business. Farmers experience
many problems in supplying supermarkets in Asia and in some cases
this has already been reflected in the fairly rapid declines in
the numbers involved as companies tend to delist suppliers who
do not come up to expectations in terms of volume, quality and
delivery, he stated.
The paper cited, among other examples, the development of the
Giant retail chain in Malaysia which slashed the number of vegetable
suppliers from 200 in 2001 to just 30 in 2003.
The Indian decision to open up the retail trade has provoked
opposition. Following the announcement, the Hindu supremacist
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) passed a resolution opposing foreign
involvement. The BJPs president in Delhi, Harsh Vardhan,
complained the measure would make India subservient to foreigners
and would cause major job losses. However, BJP-led governments
played a major role in opening up the economy when in power from
1998 to 2004.
The Communist Party of India-Marxist (CPI-M) and the Communist
Party of India (CPI) complained that they had not been consulted
over the measures. CPI secretary, D. Raja, declared: We
have been opposing it. I dont know why the government has
to take such a decision. These parties help prop up the
ruling Congress-led United Progressive Alliance in the national
parliament.
The four Left Front partiesthe CPI-M, CPI, the Revolutionary
Socialist Party and All-India Forward Blocmet privately
on January 27 and, according to the Times of India, decided
to activate retail trade merchants organisations to protest
against the decision. There was no hint, however, that the Left
Front would withdraw its support for the UPA government.
Moreover, in the Indian state of West Bengal, the CPI-M led
government is a vigorous advocate of free market policies, including
in the retail sector. Last October West Bengal Chief Minister
Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee held talks with Wal-Mart representatives
about the companys proposal to take over all the fresh food
markets in and around Calcutta.
Speaking to the Indian Chamber of Commerce in October, Bhattacharjee
said he had accepted a proposal by the German company Metro to
provide wholesale supplies to hotels in West Bengal. He also spoke
favourably about a proposal from an Indonesian company to build
a three-storey shopping mall in Calcutta that would stock foreign
goods.
Neither the BJP nor the Left Front parties, which falsely claim
to be socialist, has any alternative. These partiesleft
and rightseek to exploit the hostility of ordinary working
people to the devastating social impact of free market policies,
encouraging the illusion that the policies of national economic
regulation remain viable. When in power, however, the BJP and
the Stalinist parties have been just as eager to attract foreign
investors as the present UPA government.
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