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Analysis : Middle
East
Major powers offer devastated Lebanon a pittance in aid
By Rick Kelly
4 September 2006
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An international donors conference for Lebanon, held
in Sweden on August 31, was an exercise in unabashed hypocrisy.
Amid the wreckage inflicted by Israel during its criminal month-long
assault, the worlds major powers offered the Lebanese people
a pittance and then congratulated themselves for their efforts.
Our message should be clear and firm: you are not alone,
Swedish Prime Minister Goran Persson pompously declared. War
may be the business of some, but peace will always be our common
duty.
Proceedings at the conference demonstrated the cynicism of
such statements. The US, European, and Arab powers, together with
representatives of the UN, World Bank and International Monetary
Fund, pledged aid of $940 million, raising total international
assistance to $1.2 billion. This money represents just a small
fraction of what is required. The UN Development Program has estimated
that the war inflicted $15 billion worth of physical and economic
damage.
Israel systematically destroyed much of Lebanons social
and economic infrastructure. Beirut airport was bombed along with
power stations, roads, bridges, and homes and businesses. The
Lebanese government has calculated that direct structural damage
will cost $3.6 billion to repair. Prime Minister Fouad Siniora
has also pledged to pay up to $40,000 compensation to families
whose homes were destroyed or damaged. With about 130,000 people
eligible to receive this payment, the scheme is expected to cost
more than $5 billion.
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and other oil-rich Gulf states provided
most of the $1.2 billion pledged, while the European Union committed
$117 million and the US promised $230 million. These donations
will not cover Lebanons immediate reconstruction requirements,
let alone ease the severe economic crisis caused by the war. The
unemployment rate is expected to be more than 20 percent for the
rest of the year. The Intelligence Unit for the Economist
magazine has warned that Lebanons gross domestic product
for 2006 may be 10 precent lower than previous estimates.
The damage is such that the last 15 years of work on
reconstruction and rehabilitation, following the previous problems
that Lebanon experienced, are now annihilated, Jean Fabre,
of the UN Development Program, declared last week. Fifteen
years of work have been wiped out in a month.
Lebanons previous problems include two Israeli
invasions, in 1978 and 1982, an 18-year Israeli occupation of
the countrys south, and a 15-year civil war between 1975
and 1990. Even before Israels latest bombardment, the widespread
destruction and dislocation in Lebanon had not been resolved.
At the beginning of the year, the countrys per capita income
was one-third lower than what it was in 1975. The official unemployment
rate was 9 percent, with youth unemployment twice that.
The conference made no condemnation of Israel for the war or
the social disaster left behind. Nor was there any criticism of
the US, which collaborated with Israels war preparations
and welcomed the invasion as a means to advance its domination
of the Middle East. For three weeks the US blocked calls for an
immediate ceasefire and urged Israel to step up its bombardment.
While US representatives attended the conference, Washington
has no interest in helping to rebuild Lebanon or assisting its
people. The Bush administration refused to pledge any additional
money to the $230 million it had promised shortly after the ceasefire
took effect.
A Jerusalem Post article entitled US may consider
additional aid to IDF, published on the day of the aid conference,
demonstrated the Bush administrations real priorities. According
to an unnamed senior US official, Washington would seriously
consider any request from the Olmert government for up to
$2 billion to re-equip the Israeli Defence Forces. This money
would be an additional grant on top of military aid worth more
than $2 billion provided by the US every year.
The US delegate refused to join other international representatives
in criticising Tel Avivs ongoing sea and air blockade of
Lebanon. The Lebanese government, which estimates that Israels
encirclement is costing the country $45 million a day, has accused
the Israeli state of waging economic war. The blockade, which
has been in force since the war began on July 13, has caused widespread
shortages of fuel, medicine, and other vital supplies.
Even the UN was forced to issue a protest against Israels
brazenly illegal operations. Aid when there is a blockade
is like putting someone on life support when there is a foot on
their wind pipe, UN Deputy Secretary-General Mark Malloch
Brown declared.
Economic restructuring
The major powers attending the donors conference were
likewise motivated by self-interest. A number of countries in
Europe and the Gulf region have significant investment and trade
interests in Lebanon, and hope to use economic aid as leverage
for advancing pro-business economic reforms. These measures will
further impoverish ordinary working Lebanese people and exacerbate
social inequality and sectarian divisions.
Lebanon has a public debt of $40 billion and the worlds
highest debt to gross domestic product ratio at 180 percent. International
investors have warned of a crisis unless this debt is paid off.
Past experience around the world systematically demonstrates
that private markets cannot indefinitely accommodate rising public
debt ratios, the World Bank stated in a report issued last
November. Even the most faithful investors can eventually
lose confidence in the governments capacity to honour its
debt, and a major crisis can then ensue, with potentially devastating
effects on economic and social fabrics.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank have
demanded that the Lebanese government reduce the debt by raising
taxes, cutting spending, and privatising state owned industries,
including the electricity network, telecommunications, and water.
International investors have also pressed for more favourable
investment conditions through less business regulation, fewer
trade barriers, greater labour market flexibility,
and a smaller civil service.
These diktats were laid out by Lebanons creditors at
the Paris II conference in 2002, which aimed at avoiding
national bankruptcy by restructuring the debt. However, few of
the required measures were subsequently implemented, due to popular
opposition and divisions within the ruling elite.
The root of Lebanons problems lies in its governance
structure, the World Bank complained. The countrys
political and economic institutions rest upon a communalist division
of power, in which the Sunni, Shiite, Christian, and other minority
sect elites can veto major policy proposals. Ever since independence,
the Lebanese bourgeoisies rule has depended on this sectarianism,
which pervades every aspect of the countrys political, social,
and economic life.
The existing political set-up, however, is now widely viewed
as an obstacle to the implementation of finance capitals
demands. While a semblance of a modern state exists, there
are no modern institutions, the Washington-based Carnegie
Endowment noted. In short, Lebanon has a confessional oligarchy.
The result is perpetual political and administrative paralysis;
the existing institutions cannot introduce needed reforms for
fear that these changes would alter the status quo and the balance
of interests among the communities. This makes it almost impossible
to devise a national agenda for political and economic reform.
The European and Arab powers view the crisis induced by the
Israeli invasion as an opportunity to overcome these barriers
to economic restructuring. While the international delegates at
the donors conference in Sweden were careful to project
a humanitarian image and did not explicitly make their aid pledges
conditional upon economic reform, there is no doubt that the donors
expect a quid pro quo.
International aid providers naturally want to know that
their funds are being put to good use and they usually dictate
how the money is best spent, Jim McCredie, a senior manager
with accounting firm KPMG, told the BBC. For some this is
the opportunity to impose changes designed to enhance the economic
performance or improve the social infrastructure provision in
the country. It will also be an opportunity to exert regional
influence through Lebanons strategic location in the Middle
East.
See Also:
Kofi Annan visit provokes angry protests
in Beirut
[1 September 2006]
Israeli cluster bombs blanket Lebanese
towns
[1 September 2006]
Europe to send 7,000 troops
to Lebanon
[31 August 2006]
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