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Six months after entering the EU
Political crises deepen in Romania and Bulgaria
By Marcus Salzmann
30 May 2007
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Just six months after Romanias and Bulgarias entry
into the European Union (EU), it is apparent that the political
situation in both countries has far from stabilised, contradicting
predictions made by both politicians and the media. Indeed, the
entry of these countriessupported by a general consensus
within their political eliteshas intensified the political
crisis in both countries.
In Romania, a referendum was held on May 23 to decide the fate
of President Traian Basescu after he was sacked by parliament.
The parliamentary action was the culmination of a sordid conflict
between the countrys main political parties. The preceding
months of recriminations and mudslinging among the countrys
parliamentarians in Bucharest developed into a political crisis
that revealed that democracy in the capital is a foreign word.
The fact that Basescu was victorious in the referendum and
able to retain his post has little to do with his popularity,
let alone with popular support for his political programme, but
rather with the fact that his political opponents are even more
hated. With a turnout of 44 percent of eligible voters, approximately
three quarters voted to keep Basescu in office against the wishes
of the Romanian parliament.
The cause of the referendum was a long-standing conflict between
Basescu and Prime Minister Calin Popescu-Tariceanu. The latters
National Liberal Party (PNL) had supported a motion of the Social
Democratic Party (PSD) to remove the president from power.
The initiative had come from PSD President Mircea Geoana and,
as it seems, from the countrys former President, Ion Iliescu.
The motion was supported by an overwhelming majority in parliament,
with 322 votes.
Along with the PNL and PSD, the ultra-nationalists of the Greater
Romania Party and the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania
(UDMR) all voted in favour. These parties together invested a
total of some 20 million euros in the referendum.
The background to the conflict is a bitter power struggle within
the ruling elite over money, power and influence. Basescu had
promoted himself as someone who would fight corruption. He adopted
EU demands to reform the countrys economic, political and
justice systems, which are permeated with bribery and cronyism.
There are currently judicial procedures underway against numerous
politicians from nearly every party.
Basescus own attitude with regard to the issues of corruption
and democracy is clear from by a cursory examination of his own
political practise. In 1992, he resigned his ministerial post
following allegations of corruption. He is also suspected of cooperating
over many years with the former Stalinist secret police, Securitate.
His real character was demonstrated on the day of the referendum.
When a reporter questioned him about the outcome of the referendum,
Basescu insulted her in front of the TV cameras, calling her a
stinking gypsy.
Behind the veil of reforming the political classes,
Basescu is attempting to weaken rival political forces. The conflict
between Basescu and the prime minister has continued for more
than two years and is symptomatic of the conflicts that have engulfed
the ruling cliques in many east European states.
The conflict between Tariceanus PNL and Basescus
Democratic Party (PD) was preceded by the break-up of the fragile
right-wing coalition government that was formed after the last
federal election in 2004. At the end of 2006, the coalition government
lost its majority with the exit of the Conservative Party (PC),
headed by media mogul Dan Voiculescu. Without the PD, the coalition
of the PNL and UDMR retained only 20 percent of the vote in parliament,
thereby invalidating any claims by the government of a democratic
mandate.
Basescu represents the free market advocates within
Romania who are striving to destroy, at any price, the old insider
relationships that to a large extent have their origins in the
former rule of the Stalinist Romanian Communist Party. Definite
business interests are at stake. Part of the substantial EU subsidies
to the country are simply disappearing and are unaccounted for.
The economic consequences of such corruption are hard to quantify.
More importantly, Romania, with its border on the Black Sea,
is of enormous strategic and economic importance. Recently, representatives
from Romania, Serbia, Croatia, Slovenia and Italy agreed to a
new Pan-European pipeline that will deliver oil from
the Caspian Sea via the Romanian Black Sea port of Konstanza to
southern Europe.
Romanias significance has resulted in European energy
companies taking a large interest in the country. The German Eon
conglomerate controls more than half of the gas market in Romania.
For the countrys ruling elite, political power means controlling
these resources.
Foreign policy has been another point of dispute. There are
massive disagreements over the occupation of Iraq, where Romanian
troops are currently serving as part of the Coalition of
the Willing.
Two months ago, the Tariceanu government approved the stationing
of an additional 3,000 US troops in Romania. It is envisioned
that for the next 10 years, US troops will be based in Babadag
on the Black Sea coast, Smirdan on the Danube River, and Cincu
in the Carpathian Mountains. The air force base in Babadag has
already been used over the past few years to launch operations
in Iraq.
