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WSWS : ICFI
WSWS International Editorial Board meeting
Report on US: The Bush administration and the global decline
of American capitalism
Part One
By Barry Grey
4 March 2006
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Published below is the first of a two-part report by Barry
Grey to an expanded meeting of the World Socialist Web Site
International Editorial Board (IEB) held in Sydney from January
22 to 27, 2006. Grey is a member of the WSWS IEB and the Socialist
Equality Party (US) central committee. WSWS IEB chairman David
Norths report was
posted on 27 February. SEP (Australia) national secretary Nick
Beams report was posted in three parts: Part
one on February 28, Part two
on March 1 and Part three on March
2. James Cogans report on Iraq
was posted on March 3.
In addressing the question posed by David North in his opening
remarks to this meetingIs world capitalism on an upward
trajectory, or is it in decline and heading for explosive upheavals?it
is particularly important to draw a balance sheet of the trajectory
of American capitalism.
The relative strength or weakness, health or morbidity of American
capitalism, and its trajectory over an extended historical period,
is in the most fundamental and objective sense a world question.
The fate of world capitalism over the past century has been linked
to that of the United States more than to any other national economy
or national state.
Already in 1924, Leon Trotsky, in a famous speech published
at the time under the title The Premises for the Proletarian
Revolution, summed up the preeminent role of American capitalism
in the affairs of world capitalism:
Comrades, whoever wishes or tries today to discuss the
destiny of Europe or of the world proletariat without taking the
power and significance of the USA into account is, in a certain
sense, drawing up a balance sheet without consulting the master.
For the master of the capitalist worldand let us firmly
understand this!is New York, with Washington as its state
department.
The United States became the dominant capitalist power on the
basis of its enormous industrial and technological might. By the
early years of the twentieth century it had become the industrial
powerhouse of the world, and this is what enabled it to eclipse
Britain by the time of the First World War.
Even during the Depression years of the 1930s, American capitalism
retained enormous economic reserves, above all in its industrial
power, which enabled it to emerge as the dominant military power
in the Second World War and largely determine the shape of the
post-war settlement.
It was to an extraordinary extent American capitalism that
put world capitalism back on its feet amidst the bloody ruins
left by the war in most of Europe and Asia. It relied on the betrayals
of the working class by the Stalinist, Social Democratic and trade
union bureaucracies to suppress revolutionary challenges to capitalism
in much of the world, but it did possess the industrial and financial
means to revive world capitalism, in a manner, of course, favorable
to its own interests.
At the end of the war, the US occupied a position of overwhelming
economic supremacy. It produced the vast bulk of the worlds
steel, electricity, autos, etc., and it possessed almost all of
the worlds gold holdings. This enabled the US, through the
Marshall Plan and similar measures, to subsidize an economic revival
in Europe and capitalist Asia that made possible two decades of
rapid growth of the world economy. The post-war boom provided
the economic basis for social reform policies that dampened class
antagonismsat least in North America, Western Europe and
Japan.
But the attempt of American capitalism to rebuild world capitalism
inevitably ran up against contradictions lodged in the fundamental
contradiction between world economy and the nation-state system.
In promoting the industrial and financial revival of Europe and
Japan, the US was strengthening imperialist competitors and rivals.
By the 1960s, the dollar was coming under increasing pressure
and countries such as Germany and Japan were gearing up to challenge
American dominance in world marketsincluding the American
market.
The social and political shock waves from these tectonic shifts
in the economic foundation took increasingly explosive forms in
the 1960s within the US. One need only mention the assassination
of John F. Kennedy in 1963 and the political assassinations that
followed later in the decade, the civil rights struggles, militant
wages struggles in virtually every sector of the economy, the
urban riots, and the mass movement against the war in Vietnam.
These social and political upheavals, in turn, acted upon and
intensified the underlying economic crisis.
