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Labor wins Australian state elections with business backing
By Mike Head
25 March 2006
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Two Australian state Labor governments were returned to office
last Saturday with intensive business and media backing, continuing
the federal-state divide in official Australian politics. Labor
has won every state and territory election since 1998, but lost
each federal election since 1993.
In South Australia, the minority government of Premier Mike
Rann claimed Labors biggest victory in that states
history, winning 28 lower house seats and leaving the Liberal
Party decimated with just 14. Two Independents and one National
retained their seats, with two others in doubt.
Labor gained an electoral swing of about 9 percent compared
to 2002, with most of the shift coming in former Liberal seats
in inner-city areas and outer-suburbs of the states capital,
Adelaide. The largest swing, 15 percent, came from the beachside
electorate of Bright, formerly a marginal Liberal seat.
The outcome left the Liberalsthe party of Prime Minister
John Howardleaderless and in tatters. After two successive
election defeats, state Liberal leader Rob Kerin quit on Sunday,
followed immediately by bitter in-fighting over who would succeed
him.
In Tasmania, Premier Paul Lennons government secured
an unprecedented third consecutive term in office, despite suffering
a 2 percent swing against it. Labor managed to hold its 14 seats
in parliament, while the Liberals won 7 and the Greens 3, with
one undecided. The results were fairly uniform across the states
five multi-member electorates, each of which returns five MPs.
Having failed to make any inroads after their vote crashed
in 2002, Tasmanian Liberal party leader Rene Hidding declared
an open ballot for the leadership among the seven surviving MPs.
He faces at least one challenger, and possibly two.
The mass media uniformly declared that the results demonstrated
the power of incumbency and the benefits of economic
prosperity, trying to draw a connection between Labors
ascendancy in state politics and Howards four victories
at the federal level. Good economic conditions spell political
stability, and that is music to Howards ears, Mike
Steketee wrote in the Australian.
In reality, the deep hostility that exists toward the Howard
governments pro-market economic and social policies, its
participation in the war on Iraq and its assault on basic democratic
rights, could find no expression within the official political
framework.
Opinion polls show majority opposition to the occupation of
Iraq65 percent of respondents to the latest advocated the
withdrawal of Australian troopsand overwhelming rejection
of the Howard governments new industrial relations legislationnewspaper
polls have reported 80 percent opposition.
Prosperity is a myth as far as ordinary people
are concerned. While official data shows rising average incomes
and relatively low unemployment, social inequality is escalating
as corporate profits and executive salaries soar at the expense
of the working class. Research published last week revealed that
the richest 10 percent received 31.34 percent of total income
in 2002, compared to 28.5 percent a decade earlier. The average
chief executive of one of the top 50 Australian-based companies
earned 98 times the wage of an average worker, up from 27 times
higher in 1992.
Like all their Labor counterparts across the country, however,
both Rann and Lennon have willingly cooperated with Howards
Liberal-National coalition. At the same time, their governments
have been engaged in a never-ending competition to gut welfare,
health, education, housing and other social programs so as to
fund financial incentives for foreign investors.
Disaffection with this bipartisan program emerged in the elections,
but only in distorted ways. One expression was a huge 20 percent
vote for No Pokies MP Nick Xenophon in the South Australian
upper house. Standing on a protest, anti-party ticket,
he and his two running mates benefited when Labor and Liberal
joined hands in directing voting preferences against them. They
picked up 120,000 votesalmost as many as the Liberals and
double the total received by Family First, the Greens and Australian
Democrats combined.
Xenophon advanced a populist mixture, including right-wing
calls for victims of crime laws and abstinence-based
programs, but his opposition to the growing reliance of state
governments on poker machine and other gambling proceeds struck
a chord among those disgusted by Labors intimate relations
with big business.
