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Shanghai pension scandal: a factional struggle erupts in Chinas
leadership
By John Chan
8 September 2006
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A corruption scandal involving pension funds in Chinas
largest city, Shanghai, highlights the immense economic, social
and political tensions brewing in the worlds fastest growing
capitalist economy.
The affair began in early August when the central authorities
sacked Zhu Junyi, director of the Shanghai Municipal Labour and
Social Security Bureau, which supervises the citys pension
funds. Zhu was accused of lending 3.2 billion yuan ($US400 million)
from pension funds to a private toll road company, Fuxi Investment
Holding Co. The company used the funds to help bid for the operation
of a Shanghai-Hangzhou expressway.
Fuxis chairman, Zhang Rongkun, was also detained. Zhang
is a typical example of Chinas new wealthy elite. Through
his connections with Shanghai party bosses, Zhangjust in
his early 30srose from obscurity and amassed a fortune of
$605 million. Last year, Forbes magazine ranked him as
Chinas 16th richest man.
Three executives of the state-owned Shanghai Electric Group,
the countrys largest power equipment maker, were also arrested
over the scandal. Fuxi is the second largest shareholder in the
group.
On August 25, the Chinese state media reported that the Beijing
leadership had sent more than 100 investigators to probe the corruption
case, said to be the biggest in Shanghai in decades. It allegedly
involves the illicit use by Shanghai officials and businessmen
of large sums from the city governments 10 billion yuan
($1.25 billion) social security funds for real estate speculation
and other business ventures.
Qin Yu, the governor of Shanghais Baoshan district, is
being investigated for breaching Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
discipline. Local property developers, as well as
finance company executives, have been questioned over their links
to pension funds.
The probe may engulf the Shanghai party boss, Chen Liangyu,
and even senior CCP Politburo members in Beijing. Qin was Chens
secretary in 2002. Just before Qins fall, Chen held a conference
of Shanghai officials on August 15, stressing party discipline,
in an attempt to distance himself from the scandal and save his
career. Chen warned officials not to engage in nepotism and corruption.
This public scandal, however, is not primarily about corruption
in Shanghai. The entire bureaucratic machine in China is riddled
with corruption and nepotism from top to bottom. Corporate executives
regularly collude with government officials to use profitable
state enterprises as private property or engage in outright theft
of public funds. Every year, the central leadership arrests and
punishes thousands of corrupt officials to placate public anger
over growing social inequalities.
Pensions are a particularly sensitive issue. Throughout China,
the inadequacy of pensionstogether with housing and health
careis a major social grievance of working people. Even
in the economically developed Shanghai, the pension fund deficit
skyrocketed from 700 million yuan ($88 million) in 2000 to 4 billion
($502 million) in 2002. There has been a wave of protests and
petitions by Chinese retirees, objecting to their plight and the
heavy financial burdens on their children.
Behind the scandal, however, is a political purpose. President
Hu Jintao is seeking to exploit popular anger to undermine his
rivals in the so-called Shanghai gang of predecessor
Jiang Zemin, who retained significant influence by planting his
loyalists in key posts before partially retiring in 2002. The
real target of the scandal is probably not in Shanghai but in
Beijing. Jiangs key protégéHuang Ju,
a CCP Politburo Standing Committee memberhas a younger brother
in Shanghai who had business connections with Zhangs real
estate development.
As a result of Jiangs influence, the Shanghai party machine,
until now, has not been touched. Yet rumours have been rife about
the criminal activities of the citys wealthy elite and party
bosses. Like officials elsewhere, they put public money into fledging
projects to enrich themselves or boost local economic expansion.
Such activities, legal and illegal, have encouraged the frenzied
growth of fixed asset investment in China, creating overcapacity,
real estate bubbles and the danger of serious financial crises.
As the Hu leadership has tried to stem economic overheating
in recent years, local party bosses such as Shanghais Chenwith
the backing of Jiang Zeminundermined government economic
controls in order to protect their cronies and local business
interests. Now it appears Hu is moving against his rivals in Shanghai
as well as sending a sharp warning to other provincial and local
authorities to toe the line on economic policy.
The scandal is conveniently timed to coincide with the lead-up
to the CCP Central Committee plenum in October which Hu may use
to place more of his supporters in the central leadership. More
significantly, it could help Hu undermine the Shanghai gang
at the key 17th party congress next year, which could decide the
crucial issue of his successor. Hu is due to retire around 2012.