The erosion of American capitalisms previously hegemonic
position in the world economy found definitive expression in Richard
Nixons August 15, 1971 measures. Under conditions of a run
on the dollar and dwindling gold reserves in Fort Knox, Nixon
ended dollar-gold convertibility, which had served as the lynchpin
of the global financial arrangements established by the Bretton
Woods agreements of 1944.
This was a major turning point, marking in general terms both
the end of the post-war boom and the end of American industrial
and financial hegemony. What followed was the oil shock of 1973-74,
spiraling inflation and the deepest recession in the US since
the 1930s.
Throughout the 1970s the US remained in the grip of a profound
economic malaise, which was dubbed stagflationa
combination of slow economic growth and steep inflation. At the
same time, US capitalism was facing an ever-greater challenge
from its major competitors in Europe and AsiaGermany and
Japan, in particular. American corporationsin steel, auto,
electronics and other industrieswere rapidly losing market
share internationally, and within the US, foreign auto and steel
imports were growing, cutting significantly into the share of
the domestic market controlled by the Big Three auto companies
and steel giants such as US Steel.
The American working class, despite its political subordination
to the capitalist two-party system, which was enforced by the
trade union bureaucracy, retained much of the militancy that attended
the birth of the mass industrial unions in the sit-down strikes
of the 1930s and industry-wide strikes that continued in the post-war
period. There were bitter strikes throughout the 1970s, and a
marked political radicalization among young workers in virtually
every industry.
The high point of this militant upsurge was the 111-day nationwide
coal miners strike of 1977-78, in which the miners rejected
contracts agreed to by the top union leadership and dealt Democratic
President Jimmy Carter a humiliating blow by ignoring his Taft-Hartley
back-to-work order, before they finally and reluctantly accepted
a compromise contract.
This militancy was connected to a whole series of social reforms
and regulations on business dating back to Roosevelts New
Deal. These were generally seen, with justification, as concessions
wrenched by the working class from the American ruling class.
Facing a steep and obvious decline in its global economic position,
stagnant growth, mounting debt, chronic inflation, falling profit
rates, the US ruling elite was compelled to launch an attack on
these past reforms and regulations, which in various ways placed
restrictions on the operations of the capitalist market, and in
that way weaken the position of the working class and undermine
its militant resistance.
Deregulation
The first major step in this direction was the policy of deregulation,
inaugurated by the Carter administration and promoted by liberals
such as Senator Edward Kennedy. Targeting first mass transport
industries such as commercial air travel and trucking, deregulation
represented the beginning of a ruling class counteroffensive.
The political and ideological premise of deregulation was the
innate superiority of the market to government regulation and
control.
The overthrow of the Shah and the resulting spike in oil prices
in 1979 brought the economic crisis in the US to a head, leading
to another major turning point with the appointment of Wall Street
banker Paul Volcker to head the Federal Reserve Board. Volcker,
a Democrat, launched the American version of shock therapyhiking
interest rates to unprecedented levels in order to wring
inflation out of the economy by plunging the US into a deep
recession.
This was a dramatic and highly conscious move to force the
closure of plants and factories, drive up unemployment and create
the conditions for a frontal assault on the past gains of the
working class. Chrysler, the weakest of the Big Three auto giants,
was brought to the edge of bankruptcy. It was saved only through
a bailout engineered by the Carter administration, which required
the agreement of the United Auto Workers union to accept wage
cuts and other concessions. The UAW leadership readily agreed,
and in exchange got a seat on Chryslers board of directors.
As auto, steel, rubber, electrical and other industrial plants
closed down around the country, business journals such as Business
Week began openly to speak of the deindustrialization
of America. Very rapidly, traditional industrial centers such
as Detroit, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Youngstown, parts of Los Angeles
were devastated by plant closures and mass layoffs. Whole cities
were turned into centers of economic dislocation, poverty and
misery. Hundreds of thousands, then millions of workers almost
overnight found themselves without a decent-paying job.
This was the birth of the so-called rust belt,
which for the most part persists in large sections of the country.
Manifested in abandoned stone and mortar and abandoned human beings
was the objective decline in the world position of American capitalism.
