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Indian Stalinists take leading role in New Delhis efforts
to contain Nepal crisis
By Keith Jones
3 May 2006
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The leadership of the Communist Party of India (Marxist) is
playing a significant role in the Indian governments efforts
to shore up bourgeois rule in Nepal. The impoverished Himalayan
state has been shaken by mass protests in Katmandu and other urban
centres against the authoritarian regime of King Gyanendra and
by a Maoist insurgency in the countryside.
CPM Politburo member Sitaram Yechury visited Nepal from Friday,
April 28, through Monday, May 1, at the invitation of Nepals
new prime minister, Girija Prasad Koirala, and the Seven Party
Alliancean alliance of bourgeois parties that opposed the
kings February 2005 seizure of all executive power.
A member of the upper house of Indias parliament, Yechury
visited Nepal as a semi-official representative of Indias
Congress Party-led United Progressive Alliance government. Before
flying to Katmandu, he met with Indian Foreign Secretary Shyam
Saran and Defence Minister Pranab Mukherjee. While in Katmandu,
he discussed with Koirala and other SPA leaders about Nepals
financial needs.
Speaking like an Indian plenipotentiary, Yechury said that
India would not object to the deployment of an international observer
force charged with ensuring that elections for a Nepalese constituent
assembly could take place free of fear and intimidation. He also
said that if the Nepalese government were to request it, New Delhi
would likely free the Nepalese Maoists in Indian custody. On his
return to India, Yechury announced that Koirala intends to visit
New Delhi later this month.
Koirala and the SPA leadership treated Yechury, a rising star
in the Stalinist CPM, like an esteemed dignitary. He was given
a standing ovation when he attended last Fridays session
of the Nepalese parliament, the first to be held since the king
ordered its dissolution in 2002, and he attended Koiralas
swearing-in ceremony on Sunday at the prime ministers personal
invitation.
According to Indian press report, Yechury played a significant
role as the anti-king movement reached its peak in the middle
of last month, serving as a go-between and mediator between the
SPA and the Nepal Communist Party (Maoist) as well as between
the anti-king Nepalese opposition and the Indian government.
Yechurys efforts were aimed at ensuring that the agreement
that the SPA and the Maoists reached last November to work together
for the restoration of parliamentary government and the convening
of an elected constituent assembly did not collapse and at persuading
the UPA government that the best way to bring a quick end to the
political upheaval in Nepal was by forcing the king to make major
concessions to his opponents, even if that meant accepting a constituent
assembly that could abolish the monarchy.
Yechury is said to be known to some of the top Nepalese Maoists,
because they and he both attended New Delhis Jawaharlal
Nehru University in the 1970s. In any event, at the very least
since May 2005, when CPM General-Secretary Prakash Karat spoke
with a leader of the Nepalese Maoists at a meeting that was reputedly
facilitated by Indian intelligence, there have been significant
contacts between the leaders of the decade-old Nepal guerrilla
movement and the leadership of the CPM.
In these discussions, the Indian Stalinists have urged the
Maoists to follow their own political path and fully integrate
themselves into official bourgeois politics. The CPM-led Left
Front is sustaining the neo-liberal UPA in office, whilst in West
Bengal, the Left Front government is itself imposing pro-investor
reforms.
The International Crisis Group, a think tank with intimate
ties to Western governments, reports that it was told by an unnamed
senior Indian communist last October: The Maoists
must be tempted with a CPM-style model. We can try to persuade
them with an amnesty and mainstream participation.... [A] long
fight can encourage people who are tired of operations to find
some face-saving mechanism, such as if they could claim victory
on something such as land reform.
With the outbreak of mass protests in Nepals urban centres
last month, Yechury started meeting and otherwise communicating
with Indian Defence Minster Mukherjee on a regular basis, while
publicly touting the CPMs potential to facilitate
the process of helping the Nepalese people to come out of the
present political mess.
Yechury is credited by the Indian press and SPA with drafting
a four-stage agenda for the restoration of parliamentary government
and the convening of a Nepalese constituent assembly that prevented
the SPA-Maoist understanding from unraveling and ultimately won
New Delhis support.
Undoubtedly, the principal purpose of Yechurys visit
to Katmandu was to continue to work to bring the Maoists into
official Nepalese politics and on terms acceptable to the Indian
government.
The Maoists have repeatedly signaled that they are anxious
to abandon the armed struggle. Under their agreement with the
SPA of last November, they accepted integration into a competitive
multi-party system and UN or foreign supervision of elections
to a constituent assembly. They also pledged friendly relations
with the US, while securing no commitment to significant socio-economic
reform, let alone radical change.
Nevertheless, there are many obstacles to any lasting partnership
between the Maoists and the official bourgeois parties, not least
among them the expectations of ordinary Nepalese that their desires
for political and social change will at last be realised and real
measures taken to eradicate poverty, landlordism, and caste oppression.
The two sides are wary of one another and of the advantages
that will accrue to one by virtue of its control of the Katmandu
government and to the other by virtue of its political-military
domination of much of the countryside.
