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East
Washington discusses plans for covert action against Kurdish
PKK in Iraq
By Stefan Steinberg
6 August 2007
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An article in the July 30 edition of the Washington Post
revealed that plans are being discussed in Washington to open
up a new front in Iraq by dispatching US special forces to the
north of the country in a covert operation against positions and
camps occupied by rebels attached to the Kurdistan Workers
Party (PKK).
According to the article, entitled, Bushs Turkish
Gamble, US special forces would help the Turks
neutralize the PKK and behead the guerrilla organization
by helping Turkey get rid of PKK leaders that they have targeted
for years.
The plans were announced by Eric S. Edelman, a former aide
to Vice President Cheney and currently undersecretary of defense,
to a select group of Congress members, including members of the
Armed Services Committees in both the Senate and the House of
Representatives. Edelman is a former US ambassador to Turkey and
retains close links with official political and military sources
in the country.
In response to skepticism over such an operation by some of
those attending the meeting, Edelman declared that the intention
was to conduct a covert operation and that, after the mission,
the government would deny any involvement by US forces.
Under conditions of increasing fractional warfare between the
main Sunni and Shiite groups, in part deliberately encouraged
by the US, the Kurdish government in northern Iraq
has emerged as one of the most dependable allies of the US occupation.
In line with the Iraqi constitution, the Kurdish parties have
established an enclave in the north of Iraq run by the Kurdish
Regional Government (KRG). Now plans are being discussed to throw
further fuel on the fire and intensify divisions in the ravaged
country with a provocative military action against PKK militants.
The US initiative is a response to increasing pressure by the
Turkish military for a full-scale military invasion of the province.
The Turkish army has been massing troops on its border to northern
Iraq and Turkish generals have repeatedly threatened to cross
the border in pursuit of PKK forces. Currently Turkey has a well-equipped
army of 250,000 soldiers near the border, facing some 4,000 PKK
fighters hiding in the mountains of northern Iraq.
The Turkish high command has been campaigning for an invasion
of northern Iraq for some months, and just days before the recent
parliamentary election Turkish artillery fired on PKK positions
inside Iraqs borders. One day later, on July 20, and just
two days before his successful reelection, Turkish Prime Minister
Recep Tayyip Erdogan (AKPJustice and Development Party)
made his own threat of a military incursion into Iraq against
the Kurds.
Erdogans threat was then repeated after the elections
when, in an interview with the Sunday Telegraph, AKP deputy
Egemen Bagis said that US should note that Turkey is ready for
an incursion into northern Iraq, irrespective of the repercussions
for relations between Turkey and Washington. Bagis underlined
that Turkey would not hesitate and would not ask permission for
a possible cross border operation.
Up until now Prime Minister Erdogan has been able to avoid
a vote in the Turkish parliament on such a cross-border operation,
but following his re-election the Turkish military high command
has stepped up its own campaign for an invasion.
While the latest US plans for an intervention by its special
forces represents a concession to the Turkish government and military,
they reflect at the same time increasing frustration by both the
US administration and Ankara at the failure by the Kurdish leadership
in northern Iraq to take action against the PKK.
The KRG, led by President Masoud Barzani, has proved to one
of the most loyal supporters of the US occupation. Following the
recent withdrawal of the main Sunni bloc, the Iraqi Accordance
Front (IAF), from the Iraqi government, the US is even more dependent
on the assistance of the Kurdish faction in the national parliament
headed by Iraqi President Jalal Talabani. But for some time both
Barzani and Talibani have been under pressure from Turkeys
ex-Special Representative for Countering Terrorism, retired general
Edip Baser, and his US counterpart Joseph Ralston, to take effective
action against the PKK in the northall to no avail.
The reluctance by the KRG leadership and Talibani to deal with
the PKK has also been a source of friction between the Turkish
government and its military leadership. Prior to the recent election
the AKP leadership expressed its readiness for talks over the
situation in Iraq with Kurdish nationalist leaders (with the exception
of the PKK). The Turkish military high command has always insisted,
however, that it is opposed to any talks taking place until the
Kurdish government in Iraq takes effective action
against the PKK.
The latest plans for a US covert operation against the PKK
are obviously aimed at breaking this logjam and preventing an
incursion by the Turkish army. While the US plans to crack down
on the PKK are being discussed, US officials are moving towards
strengthening relations with Ankara and encouraging Turkey as
a power broker in the Middle East and Arabian Peninsulaparticularly
with the aim of isolating and increasing pressure on Iran.
