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French left defeated in parliamentary elections
By Antoine Lerougetel
12 June 2007
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Five weeks after Socialist Party (SP) candidate Ségolène
Royal lost the presidential elections, the French left
has suffered another humiliating defeat.
After the first round of the legislative elections on Sunday,
it is already clear that President Nicolas Sarkozy will command
an overwhelming majority in the new National Assembly. His Gaullist
UMP (Union for a Popular Movement) will control at least two thirds
of the delegates. Sarkozy has for some time been the standard
bearer of the right wing of the UMP, and is pledged to take dramatic
steps in dismantling the French welfare state.
The exact composition of the new parliament will be determined
next Sunday in a runoff election between the top vote-getters
in all constituencies where no candidate received more than 50
percent of the vote in the first round.
While the two rounds of the presidential elections witnessed
unusually large turnouts84 and 85 percent respectivelymassive
abstention was a major factor in Sundays vote. Of the total
electorate, 39.6 percent stayed at home, a record abstention for
the first round of a parliamentary election since the establishment
of the Fifth Republic in 1958. Evidently, it was mainly the left
parties that were unable to mobilise their supporters.
Sundays result in some ways recalls that of the last
parliamentary election, in 2002, when the UMP, then led by Jacques
Chirac, won a large majority. The UMP victory in the 2002 legislative
vote followed Chiracs successful bid for a new term as president,
under conditions in which the official left parties
campaigned for him against his opponent in the second round, Jean-Marie
Le Pen of the far-right National Front. The Socialist, Communist
and Green parties called for a vote for Chirac, the candidate
of French big business, portraying him as the defender of French
democracy, while the so-called far left parties joined,
either openly or tacitly, in the stampede for Chirac.
In the legislative elections that followed, Chirac won a big
majority in parliament. This time, the presidential majority will
likely be even bigger.
The UMP received 39.5 percent of the vote, compared to 33.3
percent in 2002. A total of 104 UMP candidates polled over 50
percent and won election outright.
Projections for the second round give the UMP between 383 and
501 seats in the 577-seat Assembly. At present, the Gaullists
have 359 seats, plus 29 of the former UDF (Union for French Democracy),
which was allied with the UMP in the 2002 election.
The Socialist Party obtained 24.7 percent of the vote, almost
the same percentage as in 2002. Only one Socialist Party candidate
gained more than 50 percent.
Together with its allies in the PRG (Left Radical Party) and
the MRC (Citizens Movement, headed by Jean-Pierre Chevènement),
the Socialist Party is expected to end up with 80 to 140 deputies.
There are 149 SP deputies in the current parliament.
The Communist Party (CP) fared somewhat better than predicted,
but nevertheless polled lower than in 2002. It received 4.29 percent
of the vote0.5 percent less than in 2002, but much more
than the 1.9 percent scored by its presidential candidate, Marie-George
Buffet.
Despite the fact that the CP concluded no electoral pact with
the SP and faced, particularly in its traditional strongholds
in the red belt around Paris, an aggressive campaign
from SP candidates, it might still retain between 9 and 15 deputies,
compared to its present total of 21.
It will lose, however, its status as an official parliamentary
group. In the post-war history of France, the CP had always enjoyed
official status in parliamentthe only exception being 1958,
when Charles de Gaulle came to power.
Frédéric Dabi of the polling organization IFOP
called the CPs loss of party status in parliament a
cataclysm financially and in terms of the partys public
visibility. Its going to transform it even more into
a mere small group, he said.
The CP lost some of its traditional constituencies, including
the Fourth Constituency in Marseilles which it has held since
the Popular Front government of 1936.
With a total of 35.6 percent, the Socialist Party and its former
allies in the Plural Left (the CP, Greens, PRG and
MRC) obtained about the same result as in 2002.
A total of 890.000 votes went to the parties of the so-called
far left. This represents 3.4 percent of the vote,
about 1 percent more than five years ago. Due to the majority
voting system, the far left candidates have no chance
of obtaining representation in parliament.
François Bayrous new center party, the MoDem (Democratic
Movement), polled 7.6 percent, less than half of Bayrous
result (18 percent) in the first round of the presidential elections.