The election of the right-wing Republican presidential candidate
Ronald Reagan in 1980 signaled an intensification of the anti-working
class offensive that had been launched under the previous, Democratic
administration. Reaganomics became the catchphrase
for a ruthless policy of union-busting, wage-cutting, the gutting
of social programs, tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy,
and the lifting of regulations on industrial pollution, workplace
health and safety and many other aspects of economic life.
Economic policy was formulated quite openly to facilitate a
vast transfer of wealth from the working population to the richest
and most privileged layers, on the essentially parasitic basis
of a massive downsizing of industry and a sharp increase in the
national debt. The stock market became more than ever the focus
of personal wealth accumulation for the financial elite, and driving
up share values became a central preoccupation of government economic
and social policy.
The decade of the 1980s saw a return to open and violent strikebreaking,
employing goon squads, private police, state repression, frame-ups
and victimizationstactics that had largely receded in the
post-war period. The working class resisted, waging dozens of
bitter strikes in virtually all sectors of the economy. But every
struggle was betrayed by the AFL-CIO, which isolated the struggles
and then exploited their defeat to repudiate the militant traditions
of the past and establish corporatist relations with the employers,
all the while opposing any move toward a break with the Democratic
Party and an independent political party.
By the end of the decade, the American labor movement had been
essentially destroyed as a social instrument of resistance to
US big business.
Retrenchment, bankruptcies, parasitism
The retrenchment in basic industry and other sectors has proceeded
apace, punctuated by a series of spectacular bankruptcies. Flagship
companies which symbolized the power of American capitalism have
disappeared: Pan American Airlines and Eastern Airlines immediately
come to mind. Since the late 1990s, more than 50 US steel producers
have gone into bankruptcy, including such giants as Bethlehem,
LTV, Republic, National and Wheeling-Pittsburgh. The Big Three
auto companies have relentlessly downsized, slashing their work
forces by more than half.
One can speak of a hollowing out of the American
economy, in which corporate profit-making and the personal enrichment
of the ruling elite grew increasingly divorced from the production
of useful goods and the expansion of productive facilities, and
more and more bound up with speculation in stocks and bonds and
other forms of essentially parasitic activity. Outright swindling,
accounting fraud and other forms of corporate criminality proliferated.
Investment in research and development, maintaining and improving
the industrial and social infrastructureincluding education,
health care, even roads, bridges, ports, levees, the electrical
grid, the housing stock, the environmenttook a back seat.
To give some indication of the scale of industrial decline,
I will cite some statistics from the 1988 perspectives resolution
of the International Committee of the Fourth International:
The US share of auto production fell from 65 percent
in 1956 to 20 percent in 1980. Between 1980 and 1984, the United
States lost 23 percent of its export market share. The position
of the steel industry vividly illustrates Americas loss
of its once unchallenged supremacy as the premier industrial power.
The United States produced 39.3 percent of the worlds steel
in 1955. By 1975, that percentage had fallen to 16.4 percent.
In 1984, it was just 8.4 percent. Between 1973 and 1983, US steel
production fell 44 percent. In the 1950s, US integrated steel
companies supplied more than 95 percent of the American market.
Now their share is less than 60 percent.
This process has continued, and, if anything, accelerated since
1988.
The elevation of the free market to the status
of political dogma and secular religion continues to produce disastrous
results. Recent years have seen a new wave of corporate bankruptciesfrom
United Airlines and US Air to Delphi, the worlds largest
auto parts maker. General Motors itselfonce the worlds
largest corporation and symbol par excellence of American industrial
mightis flirting with bankruptcy, as is Ford.
These deep-going changes have had a major impact on relations
between the classes, and on the social physiognomy of the various
classes within the US. The American ruling elite itself has changed.
The general process of decline finds a noxious expression in the
political, intellectual and even moral decay of the ruling layers.
In general, the most predatory, ignorant, short-sighted and reactionary
elements have risen to the top.
