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Analysis : Middle
East : Iraq
US fears of British pullout from Basra raise transatlantic
tensions to new pitch
By Chris Marsden
25 August 2007
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Military circles in Washington and London are engaged in mutual
recriminations over the proposed drawdown of Britains troop
presence in Basra, with US top brass speaking of the UKs
Saigon moment and full withdrawal. The British Army
has made clear its anger at such open criticism and the media
has responded by accusing the US of scapegoating Britain for the
inability of Americas own forces to defeat the Iraq insurgency.
Britain has effectively lost control of not only Basra, but
of the whole of southern Iraq. However, this is only the most
developed manifestation of the wider military and political catastrophe
facing the US-led occupation and the failure of the US military
surge in particular.
The government is already pledged to reduce Britains
troop presence by 500, to just 5,000. Militarily, there is little
point in the rest remaining other than as part of a bigger US-led
force. But a total pullout is not so far being proposed, in order
to safeguard Britains alliance with the US and so as not
to be seen to have been routed.
At his Camp David meeting with President George Bush, Prime
Minister Gordon Brown pledged that we have duties to discharge
and responsibilities to keep and to wait on any decision
on troop numbers until after the US commander in Iraq, General
David Petraeus, reports to Congress on the results of the US surge
on September 15. He pledged a full statement on Iraq when Parliament
resumes in October. Defence Secretary Des Browne has also said
further reductions would only take place in agreement with the
Americans.
The August 19 Independent on Sunday reported two senior
British generals have told the Government that Britain can
achieve nothing more in south-east Iraq, and that
the 5,500 British troops still deployed there should move towards
withdrawal without further delay. The military advice given
to Brown was, Weve done what we can in the south.
The report continued, Commanders want to hand over Basra
Palacewhere 500 British troops are subjected to up to 60
rocket and mortar strikes a day, and resupply convoys have been
described as nightly suicide missionsby the
end of August. The withdrawal of 500 soldiers has already been
announced by the Government. The Army is drawing up plans to reposture
the 5,000 that will be left at Basra airport, and aims to bring
the bulk of them home in the next few months.
Noting the scale of the debacle in Basra, the Independent
continued, As the force has dwindled, losses among British
troops have accelerated. So far this year, 41 servicemen and women
have died, compared to 29 in the whole of 2006. Their area of
operations has, in effect, been taken over by three competing
militia groups, the Mehdi army, SCIRI and Fadhila, all of which
are heavily implicated in oil smuggling, intimidation and death
squad activity.
Maintaining troops at Basra Airport is not sustainable in the
long-term and means they will be largely occupied with defending
themselves from attack by insurgents. A bluntly titled piece in
the August 20 Financial Times, How the British army
lost Basra, quotes a retired brigadier stating that the
objective of the remaining force appears to be largely to
provide a symbolic show of support for Washington and the Iraqi
government.
The reaction of the US military to the cutback in troops and
possible withdrawal is bitter and has been echoed by figures close
to the Bush administration. The Sunday Telegraph quoted
a senior US officer stating, The short version is that the
Brits have lost Basra, if indeed they ever had it.... Americans
are disappointed because, in their minds, this thing is still
winnable. They dont intend to cut and run.... There will
be a stink about this that will hang around the British military.
US General Jack Keane, the architect of the surge strategy,
told the Sunday Telegraph, It is disappointing and
frustrating to see a situation in Basra that was once working
pretty well, now coming apart. Stephen Biddle, a military
adviser to Bush, told the Sunday Times that a British withdrawal
would be ugly and embarrassing.
An unnamed US official stated that White House officials were
disappointed not to win a firmer agreement from Brown to keep
British troops in Basra: They dont mind a change in
rhetoric, but the bottom line for the president was to keep Basra
as a British responsibility. He didnt get as much as he
wanted. There was a whiff of double-dealing about it all.
Such open and derisive attacks provoked numerous complaints
in the press. Writing in the Telegraph, Con Coughlin stated,
Its not the constant barrage of rockets raining down
on their heavily fortified compound in Basra that is sapping the
morale of British troops. It is the seemingly endless salvos of
invective that are being directed at them on an almost daily basis
from across the Atlantic by Americas top brass.
Complaints of Britain cutting and running are little more than
sour grapes on the part of the Bush administration and the US
military in the face of their own mounting crisis. President Bush
and Prime Minister Tony Blair went to war against Iraq based on
the assumption that superior US firepower would make short shrift
of Saddam Husseins regime. Coalition forces would then be
welcomed as liberators by the Iraqi masses, a puppet regime would
be established and the plunder of Iraqs oil reserves would
proceed. Insofar as either Britain or the US had an exit
strategy, it was based on a smooth transition from occupation
to rule by their Iraqi proxys security force.
From the invasion onwards, Britain played a subordinate role
militarily. In an extended August 22 riposte to US complaints,
History will judge who lost Iraq, the Financial
Times correctly notes that Britains political
cover was always prized by the Bush administration but, as Donald
Rumsfeld, the former defence secretary, made humiliatingly clear,
its military contribution was considered optional.