Factional struggles
Former President Jiang Zemin was installed by the late paramount
leader Deng Xiaoping after the brutal 1989 crackdown against
anti-government protests by workers and students in Beijings
Tiananmen Square. The massacre was a signal to international capital
that the Beijing regime would use any means to suppress working
class unrest. The result was a flood of foreign investment that
accelerated Chinas market reform.
Shanghai was at the centre of this process. In the 1980s, Chinas
economic opening up was largely limited to Special Economic
Zones in the south. Jiang promoted Shanghaihis factional
baseas a showcase of the new reform agenda.
The city rapidly emerged as Chinas business and financial
capital, attracting billions of dollars of foreign funds. Jiangs
eldest son became one of the most powerful entrepreneurs in Shanghai.
The surrounding Yangtze Delta region also flourished through foreign
investment, exports and private business. Other coastal provinces
and major cities followed suit.
The Shanghai model was one of high investment rates,
surging exports and a new entrepreneurial elite that provided
the link between transnational corporations and the party hierarchy.
Its adoption also led to the growth of grotesque social inequality,
which was accompanied by endemic official corruption, falling
rural incomes, severe pollution and mass lay-offs from state enterprises.
The appalling social conditions produced a wave of protests by
Chinese workers and poor farmers.
As a future heir nominated by Deng Xiaoping in 1990s, Hu succeed
Jiang in 2002 from a different factional backgroundthat
of the Communist Youth League. The leadership transition was not
a smooth process because the two factions had tactical differences
over how to maintain the partys grip on power in the face
of deepening social tensions.
At his last party congress in November 2002, Jiangs so-called
three represents theory was adopted. It encouraged
private businessmen to join the CCP as part of efforts to cultivate
support among the new capitalist elite. Jiang also retained the
chairmanship of the powerful Central Military Commission and installed
a number of protégés in the new leadership to ensure
that Hu would not have full control.
The factional differences have focussed on the official verdict
on the 1989 Tiananmen protests as a counter-revolutionary
rebellion. Jiang and the layer of bureaucrats who carried
out Tiananmen massacre fear that Hu might bow to popular pressure
and revise the official attitude to the events on 1989. Jiang
and his faction could find themselves blamed or even prosecuted
for the murder of innocent civilians.
More fundamentally, the differences over Tiananmen Square reflect
a debate in ruling circles over the means for dealing with social
unrest. Jiang has always opposed any concessions to demands for
basic democratic rights and defended the use of brute force to
crush opposition to the regime. While no less ruthless, Hu has
sought to create a new social base for the regime among middle
class layers, offering minor political reforms to head off calls
for democratisation. Jiang only handed over his military post
to Hu in 2004 after the latter agreed to retain the 1990s policy
of rapid economic growth and tight social control.
However, the problems confronting the regime have only worsened.
High rates of economic growth have generated investment bubbles,
while surging exports have produced sharp trade tensions with
the US and Europe. Rising energy consumption has driven China
into every corner of the globe for oil and gas, leading to conflict
with other powers. At the same time, industry is increasingly
unable to absorb the growing unemployed army of millions of workers
and rural migrants. The rapid aging of the population is also
threatening to undermine Chinas competitiveness as a source
of cheap labour.
Under these pressures, Hu has called for a shift from heavy
dependence on investment and exports to domestic consumption.
In order to maintain overall economic stability, Hus government
has forcefully shut down many development projects across the
country at expense of sections of business. The anti-corruption
campaign in Shanghai is part of these efforts to rein in speculative
investment.
The problem for Hu is that the economic processes unleashed
in the 1990s have an objective logic and have created substantial
material interests within the bureaucracy and the new corporate
elite. These elements will resist any curbing of their activities
and their relations with foreign investors. Purges confined to
groups of local officials will have little impact on the deep-rooted
social and economic contradictions.
Moreover, confronting growing social unrest, Hu fears that
an open factional conflict in the regime will rapidly produce
political instability. So Hus faction resorts to scandals
and backroom maneouvres, while maintaining the façade of
unity. While Jiangs faction is under siege in Shanghai,
the former president is being made a state icon along with Mao
Zedong and Deng Xiaoping. Last month Jiangs selected
works were published to coincide with his 80th birthday.
It would be absurd, however, to image that such petty political
intrigues can prevent an eruption of the social and economic crisis,
for which no section of the venal bureaucratic elite has any solution.
See Also:
Behind the military
leadership changeover in China
[25 October 2004]
Corruption scandal
signals sharp differences in Chinese ruling elite
[3 August 2004]
Beijing detains SARS
doctor for raising questions about Tiananmen Square
[17 July 2004]
Chinese police dragnet
marks 15 years since the Tiananmen Square massacre
[12 June 2004]
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