The more the war in Iraq becomes a debacle, and the more the
expectations of the Romanian elite to reap the rewards of plundering
the country go unfulfilled, the more this strategy is questioned.
Basescu has proposed reducing troop numbers in Iraq, which would
be widely seen as a step towards a complete withdrawal. Tariceanu
opposes such a move.
Basescus victory in the referendum could spell the imminent
ousting of Tariceanu. At the moment, the fragile government is
only holding on out of fear over new elections, in which the PNL
would suffer heavy losses.
The fact that more than half of the electorate did not even
vote in the referendum demonstrates the depth of mistrust and
the general opposition of the population to the Romanian political
clique.
Bulgaria: deep divisions between the population
and official politics
A profound gulf between the official political elite and the
masses of the population is also evident in neighbouring Bulgaria.
The first elections to the EU Parliament on May 20 saw a large
protest vote against the established parties and their political
programmes. At the same time, only 28 percent of the electorate
went to the polling booths.
The elections saw a victory for Citizens for European Development
of Bulgaria (GerB), which recorded 21.7 percent of the vote, despite
the fact that it was formed only six months ago. The Bulgarian
Socialist Party (BSP), headed by Prime Minister Sergej Stanischew,
followed closely behind with 21.41 percent. The BSPs coalition
partner came in third position. The Turkish Minority Party (DPS)
recorded 20.26 percent and the NDSW party of former Prime Minister
Simeon Sakskoburggotski managed only 6 percent, just enough to
get representation.
The entire right-wing camp was decimated. The Democrats for
a Strong Bulgaria (DSB) of former Prime Minister Iwan Kostow,
the Bulgarian Peoples Union (BNS) and the United Democratic
Forces (ODS) did not reach the 6 percent hurdle needed for representation
and are now fighting for their very existence.
The central issue of the election was again a series of corruption
scandals, in which several members of government are embroiled.
Judicial proceedings on corruption and intimidation charges have
commenced against the BSPs economics and energy minister,
Rumen Owtscharow, as well as two state secretaries.
The resentment felt towards the BSP, the former King Simeon
II and the various conservative democrats, who have
all led the country over the last 17 years deeper into crisis,
was used by GerB, a party founded by the former mayor of the capital
Sofia, Bojko Borissow.
In 2005, Borissow, a former police officer, was elected as
mayor of Sofia, a result of the increasing opposition to the other
right-wing parties and the BSP. He was able to win the majority
of his votes from the Sakskoburggotski camp.
Borissow promoted himself as an honest, down-to-earth politician,
and to a certain degree was able to distance himself from the
quagmire of Bulgarian politics in the eyes of voters. GerB led
a populist campaign against corruption and the huge levels of
social inequality. Although Borissow did not openly state opposition
to entry into the EU, he repeatedly demanded that more attention
be given to Bulgarians national interests.
However, the party of the former police officer is anything
but an alternative to the existing political organisations. At
the time of the collapse of the Stalinist regime in 1989, Borissow
was a major in the Interior Ministry and was regarded as a true
believer of the regime. In the end, he used his contacts to found
his own private security firm and hired former Communist Party
chief Todor Schiwkow.
After Simeon II took over as prime minister in 2001, he promoted
Borissow to the post of police chief in the Interior Ministry.
The pair had maintained a close relationship for years. Borissow
refers to himself as a right-wing centrist and has
recruited numerous figures from the police, the former Stalinist
secret police and various fractured right-wing parties to his
own organisation.
Although Borissow maintains a large base of influence in Sofia,
his arch-conservative programme has mainly attracted those in
rural areas. His promises to implement a hard law-and-order programme
and improve the economic environment for Bulgarian capital have
made his party an option as a coalition partner for other parties,
although all of them have so far publicly viewed GerB with scepticism.
The ultra-nationalist party National Union Attack (Attaka)
received enough votes to enable it to send three representatives
to the European Parliament. The partys chairman, Volen Siderow,
received enough votes to enter the second round of the presidential
election held late last year and was then defeated in run-off
by the BSP candidate, Georgi Parwanow. In the EU parliamentary
elections, the neo-fascists won 14 percent of the vote.
While the Socialists and Conservatives have painted
entry into the EU in the brightest of colours, disillusionment
has already set in among broad layers of the population. The vast
majority have failed to see any improvement in their living standards
and regard the warnings from Brussels of the necessity for budgetary
discipline and the implementation of reforms as a
threat.
Attaka was the only party that openly took a critical position
to the European Union and was therefore able to canalise part
of the widespread antipathy to the EU in a reactionary nationalist
and neo-fascist direction.
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