It could hardly be otherwise. Britains standing army
is less than 100,000 strong, with an additional 25,000 in the
Territorial Army. It could never sustain a prolonged occupation
of Iraq and began scaling back its troop presencewhich at
its height was 35,000almost immediately after the capture
of Baghdad. However, Britain and the US have been forced to keep
their forces stationed in Iraqyear after yeardue to
the insurgency against the occupation and the civil war between
Sunni, Shia and Kurdish groups which their own actions precipitated.
The US surge has done nothing to reverse this situation.
The August 21 Independent comments, Rather than stemming
the violence ... the surge seems increasingly to have
displaced it[from Central Iraq] to the fringes of the Kurdish
north and to the Shia south, both of which enjoyed relative peace
before. The inescapable conclusion must be that even the present
US troop level is too low to pacify all Iraq.
The Financial Times also notes bitterly, To begin
with, south Iraq was never Britains to lose. The Rumsfeld
Pentagons incompetence probably lost Iraq in the anarchy
triggered immediately after the fall of Baghdad. The southern
provinces were spared that chaos, but only because the Shia clerical
hierarchy led by Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani compelled restraint.
It held the ring until the political processa new constitution
and representative electionsdelivered Iraq to its Shia majority.
Unlike the Sunni centre and west, where Baathists, Sunni supremacists
and jihadis launched a lethal insurgency against the Anglo-American
occupation, the south was relatively quiescent. That deceptive
calm has been torn to pieces by the intra-Shia jostle for power
between three rival clerical dynasties and their armed allies.
The Blair government did everything it could to ingratiate
itself with Washington and Brown wants nothing more than to continue
doing the same. But the subordinate relationship between British
and US imperialismthrough which it has sought to secure
its own global geo-strategic interests such as access to oilhas
also taken UK troops into Afghanistan. The British military is
anxious that it faces defeat there as well unless it reduces its
commitment in Iraq.
General Sir Richard Dannatt, the chief of the general staff,
has admitted that deployments in Iraq and Afghanistan have stretched
the armed forces to the breaking point. The Ministry of Defence
is considering sending 2,000 of the troops freed up in Iraq to
reinforce the 7,000 already involved in the NATO mission in Afghanistan.
This is made all the more necessary by the refusal of Germany,
France and Italy to commit any significant forces to the conflict,
instead hoping that Washingtons debacle in the Middle East
will help them strike a better bargain than Britain did in return
for any military assistance they might offer.
The August 21 Daily Mail reported, The mission
of controlling Helmand Province, where most British forces are
fighting, is increasingly seen as a divisional task, requiring
nine battlegroups of around a thousand fighting men each. But
at present the UK only has three battlegroups available and, despite
repeated appeals to NATO allies, there is no sign of other countries
providing the scale of support required.
An Army source told the Mail, The Wests
dirty little secret is that we dont have enough infantry
to hold the ground. Its now very likely that the numbers
freed up from Iraq will be soaked up in Afghanistan.
One of the most significant aspects of the complaints against
Britain emanating from Washington is that Brown is bowing to domestic
pressureunlike Bush and Blair who both repeatedly proclaim
their readiness to continue occupying Iraq despite overwhelming
popular opposition.
But no one should believe that Brown will make a substantial
shift away from this antidemocratic stance. It remains to be seen
what Brown will do in terms of cutting troop numbers in Iraq in
order to appease the clearly conflicting demands being placed
on him by Washington and the ruling elite in Britain. But any
move he makes will take place within the framework of the neo-colonial
strategy pioneered by Blairand in continued alliance with
the US.
There are growing demands in sections of the British media
for a full Iraq withdrawal. But of the major parties, only the
Liberal Democrats have supported a pullout. There is no reason
to assume that Brown will heed such calls if it risks incurring
the wrath of the US. Moreover, the situation in the Middle East
can only worsen given the conclusion of many key neoconservatives
that stabilizing Iraq means extending the conflict into Iran.
Whatever happens, no faction of Britains ruling elite
articulates the genuine antiwar sentiment of working people. Those
such as Liberal Democrat leader Sir Menzies Campbell calling for
a framework for withdrawal from Iraq want only tactical
military and political shifts in order to better safeguard the
interests of British imperialism. This focuses on demands for
more troops to be sent to the supposedly winnable
and just war in Afghanistan. As the Independent
editorialised on August 19, Iraq and Afghanistan are two
different fronts, two very different campaigns. In Afghanistan
the presence of our troops is justified and useful; in Iraq, there
is no further rationale for their presence beyond the political
imperative to show solidarity with the US administration.... We
should retreat from Basra and redeploy in Afghanistan.
See Also:
Washington continues propaganda barrage
against Iran
[24 August 2007]
President Bushs history lesson
[24 August 2007]
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