It is uncertain whether Bayrou will be returned to the Assembly
next Sunday, and his party is not expected to win more than 4
seats It could end up empty-handed.
The National Fronts result of 4.29 percent was its lowest
since the early 1980s. Many of its traditional voters had been
siphoned off by Sarkozys racist, law-and-order,
patriotic demagogy. Only Jean-Marie Le Pens daughter, Marine
Le Pen, standing in the industrially devastated constituency of
Hénin-Beaumont in northern France, made it through to the
second round.
The daily Libération, which supported Royals
presidential bid, attributed the success of the UMP to the supposed
genius of Sarkozy. It wrote, This three-quarters-accomplished
victory is the result of an impeccable job by Sarkozy: A vigorous
campaign on a clearly right-wing programme, pugnacious language
softened here and there by solicitude for his opponent, then his
governments initial decisions, complementing the [UMPs
legislative election] campaignalthough the measures play
fast and loose with the public finances and primarily favour the
wealthiest of the new presidents supporters.
While this explains very little, it does contain a grain of
truth. Sarkozy is a conscious, vigorous and resolute fighter for
the interests of the class he represents. Ségoléne
Royal, her partner and Socialist Party leader François
Hollande, and all the other elephants of the SP look
with derision and contempt at the class whose interests they claim
to represent. They are not fighters, but miserable opportunists,
always adapting themselves to the right wing. They feel much closer
to the wealthy and the influential than to the workers and ordinary
people, never mind the youth and immigrants in the urban suburbs.
They have no fundamental disagreements with Sarkozy, whom they
secretly admire.
If Sarkozy faced a serious political opposition, he would rapidly
be reduced to a somewhat comical figure, consumed by ambition
and vanity.
As soon as the result of the first round was known, Royal turned
to Bayrou and his right-liberal MoDem, offering an alliance. Julien
Dray, spokesman for Royals presidential campaign, declared
Monday that his party would not stand in the way of the
MoDem candidates, in the interests of creating the
conditions for a pluralist parliament. Royal said she would
contact Bayrou before the second round.
Both Royal and Hollande blamed the youth and the working class,
rather than their own lack of any meaningful perspective for the
mass of the population, for the high abstention rate. Calling
for a mobilisation next Sunday, Royal arrogantly declared, You,
the youth, you must come and vote for yourselves You, the young
people who stayed at home ... Theres a record abstention
rate, whereas there was a civic awakening in the presidential
elections ... Theres something wrong, but Im not putting
all the blame on you, of course.
She added sanctimoniously, There are men and women in
the world who are risking their lives to gain the right to vote.
Hollande pontificated, Often its the youth and the
working class people who are more vulnerable to abstention.
UMP leader Patrick Devedjian contemptuously, but correctly,
pointed out that abstention hit the left rather than the
right, because the left has no project ... They only
campaigned against Sarkozys project.
Marie-Georges Buffet of the Communist Party, as well as the
far left Ligue Communiste Révolutionnaire (Revolutionary
Communist LeagueLCR), have spoken out against a deal with
the MoDem, but are openly (the CP) or tacitly (the LCR) backing
the Socialist Party.
A statement posted on the web site of the LCR says:, We
must beat the right and the far right and defeat as many of their
candidates (UMP, MoDem, New Centre, MPF, National Front) as possible.
The clear implication is a call to vote SP. Just as in 2002, the
LCR is acting to prevent the working class from breaking from
the Socialist Party.
Arlette Laguiller of Lutte Ouvrière offers no political
perspective at all, and merely appeals to trade union militancy:
If [UMP Prime Minister] François Fillon has a free
hand in the National Assembly, he does not have it in the country
... The world of labour is unpredictable because it can be subject
to sudden bursts of anger ... It has shown this in the past, and
the slightest small strike, if ignored, can, in some circumstances,
spread like wildfire.
This is typical of this far left organizations
evasion of the great political and historical issues confronting
the working class, which goes hand in hand with political adaptation
to the trade union bureaucracy and prostration before the parties
of the official left.
See Also:
Frances asylum procedures condemned
by the European Court of Human Rights
[11 June 2007]
French parliamentary elections: The collapse
of the left
[8 June 2007]
France: Guy Môquet, Sarkozy and
the Stalinist school of falsification
[2 June 2007]
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