Turkey and the Arabian Peninsula
In a statement issued at the start of this year, the head of
Turkeys National Intelligence Organization (MIT), Emre Taner,
urged Turkey to become much more ambitious in the field of foreign
policy. Taner wrote, In the period we are in, we will see
the process by which many nations lose the marathon of history.
All values, structures, relations, systems and social order, be
they socio-economic or political, religious or moral, are being
reshaped and redefined. This process is representative of the
period in which new key players, secondary players and the rules
of the international system are being redefined and even reborn.
According to Taner, Turkey had to ensure it was in a position
to play the role of a key player. Turkey does
not have the luxury of letting things flow at its own pace or
of simply following laissez-faire tactics with regards its policies.
Plans for a new role for Turkey are also being debated within
American foreign policy circles. A recent article for the Stratfor
think tank takes up this theme. Author George Friedmann points
to the rapid growth of the Turkish economy in recent years and
its increasing economic and political importance in the region
of the Middle East and the Arabian Peninsula.
Turkey is not China, Friedmann writes, but
in becoming the largest Muslim economy, as well as the largest
economy in the eastern Mediterranean, south-eastern Europe, the
Middle East, the Caucasus and east to the Hindu Kush, Turkey is
moving to regain its traditional position of primacy in the region.
Its growth is still fragile and can be disrupted, but there is
no question that it has become the leading regional economy, as
well as one of the most dynamic. Additionally, Turkeys geographic
position greatly enables it to become Europes primary transit
hub for energy supplies, especially at a time when Europe is trying
to reduce its dependence on Russia.
US-Turkish relations had been strained, Friedmann notes, primarily
because of the close links developed by the US and Kurdish forces
in Iraq going back to Operation Desert Storm.
However, in light of the situation in Iraq, where the US will
at some point be confronted with the necessity of withdrawing
some of its forces, Washington needs a regional power to
counterbalance Iran. Noting Turkeys good relations
with Israel, Friedmann argues, This is a vital question
because of Iran The assumption we have consistently made is that,
absent the United States, Iran would become the dominant regional
power and would be in a position, in the long term, to dominate
the Arabian Peninsula, shifting not only the regional balance
of power but also potentially the global balance as well.
Friedmann concludes with an appealechoing Tanerfor
Turkey to resume a major role in the region. For the past
90 years, Turkey has not played its historic role. Now, however,
economic and politico-military indicators point to Turkeys
slow reclamation of that role. The rumours about Turkish action
against the PKK have much broader significance. They point to
a changing role for Turkeyand that will mean massive regional
changes over time.
Irrespective of discussions over the role of future US-Turkish
relations, the fact remains that the latest plans by the US military
for a military strike on the PKK are a further indication of the
complete and utter recklessness policy of the Bush administration.
While such an operation might serve to temporarily placate the
Turkish military, it would certainly provoke hostile reactions
from the Kurds in northern Iraq and open up a further front in
the war-torn country. On many occasions the Turkish military and
political establishment have made clear they are not merely opposed
to the PKK, but also to the prospect of any sort of independent
Kurdish province. A referendum on the fate of the oil rich city
of Kirkuk is due later this year, and any vote for autonomy would
be vociferously opposed by nationalist circles in Ankara.
In addition, any further closing of ranks between the Washington
administration and the Turkish military will also increase the
problems of the Turkish government. While adopting fully the economic
program laid down by the western banks and the IMF, Erdogan is
aware of the popular hostility within Turkey towards the US, particularly
in the wake of the Iraq war. A recent survey revealed that levels
of anti-US sentiment were higher in Turkey than anywhere else
in the region. Any new overtures from Washington can only serve
to increase popular opposition to the Turkish government itself.
Plans for a US operation to neutralise the PKK
will therefore not only antagonise the Kurdish minority and increase
the bloody toll of victims in Iraqit also threatens to destabilise
one of Washingtons most important allies in the region.
See Also:
Washington, EU welcome AKP
victory in Turkish elections
[27 July 2007]
As the Turkish military provocatively
shells northern Iraq: Social tensions at the forefront in run-up
to Turkish parliamentary elections
[21 July 2007]
Amnesty International report
on Turkey: failure to punish perpetrators of torture
[14 July 2007]
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