And both the SPA and Maoists are fearful that the king or the
army or both will, with the backing of the US or even at a future
point India, attempt to scuttle their alliance and try anew to
crush the Maoist insurgency by razing the Nepalese countryside.
Until two weeks ago, Washington was strongly supportive of
the king, likening his stand against the Maoists to the Bush administrations
own worldwide anti-terrorism crusade. Although not condemning
outright the efforts of the new SPA-government to reach an accommodation
with the Maoists, James Moriarty, the US ambassador to Nepal,
announced last Thursday that Washington would continue to categorise
the Nepal Communist Party (Maoist) as a terrorist organisation
until the Maoists changed their behavior. Speaking
on Nepalese television, Moriarty counseled the SPA against allowing
the Maoists to participate in any constituent assembly election
unless they first lay down their arms and renounce violence.
Indias strategic interests in Nepal
Indias ruling elite, like the colonial overlords of the
British Raj, view Nepal as part of their sphere of strategic dominance.
Prime Minster Manmohan Singhs response to a question
last month about the possibility of Indian military intervention
in Nepal typifies the establishment view: Peace and stability
in Nepal is a concern for India. It has not reached a stage of
sending peacekeeping forces to Nepal.
The two countries have close economic ties, with India accounting
for 50 percent of Nepals foreign investment and 70 percent
of its trade.
Two major concerns have driven Indias reaction to the
deepening political crisis in Nepal.
First, India has been determined to ensure that neither China
nor the US supplants it as the dominant geo-political force in
Nepal. A related concern has been that traditional archrival Pakistan
not be allowed to use the crisis in Nepal to gain greater influence
in Katmandu.
China, like India, borders Nepal, although the Himalayan states
historic and contemporary economic and transport links have been
much greater with India than with the power to the north. In accordance
with its overall policy of seeking rapprochement with India, China
has not aggressively challenged India in Nepal. But, to New Delhis
consternation, it did respond to King Gyanendras overtures
when India cut off military aid in response to his February 2005
power grab.
Because of Nepals proximity to the troubled Tibet region
of China, Washington has shown a growing interest in the Himalayan
state. There is much evidence to suggest that India believes Washington
was much too encouraging of the king in his attempts to sideline
the traditional parties while seeking a purely military solution
to the Maoist insurgency.
New Delhi, at the very least, tacitly supported last Novembers
agreement between the SPA and the Maoists, as is suggested by
the fact that the agreement was worked out in New Delhi and by
the Indian governments facilitation of meetings between
the Maoist leaders in attendance and various Indian politicians.
However, the UPA governments first response to last months
political upheaval in Nepal was to close ranks with Washington
in an attempt to find a solution to the crisis. Only when it became
clear that the kings April 21 announcement, which left all
effective power in his hands, had failed to stem the mass protests
did New Delhi demand that the king agree to immediately transfer
executive power to a parliamentary government.
New Delhis response to the Nepal crisis, which has been
criticised by much of the Indian press as flat-footed, if not
damaging, no doubt reflected its fear of clashing with Washington.
The next two months are seen by New Delhi as especially crucial
to US-Indian ties as they will likely see the Indo-US nuclear
accord, which gives India a unique status within the world nuclear
regulatory regime, put to the vote in the US Congress.
The second strategic concern driving Indias response
to events in Nepal has been the impact of the Maoist insurgency
in Nepal on the various and much smaller Maoist/Naxhalite guerrilla
campaigns in India.
After more than a quarter century of decline, recent years
have seen a major expansion of Naxhalite activity. According to
the Indian government, a quarter of Indias 602 administrative
districts are currently affected by Naxhalite unrest. Behind this
resurgence lies the acute distress that prevails over much of
rural India, and especially in so-called tribal regions, after
15 years of neo-liberal economic restructuring.
An important section of the Indian political establishment,
with the CPM in the lead, argues that engineering the Nepalese
Maoists entry into the official politics assists, rather
than contradicts, efforts to combat Indian Naxhalism through increased
repression. Their hope is that through the Nepalese Maoists, at
least some of the Naxhalites can be persuaded and pressured, as
have other previous Naxhalite insurgents, to join official Indian
politics.
Explained Yechury in a recent interview with the Indian
Express, Drawing the [Nepalese] Maoists into the democratic
mainstream is the biggest advantage that India will have in tackling
its own internal Maoist problem.
By no means do all sections of Indias political establishment
agree with this stratagem. Sections of the corporate media argue
that allowing the Nepalese Maoists to join the mainstream
constitutes rewarding violence. The Hindu supremacist
Bharatiya Janata Party accuses the government of being soft
on Maoist terrorism. According to press reports, there are
sharp divisions within the foreign and home ministries and the
security forces over the wisdom of supporting the SPA-Maoist agreement
in Nepal.
Be that as it may, the role of the CPM in the elaborating the
Indian governments response to the popular upheaval in Nepal
underscores that the Stalinists function as an integral
part of the Indian political establishmentone trusted to
uphold and further the interests and geo-political ambitions of
the Indian bourgeoisie and its state.
See Also:
Nepalese king bows to mass
protests and offers to recall parliament
[25 April 2006]
Indian Stalinists reaffirm
support for UPA government
[25 April 2006]
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