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Britain: Internal party revolt seeks Blairs removal
By Chris Marsden
8 September 2006
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Prime Minister Tony Blairs days in office are numbered.
While it is not possible to determine precisely when he will go,
what is clear is the main reason for his political demisethe
reverberations from his support for the illegal invasion and occupation
of Iraq.
The Labour Party is being rent by factional warfare between
Blair loyalists and the supporters of Chancellor Gordon Brown.
But there is not a shred of political principle between the two
camps.
This division has been a permanent feature of the Labour government
since Blair outmanoeuvred Brown to become party leader following
the death of John Smith. Afterwards, the prime minister was able
to push his erstwhile rival into a corner with promises that at
the appropriate time he would inherit the Blairite mantle.
He is no longer able to do so because his standing has been
fatally undermined by Labours foreign policy.
There is no disagreement between Blair and Brown on any issues
of substance. Both the chancellor and his supporters boast of
his role as the co-architect of New Labour and its
pro-business agenda. One of the eight junior members of government
whose resignations brought the partys leadership crisis
to a head described himself and his colleagues as utter
Labour loyalists and implacable modernizers.
Nor has Brown ever issued a word of criticism over Blairs
foreign policy. What motivates the latest outbreak of factional
in-fighting is anxiety amongst Brown and his supporters over the
haemorrhaging of Labours electoral support. But this in
turn is bound up with massive popular opposition to the Iraq war,
which has only deepened since 2003.
Politically, there has long been a widespread belief within
ruling circles that Blair has received very little in return for
his slavish support for the Bush administration over Iraq and
Afghanistan.
It is not only that the US-led occupation has been a disaster,
with Iraq in the midst of a de facto civil war. Afghanistan too
has proved to be no less of a debacle. British troops are facing
a worsening situation in the south of Iraq at a time when additional
forces are being dispatched to Afghanistan, where they face fierce
resistance from those opposed to the occupation force as well
as local drug lords and impoverished farmers who are dependent
on the opium/heroin trade.
However, if Blair was already crippled by these events, his
fate was sealed by his backing for the US-Israeli war against
Lebanon. By this time the setbacks suffered by British imperialism
took on the dimensions of a national humiliation.
Whereas Blair once argued with his critics that he alone could
act as a restraining influence on Washington because he had earned
the respect of the White House, Lebanon showed him as little more
than a lap dog. Bushs infamous Yo, Blair! during
the G8 summit and his contemptuous dismissal of the prime ministers
offer to act as a go-between in the Middle East underscored how
little real influence Blair enjoys.
The prime ministers subservience to Washington was epitomised
by his refusal to make even a formal call for a ceasefire. Once
again Blair was convinced that the superior fire-power enjoyed
by the US and its Israeli ally would ensure victory. And once
again he was indifferent to the overwhelming popular opposition
to the Israeli aggression at home and abroad.
Even when Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Siniora appealed to
Blair to support an immediate ceasefire, citing the historic ties
between his country and Britain, Blair remained silent.
It fell to the United Nations to try and extricate the US and
Israel from the latest crisis they had created in the Middle East,
while Blair was told by one of its leading officials to stay out
of any negotiations as he was too closely associated with Washington.
Media commentators in the UK were reduced to gazing enviously
at the position taken by France, which was able to become a key
player in the Lebanese crisis by combining calls for a ceasefire
with horse-trading with the US over assuming leadership of a UN
military force.
This global drama unfolded under conditions in which Britain
was plunged into a security scare as a result of an alleged terror
plot to blow up transatlantic flights. Despite claims that the
UK was facing its gravest danger since the threat of Nazi invasion,
this did not cause the prime minister to break his holiday in
the Caribbean, during which he issued barely a word on either
the alleged plot or Lebanon.
By this time even the most spineless of Blairs opponents
had concluded that they were staring into the abyssand not
just electorally. Everyone knew that the US-sponsored Israeli
attack on Lebanon was only a precursor to a planned wider Middle
Eastern war against Iran and Syriaone that must have even
more terrible consequences than Iraq.
When the Israeli offensive ended badly, Browns supporters
expected Blair to finally give a date for his departure. When
he not only failed to do so, but announced instead that he would
be launching a raft of policies at the Labour Party conference
later this month to secure his legacy, the resignation
letters were drafted in order to force his hand.
If the crisis over Britains foreign policy finds only
the most partial and distorted expression in the internal manoeuvrings
against Blair, the other major cause of the governments
crisis finds none at all.
Opposition to the war against Iraq is bound up with and fuelled
by broader dissatisfaction with the governments right-wing
domestic agenda.
This is reflected in mounting public concern over the attacks
on civil liberties that are an integral component of the predatory
foreign policy being pursued in the Middle East. The millions
of people who concluded that Iraq was a war waged on the basis
of lies have no greater confidence in the governments claim
to be waging a war on terror. They recognise that
the terrorist threat is a by-product of Blairs war-mongering,
and that the threat is being manipulated and exaggerated to serve
Blairs own agenda.
More fundamental still, the hostility to Blair and the constantly
diminishing support for his government are rooted in the unprecedented
growth in social inequality over which Labour has presided since
taking office in 1997.
The central tenet of Blairs political philosophy is that
the role of government is to implement policies that directly
serve the interests of a financial oligarchy that determines world
affairsa ruling elite that has accrued enormous wealth through
its domination of global markets. These policies centre on the
dismantling of the old mechanisms of the welfare state, shifting
the tax burden away from the major corporations and the elimination
of all obstacles to the exploitation of the working class.
It is impossible to secure popular support for a government
that sets out to fleece the mass of the people in order to fill
the pockets of the rich. But Blair calculated that as long as
he enjoyed the support of the likes of Rupert Murdoch, his leadership
was assured. His hubris was fuelled by the degeneration and decay
of the very labour movement of which he was the titular head,
with the result that the interests and aspirations of the working
class find no expression within the official political set-up,
allowing Blair to proclaim his indifference to the popular will.
Nevertheless, class tensions, however inchoate, grow ever more
acute. Millions of former labour voters have turned their backs
on the government, threatening Labour with electoral meltdown.
But this is only an initial expression of the social and political
turmoil to come.
The belated move by the Brownites against Blair is little more
than a desperate attempt to save their own skins and rescue the
New Labour project. It offers no viable alternative foreign policy
for the British bourgeoisie, much less any respite for the millions
of working people who want rid of Blair and everything he stands
for.
All Brown has ever wantedand all he continues to demandis
a stable and orderly transition. But he is no more
in charge of political events than Blair.
The Labour Party has, in fact, been irrevocably destabilised
and will in all likelihood face a bitter leadership contest, with
one or more pro-Blair candidates coming forward against Brown.
Blairs statement yesterday that he will go within 12 months
will do nothing to prevent such a further descent into internecine
strife.
Whoever eventually assumes leadership of the party will be
handed a poisoned chalice. Indeed, Blair is correct in one thingit
is not only his political neck that is on the line. Moreover,
if Conservative Party leader David Cameron is presently enjoying
a degree of schadenfreude at Labours expense, this
too will be short-lived.
The divisions that are wracking the bourgeoisie over foreign
policy also run through the Conservatives and they remain deeply
unpopular and without any substantial social base. What is unfolding
in Britain is not the crisis of one man or even one party, but
a crisis of political rule.
See Also:
Blair, Murdoch and the oligarchy
[2 August 2006]
Britain: Mounting criticism
of Blair over Lebanon
[28 July 2006]
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