Likewise, the right-wing Christian church-based Family First
party polled 5.8 percent, up 3.1 points, and picked up 2 upper
house seats (with the help of Labor and Liberal preferences) by
professing concerns about the mounting economic and social pressures
on ordinary families.
By contrast, the Australian Democrats were almost wiped out
in what was once their home state, losing two-thirds of their
voteto 2.8 percentand retaining only one upper house
seat. This is another nail in the coffin of the Democrats, who
have been in a downward spiral since backing the Howard governments
first IR legislation in 1996 and the Goods and Services Tax in
1999.
Some of the Democrats vote may have gone to the Greens,
whose vote rose 4 percentage points to 6.3 percent, giving them
one seat in the upper house. In South Australia, where the Greens
have not held a seat before, they presented themselves as anti-establishment,
appealing to voters to elect a Green to ensure the government
of the day is subjected to vital environmental and humanitarian
scrutiny.
In Tasmania, however, the Greens suffered a 2-percentage point
fall to 16 percent, losing one of their four seats and thereby
forfeiting official party status. They will now lose considerable
public funding, a number of research and administrative staff,
and their leaders right to have a government chauffeur-driven
limousine at her disposal.
Tasmanias Greens formed a governing accord with Labor
during the 1980s and helped carry through punishing cuts in public
services and jobs. Greens leader Peg Putt campaigned for the return
of a minority Labor government, which the Greens would join with
herself as deputy premier. This scenario revived bitter memories
of the 1980s.
Overall, the results in both states point to a brittle political
situation, where support for the major parties has substantially
collapsed but opposition to them takes no clear or coherent form.
Howards Liberals have been further decimated in the states,
while Labor is in terminal decline on the federal level.
Media backs Labor
All the major media outlets, many of which have backed Howard
in recent federal elections, gave their support to Labor.
In South Australia, the Murdoch-owned Adelaide Advertiser
and Australian both editorialised for a Labor vote. The
Australian declared Mike Ranns the man
because he had combined avowed law and order policies
with economic responsibilitymeasured in terms
of attracting business investment.
In his last term, Rann made the unprecedented decision to install
an unelected, prominent mining magnate, Robert Champion de Crespigny,
as a member of his inner cabinet executive. He also appointed
Murdoch to the board of trustees of a new private university,
Carnegie Mellon and worked closely with Howard, and the trade
unions, to undercut other governments in order to secure key projects,
notably a naval destroyer building project and the expansion of
the Olympic Dam (Roxby Downs) uranium mine.
In Tasmania, Murdochs outlets, the Hobart Mercury
and the Australian, also threw their weight behind Labor.
Under the headline Lennon should lead, the Australian
said the premier had recognised the necessity to encourage
business investment, in everything from online gambling to wood
processing.
During the campaign, one of the states largest companies,
timber miller Gunns, threatened to take a proposed $1.4 billion
pulp-mill project to Malaysia or China if the Greens won the balance
of power. Once the votes were in, Gunns executive chairman John
Gay said the mill would proceed. With a majority government
and the support of the Liberal Party opposition, it is very secure,
he declared.
Business interests funded an extensive advertising campaign
warning voters that a minority government would bring economic
disaster and mass job losses. Tasmanian Chamber of Commerce and
Industry chief executive Damon Thomas welcomed the election result.
I think the outcome will be good for Tasmania, not just
for the business community, he said.
Having backed Labor, business spokesmen wasted no time in laying
down the law to the incoming administrations. The Australian
Financial Review declared that Labors challenge in Tasmania
was to maintain economic buoyancy while Rann had to
lower corporate taxes and fund freight and energy infrastructure.
Rann and Lennon have clearly heard the message. Lennon vowed
that over the next four years well be economically
aggressive and Rann announced negotiations with two British
universities to establish new private Adelaide campuses.
See Also:
Australia: Pre-selection brawls demonstrate
Labor's internal rot
[22 March 2006]
Australia: Why the Howard government
has remained in office for 10 years
[17 March 2006]
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