Further on I will refer to the current list of Forbes magazines
400 richest Americans. For the present, I wish only to note that
the current crop of multi-millionaires and multi-billionaires
differ, broadly speaking, in one important respect from the robber
barons who bestraddled American society a century ago. The Rockefellers,
Carnegies, Fords, Edisons, Firestones who dominated economic life
back then were ruthless and politically reactionary men. But they
made their fortunes by overseeing the construction of industrial
empires. Their names are associated with an immense development
of the productive forces.
The current batch of moguls has, for the most part, no such
relationship to the development of industry or productive capacity.
Warren Buffett, Kirk Kerkorian, Carl Icahn, Sumner Redstone leave
in their wake no industrial empires. In many cases, they and their
peers made their fortunes by downsizing and asset-stripping what
the robber barons had built. They are the beneficiaries of leveraged
buyouts, mega-mergers and various, often esoteric, forms of speculation.
This parasitism reached new levels in the heady days of the
Clinton administration, when the stock market spiraled upward
and swindling and accounting fraud assumed malignant proportions.
The general plundering of the American economy by the ruling elite
was compounded by the wholesale plundering of companies by their
own top executives.
Social inequality
The enormous concentration of wealth at the very top of American
society and the growth of social inequality are part of the same
process of decline, in terms of the world market, and internal
decay. That American society ever more openly assumes the form
of a plutocracy is a symptom not of health and vigor, but rather
the opposite. The previous ability of the American ruling classunder
enormous pressure from below, and certainly not without internal
frictionto bring about a general rise in working class living
standards and a moderation of economic disparities was an expression
of economic strength and confidence in the future.
Those conditions no longer exist. There are by now hundreds
of studies and thousands of statistics documenting the staggering
and ever-widening chasm between the uppermost social layers and
the vast majority of the American people. Large sections of the
population live in a state of desperation and near destitution.
But more broadly, working people and most of the professional,
managerial and self-employed population have been swept up in
a permanent maelstrom of economic insecurity and dislocation.
Just to cite one statistic: the New York Times recently
reported that the very wealthiest Americanssome 45,000 taxpayers
with incomes starting at $1.6 million, who comprise the top 0.1
percentsaw their share of the nations income more
than double since the 1970s, reaching 10 percent in the year 2000.
That is a level of income concentration last seen in the 1920s.
The existence of such obscene levels of wealth and grotesque
levels of inequality is noted only on occasion in the media, and
even more rarely by the Democratic Party, which still claims to
be the party of the people. The mind set that prevails
in ruling circlesliberal as well as conservativewas
starkly revealed in the recent strike by transit workers in New
York. Even as workers who make $50,000 a year were being roundly
denounced by politicians and newspapers as greedy thugs and rats,
it was reported that Wall Street was planning to hand out some
$21.5 billion in year-end executive bonuses.
Within the media and the political establishment this fact
evoked no particular reaction. It was seen more or less as the
natural order of things. Some spoke out to welcome and defend
the Christmas largesse.
People have had enough of listening to bad news,
said Glenn Mazzella of World Wide Yacht Corporation. They
want to go yachting, and they want to go skiing and they want
to drive a Maybach (a German car that retails for $325,000). Theyre
tired of feeling embarrassed.
Theres someone on Wall Street thats taking
20 of his closest buddies for his bachelor party, renting a yacht,
cruising the Caribbean and ending up in Sandy Lane in Barbados
on the golf course, said Tatiana Byron, president of the
New York event planner 4PM Events. The cost: $200,000.
Among the top bonus-getters on Wall Street this Christmas was
Goldman Sachs chief executive Henry Paulson Jr., who ended up
with a $38 million compensation package for 2005. That breaks
down to $731,000 a week, or $104,000 a day, or $4,300 an hour.
That amounts to 330 times the hourly pay of the average US wage
earner.
One has to work hard at spending such sums. One has to be creative
and come up with really decadent things.
But such is life for a very small elite, percentage-wise, but
not so tiny in numerical terms in a city like New York, where
a few blocks separate enclaves of spectacular wealth from impoverished
ghettos.
To be continued
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